Showing posts with label Julio Jones. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Julio Jones. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 6, 2022

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tom Brady623.9413.34585.736.8111.5430.354.51.21320.3
Blaine Gabbert4729.1317.31.531.4111.511.50.1217.86

Tom Brady: Brady retired, then unretired and took some time off during camp, but he's back for his age-45 season. He led the NFL in pass attempts (719), passing yards (5,316) and touchdowns (43) last season. Not only did he throw for a career-high 5,316 yards in the NFL's first 17-game season, but his per-game average (312.7 yards) was the second best of his NFL career. In an era where dual-threat quarterbacks dominate the top 10, Brady still finished as a top-three fantasy quarterback in 2021.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Leonard Fournette246.41071.89.6146.53261.9232.09
Rachaad White52.2224.51.1720.6161.81.263.15
Ke'Shawn Vaughn48211.21.212.295.60.748.18
Giovani Bernard29.2124.10.5819.9147.10.845.35

Leonard Fournette: Fournette missed three games in 2021, but he more than doubled up Ronald Jones II in touches (249 to 111), scrimmage yards (1,266 to 492) and touchdowns (10 to four). With Jones now in Kansas City, there is an opportunity for Fournette to handle an even larger share of the workload in 2022. Fournette finished last season as fantasy's RB7 in half-PPR formats (and top 11 across all scoring formats).

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Evans76.81078.78.6000197.87
Chris Godwin78.1956.16.7000174.86
Julio Jones45.3561.44.3000104.59
Russell Gage47.3549.14.2000103.76
Breshad Perriman4.261.30.600011.83
Scotty Miller4.458.80.500011.08
Jaelon Darden2.2270.20005

Mike Evans: Evans has started his career with eight consecutive 1,000-yard seasons. Barring injury, he's a near lock to extend that streak in 2022. In his two seasons with Tom Brady, Evans has a total of 27 touchdowns with the two highest seasonal totals (13 and 14, respectively) of his career.

Chris Godwin: Godwin missed the final three games of the season after tearing his ACL, but he still finished with 98 catches for 1,103 yards and five touchdowns in only 14 games. Nobody (apparently Godwin included) knows if he'll be ready for Week 1 against the Cowboys, but the veteran wideout often slips further than I'd expect in drafts.

Julio Jones: Joining the Bucs on a one-year deal, Jones is coming off the worst statistical season (43.4 YPG and one touchdown over 10 games) of his career. Before last season, Jones had never averaged less than 73.8 YPG (his 2011 rookie numbers). A return to his Atlanta-level production would be unrealistic, but he should improve upon last year's career-low numbers as a part of Tampa's prolific passing offense.

Russell Gage: In his final two seasons in Atlanta, Gage posted consistent numbers -- 72/786/4 and 66/770/4, respectively. Although Gage will be third (or fourth) in line for targets behind Evans and Godwin (and possibly Jones), Tom Brady threw a league-high 719 pass attempts last season.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Cameron Brate42441.34.100089.73
Kyle Rudolph26.3272.12.600055.96
Cade Otton13.5137.31.600030.08
Ko Kieft3.129.40.40006.89

Cameron Brate: With Rob Gronkowski (55/802/6 in 2021) retiring, Brate tops the tight end depth chart even though the Bucs signed Kyle Rudolph and drafted Cade Otton. Brate had a pair of top-10 fantasy finishes in 2016 (57/660/8) and 2017 (48/591/6) at a point in his career with greater opportunity, and there's a good chance that he outperforms his current ADP.

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Sunday, August 14, 2022

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Tom Brady623.9413.34585.736.8111.5430.354.51.21320.3
Blaine Gabbert4729.1317.31.531.4111.511.50.1217.86

Tom Brady: Brady retired, then unretired, after leading the NFL in pass attempts (719), passing yards (5,316) and touchdowns (43) in his age-44 season. Not only did he throw for a career-high 5,316 yards in the NFL's first 17-game season, but his per-game average (312.7 yards) was the second best of his NFL career. Even though his rushing production is minimal in this era of dual-threat quarterbacks, his prolific passing stats propelled him to a top-three fantasy performance in 2021.

[Note: Brady, currently dealing with a personal matter, won't return to the team until after the second preseason game.]

