Sunday, September 24, 2017

Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

Dan was a perfect 3-0 ATS in Week 2 and he's looking to continue his momentum heading into Week 3.

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With that said, here are Dan Yanotchko's Week 3 NFL picks against the spread:

Seattle Seahawks +2.5 over Tennessee Titans (3 Units)

I know the Titans are on the come, but I really don't think they are in the heavyweight class just yet by being a home favorite to Seattle. This will be one of those games where the Seahawks figure it out, and I believe they will get their pass game on track as well.

The Titans lost their first home contest to the Raiders, 26-16, and they allowed Derek Carr to have a strong first day throwing for 262 yards and two touchdowns. The Titans give up an average of 231 yards per game, and I believe that Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin will be having a huge day. Combine this with DeMarco Murray being hobbled, and a Seahawks defense that has six sacks on the year already gives me all I need to take the points.

Miami Dolphins -6.5 over New York Jets (4 Units)

The Jets are awful, and everyone pretty much knows they are tanking for a high draft pick this year, which is why you have to like the Dolphins on the road against them. The Dolphins run the ball extremely well, and Jay Ajayi has an awesome matchup against a Jets front-seven that allows 5.4 yards per carry and 185 yards on the ground.

The main focal point of the Jets offense is the rushing attack, and they are going to get to face a team that held Melvin Gordon in check on the road to 3.1 yards per carry. The Dolphins have also had the Jets number as of late, as they have won their last two games against them. I just think Miami has too much on the ground for the Jets and I will gladly give up the points here.

Atlanta Falcons -3 over Detroit Lions (3 Units)

There has been great news in Lion land as of late, as they have come storming out of the gate at 2-0, and they have just given head coach Jim Caldwell a contract extension. However, I think this week will bring Detroit back to reality a bit, as the Falcons come to visit.

Atlanta has had great numbers against Detroit in the past, as they have gone 4-0 in their last four contests against the spread. Also this will be a game that the Falcons can exploit a weak Detroit secondary, as they yield 230 yards through the air so far this year. I just think the Falcons are too fast on turf, and the Lions just down have the complete team as of yet.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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