Thursday, July 29, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Buffalo Bills

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Josh Allen603.8414.84709.637.1311.1780.93566.07386.58
Mitchell Trubisky38.525.2261.81.810.965.318.60.218.85

Josh Allen: One of the league's best young dual-threat quarterbacks, Allen has exactly 300 rush attempts in his three NFL seasons and has racked up 1,562 yards and 25 touchdowns on the ground. Remarkably, he has rushed for at least eight touchdowns in all three of his NFL seasons. Since his rookie season (2008), Allen has 22.32% of the team's rush attempts, 27.11% of the rushing yards and 56.82% of the rushing touchdowns.

Continuing to make major strides as a passer, Allen shattered previous career bests across the board in 2020. In his third season, Allen threw for 4,544 yards (284.0/G, 7.9/A) and 37 touchdowns (6.5 TD%) with only 10 interceptions (1.7%). Despite last year's unusual offseason, the trade for Stefon Diggs paid immediate dividends as the duo's instant rapport allowed Diggs to post career highs across the board as well.


Zack Moss151.3658.25.3727.5211.32.1145.52
Devin Singletary136.6594.22.32332612.3129.74
Matt Breida31.5143.30.638.867.10.733.42
Antonio Williams4.

Zack Moss: Many 2021 mock drafts linked the Bills to a first-round running back. Instead of adding an early-round running back, it's a positive for the outlook of Moss and Devin Singletary that the Bills only added Matt Breida in free agency. While I prefer Moss over Singletary, a concern for both is that Josh Allen has 25 rushing touchdowns over the past three seasons. Not only has Allen led the team in that category in each of the past three years, he has 56.8% (25 of 44) of the team's rushing touchdowns over that stretch.

Devin Singletary: Singletary followed up his rookie season with 687 rushing yards (4.4 YPC) and two touchdowns to go along with 38 catches for 269 yards. While I would prefer Moss over Singletary, both are not much more than a flex option heading into 2021. On a positive note, however, coach Sean McDermott has praised Singletary for "really trying to master the small things that come up down in and down out. ... I've really been impressed with his attention to detail over the past few days."


Stefon Diggs116.61446.
Cole Beasley79.28704.7000154.8
Gabriel Davis46.2693.56000128.45
Emmanuel Sanders445274.7000102.9
Isaiah McKenzie14.3141.72.19.540.40.2439.4
Isaiah Hodgins4.449.70.500010.17

Stefon Diggs: Things could not have gone better for Diggs in his first season with the Bills. Buffalo's starters played fewer snaps than usual in Week 17, as Diggs played a season-low 48% of the team's offensive snaps in the regular-season finale. Even so, that Week 17 performance (7/76) was the only game over the final five weeks where Diggs had fewer than 128 receiving yards. A top-three performer across all scoring formats, Diggs led the league in targets (166), receptions (127) and yards (1,535) in 2020.

Cole Beasley: The recipient of triple-digit targets in back-to-back seasons, Beasley posted career highs in receptions (82) and catch rate (76.6%) as well as in yards (967), yards per reception (11.8), per target (9.0) and per game (64.5) in 2020. Catching only four touchdowns last season, Beasley has still finished as a top-36 wide receiver in both of his seasons as a Bill. While he will most likely outperform his ADP, Buffalo News' Jay Skurski included Beasley on his list of candidates that could be surprise cuts.

Gabriel Davis: Without signing Emmanuel Sanders to partially fill the void created by John Brown's release, there would be more hype for Davis as a 2021 breakout candidate. As a rookie, the 2020 fourth-round pick ended the year with 35 receptions for 599 yards (17.1 Y/R) and seven touchdowns.

Emmanuel Sanders: Most fantasy rankings will project Diggs, Beasley and Davis as the team's top-three receivers, but at least one beat reporter (The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia) believes that Sanders could factor into the offense more than Davis. Buscaglia described Sanders' contract as a "weighty contract indicative of a substantial role in the offense" and wrote that "all of the Bills' actions in the offseason were not of a team confident that Davis was ready to step into an enormous role."


Dawson Knox36.3397.73.900081.32
Jacob Hollister22236.1200046.61
Tommy Sweeney5.552.20.600011.57

Dawson Knox: Knox missed four games in 2020 and his per-game numbers last season (2.0/24.0/0.25) weren't much different than his rookie averages (1.87/25.9/0.13). One of the more athletic tight ends in the league, there is the potential for a year-over-year improvement in his third season, but he will likely rank fourth or fifth in pecking order amongst the team's pass catchers. In fact, Josh Allen's Wyoming teammate, Jacob Hollister, could wind up moving ahead of Knox on the depth chart.

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