Monday, August 21, 2023

Arizona Cardinals 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Arizona Cardinals.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kyler Murray312.1209.12184.713.426.432.6179.30.98152.08
Colt McCoy187.3121.71264.37.024.6811.2370.2874.67
Clayton Tune124.878.6867.44.873.439.232.20.2351.92

Kyler Murray: How much time will Murray (ACL) miss to begin the season? That's anyone's guess at this point, but it would make sense for the Cardinals to not rush him back before he's ready, and the Arizona Republic's Bob McManaman made a "guess" of "three to five games." When he does return, the dual-threat quarterback may not run nearly as much as he typically would either, but Murray has finished as fantasy's QB7 (2022), QB4 (2021) and QB3 (2020), respectively, on a per-game basis over the past three seasons if we exclude quarterbacks that started only one game.

MORE: 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Will USC's Caleb Williams be Murray's eventual replacement?

Colt McCoy: McCoy will most likely be the starter in the games that Murray misses, but I wouldn't rule out an opportunity for Clayton Tune to make a few starts. The fifth-round pick started 44 games over five seasons for the Cougars and he's drawn some Brock Purdy comparisons although he's more mobile (4.64 40-yard dash) than Purdy.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
James Conner203.5854.76.1143.8323.71.4184.8
Keaontay Ingram86.13532.0215.1118.70.670.44
Corey Clement27.9114.40.79.269.10.429.55
Ty'Son Williams20.388.30.496.649.60.321.83

James Conner: Conner has missed multiple games in all six of his NFL seasons including four games in 2022. In his two years with the Cardinals, he has a total of 385 carries for 1,534 yards (3.98 YPC) and 22 touchdowns while adding 83 catches for 675 yards and four touchdowns. The good news is that he should dominate backfield touches, as long as he remains healthy. The bad news is his number of scoring opportunities will likely be down (perhaps significantly), especially when Kyler Murray is sidelined.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Marquise Brown83.3997.16150.04178.1
Rondale Moore64.5658.33.78.134.40.28125.4
Michael Wilson45.2576.23.4000100.62
Greg Dortch29.1291.41.87.144.40.3661.09
Zach Pascal19.9237.41.300041.49
Andre Baccellia5.764.70.400011.72

Marquise Brown: Brown missed a stretch of five games in the middle of the season, but he played the first six games, missed five, and then played the final six games. During that span of the first six games, DeAndre Hopkins served a league-imposed suspension and Brown racked up a 43/485/3 stat line on 64 targets. That was much better than his final six games (24/224/0 on 43 targets), playing alongside Hopkins. From Weeks 1 to 6, Brown tied for third with Stefon Diggs (64) among wide receivers in targets behind Cooper Kupp (72) and Tyreek Hill (65). Only seven wide receivers scored more fantasy points during that stretch. Long story short: I'm betting Brown will outperform his ADP (by a possibly large margin) in 2023.

Rondale Moore: Moore has missed 12 games including nine last season since being selected with a top-50 pick in 2021. In 22 career NFL games, he has a total of 920 yards from scrimmage on 119 touches (95 receptions and 24 carries) and two touchdowns. On a positive note, he had 24/255/1 receiving on 31 targets in his last three full games (Weeks 8-10 in 2022). Could a breakout be forthcoming for Moore?

Michael Wilson: Unlike Brown or Moore, Wilson provides the receiving corps with a big-bodied (6-2, 213) target. Wilson dealt with a number of injuries at Stanford, but the third-round rookie has looked good early on with the Cardinals.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zach Ertz43.84773.100088.2
Trey McBride38.1401.42.500074.19
Geoff Swaim3.334.50.20006.3
Noah Togiai1.817.30.10003.23

Zach Ertz: Ertz played only 10 games last season before tearing his ACL. Like Marquise Brown, Ertz was especially good when DeAndre Hopkins was suspended. Ertz had double-digit targets in four of the six games that Hopkins missed. He averaged 5.8 catches on 8.5 targets during that stretch. Ertz is on track to play in Week 1.

Trey McBride: After Ertz tore his ACL, McBride became much more involved in the passing game. The first tight end selected in the 2022 NFL Draft had only four catches through Week 10, but then he had 25 receptions for 234 yards and a touchdown on 35 targets over the final seven games with Ertz out.

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