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Leonard Fournette246.41071.89.6146.53261.9232.09
Rachaad White52.2224.51.1718.8144.61.260.53
Ke'Shawn Vaughn48211.21.212.295.60.748.18
Giovani Bernard29.2124.10.5819.9147.10.845.35

Leonard Fournette: Fournette missed three games in 2021, but he more than doubled up Ronald Jones II in touches (249 to 111), scrimmage yards (1,266 to 492) and touchdowns (10 to four). With Jones now in Kansas City, there is an opportunity for Fournette to handle an even larger share of the workload in 2022. Fournette finished last season as fantasy's RB7 in half-PPR formats (and top 11 across all scoring formats).

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Mike Evans76.81078.78.6000197.87
Chris Godwin78.1956.16.7000174.86
Julio Jones45.3561.44.1000103.39
Russell Gage47.3546.74.2000103.52
Breshad Perriman4.261.30.600011.83
Scotty Miller4.458.80.500011.08
Tyler Johnson446.60.40009.06

Mike Evans: Evans has started his career with eight consecutive 1,000-yard seasons. Barring injury, he's a near lock to extend that streak in 2022. In his two seasons with Tom Brady, Evans has a total of 27 touchdowns with the two highest seasonal totals (13 and 14, respectively) of his career.

Chris Godwin: Godwin missed the final three games of the season after tearing his ACL, but he still finished with 98 catches for 1,103 yards and five touchdowns in only 14 games. Even though Godwin participated in practice for the first time at the beginning of the month, Todd Bowles has said that the team is "not getting our hopes up" as there's still a long way to go before returning to a full practice routine.

Julio Jones: Joining the Bucs on a one-year deal, Jones is coming off the worst statistical season (43.4 YPG and one touchdown over 10 games) of his career. Before last season, Jones had never averaged less than 73.8 YPG (his 2011 rookie numbers). A return to his Atlanta-level production would be unrealistic, but he should improve upon last year's career-low numbers as a part of Tampa's prolific passing offense.

Russell Gage: In his final two seasons in Atlanta, Gage posted consistent numbers -- 72/786/4 and 66/770/4, respectively. Although Gage will be third (or fourth) in line for targets behind Evans and Godwin (and possibly Jones), Tom Brady threw a league-high 719 pass attempts last season, so there's plenty to go around.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Cameron Brate42441.34.100089.73
Kyle Rudolph26.3272.12.600055.96
Cade Otton13.5137.31.600030.08
Ko Kieft3.129.40.40006.89

Cameron Brate: With Rob Gronkowski (55/802/6 in 2021) retiring and O.J. Howard (14/135/1) in Buffalo, Brate tops the tight end depth chart even if Kyle Rudolph operates as a 1B to Brate's 1A. Brate had a pair of top-10 fantasy finishes in 2016 (57/660/8) and 2017 (48/591/6) at a point in his career with greater opportunity, and there's a good chance that he exceeds his current ADP.

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Monday, September 6, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill500.6325.43904.729.799.2644.8217.32.24292
Logan Woodside26.316.2181.51.040.537.911.90.0211.67

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry334.71606.614.5624.8185.91.8289.81
Darrynton Evans72.5308.12.3618.8147.11.578.08
Jeremy McNichols32.2138.50.815.544.90.327.75
Mekhi Sargent31.1132.20.7542.90.326.01
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.618.40.25.03

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: Unfortunately, Evans (knee) will begin 2021 on IR. Once he returns, however, he offers the offense a change-of-pace option to Henry

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown82.81160.59000211.45
Julio Jones79.41093.17.6000194.61
Josh Reynolds32.5400.42.900073.69
Cameron Batson10.6116.50.82.610.80.0523.13
Chester Rogers7.277.60.600014.96
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine4.353.10.40009.86
Racey McMath1.520.40.20003.99

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a solid WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds could become a highly-coveted waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser44.4498.53.600093.65
Geoff Swaim18.81881.400036.6
Tommy Hudson3.638.80.30007.48

Anthony Firkser: Moving to the top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith now in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill505.9328.83971.330.869.3644.8217.32.24298.74
Matt Barkley21.112.9156.10.840.637.9-407.94

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry334.71606.614.5623.1183.71.8288.74
Darrynton Evans72.5308.12.3618.8150.71.679.04
Brian Hill52.7237.21.057.757.80.542.65
Jeremy McNichols10.545.20.264.3330.212.73
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.618.60.25.05

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: If Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role with another back, such as Brian Hill, handling a majority of the early-down work. Being second on the depth chart of such a run-heavy team, however, makes Evans worth a late-round dart throw whether you're handcuffing Henry or not.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown82.91170.19.3000214.26
Julio Jones80.31108.27.9000198.37
Josh Reynolds31.6394.22.900072.62
Dez Fitzpatrick12152.71.200028.47
Cameron Batson7.784.60.62.610.80.0517.29
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.443.30.30007.83

