Sunday, October 15, 2017

Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

On the season, John Trifone is 10-5 against the spread (+14 units) and 6-2 ATS over the past three weeks.

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With that said, here are John Trifone's Week 6 NFL picks against the spread:

New York Jets +9.5 over New England Patriots (4 Units)

At the beginning of the year, this spread might be thought to be too small. However, five weeks into the year, this spread is clearly way too high. The perception of the Patriots is what inflates the line. In reality, New England has been mediocre and Tom Brady has been getting beat up. The defense is suspect, and the Jets have been far better than expected. In New York, the Jets are certainly the right side here.

Los Angeles Rams +2.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars (3 Units)

The Jags defense is legitimately one of the best in the league. They were spectacular against the Steelers last week. However, five interceptions and two pick-sixes are an anomaly, and I still don’t trust the Jags offense. The Rams offense, on the other hand, looks vastly improved with a better offensive line. The way to get to Jacksonville’s defense is on the ground, and Todd Gurley has been great so far this year. I like the Rams to keep this one close and maybe even win outright. I’ll take the Rams and the points.

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (4 Units)

This is really a tale of two good teams that have been going down different paths thus far. The Chiefs and Alex Smith are both playing at a higher level than was anticipated coming into the year, and the Steelers, who were a Super Bowl favorite coming into the year have clearly underachieved. Pittsburgh is coming off an embarrassing loss, and I think they come back and right the ship this week. I expect the Chiefs to be handed their first loss of the year and see a big offensive game from the Steelers offense.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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