The Daily Blitz: Dawson Knox

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Wednesday, May 8, 2024

2024 Fantasy Football Projections: Buffalo Bills

Our Fantasy Football Projections will soon be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2024 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	536.5	339.3	3862.8	26.29	15.02	103.8	529.4	7.79	329.31
Mitchell Trubisky	34.2	21.4	229.1	1.23	0.96	9.9	37.6	0.79	20.66

Josh Allen: For the third time in four seasons, Allen finished the year as fantasy's QB1 with his lone exception during that span being a QB2 finish in 2022. While Allen set a four-year low in passing touchdowns (29) and a four-year high in interceptions (18) last season, he rushed for a career-high 15 touchdowns. Fantasy managers shouldn't expect him to rush for another 15 scores, but the strong-armed, dual-threat quarterback has 3,611 rushing yards and 53 rushing scores in 94 career regular-season games. In addition, he has a minimum of 42 combined passing and rushing touchdowns and 4,830-plus combined passing and rushing yards in each of the past four seasons. While Keon Coleman has instantly become one of my favorite players in the league, the loss of Stefon Diggs (and Gabe Davis) is a net loss in terms of Allen's weapons.

MORE: Check out our 2025 NFL Mock Draft

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
James Cook	222.4	1011.9	4	41.8	415.3	3.1	206.22
Ray Davis	63	270.9	1.58	9	75.7	0.5	51.64
Ty Johnson	60.5	263.2	0.97	10.1	90	0.5	49.19
Darrynton Evans	7.9	32.4	0.12	2.7	20.5	0.1	7.96
Reggie Gilliam	0.7	2.3	0.01	1.1	8.2	0.1	2.26

James Cook: Cook had a breakout 2023 season with 1,122 rushing yards, 44 catches for 445 yards and a total of six touchdowns (two rushing and four receiving). The biggest concern with Cook is Josh Allen's dominance with rushing touchdowns. While Allen is unlikely to rush for 15 touchdowns (again), he has 53 rushing scores in 94 games.

Ray Davis: Davis has a compact frame and runs with power, and he was productive — rushing for more than 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons at Vanderbilt and Kentucky, respectively. While Josh Allen will likely lead the team in rushing touchdowns, the fourth-round rookie should be a short-yardage and goal-line complement to Cook. Given Joe Brady's more run-centric approach, Davis "could have a sneaky-big impact," as ESPN's Jeremy Fowler notes.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Keon Coleman	56.4	793.8	5.1	0	0	0	138.18
Curtis Samuel	55.9	654.7	4.3	23.5	115.2	1	136.74
Khalil Shakir	47.8	572.9	3.8	2.5	12.5	0.05	105.54
Mack Hollins	22.5	306.9	2.1	0	0	0	54.54
Justin Shorter	5.6	71.6	0.5	0	0	0	12.96
K.J. Hamler	2.9	40.9	0.3	0	0	0	7.34

Keon Coleman: Coleman is a former (Michigan State) basketball player, who has the frame to box out defenders with the leaping ability and outstanding ball skills to win in contested-catch and jump-ball situations. There may be some concern about his ability to consistently separate given his relatively slow 40-yard dash time (4.61), but he also had the top speed (20.36 MPH) during the gauntlet drill at the combine as well.

Curtis Samuel: The versatile receiver has finished as the WR36, WR25, WR34, and WR44, respectively, in his last four seasons playing 15-plus games. His career-best season (2020, WR25) occurred with Joe Brady as his offensive coordinator. At a minimum, he's a player who should outperform his ADP.

MORE: 2024 NFL Strength of Schedule

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dalton Kincaid	75.2	726.3	4.4	136.63
Dawson Knox	26.9	286.4	2.4	56.49
Quintin Morris	2.7	28.6	0.3	6.01

Dalton Kincaid: While the Bills used the 33rd pick on Keon Coleman, the departure of Stefon Diggs (trade) and Gabe Davis (free agency) opens the door for Kincaid to take a big leap in his sophomore campaign. As a rookie, he finished with 73 catches for 673 yards — both of which were top 10 among tight ends — but only two touchdowns.