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds could become a highly-coveted waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser43.6493.23.600092.72
Geoff Swaim15.4148.61.100029.16
Jared Pinkney5.151.60.400010.11
Luke Stocker3.437.10.30007.21

Anthony Firkser: Moving to the top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith now in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

More Tennessee Titans pages:

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Sunday, August 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill500.9325.6388230.559.2745.3219.72.27294.53
DeShone Kizer20.912.9141.10.780.528440.414.52

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry351.41721.915.8123.7191.11.9309.41
Darrynton Evans67.9288.62.2117.8144.81.574.5
Brian Hill39.9179.60.87.656.30.535.19
Jeremy McNichols1668.80.45.944.30.318.46
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.520.10.25.15

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: If Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role with another back, such as Brian Hill, handling a majority of the early-down work.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown81.21130.59.2000208.85
Julio Jones78.71062.17.7000191.76
Josh Reynolds32.2396.32.900073.13
Dez Fitzpatrick11.8148.91.200027.99
Cameron Batson7.684.50.52.711.20.0516.67
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.444.30.30007.93

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a much lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds will become a waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser42.3472.73.400088.82
Geoff Swaim18.61811.400035.8
Jared Pinkney5.146.30.40009.58

Anthony Firkser: Moving to top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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Tuesday, July 13, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft - 12 Teams, Half-PPR, 7th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 7th Pick

1.07 - Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

The offense went off the tracks when Dak Prescott sustained his season-ending injury and the offensive line injuries further impacted Elliott's production. From Weeks 6 to 17, Zeke finished as a top-12 fantasy running only twice in 10 games after doing so three times in the team's first five games. While Tony Pollard may have earned more touches in 2021, Elliott should rank near the top of the league in workload. In fact, only three backs had more than six games last season with at least 20 touches -- Derrick Henry (14), Dalvin Cook (11) and Elliott (11).

More: Dak Prescott 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

2.06 - Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Missing a significant chunk of time due to injury and playing at less than 100 percent when returning to the field, Ekeler averaged 5.5 yards per touch and scored only three touchdowns, both of which were career lows. Especially given his immense upside as a receiver, however, Ekeler is a top-12 running back across all formats when healthy.

More: Los Angeles Chargers 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

3.07 - Allen Robinson, WR, Chicago Bears

Preventing Robinson from reaching free agency, the Bears used their franchise tag on Robinson. While disappointing for fantasy managers that had hoped for an upgraded situation for the 27-year-old receiver, Robinson has a total of 200 receptions and a minimum of 1,147 yards over his past two seasons in Chicago with less-than-stellar quarterback play.

More: Chicago Bears 2021 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

4.06 - Julio Jones, WR, Tennessee Titans

Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers is certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

More: Tennessee Titans 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

5.07 - Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills

One of the league's best young dual-threat quarterbacks, Allen has exactly 300 rush attempts in his three NFL seasons and has racked up 1,562 yards and 25 touchdowns on the ground. Remarkably, he has rushed for at least eight touchdowns in all three of his NFL seasons.

Continuing to make major strides as a passer, Allen shattered previous career bests across the board in 2020. In his third season, Allen threw for 4,544 yards (284.0/G, 7.9/A) and 37 touchdowns (6.5 TD%) with only 10 interceptions (1.7%). Despite last year's unusual offseason, the trade for Stefon Diggs paid immediate dividends as the duo's instant rapport allowed Diggs to post career highs across the board as well.

More: Buffalo Bills 2021 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

6.06 - JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

After averaging 65.5 and 89.1 yards per game, respectively, in his first two seasons with the Steelers, Smith-Schuster has averaged 46.0 and 51.9 per game in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The Steelers re-signed Smith-Schuster to a one-year contract and he is a WR3 (both in fantasy and on his own team).

More: Pittsburgh Steelers 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

7.07 - Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals

The former fourth-round pick has averaged 4.4 yards per carry and 7.2 yards per reception over his first three NFL seasons. Meanwhile, coach Kliff Kingsbury has said that Edmonds has "played at a starting running back level" when given the opportunity. With Kenyan Drake out and James Conner in, Edmonds has an opportunity to perform as a back-end RB2 in 2021.

