Saturday, September 1, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.



Jameis Winston476299.9371320.912.931.9121.21.65.5217.04
Going into his fourth NFL season, Winston will miss (at least) the first three games due to league suspension. The Bucs begin the season with games against the Saints, Eagles and Steelers, who combined for a 37-11 record last season. Due to his suspension, Winston is not draftable in standard-sized (one-QB) leagues.
Ryan Fitzpatrick113.167.97924.92.41670.40.60.556.12
Given Winston's three-game suspension, it's possible (not necessarily likely) that Fitzpatrick plays more than the first three games if the team gets off to a good start. Given the difficult matchups, it's more likely that the Bucs instead start 0-3 to begin the season.
Ryan Griffin63.7450.20.24120.10.23.6

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Running Backs


Peyton Barber173.6737.86.115.5105.40.30.5121.72
Tampa's leading rusher in 2017, Barber had 335 rushing yards (15th-most in the NFL) on 78 carries (4.29 YPC) from Weeks 13 to 17. Even though the Bucs used a high second-round pick on Ronald Jones, it's Barber -- not Jones -- that will enter the season as the team's starter. Coach Dirk Koetter recently said: "He's doing everything he should be doing right now, and I think if we went out there and gave it to Peyton 20 times, we'd like what he does. But we're not going to do that in a preseason game.''
Ronald Jones130.1565.93.519.5165.80.90.897.97
While he may lack the size (205 pounds) of being a workhorse back, Jones has elite burst and explosiveness and has drawn comparisons to Jamaal Charles. That's the good news. In terms of fantasy outlook, Jones is a distant second in the team's 1-2 punch with Barber. The second-round rookie averaged just 0.78 yards per carry more than me this preseason as he gained 22 yards on 28 carries.
Jacquizz Rodgers29.9121.10.423.3179.
Shaun Wilson14.461.90.44.837.

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Wide Receivers


Mike Evans74.81073.48.20000.2156.14
Even though he posted a career-low 1,001 yards last season, Evans has now begun his career with four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons. Only two other players — Randy Moss and A.J. Green — in the history of the NFL have started their careers with four 1,000-yard seasons. Over his four NFL seasons, Evans has 32 touchdowns and a pair of 12-score campaigns.
DeSean Jackson50.5792.94.50000.1106.09
After reaching the 1,000-yard mark in three of the previous four seasons, Jackson had a disappointing first season (50/668/3) in Tampa as he averaged a career-low 13.4 Y/R. While I have him projected for a year-over-year improvement, Chris Godwin has a chance to overtake Jackson at some point this season.
Chris Godwin45.3670.44.50000.193.84
When opportunities presented themselves, Godwin capitalized and posted a 26/442/1 (17.0 Y/R) second-half line with 68-plus yards in three of his final four games. Making "a lot of plays everyday," Godwin could once again see his role expand as the season progresses, but it may not be until 2019 that we see a breakout from Godwin.
Adam Humphries50.7537.41.50000.362.14
Justin Watson4.879.20.60000.111.32
Freddie Martino4.5720.5000010.2
Bobo Wilson1.115.40.10000.11.94

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Tight Ends


Cameron Brate47.5560.550000.185.85
Brate and the Bucs agreed to a six-year contract this offseason and the veteran tight end has a combined 105/1,251/14 over the past two seasons. I expect more from second-year tight end O.J. Howard, but I give the edge to Brate to lead the duo in fantasy points.
O.J. Howard42.3579.55.10001.585.55
The Bucs used the 19th-overall pick on Howard, who slipped further than most expected in the 2017 NFL Draft. Even though Brate was more involved in the passing game, Howard played more snaps than Brate as a rookie. Howard's role as a receiver should expand in his sophomore campaign. Both are on the TE1/TE2 border.
Alan Cross3.532.90.400005.69

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