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Friday, September 1, 2023

Buffalo Bills 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	585.1	370.4	4271.2	33.94	14.04	103.9	602.6	4.68	366.87
Kyle Allen	37.3	22	264.8	1.19	1.04	4.6	6.9	0.05	14.26

Josh Allen: Fantasy managers know exactly what they're getting when they draft Allen, who has finished as fantasy's QB1, QB1 and QB2 over the past three seasons, respectively. Few quarterbacks have as much weekly upside and consistency as Allen. Last season, he finished as a top-six weekly QB in 12 of 16 games played and finished as a top-12 weekly quarterback in two more games.

MORE: Josh Allen 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
James Cook	155.7	685.1	3.97	45.7	353.8	2.4	164.96
Damien Harris	107.3	461.4	3.11	16.1	120.2	0.6	88.47
Latavius Murray	82.2	361.7	2.22	12.9	104.3	0.6	69.97
Reggie Gilliam	0	0	0	7.5	59	0.4	12.05

James Cook: Cook was one of Buffalo's fantasy winners after the draft, as there was some projection that the Bills could target someone like Bijan Robinson if he slipped. (Of course, he didn't.) Heading into 2023 atop the depth chart, he'll split touches with veterans like Damien Harris and Latavius Murray, but he'll be in the (back-end) RB2 mix for fantasy managers this season. Offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey praised Cook's versatility and potential to be a "three-down back."

Damien Harris: Harris has been productive when given volume (1,061 YFS and 15 TDs in 2021). He signed a modest one-year contract, and he (and/or Latavius Murray) will be a TD-dependent option in fantasy leagues, when healthy.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	105	1326.8	9.6	1.1	5.5	0.01	243.39
Gabe Davis	55.9	827.8	7.2	0	0	0	153.93
Trent Sherfield	21.6	267.6	2.1	0	0	0	50.16
Khalil Shakir	16.7	220	1.8	0	0	0	41.15
Deonte Harty	10	127	1.2	1.8	11.7	0.02	26.19
Justin Shorter	8.6	113.4	1.1	0	0	0	22.24

Stefon Diggs: Since becoming a Bill, Diggs has posted the following stat lines — 127/1535/8 (2020), 103/1225/10 (2021) and 108/1429/11 (2022). During that same span, he has finished as fantasy's WR3, WR7 and WR4, respectively. Diggs has an extremely high floor as Josh Allen's go-to receiver within Buffalo's high-powered offense.

Gabe Davis: A popular name on 2022 breakout lists, Davis set (or tied) career highs in receptions (48), targets (93), yards (836) and touchdowns (seven) last season. And although he finished as fantasy's WR27, it's fair to say that many fantasy managers expected more. Davis failed to reach the 40-yard mark in eight of 15 regular-season games, and he scored only once in those eight modest performances.

Trent Sherfield: The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia wrote after the team's second preseason game, "[a]long with his versatility to play slot receiver or to allow Stefon Diggs to play in the slot, this is another fantastic sign that Sherfield's bid to be WR3 is legitimate." The Bills are Sherfield's fourth team in four seasons, but he posted career highs in his age-26 season with the Dolphins (30/417/2) last year.

Khalil Shakir: Instead of drafting a receiver at the end of Round 1, the Bills drafted tight end Dalton Kincaid. While Shakir may rank third in WR snaps behind Diggs and Davis, the presence of Kincaid (and more two-TE sets) could limit his ability to make a significant jump in his second season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dalton Kincaid	47.9	528.4	4.3	102.59
Dawson Knox	40.2	444.5	3.6	86.15
Quintin Morris	4.3	43.1	0.4	8.86

Dalton Kincaid: A lengthy adjustment period for rookie tight ends typically leads to modest fantasy impacts for the position. That said, Kincaid was arguably the most talented pass catcher (wide receiver or tight end) in the 2023 NFL Draft, so there is potential for him to be utilized more than a typical rookie tight end as a mismatch in the passing game.

Dawson Knox: Knox's 2022 numbers (48/517/6) were similar, albeit slightly less, than his 2021 production (49/587/9). It's unlikely that Knox will produce as a top-12 option in 2023, and his touchdown dependency is high given his relatively low volume. Knox exceeded 50 receiving yards in only three regular-season games last season.