8.06 - Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots

Harris is a non-factor as a receiver (five receptions in 2020) and that likely won't change much with James White returning to Foxboro. Mac Jones beating out Cam Newton would benefit Harris as Jones is much less likely to vulture touchdowns than Newton.

More: New England Patriots 53-Man Roster Projections

9.07 - James Robinson, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

As lead back of a one-win team, the UDFA was fourth in half-PPR fantasy points, fourth in YFS and third in touches through Week 13. Even though Robinson has shown that he can be highly effective as the featured back, the addition of a first-round running back takes the sails out of Robinson's 2021 outlook. Even so, he offers plenty of profit potential in Round 9 as my RB5. (Etienne went in Round 5.)

More: 2022 NFL Mock Draft

10.06 - Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles

Goedert missed five games including Week 17 last season, but he was a consistent producer following the team's Week 9 bye through Week 16. Over that stretch, Goedert scored the sixth-most fantasy points among tight ends and ranked top five in both receptions (32) and yards (371).

11.07 - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Over the past two seasons, Hilton averaged 50.8 (2020) and 50.1 (2019) YPG, which are the two lowest of his NFL career. Hilton had a minimum of 60 yards and/or a touchdown in the final six games of the 2020 season.

More: Indianapolis Colts 2021 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

12.06 - Robert Tonyan, TE, Green Bay Packers

Entering 2020 with 14 career receptions, Tonyan scored nearly as many touchdowns (12 counting the playoffs) as he had career receptions prior to last season. While teammate Davante Adams led the NFL with 18 touchdown receptions, Tonyan's 11 regular-season scores tied a position high with Travis Kelce. The biggest threat to Tonyan's 2021 outlook remains the offseason drama between the Packers and Aaron Rodgers.

More: Green Bay Packers 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

13.07 - Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook has never played a full season and has actually missed multiple games in all four seasons. Given Cook's durabilty history and the team's offensive philosophy, Mattison it would be reasonable to expect Mattison to start a game or two.

14.06 - Colts DST, Indianapolis Colts

15.07 - Harrison Butker, K, Kansas City Chiefs

16.06 - Jakobi Meyers, WR, New England Patriots

Meyers led the Patriots with 81 targets, 59 receptions and 729 yards in 2020. While the team added Nelson Agholor and Kendall Bourne in free agency, there's a good chance that the Meyers leads the position group in receiving once again.

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Friday, June 11, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill506.23293923.130.889.3643.9212.92.2296.21
Logan Woodside15.79.7108.30.620.319.3140.027.71

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7.

With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry359.4177916.3523.72521.9324.45
Darrynton Evans67.9288.62.2117.8191.51.579.17
Jeremy McNichols31.9137.20.810.280.60.635.28
Brian Hill16720.323.430.20.215.04
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.520.20.25.16

Derrick Henry: The clear favorite among the top six running backs in my rankings to finish last in receptions, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown81.31108.69.2000206.71
Julio Jones78.71038.17.7000189.36
Josh Reynolds33.9393.13.100074.86
Dez Fitzpatrick11.91311.200026.25
Cameron Batson7.670.50.62.711.20.0515.87
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.440.30.30007.53

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a much lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers is certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser40.6453.53.300085.45
Geoff Swaim18.6181.41.400035.84
Jared Pinkney5.140.30.40008.98

Anthony Firkser: Moving up to TE1 on the depth chart now that Jonnu Smith is in New England, Firkser has some sleeper appeal. That said, he's no better than the fourth option behind running back Derrick Henry and receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player, so it's certainly possible that our projections are too conservative.

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Monday, September 7, 2020

Atlanta Falcons 2020 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2020 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2020 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS


PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Matt Ryan619.6410.5464727.2613.0131.5119.70.95286.57
Eclipsing the 300-yard mark in 11 of 15 games, Ryan finished 2019 with 4,466 yards, 26 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. The veteran signal-caller has alternated seasons between finishing outside the top 10 (QB19 in 2015, QB15 in 2017 and QB11 in 2019) and top two (QB2 in both 2016 and 2018). Currently drafted as the QB10 based on his ADP, Ryan more potential upside than downside risk.
Matt Schaub22.513.3155.30.860.652.8-2.808.07

