Thursday, August 31, 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Baker Mayfield544.1338.73808.723.415.2347.9167.71.92243.78
Kyle Trask47.328.6326.41.841.668.720.90.2620.75

Baker Mayfield: After Tom Brady's (second) retirement, the Bucs find themselves in the unenviable position of having to start Mayfield, who beat out Kyle Trask but is on his fourth team in the past 18 months. The former No. 1 overall draft pick completed only 60% of his pass attempts in 2022 for 2,163 yards (6.5 Y/A), 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions over 12 games. While he's clearly undraftable in standard (one-QB) leagues, he downgrades the outlook for all of the team's pass catchers.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Rachaad White202.3839.55.1645330.81.9181.89
Chase Edmonds60.92681.5818.4128.20.762.5
Ke'Shawn Vaughn56.6240.61.478.672.40.446.82
Sean Tucker53.5230.11.424.635.10.238.54

Rachaad White: Once the Buccaneers released Leonard Fournette, who is still a free agent, White immediately moved atop the team's 2023 depth chart. As a 2022 rookie, he had 129 carries for 481 yards (only 3.7 YPC) and a touchdown in addition to 50 receptions for 290 yards and two touchdowns. His best game as a runner (22/105) was coincidentally against the Seattle Seahawks and his new offensive coordinator Dave Canales, who was Seattle's quarterbacks coach last year.

Chase Edmonds: Playing for both the Dolphins and Broncos in 2022, it was a highly disappointing campaign for Edmonds. While he had only 16 catches last season, Edmonds will have a chance to bounce back in that category as he had a combined 96 catches in the previous two seasons.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Chris Godwin80.8971.75.73.716.70.19174.58
Mike Evans701002.86.5000174.28
Trey Palmer28.3339.1200060.06
Deven Thompkins24.8287.41.81.510.50.0653.35
Rakim Jarrett18210.91.300037.89

Chris Godwin: Godwin has missed multiple games in each of the past four seasons. While he set a career high in targets (142) and receptions (104) in 2022 and has reached the 1,000-yard mark in three of his past four seasons, he set a career low in Y/R (9.8) and his three touchdowns were a non-rookie career low. The downgrade at quarterback from Tom Brady to Baker Mayfield will impact Godwin, Mike Evans and the team's passing offense overall.

Mike Evans: Evans extended his 1,000-yard streak to his first nine NFL seasons, which beat his own record in 2022. While the targets (127), receptions (77), yards (1,124) and Y/R (14.6) all look good, he had only six touchdowns, a five-year low, and he wasn't consistent throughout the season. A monster Week 17 game (20/207/3) against Carolina ended an 11-game scoring drought (Weeks 5-16). Evans exceeded 59 yards only once from Weeks 9-16. Even if he extends his 1,000-yard streak, there could be plenty of ups and downs throughout the course of the season given the quarterback downgrade.

Trey Palmer: Russell Gage is out for the season, and Palmer is in the mix to be the team's WR3. Especially in a less-potent 2023 Buccaneers offense, the third receiver likely won't be fantasy-relevant outside of deep leagues, but Palmer (or Deven Thompkins or Rakim Jarrett) will at least be a name to monitor.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Cade Otton43479.7300087.47
Ko Kieft18.4194.31.300036.43
Payne Durham5.964.10.400011.76
David Wells1.718.60.10003.31

Cade Otton: Otton had 42 catches for 391 yards and two touchdowns on 65 targets as a rookie in 2022 and he had four catches for 58 yards on seven targets in their playoff loss to the Cowboys. Even if his numbers are better in his second season, he's not much more than a fantasy TE2 in 2023.

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