Friday, September 1, 2023

Pittsburgh Steelers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kenny Pickett562.9360.83968.422.812.3868.22662.73268.16
Mitchell Trubisky39.125.4273.71.520.948.122.30.2418.82

Kenny Pickett: The Steelers went 7-5 in Pickett's starts, but he threw more interceptions (nine, 2.3%) than touchdowns (seven, 1.8%) in 2022. That said, eight of his nine interceptions were thrown in his first five games. Some breakout potential exists if he continues to build upon his late-season improvements in efficiency, however, and an impressive preseason (13-of-15 for 199 yards and two TDs for a perfect 158.3 passer rating) provides additional reason for optimism.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Najee Harris228.8926.65.7238.6275.71.5182.85
Jaylen Warren114.2496.82.7429.4222.71.1109.69
Anthony McFarland Jr.25.4101.60.51538.20.220.74

Najee Harris: While the touches (381 to 313), targets (94 to 53) and yards from scrimmage (1,667 to 1,263) all dropped year over year, Harris managed to play a full 17-game slate once again despite some worries about a Lisfranc injury before the start of the season. An improved offensive line and offense overall should help a healthy Harris, who was RB14 in half-PPR in 2022, but the main concern is how much will second-year UDFA Jaylen Warren eat into his workload?

Jaylen Warren: Warren had 105 touches for 593 yards and a touchdown in 2022 and finished as fantasy's RB51 (half-PPR scoring). The Athletic's Mark Kaboly wrote in June "[t]he way [Warren] attacks the hole during drills is something to be seen. ... there is no way [OC] Canada can keep him off the field as much as he did last season." Expected to earn more of a workload in 2023, Warren should outperform his ADP even if Harris does not miss any time and has top-15 upside if he does.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Diontae Johnson85.91001.15.76.944.90.21183.01
George Pickens73.4973.65.73.524.50.18171.79
Allen Robinson II36.7428.52.600076.8
Calvin Austin III24.7273.61.51.260.0249.43
Gunner Olszewski4.450.90.34.624.20.1812.59
Miles Boykin2.731.80.20005.73

Diontae Johnson: For three consecutive seasons, Johnson has more than 85 catches and 140 targets and has led the team in receiving yards. Only four receivers — Davante Adams (498), Stefon Diggs (484), Justin Jefferson (476), and Tyreek Hill (464) — have more targets than Johnson (460) over that span. Despite scoring 15 touchdowns in the previous two seasons combined (2020-21), Johnson set the NFL record in 2022 for most receptions (86) without a touchdown. In other words, positive touchdown regression should be expected.

George Pickens: Among rookie wide receivers, only Atlanta's Drake London (866) had more yards than Pickens (801) in 2022. Pickens averaged 15.4 yards per catch and made a number of acrobatic highlight-reel catches throughout the year.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Pat Freiermuth61676.64000122.16
Darnell Washington12.41400.900025.6
Connor Heyward12129.40.81.411.20.0725.28

Pat Freiermuth: Freiermuth followed up a strong rookie season (60/497/7) with 63 catches for 732 yards and two touchdowns. Despite scoring only twice in 2022, Freiermuth finished as fantasy's TE8 (half-PPR scoring). He had at least three catches in 13 of 16 games played.

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