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Wednesday, August 23, 2023

Buffalo Bills 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	585.1	370.4	4271.2	33.94	14.04	103.9	602.6	4.68	366.87
Matt Barkley	37.3	21.1	264.8	1.16	1.53	4.6	-5.1	0	11.66

MORE: Josh Allen 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
James Cook	150.7	663.1	3.77	45.6	353.8	2.4	161.51
Damien Harris	111.9	481.2	3.25	16.1	120.2	0.6	91.29
Latavius Murray	76.5	336.6	2.07	12.9	104.3	0.6	66.56
Darrynton Evans	6.2	26.4	0.16	6.3	45.4	0.3	13.09
Reggie Gilliam	0	0	0	7.4	59	0.4	12

Damien Harris: Harris has been productive when given volume (1,061 YFS and 15 TDs in 2021). He signed a modest one-year contract, and he will be a TD-dependent option in fantasy leagues, when healthy. "When healthy" is the operative phrase, as Harris has been dealing with a knee injury.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	104.7	1326.8	9.6	1.1	5.5	0.01	243.24
Gabe Davis	54.8	807.4	7.1	0	0	0	150.74
Trent Sherfield	19.6	238.1	2.1	0	0	0	46.21
Khalil Shakir	16.6	220	1.8	0	0	0	41.1
Deonte Harty	10	127	1.2	1.8	11.7	0.02	26.19
Justin Shorter	8.6	113.4	1.1	0	0	0	22.24

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dalton Kincaid	44.4	512.6	4	97.46
Dawson Knox	40.1	462.7	3.6	87.92
Quintin Morris	4.3	45.4	0.4	9.09

Dalton Kincaid: A lengthy adjustment period for rookie tight ends typically leads to modest fantasy impacts for the position. That said, Kincaid was arguably the most talented pass catcher (wide receiver or tight end) in the 2023 NFL Draft, so there is potential for him to utilized more than a typical rookie tight end as a mismatch in the passing game.

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Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Buffalo Bills 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	587.3	371.8	4287.3	34.65	14.1	114.1	696	5.99	387.43
Matt Barkley	37.5	21.2	266.3	1.16	1.54	4.6	-5.1	0	11.7

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
James Cook	159.8	703.1	4	43.2	332.4	2.3	162.95
Damien Harris	121	520.3	3.33	7.9	54.6	0.2	82.62
Nyheim Hines	41.1	168.5	0.99	31.4	236.8	1.2	69.37
Latavius Murray	13	57.2	0.33	2	13.7	0.1	10.67
Reggie Gilliam	0	0	0	7.9	63.8	0.4	12.73

James Cook: Cook is one of Buffalo's biggest fantasy winners of the draft, as there was some projection that the Bills could target someone like Bijan Robinson if he slipped. (Of course, he didn't.) Heading into 2023 atop the depth chart, he'll split touches with veterans like Damien Harris, Nyheim Hines and Latavius Murray, but he'll be an RB2/flex option for fantasy managers this season.

Damien Harris: Harris has been productive when given volume (1,061 YFS and 15 TDs in 2021), but his modest one-year contract means that he's a distant RB2 to Cook. Barring injury, he's little more than a TD-dependent option in fantasy leagues.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	116.9	1489	11.2	1.1	5.5	0.01	275.16
Gabe Davis	53.1	787.8	7.1	0	0	0	147.93
Khalil Shakir	21.6	277.8	2	0	0	0	50.58
Deonte Harty	11.8	150.3	1.4	1.8	11.7	0.02	30.62
Justin Shorter	10.8	136.6	1.2	0	0	0	26.26
Trent Sherfield	7.9	102.5	1	0	0	0	20.2

Gabe Davis: A popular name on 2022 breakout lists, Davis set (or tied) career highs in receptions (48), targets (93), yards (836) and touchdowns (seven) last season. And although he finished as fantasy's WR27, it's fair to say that many fantasy managers expected even more. Davis failed to reach the 40-yard mark in eight of 15 regular-season games, and he scored only once in those eight modest performances.

Khalil Shakir: Instead of drafting a receiver at the end of Round 1, the Bills drafted tight end Dalton Kincaid. While Shakir should rank third in WR snaps behind Diggs and Davis, the presence of Kincaid (and more two-TE sets) could limit his ability to make a significant jump in his second season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dawson Knox	43.2	498.6	4.2	96.66
Dalton Kincaid	31	364.3	3	69.93
Quintin Morris	4.3	45.5	0.4	9.1

Dawson Knox: Knox's 2022 numbers (48/517/6) were similar, albeit slightly less, than his 2021 production (49/587/9). While Knox may produce as a (back-end) top-12 option in 2023, but his touchdown dependency is high given his relatively low volume. Knox exceeded 50 receiving yards in only three regular-season games last season.

