Saturday, November 11, 2017

Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

On the season, John Trifone has a 18-8 (69.2%) record against the spread with +31 units. More impressively, he's had a winning week in seven of nine weeks this season.

With that said, here are John's Week 10 NFL picks against the spread:
Washington Redskins +1.5 over Minnesota Vikings (5 Units)

This is one of my favorite games on the slate. The Redskins are better than their record indicates and they certainly could make a playoff run. They still can’t seem to figure out a solid run game, but I think Washington is poised to build off an upset win in Seattle last week.

Minnesota is a solid team, but the four wins they have in a row are against the Browns, Ravens, Packers (without Aaron Rodgers) and Bears. I’m not holding that against them -- you can only play the teams on your schedule -- just pointing out that not all 6-2 records are created equally.

The Redskins have played at Kansas City, at Philly, vs Dallas, and at Seattle in four of their last five games. I like Washington to win this one over the Case Keenum-led Vikings this week.

Cleveland Browns +10.5 over Detroit Lions (3 Units)

This is a little bit of a let-down spot for the Lions, coming off a division win in Green Bay to keep them in the mix to win the division. They have another division game in Chicago the following week, so this one is sandwiched between two division games and against an 0-8 team. I give Cleveland an outside chance at the upset, as nearly a double-digit 'dog, though I don’t expect that, but I do like the Browns with the points.

Denver Broncos +7.5 over New England Patriots (3 Units)

Denver has been atrocious in their last four games, going 0-4 and being outscored 124-52 in those games. I’m sure the public will be heavy on the Patriots, in part because of how bad Denver has looked. I like the way they matchup with the Patriots though. Though this isn’t the same defense that won the Super Bowl, they still rank at or near the top in several categories. They’re playing at home on Sunday night, and I expect a very competitive game. The Patriots are dealing with an injury to Chris Hogan, who is out this week. Give me the home team with the points here.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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