Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Miami Dolphins 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Tua Tagovailoa551.3358.34079.628.1211.5835.4106.21.59272.66
Mike White54.533.8384.21.961.646.36.30.1321.34

Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa sustained multiple concussions, causing him to miss five games (counting a playoff loss) in 2022, and he even considered retiring after last season. When healthy, however, he posted career numbers and led the NFL in TD% (6.3), Y/A (8.9) and passer rating (105.5). Excluding the games he missed or left early (Weeks 4-6 and 17-18), Tagovailoa scored the seventh-most fantasy points over that span. Of course, durability and the potential for missed time factors into his 2023 outlook, but there is plenty of optimism if his health cooperates.


Jeff Wilson Jr.131.4604.43.5524.71831.2119.59
Raheem Mostert129.3594.83.4320.2160.71112.23
De'Von Achane82.2369.92.122.2189.71.488.06
Alec Ingold2.74.10.1414.9109.4125.64
Salvon Ahmed16.366.80.451.411.20.111.8
Chris Brooks2.

Jeff Wilson Jr.: Following Wilson's midseason trade to Miami, both Raheem Mostert (Week 12) and Wilson (Week 15) missed one game each. In the games in which they both appeared, Wilson (82 touches) edged Mostert (80) in workload. Going into the 2023 season, I project Wilson to maintain a relatively slight edge. Clouding the outlook for both has been Miami's consistent interest in various free agents or trade candidates (e.g., Jonathan Taylor) and the addition of De'Von Achane, their speedy third-round rookie.

Raheem Mostert: Mostert missed only one game in 2022, but it was just the second season of his career where he didn't miss significant time. He has played only 61 games over the past six seasons. Without any new additions to the backfield, Mostert should get 10-12 touches per game as long as he's healthy, and he's never averaged less than 4.9 YPC in a season.

De'Von Achane: Achane has elite speed, as the former Texas A&M running back (and track star) posted a 4.32 40-yard dash at the 2023 NFL Scouting Combine. While his frame suggests he won't handle a high volume of carries in between the tackles, it's a huge positive that Mike McDaniel lobbied for the third-round pick. Even though both Wilson and Mostert are in front of him on the depth chart, Achane could be thrust into a larger role than expected as a rookie given the durability histories of Wilson and Mostert. Speaking of injuries, however, Achane is still dealing with a shoulder injury.


Tyreek Hill109.81372.686.935.50.35245.81
Jaylen Waddle80.81124.97.32.918.90.12199.3
Braxton Berrios41457.53.41.712.10.0488.1
Cedrick Wilson18.22121.500039.3
Erik Ezukanma11.2131.7100024.77
River Cracraft6.782.60.600015.21

Tyreek Hill: After transitioning from Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's high-powered offense, the drop in production that many forecast for Hill never materialized. In fact, the explosive wideout averaged more than 100 receiving yards per game for the first time ever as he set career highs in targets (170), receptions (119) and yards (1,710) in 2022. It's still unclear if Hill will eventually face a suspension for a June 18th incident, which has been resolved from a legal standpoint.

Jaylen Waddle: With Tyreek Hill setting career highs in targets, receptions and yards, it's not a surprise that Waddle's targets dropped to 117 (in 2022) from 140 (in 2021). That said, he was utilized further downfield as his ADOT jumped to 12.7 (from 7.0), per PFF, and he led the NFL in yards per reception (18.1). He finished as fantasy's WR7 overall and was 13th on a per-game basis (13.0).


Durham Smythe31.4325.92.800065.09
Julian Hill8.693.70.800018.47

Durham Smythe: The Dolphins have only two healthy tight ends on their initial 53-man roster, so Smythe is the runaway favorite to lead Miami's tight ends in fantasy points. That said, it's unlikely that Smythe produces a fantasy-usable season. After all, Mike Gesicki had only 32/362/5 receiving for the Dolphins last season.

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