Sunday, September 17, 2017

Week 2 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

One of the picks I wanted to use this week was Pittsburgh -6, but the spread jumped to eight points given the uncertainty around Sam Bradford's knee. Given how well Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers play at home, I still considered using this pick, but I'll pass on it and just stick with my other two picks.

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With that said, here are my Week 2 NFL picks against the spread:

New England Patriots -6.5 over New Orleans Saints (4 Units)

Since 2003, the Patriots are 47-1 straight up and 34-13-1 ATS coming off a loss. Even if their Week 1 loss dropped them from the top spot in our consensus NFL power rankings, they are still the best team in football.

With a mini-bye and New Orleans playing on a short week, Tom Brady, Bill Belichick & Co. will be ready to exploit a vulnerable Saints defense that just allowed Sam Bradford to look like Brady. I expect a better performance from Drew Brees and the Saints offense than we saw last week, but I expect the Pats to continue their post-loss success.

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Denver Broncos +2.5 over Dallas Cowboys (2 units)

The Cowboys looked impressive on Sunday night, but part of that (at least) was how unimpressive the Giants looked. While the Broncos nearly blew a large lead, they played better than the score indicated on Monday Night Football. If I were setting this line, it'd be closer to a pick'em than the Cowboys being favored by nearly a field goal. As a Cowboys fan, I hope I'm wrong here, but I think the Broncos win this one outright so I'll take the points.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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