Dalton Kincaid: A lengthy adjustment period for rookie tight ends typically leads to modest fantasy impacts for the position. That said, Kincaid was arguably the most talented pass catcher (regardless of position) in the 2023 NFL Draft, so there is potential for him to make early contributions as a mismatch in the passing game. As Brandon Beane says, Kincaid "is a tight end, but he is a receiving tight end."

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Monday, September 5, 2022

Buffalo Bills Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	584.4	384.5	4236.9	34.19	12.27	105.8	560.7	6.61	377.43
Case Keenum	44	27.9	290.4	1.63	0.53	2.2	3.4	0.1	18.02

Josh Allen: The top-scoring fantasy quarterback in back-to-back seasons, Allen has thrown for a minimum of 4,400 yards and 36 touchdowns in each of those campaigns. Of course, it's what he does as a dual-threat quarterback that strengthens his floor and boosts his ceiling. Since entering the league in 2018, Allen has averaged 6.9/38.1/0.5 rushing per game. In other words, he has averaged nearly seven fantasy points (6.86) per game based on his rushing stats alone since 2018.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Devin Singletary	176.3	784.5	4.85	33.4	233.2	0.9	152.97
James Cook	80.4	353.8	1.81	43.7	353.1	2	115.4
Zack Moss	56.2	236	1.69	6.6	47.5	0.3	43.59
Taiwan Jones	8.8	37.4	0.22	5.4	38.5	0.1	12.21
Reggie Gilliam	1.1	3.5	0.02	1.2	9.1	0.1	2.58

Devin Singletary: From Week 12 on, Singletary had 105 carries for 455 yards and five touchdowns plus 15 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown in seven regular-season games. He ranked ninth among running backs in touches (120) and 13th in average half-PPR points per game (14.34) over that stretch. Including a couple of playoff games, he closed the season with double-digit carries in eight of his final nine games in 2021. Considering that the Bills invested a second-round pick in James Cook, brother of Dalvin Cook and especially a weapon in the passing game, Singletary is more likely to produce as a flex option (than RB2) in 2022.

James Cook: While Cook doesn't have his brother's frame and won't be utilized as a featured back, he's a talented receiver that could be moved around the formation. GM Brandon Beane has made comparisons of Cook's skill set to that of J.D. McKissic.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	97.9	1181.6	9.4	0	0	0	223.51
Gabe Davis	60.6	878.3	7.5	0	0	0	163.13
Isaiah McKenzie	35.9	369	3.2	8.8	40.5	0.7	82.3
Jamison Crowder	36.7	375.8	3	0	0	0	73.93
Khalil Shakir	27.6	303.3	2.6	1.1	6.1	0.06	60.7
Jake Kumerow	7.2	92.8	0.7	0	0	0	17.08

Stefon Diggs: Aside from setting a career high in touchdowns (10), Diggs' numbers were down overall compared to his first season as a Bill. Josh Allen's go-to receiver finished with 103 catches for 1,225 yards after his league-leading 127/1,535 campaign in 2020. Even so, he still finished as a top-eight fantasy wide receiver across all scoring formats.

Gabe Davis: Posting nearly identical numbers in year two (35/549/6 on 63 targets) as year one (35/599/7 on 62 targets), Davis is poised for a breakout in his third season. With the offseason departures of Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley, Davis moves into the WR2 role opposite Diggs. Davis provided fantasy managers a glimpse of his upside with his 8/201/4 performance in the team's OT playoff loss to the Chiefs. NBC's Peter King was told that Davis' four-TD performance was "the start of something big, not a fluke."

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dawson Knox	47.6	561.4	5.1	110.54
Tommy Sweeney	5.8	56.6	0.9	13.96
Quintin Morris	2.7	27.2	0.2	5.27

Dawson Knox: Knox took a big step forward in 2021 and finished with 49 catches for 587 yards and nine touchdowns (compared to previous career highs of 28/388/3). Even though he's (at least) behind Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis in the pecking order for targets, the Bills will once again rank at or near the top of the league in scoring offense, which makes the athletic tight end a threat to score in any game.