RUNNING BACKS


PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Todd Gurley202.2859.48.0942.93262.15179.98
Racking up 3,924 scrimmage yards and scoring 40 touchdowns the previous two years combined, Gurley barely exceeded the 1,000-yard rushing mark (1,064 YFS) in his age-25 season. Obvious durability concerns persist about Gurley's arthritic knee, but he enters 2020 as the clear lead back in Atlanta's potent offense. In terms of workload for Gurley, OC Dirk Koetter told ESPN that "I think a minimum of 15 touches and a high of [25]."
Ito Smith44.5169.11.5616.9114.10.3439.72
Smith has been inefficient on his 150 career touches with averages of 3.76 yards per carry and 6.29 yards per reception. The 195-pound back would likely only serve as a part of a committee backfield if Gurley were to miss any time.
Brian Hill40.8171.40.828.762.20.1729.3
Qadree Ollison37.1122.41.676.740.20.0726.7
Keith Smith3.76.50.044.230.20.084.39

WIDE RECEIVERS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Julio Jones93.41340.36.771.910.80.02175.85
The obvious knock on Jones has been his lack of red-zone production as he still has just one season (2012) with double-digit touchdowns. That said, Jones now has 1,394 receiving yards in six consecutive seasons; the only other active streak is two (Michael Thomas, WR1). Over the past six seasons, Jones has averaged a receiving line of 103.8/1,564.7/6.2.
Calvin Ridley79.710607.372.8160.03152
Ridley posted per-game career highs in targets (7.2), receptions (4.8) and yards (66.6) in 2019, although his season was cut short (Week 14) by an abdominal injury. Through Week 14, Ridley was a top-15 receiver across the board -- WR13 in half-PPR, WR14 in full PPR and WR10 in non-PPR. With a lack of depth behind starters, Ridley is poised for a big season as long as his health cooperates.
Russell Gage60.5559.63.033.711.10.0475.49
In the nine games following the Mohamed Sanu trade to New England, Gage hauled in 45 receptions (5.0/G) for 402 yards (44.7/G) and a touchdown on 66 targets (7.33/G). While he averaged only 8.93 Y/R, Gage had at least four catches in seven of those nine games. The third-year receiver is a worthwhile late-round target, especially in deeper PPR leagues.
Olamide Zaccheaus10.6129.30.7400017.37
Christian Blake12.1111.30.4800014.01
Brandon Powell2.838.10.20005.01

TIGHT ENDS


PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Hayden Hurst59.1688.54.2800094.53
Hurst doubled his production in 2019 to 30/349/2, but that paled in comparison to (now former) teammate Mark Andrews. Hurst's trade to Atlanta does wonders for his fantasy outlook as Austin Hooper signed a free-agent deal with Cleveland. Before Hooper's mid-season injury, he was fantasy's top-scoring tight end and finished second behind Julio Jones in team targets.
Jaeden Graham18.1217.21.8100032.58
Luke Stocker5.245.50.310006.41

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Saturday, September 5, 2020

Half-PPR Fantasy Football 2020 Mock Draft (12th Pick)

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2020 NFL season, we will use the 2020 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Without further ado, here are the picks of our 12-team 2020 fantasy football mock draft using half-PPR scoring with the 12th pick:

1.12 - Kenyan Drake, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Drake's midseason trade to Arizona erased fantasy owner's frustrations over his usage as most felt that he was under-utilized during his time in Miami. With virtually no time to prepare, Drake rattled off 162 scrimmage yards and a touchdown in his Arizona debut and was one of the most productive backs in the second half of the season. From Week 9 (his debut with the Cardinals) to Week 17, Drake was fantasy's RB4 behind CMC, Derrick Henry and Ezekiel Elliott.

2.01 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

The obvious knock on Jones has been his lack of red-zone production as he still has just one season (2012) with double-digit touchdowns. That said, Jones now has 1,394 receiving yards in six consecutive seasons; the only other active streak is two (Michael Thomas, WR1). Over the past six seasons, Jones has averaged a receiving line of 103.8/1,564.7/6.2.

3.12 - Todd Gurley, RB, Atlanta Falcons

Racking up 3,924 scrimmage yards and scoring 40 touchdowns the previous two years combined, Gurley barely exceeded the 1,000-yard rushing mark (1,064 YFS) in his age-25 season. Obvious durability concerns persist about Gurley's arthritic knee, but he enters 2020 as the clear lead back in Atlanta's potent offense. In terms of workload for Gurley, OC Dirk Koetter told ESPN that "I think a minimum of 15 touches and a high of [25]."

MORE: Fantasy Football 2020: 12 Undervalued Players in Fantasy Drafts

4.01 - Mark Andrews, TE, Baltimore Ravens

In the year that the Ravens drafted Andrews, they used a first-round pick on a tight end except it wasn't Andrews. While that first-rounder (Hayden Hurst) was traded this offseason to Atlanta (and the move provides a boost for Hurst's outlook), Andrews is coming off a breakout season where he posted career highs in receptions (64), yards (852) and touchdowns (10). Andrews is a consensus top-three TE option behind Travis Kelce and George Kittle in 2020.

