Tuesday, August 15, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 14 Teams, 14th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

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Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 14
  • Draft Slot: 14
  • Starters: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST
  • Bench Size: 6

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.14 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing all of 2015, Nelson has finished as fantasy's WR2 in each of his past two seasons with a combined 195/2,776/27 on 303 targets. Given his rapport with Aaron Rodgers and being another year removed from his torn ACL, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

2.01 - Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears: One of the few bright spots for the Bears last season, Howard finished second in rushing (1,313 yards on 252 carries). Howard may not finish second in rushing once again, but he could see an even larger workload in his second season.

3.14 - Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers: Over his past 16 games, Allen has racked up 116 catches for 1,217 yards and eight touchdowns. The bad news is that those games span three seasons, but he has plenty of upside if he can stay healthy for a full season.

4.01 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Oakland Raiders: Half of one of the NFL's top wide receiver duos, Crabtree has been highly productive in both of his seasons in Oakland. Crabtree has a minimum of 85 catches, 900 yards and eight touchdowns each season and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season since 2012.

5.14 - Adrian Peterson, RB, New Orleans Saints: There are some concerns — age (32), durability (20 games played in past three seasons) and he's technically not the "starter." That said, which RB selected outside the top 24 has as much upside as Peterson? With double-digit scores every season he's played more than three games, Peterson now gets to play in the high-powered Drew Brees-led offense.

6.01 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota threw for 3,426 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions. An elite athlete, the dual-threat quarterback also ran a little more often (60/349/2). Given the team's offseason investments to put an improved supporting cast around Mariota, 2017 should be even better — perhaps much better — for this ascending quarterback.

7.14 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Preseason expectations were unfortunately greater than his actual production in 2016. Coaches, players and reporters have generally talked Parker up all offseason, which can be summed up by the offensive coordinator's 2017 expectations for him: "Gigantic year."

8.01 - Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas Cowboys: If Ezekiel Elliott serves his six-game (or a reduced) suspension in 2017, McFadden becomes the Cowboys' starter (and a fantasy start) for those games. In his first season in Dallas without Zeke and Tony Romo injured most of the year, McFadden rushed for 1,089 yards (4.6 YPC) on 236 carries and added 40 catches for 328 yards.

9.14 - Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks: The free-agent addition of Eddie Lacy creates some uncertainty for Rawls. But over the past two seasons, Rawls has five 100-yard rushing games -- only eight players have more -- despite getting 10-plus carries in only 12 regular-season games over that two-year span.

10.01 - Jordan Matthews, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: Recently traded to the Bills, an improved fantasy outlook for Matthews could mean that he leads the team in targets and production while flirting with a top-30 fantasy season.

11.14 - Coby Fleener, TE, New Orleans Saints: In his first season in New Orleans, Fleener set four-year lows in both receptions (50) and targets (81), but his 631 receiving yards and four touchdowns (three receiving and one rushing) were the second-most of his career. While he disappointed fantasy owners (compared to his ADP), Fleener scored the 12th-most fantasy points in 2016.

12.01 - Jonathan Williams, RB, Buffalo Bills: On limited touches (110 in 15 games), Mike Gillislee scored a total of nine touchdowns and the 27th-most fantasy points among running backs last season. With Gillislee now in New England, the 223-pound second-year back will move into the role vacated by Gillislee and he has weekly flex upside even if LeSean McCoy stays healthy for a full season.

13.14 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: If the Chargers can keep (most of) their top pass-catchers healthy for a full season, Rivers will be a huge bargain here. Rivers has exceeded 4,200 passing yards in seven of eight seasons and he has thrown 30-plus touchdowns in three of four years.

14.01 - Antonio Gates, TE, Los Angeles Chargers: With his next touchdown, Gates will break the all-time TD record for tight ends that he shares with Tony Gonzalez. Going into his age-37 season, however, the future Hall-of-Famer isn't even the best fantasy tight end on his own roster, but he should remain one of Rivers' favorite targets in the red zone.

15.14 - Philadelphia Eagles DST

16.01 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

- View full mock draft results here

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