Saturday, May 19, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Atlanta Falcons

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.



Matt Ryan530344.5410822.311.732.367.80.21.5235.1
Over the past six seasons, Ryan has finished as fantasy's QB7, QB15, QB7, QB17, QB2 and QB15, respectively. So, perhaps he's due to finish as a top-seven fantasy QB this year? In the first season with Steve Sarkisian calling the plays, Ryan threw for 4,095 yards, a seven-year low, and 20 touchdowns, a nine-year low. On a positive note, the addition of Calvin Ridley in the first round gives a boost to an already talented group of pass-catchers. Even though I expect better year-over-year numbers, Ryan is unlikely to bounce back to his 2016 MVP-level production.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs


Devonta Freeman240.81095.610.843.7380.22.21.2223.18
Based on current ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator, Freeman is the 13th running back off the board in early fantasy drafts. Missing two-plus games last season, Freeman still managed to finish as the RB13 after much better seasons in 2015 (RB1) and 2016 (RB6). Over the past three seasons, only Todd Gurley (4,599), Le'Veon Bell (4,522) and LeSean McCoy (4,396) have more yards from scrimmage than Freeman (4,357) and his 35 touchdowns are tied with Gurley for the most over that stretch.
Tevin Coleman137.6584.85.531.4373.73.10.8145.85
Even if he's the 2 in the team's 1-2 rushing attack, Coleman has finished as a top-24 running back and exceeded 900 yards from scrimmage in each of the past two seasons. The contract-year back has scored 19 total touchdowns since 2016.
Ito Smith10.847.50.31.612.800.17.63
Terron Ward6.5280.1215.

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Wide Receivers


Julio Jones88.51469.16.60000.1186.31
With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past four seasons, Jones has a total of 6,317 receiving yards during that four-year span. Only Antonio Brown (6,349) has more and both have more than 1,200 yards more than DeAndre Hopkins (5,063, third). Only Brown has more catches than Jones over that span. Of course, the problem is that Jones has just 23 touchdowns, tied for 21st in the NFL since 2014.
Mohamed Sanu58.4630.
In his first two seasons with the Falcons, Sanu posted 59/653/4 and 67/703/5 statistical lines in 2016 and 2017, respectively. Barring an injury to Julio Jones, the first-round selection of Calvin Ridley limits upside above Sanu's recent level of production.
Calvin Ridley39.7484.32.80000.264.83
Old'ish for a rookie (turns 24 in December), Ridley is neither the biggest (6-1, 189) or most-explosive athlete (31-inch vertical and 9-foot-2 broad jump), but he's an excellent route-runner with a chance to be the best rookie wideout in re-draft formats.
Justin Hardy21.6226.81.90000.133.88
Marvin Hall3.755.50.400007.95
Russell Gage1.5180.11.35.2002.92

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Tight Ends


Austin Hooper51.75794.40000.184.1
In his second season, Hooper posted a 49/526/3 stat line and finished as fantasy's TE18 (TE17 in PPR), but it was all downhill after a 2/128/1 start to the season. Hooper exceeded 40 yards only once in his final nine games.
Logan Paulsen9.378.10.50000.110.61
Eric Saubert6.468.50.500009.85

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