Saturday, December 22, 2018

Week 16 Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers Start'em, Sit'em

Ultimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Robby Anderson is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned DeAndre Hopkins, Amari Cooper and Anderson and start two wide receivers, you should start Hopkins and Cooper -- and in turn, bench Anderson.

So while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

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Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Start'em


WR - Robby Anderson, New York Jets (vs. GB)

While his season has been anything but consistent, Anderson has put together strong performances in consecutive weeks. With more than 75 yards and scores each week, Anderson has finished as the WR13 and WR6, respectively, in his past two games. In Week 15, he dominated targets (11, 45.83% share), which is as important as the actual numbers.

The Packers have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season and Anderson should be able to exploit a matchup against the Green Bay secondary. The Packers have allowed 10 top-12 performances to opposing wide receivers this season; only the Panthers (11) have allowed more.

WR - Robert Foster, Buffalo Bills (at NE)

Entering Week 10 with only one career NFL reception, Foster now has at least 94 receiving yards in four of his past five games. During that five-game stretch, the former UDFA out of Alabama has a total of 17 catches for 438 yards and two touchdowns.

Even though the Bills are expected to be one of three lowest-scoring teams of the week based on implied totals from Vegas odds, the Bills are almost two-TD underdogs to the Patriots, which should lead to more pass attempts. During his surprising five-game stretch, the Bills have either won or lost by single digits.

WR - Doug Baldwin, Seattle Seahawks (vs. KC)

After sitting out Week 14, Baldwin returned to score a pair of touchdowns as he posted a 4/77/2 line on six targets against the 49ers. With a total of four touchdowns in his past four games, Baldwin gets a plus matchup against the Chiefs at home.

WR - Dante Pettis, San Francisco 49ers (vs. CHI)

Typically, I list players inside my top-24 on this side of the post and Pettis is just outside that (currently WR26 at the time this was written). That said, the second-round rookie carries a four-game streak of top-24 performances into Week 16, albeit in a difficult matchup against the Bears. Over the past four weeks, Pettis has 17 catches for 338 yards and four touchdowns.


Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em


WR - Mike Williams, Los Angeles Chargers (vs. BAL)

Scoring three touchdowns and adding a two-point conversion, Williams led all wide receivers in fantasy points in Week 15. Perhaps Keenan Allen (hip) has a setback or acts as a decoy and that leads to more targets for Williams, but the matchup is far more challenging than last week's against the Chiefs. The Ravens have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

WR - Golden Tate, Philadelphia Eagles (vs. HOU)

Tate had a better Week 15 (5/43) than Week 14 (1/7), but it's clear he's a distant second to Alshon Jeffery for wide receiver targets with Nick Foles under center. Jeffery set his Eagles high last week with 160 yards and has eight-plus targets in back-to-back games. Given that the Texans have limited opposing receivers to the 10th-fewest fantasy points this season, it's unlikely that more than one (Jeffery) has a productive fantasy outing.

WR - Sterling Shepard, New York Giants (at IND)

Even with Odell Beckham sitting out, Shepard is unlikely to capitalize on the potential for additional opportunities. OBJ has missed the past two games and Shepard has a total of four catches for 54 yards on 15 targets in those games. With or without Beckham, Shepard has less than 40 receiving yards in seven consecutive games.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 16

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