MORE: Baltimore Ravens NFL Mock Draft Roundup

5.12 - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Injuries derailed what could have been another productive season for Hilton, who missed a total of six games and played with a calf tear down the stretch. When healthy, Hilton, fourth on the Colts all-time receiving list, is a WR2 with upside. Offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni has said that he "expect(s) the 2018 version" of Hilton.

6.01 - A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Green has missed at least six games in three of the last four seasons including the entire 2019 season. The obvious risks are Green's durability history as well as the difficulty of establishing chemistry with a rookie quarterback in such an unorthodox offseason, but there is upside from his low-end WR2/high-end WR3 ADP as well. In 2018, Green averaged 5.1/77.1/0.7 per game, equivalent to a full-season pace of 82/1,234/11.

7.12 - Jamison Crowder, WR, New York Jets

Crowder led the Jets in targets (122), receptions (78), yards (833) and touchdowns (six) last season. With Robby Anderson and Demaryius Thomas no longer on the roster, Crowder could be even better in 2020 if Sam Darnold can stay healthy. The slot receiver's ADP has been steadily rising in August.

MORE: Jamison Crowder 2020 Fantasy Football Profile and Outlook

8.01 - James White, RB, New England Patriots

Perennially undervalued in fantasy drafts, it was White, not Sony Michel, that has led the Patriots running backs in fantasy scoring in both of Michel's first two seasons. One of the league's best pass-catching backs, White has more than 70 catches in back-to-back seasons and that trend should continue in 2020.

9.12 - Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions

Given his lack of durability (only 18 of 32 games played), Johnson essentially enticed the Lions to invest a high pick for his competition (D'Andre Swift). While Johnson was less efficient as a runner in 2019 (3.6 YPC) than 2018 (5.4), a near 50-50 split in workload could materialize between Johnson and Swift with Johnson potentially getting a few more carries and Swift getting a few more targets.

10.01 - Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team

Gibson possesses a superior combination of athleticism (4.39 forty) for his size (228 pounds) and broke tackles at a ridiculous rate (33 on 77 career touches) at Memphis. With both Derrius Guice and Adrian Peterson released, the opportunities could be more plentiful than most expect for the third-rounder out of Memphis. Earlier this offseason, Ron Rivera said Gibson has "a skill set like Christian (McCaffrey)."

11.12 - Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Coming off multi-year lows in completion percentage (60.8, six-year low), TD% (3.9, 11-year low) and Y/A (6.6, 18-year low), things are looking up for Brady in terms of his fantasy outlook as he replaces Jameis Winston in Tampa's high-powered offense. While the team should play with more leads and Brady likely won't lead the NFL in pass attempts (like Winston did in 2019), he inherits a supporting cast loaded with talented pass-catchers -- Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, O.J. Howard, (an unretired) Rob Gronkowski, etc. In addition, we have argued that Brady is undervalued in 2020 drafts.

12.01 - Mike Gesicki, TE, Miami Dolphins

Gesicki is athletic freak -- 4.54 forty and 41.5" vertical -- at tight end and he had a breakout second season, aided by additional opportunities with the season-ending injury to UDFA receiver Preston Williams. Gesicki had five-plus targets in all eight games without Williams but only five-plus in just three of eight with him. More big slot than tight end, Gesicki finished his sophomore campaign as fantasy's TE11. Especially considering the team's WR3/WR4 are sitting 2020 out, Gesicki has the potential to take another significant step forward in year three.

MORE: Fantasy Football Sleepers: 10 Late-Round Targets

13.12 - Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Edmonds played 60 snaps (94%) against the Giants in Week 8 and exploded for 150 YFS and three touchdowns on 29 touches. Missing all of November and playing only 15 offensive snaps in December, the third-year back out of Fordham enters 2020 as Kenyan Drake's primary handcuff.

14.01 - Devine Ozigbo, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

Leonard Fournette's release opens up a huge opportunity for the rest of the team's backs as his 341 touches are no longer on the roster. With Ryquell Armstead added back to the reserve/COVID-19 list, Ozigbo could handle the bulk of the early-down work early in the season and is certainly worth a dart throw this late in the draft.

15.12 - Minnesota Vikings DST

16.01 - Wil Lutz, K, New Orleans Saints

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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