Thursday, September 21, 2017

Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

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With that said, here are John Trifone's Week 3 NFL picks against the spread:

Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 over Baltimore Ravens (3 Units)

The London games have historically been pretty sloppy. The time change clearly plays a role, and is a big reason why I like the Jags with the points here. I expect a low-scoring game, and I'll ride with the Jags defense against Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense.

Cleveland Browns -1.5 over Indianapolis Colts (5 Units)

This is the third straight week I'm taking Cleveland. They're 1-1 ATS so far this year, but have had two pretty brutal division games against good defenses to start the year. This week going to Indianapolis is going to feel like playing against the practice squad by comparison. The Colts only gave up 16 to the Cardinals, but that seems like more of a reflection of the aging Arizona offense. This is a bad defense and Isaiah Crowell and DeShone Kizer could both have breakout games. I like the Browns to get their first win this week.

Cincinnati Bengals +9.5 over Green Bay Packers (4 Units)

This game is mostly about the number for me. I like the Packers to win at home, but at 0-2, I expect Cincinnati to play with a pretty big sense of urgency. I wouldn't be surprised to see them get out to an early lead, and get beaten late. Andy Dalton is not as bad as he's looked through two weeks, and he should have a bounce-back game. The line here is just too big to me so I'll grab the 9.5 and take the Bengals.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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