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Saturday, August 13, 2022

Buffalo Bills Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Josh Allen	586.1	385.7	4249.2	34.29	12.31	106.7	565.5	6.67	379.08
Case Keenum	44.1	28	291.1	1.63	0.53	2.2	3.4	0.1	18.04

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Devin Singletary	176	783.2	4.84	33.5	233.8	0.9	152.89
James Cook	80.3	353.3	1.81	43.9	354.1	2	115.55
Zack Moss	55	231	1.65	6.2	45.4	0.2	41.84
Taiwan Jones	8.8	37.4	0.22	5.4	38.6	0.1	12.22
Reggie Gilliam	1.1	3.5	0.02	1.2	9.1	0.1	2.58

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Stefon Diggs	98.3	1185	9.4	0	0	0	224.05
Gabe Davis	56.7	828.6	7.2	0	0	0	154.41
Isaiah McKenzie	33.1	331.4	2.6	8.8	40.5	0.7	73.54
Jamison Crowder	35.8	365.5	2.8	0	0	0	71.25
Khalil Shakir	27.7	304.2	2.5	1.1	6.1	0.06	60.24
Jake Kumerow	7.2	93.1	0.7	0	0	0	17.11

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Dawson Knox	46.7	551.6	5	108.51
O.J. Howard	12.6	147.6	1.5	30.06
Tommy Sweeney	5.4	52.2	0.9	13.32

Dawson Knox: Knox took a big step forward in 2021 and finished with 49 catches for 587 yards and nine touchdowns (compared to previous career highs of 28/388/3). With Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley no longer on the roster, Knox could be the recipient of a few of their vacated targets.

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Saturday, October 16, 2021

Week 6 Fantasy Football TE Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Dawson Knox is listed below as a "start" for Week 6. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 6 with him as my starting tight end.

Then again, Knox may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you roster both Travis Kelce and Knox, you should start Kelce and, in turn, bench Knox.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 6 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 6 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills (at TEN)

The former Ole Miss tight end is having a breakout season. Other than Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews, no tight end has scored more fantasy points this season than Knox.

Targeted only four times against the Kansas City Chiefs last week, Knox had three catches for 117 yards and a touchdown. That performance extended Knox's streak of games with a score and top-12 weekly finishes to four weeks in a row. During that stretch, he has finished as fantasy's TE11, TE8, TE2 and TE4, respectively.

Once again, the Bills have one of the week's highest implied totals. While the Tennessee Titans have been one of the stingiest defenses to opposing tight ends, Knox remains one of the top options at the position this week.

Hunter Henry, New England Patriots (vs. DAL)

While preseason ADPs meant that Jonnu Smith was off the board before Hunter Henry in the majority of fantasy football drafts, Henry has emerged as the team's TE1 over Smith.

Targets and target shares may not be very different between Henry (26, 13.9%) and Smith (23, 12.3%), but Henry has done much more with his targets. Henry has turned his 26 targets into 20 catches for 216 yards (10.8 Y/R) and two touchdowns.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins (at JAX)

Since being a complete non-factor in Week 1, Gesicki has a minimum of three catches, six targets and 41 yards in four consecutive games. During that four-game span, he has a total of 22 catches (third-most among TEs), 31 targets (third-most), 227 yards (fifth-most) and a touchdown.

Given the injuries to the receiving corps, Gesicki should remain heavily involved in the passing game in a plus matchup this weekend. The Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys (at NE)

Entering Week 6, Schultz has scored the fourth-most fantasy points among tight ends regardless of scoring format. While his weekly upside isn't very high, his week-to-week consistency has exceeded all expectations. The former Stanford Cardinal has exactly six receptions in three consecutive games and in four of five games this season.

The Patriots are top four at limiting opposing tight ends in fantasy points. As the Patriots focus their defensive efforts on slowing the Cowboys running game or their talented wideouts (Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb), Schultz should once again be the recipient of plenty of targets from Dak Prescott to keep his fantasy floor high.

Week 6 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers (at CHI)

The Chicago Bears are one of the eight most difficult matchups for opposing tight ends this season. Given Tonyan's relative lack of involvement in the offense, those that drafted him as a back-end TE1 can no longer trust him in their lineups even in easy matchups.

Tonyan has eight receiving yards (or less) in four of five games this season. After a hyper-efficient 88.1% catch rate in 2020, Tonyan has a career-low 52.9% catch rate and is averaging only 4.8 yards per target, also a career low.

Jonnu Smith, New England Patriots (vs. DAL)

As noted above, Smith's target share isn't much different than Henry. That said, the tight end tandem hasn't been much of a dynamic duo.

