With that said, here are John Trifone's Week 9 NFL picks against the spread:
New York Jets +3.5 over Buffalo Bills (3 Units)
I like what the Bills are doing and adding Kelvin Benjamin strengthens the receiving corps - clearly the team's biggest weakness. That said, the Jets look very similar to the Bills by several advanced metrics. The biggest discrepancy between the teams is turnover differential -- Buffalo is +14 while the Jets are -1. Assuming this difference isn’t really skill-based, I’ll take the Jets as home dogs in an important division game.
Carolina Panthers +1.5 over Atlanta Falcons (5 Units)
I’ll take another home underdog in an important division game here. Although the Panthers just traded away Kelvin Benjamin, that’s unlikely to impact them too much. Devin Funchess should be able to step into the role, and the Falcons are among the league's worst in defending RBs in the passing game. I like Christian McCaffrey to have a big game and I like Carolina to win this one at home.
Washington Redskins +7 over Seattle Seahawks (3 Units)
The Seattle offense has come alive in recent weeks, and coming off a big win over the Texans in what may have been the best game of the year is going to have a lot of people on Seattle. Washington has had some tough losses but are better than their record indicates. Seattle is a tough place to play, but their defense is significantly worse than it has been in previous years. I like this to be a close game so I’ll take a full touchdown the Redskins are getting.
- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.
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