Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Atlanta Falcons 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.




Matt Ryan595.2400.34672.328.8711.0134.4108.40.77295.81
Over the past four seasons, Ryan has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback twice (2018, 2016) and as the QB15 or worse twice (2017, 2015). Reunited with his offensive coordinator from the three years prior to that four-year stretch, Dirk Koetter's offense in Tampa last season led the league in passing (5,125 yards) and was second to only Kansas City in yards per attempt (8.6). Given the talented group of pass-catchers at his disposal, it wouldn't surprise me if Ryan outperformed my current projections for him.
Matt Schaub63.9210.030.021-0.500.87

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Devonta Freeman223.3960.28.3747.8382.41.55193.78
Missing almost all of last season, Freeman is poised for a bounce-back with good health (of course). Not only is Tevin Coleman now in San Francisco, but the Falcons used a pair of first-rounders on the offensive line. I have Freeman projected for a conservative 271 touches and 1,342 yards from scrimmage and perhaps a less-modest 10 touchdowns. Then again, Freeman had a total of 35 touchdowns in the previous three seasons and my projections assume a lower touchdown rate on his rush attempts than his career average (3.91%).
Ito Smith84319.22.7325.5147.90.5166.15
With Coleman signing with the 49ers this offseason, Smith should backup Freeman, but he averaged a pedestrian 3.5 YPC and 5.6 Y/R last season.
Qadree Ollison22880.443.120.20.0313.64
Brian Hill4.821.
Kenjon Barner1.970.
Ricky Ortiz0001.

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Julio Jones1071610.47.7616.50208.25
Over the past six seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 receiving yards per game five times. Turning his 113 receptions into a league-high 1,677 yards, Jones is a lock for 1,400-plus yards as long as he stays healthy. Even though he was scoreless through seven games (53 receptions on 81 targets), he managed to score eight touchdowns over the final nine games of the season. Will his second-half red-zone production spill over into 2019?
Calvin Ridley67.1865.66.715.725.10.01129.39
Ridley put up excellent rookie numbers overall (64/821/10). Off to a hot start with six touchdowns in the first four games, Ridley was inconsistent over the final three quarters of the season. Exceeding the 50-yard mark in three of his first four games, he did so in only three of his final 12. Given the amount of attention that Jones commands, the former first-rounder from Alabama should be able to put together a more consistent sophomore campaign. Ridley is a low-end WR2 or high-end WR3 heading into the 2019 season.
Mohamed Sanu59.3705.73.853.818.60.0295.65
Sanu set a career high in receiving yards (838) in 2018 and just missed by one in receptions (66, career high: 67). Even with Jones and Ridley ahead of him, Sanu could once again finish as a top-36 wide receiver in 2019.
Justin Hardy18.2178.41.8200028.76
Russell Gage8.387.20.4200011.24
Marcus Green0.812.20.080001.7

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Austin Hooper606124.3500087.3
At such a shallow position, Hooper ranked fourth among tight ends in receptions (71), seventh in targets (88) and yards (660) and ninth in touchdowns (four). Certainly not a tight end that I will target, but someone that could very well outperform his current ADP (TE15 via FFC).
Luke Stocker9.2810.6400011.94
Logan Paulsen4.947.50.440007.39
Eric Saubert3.836.50.190004.79

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