Thursday, July 18, 2019

New Orleans Saints 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.




Drew Brees522.9379.14235.528.768.3729.823.82.24283.54
Now the NFL's recordholder for passing yards, Brees needs just 20 touchdowns to overtake Peyton Manning for that record as well. Perhaps more impressively, Brees has been a model of consistency with 15 consecutive seasons as fantasy's QB9 or better. The days of Brees slinging it 600-plus times appears over, however, as his pass attempts in 2017 (536, 33.5/G) and 2018 (489, 32.6/G) are the two lowest of his Saints tenure. Could 2019 be the first season that Brees doesn't finish as a top-nine fantasy quarterback as a Saint?
Taysom Hill5.42.747.50.220.1934.4168.61.3827.54
Teddy Bridgewater10.8777.80.430.323.41.704.36

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Alvin Kamara216.9986.910.377.7691.53.5250.64
Even though he has a total of only 476 touches through two seasons, Kamara has finished as a top-four fantasy running back (any scoring format) in both of his first two NFL seasons. Another top-four season is the expectation based on his ADP and our rankings. Kamara has scored 32 touchdowns -- 22 rushing, nine receiving and one return -- in his 31 NFL games with more than 1,500 scrimmage yards in both seasons.
Latavius Murray137.7564.66.8919.9135.30.2112.53
Before last season (RB32, RB38 in PPR), Murray had finished as a top-20 fantasy running back in standard-scoring formats for three consecutive seasons. While he's unlikely to bounce back to that level of fantasy production, we've seen the Saints offense support to productive running backs with Kamara and Mark Ingram so it's possibly that Murray flirts with back-end RB2 production in standard-scoring formats as a Saint.
Buck Allen11.543.70.236.640.30.2611.34
Zach Line4.615.
Dwayne Washington11.547.20.120005.44

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Michael Thomas108.51269.58.14000175.79
Three years into his young career, Thomas continues to improve each season -- 92/1,137/9 in 2017, 104/1,245/5 in 2018 and 125/1,405/9 in 2019. Since Thomas has been in the league, there have been 19 100-catch seasons and, of those, only Christian McCaffrey (86.3%, 2018) had a better catch rate than Thomas (85.0%, 2018) over the past three years. The only other wide receivers with 100 catches and catch rate above 70 percent -- Adam Thielen (73.9%, 2018), Larry Fitzgerald (71.3%, 2016) and DeAndre Hopkins (70.6%, 2018).
Ted Ginn Jr.44.7603.
Missing more than half of the season on Injured Reserve, Ginn (knee) still got at least six targets in the seven games (including playoffs) in which he appeared. While Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara are the clear focal points of the Saints' offense, Ginn will have some big weeks as the No. 3, perhaps No. 4, option in the offense.
Tre'quan Smith25367.5300054.75
Smith had a couple of big games (3/111 vs. WAS and 10/157/1 vs. PHI) and a lot of quiet games (23 yards or less in 11 of the other 13). Even if he's more consistent on a weekly basis, it's difficult to trust any receiver not named Thomas in season-long formats.
Keith Kirkwood13.6191.81.3600027.34
Rishard Matthews101320.8500018.3
Cameron Meredith10.4133.10.8300018.29
Chad Hansen331.80.210004.44
Austin Carr2.628.10.210004.07

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Jared Cook50.1663.85.1400097.22
Oakland's passing game had virtually nothing last season and Cook paced the team by leading them in targets (101), receptions (68), yards (896) and touchdowns (six). Setting career highs across the board, Cook finished as fantasy's TE5 last season. Perhaps his year-over-year target share dips, but there is also a major offensive boost with Drew Brees and the Saints.
Josh Hill11.9121.40.7100016.4
Dan Arnold4.351.60.430007.74

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