Thursday, November 23, 2017

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 12

Every week of the 2017 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 12?

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Kevin Hanson: Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals ($4,400)

I'm going back to well with Mixon this week. Mixon had a season-high 22 touches last week, even if he was less than efficient with those opportunities as the rookie totalled just 49 scrimmage yards. In terms of matchups, going from Denver to Cleveland isn't much better. In fact, you could argue it's worse as only the Eagles (3.07) have held running backs (other positions excluded) to fewer yards per carry than the Browns (3.15). Broncos (3.29) rank third.

What I do like with Mixon, however, is his price and what should be a positive game script. The Bengals are 8-point home favorites and that always bodes well for a featured back. So, I expect Mixon to get north of 18 touches in this game and that's not something that you can typically expect for sub-$4,500 running backs.

Brendan Donahue: Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals ($4,400)

We have been trying to predict the Joe Mixon breakout game for a while now. If it's ever going to happen, this has to be the week. Even though the Browns have been surprisingly good against the run this year, they have been predictably bad as a team and this should be an easy win for the Bengals at home. I expect the Bengals to give Mixon all the work he can handle this week and at just $4,400, you can't find many better bargains out there.

John Trifone: Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos ($5,700)

There are several WRs I like early in the week. Julio Jones against an atrocious TB secondary for just $7,700, Kenny Stills at $4,800, whose numbers are significantly better with Matt Moore at quarterback rather than Jay Cutler, and Corey Coleman at $4,300 in a tough matchup, but should get plenty of targets, are all on my radar this week. If I had to pick one, though, I’ll go with DT.

He has 29 targets in his last three games, and has finally been scoring touchdowns, doing so in each of those last three games. We saw what the Patriots were able to do against the Oakland “defense” this past weekend. Teams don’t need Tom Brady’s quarterback efficiency to get a big game out of the receiving corps, and I expect big games out of the Denver wideouts this weekend. Thomas provides one of the safest floors out there with plenty of upside for only $5,700.

Sean Beazley: Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($7,700)

It’s Week 12 and Julio Jones has one TD on the season. He also has only eclipsed the 100-yard mark twice this year. The matchup vs. the Bucs this week is elite, however, and if there is one receiver who can break a slate, it’s Julio (AB84's not on slate). Jones has disappointed DK owners all year, so I am hoping to get him at depressed ownership. I want him at double the field this week.

Dan Yanotchko: Tyrod Taylor, QB, Buffalo Bills ($5,800)

This week I like the bounce-back play of Tyrod Taylor going up against the Chiefs. After coming in after a surprise benching, Taylor put up 185 yards in a half vs. the Chargers with passing and rushing TDs as well. Taylor was also able to hang 285 yard on the Jets, and has had four passing and three rushing TDs in his last four games. We all know the Bills can’t stop Kareem Hunt, so Taylor will be throwing often against a pass defense that allows 285 yards per game and 16 touchdowns on the year.

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