Thursday, November 16, 2017

DFS Round Table: Favorite DraftKings Plays for Week 11

Every week of the 2017 NFL season, our contributors will provide their favorite DraftKings play of the week and share their thoughts in our weekly DFS Round Table post.

In some cases, the play is intended for tournaments (i.e., Guaranteed Prize Pools or GPPs); in other cases, it's for cash games (e.g., head-to-heads and 50-50's). Or both.

Who is your favorite DraftKings play for Week 11?

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John Trifone: Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs ($8,000)

Hunt's price this week isn’t cheap due to the matchup with the Giants, but I like the value from a leverage standpoint. Everyone knows the Giants are the absolute worst against TEs, and they have given up a touchdown vs. the TE every week this year. Travis Kelce is going to be incredibly highly-owned, even at $7,300. If that’s the case, it’s unlikely they’ll also pay up for Hunt, who is capable of a two-TD, 100-plus yard game. I think Hunt is an excellent tourney option.

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Kevin Hanson: Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals ($4,000)

Posting his second lowest yardage total after Week 1, Mixon had just 10 touches for 40 yards last week. On a positive note, that means that the rookie's salary has now dipped below $4,500 for the first time in his young career. There are 38 running backs priced higher than Mixon, who is my 12th-ranked PPR running back this week. Mixon has double-digit carries in five of his past seven games, three or more catches in six games this year and has now scored in back-to-back weeks. Given his discounted salary, he should easily reach value with upside to generate plenty of profit for those that roster him.

Brendan Donahue: Rex Burkhead, RB, New England Patriots ($3,600)

In his last two games, Burkhead has 15.3 points and 15.3 points on Draftkings. How's that for consistency? His snap count has gone up each game after coming back from injury and last week we even saw him take over most of the every-down work for Mike Gillislee, who was a healthy inactive which shows how the Pats feel about Burkhead moving forward. This week he goes up against the 29th-ranked defense in the league vs. opposing RBs and is way underpriced at only $3,600.

Dan Yanotchko: Mlevin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers ($7,600)

This week I really like Melvin Gordon at home against the Buffalo Bills, who suddenly have a weak front-seven after the Marcel Dareus trade. Gordon was stymied last week by the best run defense in the league at Jacksonville, but his touches will be massive, and I look for him to have a bounce-back week. The Bills now allow 114 yards rushing per game and 4.2 yards per carry, but an astounding 14 touchdowns on the year to opposing rushers so far. With the chance that Phillip Rivers might miss a start with a concussion, I would say they lean on Gordon even more this week. Remember the Saints cracked them for six rushing TDs last week on the road, and now they have to face one of the best three-down backs in the game. The arrow is definitely pointing down for the Bills run defense.

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