Thursday, November 2, 2017

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 9

Every week of the 2017 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 9?

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Kevin Hanson: Jack Doyle, TE, Indianapolis Colts ($4,300)

One thing is certain: Doyle will be heavily targeted. Coming off a season-best performance (12/121/1 on 14 targets), Doyle now has double-digit targets in two of three games since returning from a concussion. Over that three-game span, he has racked up 25 catches for 215 yards and two scores on 32 targets. In PPR formats, he's a top-three option for me this week yet seven tight ends (excluding Greg Olsen and Jordan Reed) have higher price tags this week.

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John Trifone: Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons ($7,800)

Early in the week, I don’t see a ton of value in DK pricing. A few spots, like Alex Collins at $4,600 is intriguing, but the theoretical high-floor, high-ceiling guy who’s price is under 8K is Julio Jones. Jones hasn’t had a really big game yet and remarkably has only one TD to date. His one pretty big game in Week 7 vs. New England (9-99-1) for 24.7 DK points is his only game over 20 points this year. I’m betting on some TD regression to the mean in the second half of the season, and I like this spot at Carolina as a potential start to that. At minimum, Jones has 30+ point upside for tournaments for $7,800.

Brendan Donahue: Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys ($6,400)

With the news of the Ezekiel Elliot suspension being back on, it has created the perfect storm for Dez to have a breakout game this week. In Week 2 vs. Denver when Dallas went away from the run and only gave Zeke nine carries, Dez was targeted 16 times, catching seven of them for 59 yards and a TD vs. one of the toughest defenses in the league. This week, he gets a defense in KC that has given up the most fantasy points to opposing WRs on the season. In a game where Dallas may lean on the passing game, I expect Dez to be the biggest beneficiary.

Sean Beazley: Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans ($6,000)

This is going to be the Marcus Mariota-wins-someone-a-GPP week. I absolutely love Mariota and the Titans offense this week. Mariota is back to 100 percent. First-round pick Corey Davis is back practicing in full as well. There were so many people who were burned by the Titans vs. Cleveland game two weeks ago so there definitely will be some recency bias. I think Mariota will be sub-5% in GPPs and given a full playbook again, he has the potential to break a slate.

Dan Yanotchko: Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints ($7,600)

Ingram has a great matchup against the Buccaneers, who give up 25.4 FPS in PPR formats. The Saints have been running the ball a lot lately, and his splits certainly show it. In his last four games, he has 79 carries, 85 yards per game and four touchdowns. Throw in 19 receptions as well in his last four, and I will pay the price for him here.

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