Tuesday, August 21, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Houston Texans

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Houston Texans.



Deshaun Watson478.4298.5380329.214.872.7450.73.53.5298.39
Offensive line woes and lack of experience did not slow Watson down as a rookie. Unfortunately, an ACL tear did. Before the injury, however, Watson finished with the most or second-most fantasy points in each of his final four games and eclipsed the 30-point mark in three of those four outings. Expectations are sky high entering season two and regression is inevitable, but he has legitimate QB1 upside if he can stay healthy for a full season.
Brandon Weeden36.423.72621.
Joe Webb5.22.6300.

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Running Backs


Lamar Miller199.5827.95.434.6294.12.80.5160.4
Miller has two 1,000-yard seasons since 2014, but he was even less efficient in 2017 (career-low 3.7 YPC) than he was in 2016 (4.0). The Texans have one of the league's worst offensive lines (actually the worst if you go by PFF rankings) and the line won't be markedly better in 2018. On a positive note, Miller has shed a few pounds and entered training camp at his lowest weight since signing with Houston.
D'Onta Foreman124.5522.94.79.878.
Foreman's rookie season was cut short due to an Achilles injury and he's starting training camp on the active/PUP list. Perhaps he'll avoid the reserve/PUP list, which would require him to miss a mininum of six games, but that at least remains a possibility at this point.
Alfred Blue54.62021.16.748.20.30.432.62
Jay Prosch1.94.80.14320.205.48
Tyler Ervin2.910.202.2110.10.51.72

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Wide Receivers


DeAndre Hopkins99.31400.18.40000.9188.61
Leading the NFL in receiving touchdowns (13) last season, Hopkins now has four seasons with 75-plus catches and three seasons with 1,200-plus yards through his age-25 season. With a league-high 174 targets last season, Hopkins had 35-percent target share in 10 of 15 games and double-digit targets 11 times. As the focal point of Houston's offense, he arguably has the highest floor among all receivers in the league.
Will Fuller52.9804.16.34.82301118.51
The Texans scored 30.71 (real) points per game with Deshaun Watson under center; only 13.67 without him. As you'd expect, the games that Fuller played with Watson were much better than those without him. Both were on the field together for just four games (admittedly, an incredibly small sample size), but Fuller scored seven touchdowns in those four games! Durability is a concern for both as Fuller has missed multiple games in both seasons and Watson is returning from a torn ACL, but there is plenty of upside for Fuller if both maintain good health in 2018.
Keke Coutee162401.60000.333
Racking up 93/1,429/10 for the Red Raiders last season, the fourth-round rookie had impressed Andre Johnson. That said, the rookie is dealing with a strained hamstring.
Bruce Ellington22250.81.32.412.501.231.73
Braxton Miller14.9122.20.74.819.200.317.74
Sammie Coates0.580.10000.11.2
DeAndrew White0.34.2000000.42

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Tight Ends


Ryan Griffin21.5227.91.40000.230.79
With C.J. Fiedorowicz retiring, the Texans drafted a pair of tight ends -- Jordan Akins and Jordan Thomas -- this year. That said, Griffin could get the most snaps at the position, but his upside is relatively limited.
Stephen Anderson17.7219.51.30000.129.55
Anderson played 15 games last season and set career highs with 25 receptions for 342 yards. Like Griffin, Anderson isn't fantasy-relevant in 12-team leagues. On a positive note, however, Houston's tight ends have the league's most favorable fantasy football strength of schedule. If one emerges early in the season, they could become worth a pickup.
Jordan Akins6.268.20.40000.19.02
Jordan Thomas1.616.80.10000.12.08

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