Sunday, July 11, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New Orleans Saints

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jameis Winston346.8222.8260115.9511.142.5174.31.7173.27
Taysom Hill186.7121.41381.67.654.1172.43915.25163

Jameis Winston: With Drew Brees hanging up the cleats this offseason, the Saints will have a quarterback competition between Winston and Taysom Hill, who started four games last season when Brees missed time. It wouldn't be a surprise, however, if both Winston and Hill made starts in 2021 regardless of which quarterback is named the Week 1 starter.

Two seasons ago in Tampa, Winston led the NFL in both passing yards (5,109) and interceptions thrown (30). While I believe that Sean Payton would like to start Winston to maximize his potential to exploit Hill's versatility, Winston's ball security will be pivotal in his ability to not lose grip of the starting gig (should be named the starter).

Taysom Hill: Whenever/if he gets the opportunity to start, Hill will flirt with top-12 production. In fact, he performed as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in all four of his starts last season.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Alvin Kamara212.3987.29.0268.8617.33.4269.37
Latavius Murray137.4611.44.2627.52291.2130.55
Ty Montgomery15660.3810.399.60.627.59
Alex Armah5110.31.713.90.15.74
Dwayne Washington7.532.60.150.9605.21

Alvin Kamara: No running back scored more fantasy points in half-PPR formats than Kamara in 2020. The versatile back had exactly 81 receptions in each of his first three NFL seasons and then set a career high (83) in 2020. That said, he was on pace for a much higher career-best number before Drew Brees (ribs) missed four weeks. The only three games that Kamara failed to reach three catches came with Brees sidelined.

If the Saints utilize Taysom Hill as their starter, it would likely cap Kamara's upside and lead to more volatility in his weekly production. In 11 games with Brees, Kamara was a top-10 weekly producer in all but one game last season. In four games with Hill, here were Kamara's weekly finishes (half-PPR): RB25, RB36, RB9 and RB9, respectively.

Latavius Murray: When both Kamara and Murray are active, Murray has stand-alone flex value -- especially during bye weeks. For any weeks that Kamara may miss, Murray becomes a must-start play. In the two games that Kamara missed and Murray was active, Murray had a total of 62 touches, 307 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Michael Thomas83.51025.55.9000179.7
Tre'quan Smith42.2617.33.8000105.63
Deonte Harris18.92291.47.561.90.1547.84
Marquez Callaway12175.2100029.52
Juwan Johnson6.9101.60.600017.21
Lil'Jordan Humphrey5.281.60.500013.76

Michael Thomas: It was an injury-plagued 2020 season for Thomas, who failed to score in seven regular-season appearances. While Thomas played in the four Taysom Hill starts and had a pair of 100-yard games, both against the Falcons, the most-likely scenario for the 2021 Saints is that Jameis Winston takes over as the team's starter.

Before 2020, Thomas had improved every season -- 1,137 yards (2016), 1,245 (2017), 1,405 (2018) and 1,725 (2019). In his last full season (2019), he led the NFL in both receptions (149) and yards (1,725).

Tre'quan Smith: Posting career numbers in receptions (34) and yards (448) in 2020, Smith should have an opportunity to better that production with Emmanuel Sanders now in Buffalo.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Adam Trautman42.2497.8300088.88
Nick Vannett13.8159.30.900028.23
Garrett Griffin2.629.90.20005.49

Adam Trautman: A breakout candidate set for an expanded role in year two, Trautman will be a popular sleeper pick at tight end. Not only are Jared Cook and Josh Hill no longer on the roster, but Emmanuel Sanders (82 targets) is also gone.

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