Smith has parlayed his 23 targets into a 15/115/1 stat line. His 7.7 Y/R is the lowest of his career. The Cowboys offer a good matchup to opposing tight ends, but I'd much rather start Henry over Smith if given the choice.

Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns (vs. ARI)

The Browns scored 42 points in their loss to the Los Angeles Chargers last week, but outside of a two-point conversion, Hooper wasn't targeted despite logging 52 snaps (72%) in Week 5. Over the past three weeks, Hooper has eight targets, three catches for 30 yards and a touchdown.

At this point, I'd actually prefer David Njoku over Hooper. That said, the Arizona Cardinals have allowed a league-low 4.04 fantasy points per game to the position this season.

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Saturday, October 9, 2021

Fantasy Football TE Week 5 Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Dawson Knox is listed below as a "start" for Week 5. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 5 with him as my starting tight end.

Then again, Knox may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Travis Kelce and Knox, you should start Kelce and, in turn, bench Knox.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 5 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills (at KC)

Knox had a big week against the Houston Texans as he finished with five catches for 37 yards and two touchdowns on eight targets (26.67%). While Knox has yet to reach the 50-yard mark this season, he has scored in three consecutive weeks. In addition, he has at least four catches in three of four games this season.

Winning their past three games by a combined 97 points, the Bills have the ability to score points in bunches. While their recent games haven't been close, this week's matchup against Patrick Mahomes and the high-powered Kansas City Chiefs offense should result in a shootout. No game has a higher total (57.0) and even though the Bills are three-point underdogs, they still have a top-seven implied total.

The third-year tight end will look to extend his scoring streak and weeks with a top-12 fantasy finish to four weeks. Over the past three weeks, he has finished as the TE11, TE8 and TE2 (half-PPR), respectively. Knox currently ranks top-six in all scoring formats.

Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys (vs. NYG)

Over the past couple of weeks, Schultz has been as good as it gets. Following up his 6/80/2 performance against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3, Schultz had six catches for 58 yards and a touchdown in Week 4 against the Carolina Panthers. In those two games, he had a 28.0% and 36.36% target share, respectively. On the season, Schultz now has six receptions in three of four games and he has scored the fourth-most half-PPR fantasy points.

Not only have the Giants allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, the Cowboys have a top-three implied total this week.

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons (vs. NYJ)

If you've drafted Pitts, you're likely frustrated with the production so far. As he takes his talents across the pond for a matchup against the New York Jets in London, Pitts could see even more targets than he's seen up to this point. With a minimum of six targets in three of four games, Pitts enters Week 5 tied for sixth amongst tight ends in targets (26). Given that both Calvin Ridley and Russell Gage are out this week, Olamide Zaccheus is the team's "WR1" in Week 5.

Week 5 Fantasy Football TE Sit'em

Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers (at CIN)

Even though he was only targeted 59 times in 2020, Tonyan was extremely efficient -- 88.1% catch rate, 11.3 Y/R and a TD scored per every 5.36 targets. While there have been some difficult matchups, Tonyan has done nearly nothing outside of a Week 2 matchup against the Detroit Lions (3/52/1). In his other three games this season, Tonyan has scoreless receiving lines of 2/8, 1/6 and 2/8, respectively. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati Bengals have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to the position this season.

Jonnu Smith, New England Patriots (at HOU)

Perhaps listing him here is the jinx that helps him breakout in a big way in an ideal matchup (if you need to start him). Smith is way more talented than his 2021 production has shown and this matchup provides an opportunity to smash.

On a positive note, Smith has a minimum of five targets in all four games this season, but he hasn't been able to do much with that volume. On the season, Smith has a total of 13 catches for 88 yards (6.77 Y/R) and a touchdown. Ranked as a TE2 (and behind teammate Hunter Henry in my rankings), Smith is a TD-dependent play instead of a must-start this weekend.

Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns (at LAC)

Hooper is tied with Odell Beckham for the most targets in Cleveland's passing game (16, 14.81%) this season. Unfortunately, that volume trails 17 other tight ends through Week 4 and Hooper has only been able to parlay those modest amount of targets into an even more modest receiving line of 11/97/1. Not only is he fifth on the team in receiving yards, but he is averaging a career-low 8.8 Y/R. As Hooper seeks his first top-12 fantasy finish of the year, he remains more of a mid-tier TE2 that will likely need a score to become a TE1.

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Monday, October 4, 2021

Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading into Week 5

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be rostered in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 5 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

Rank	Player	Team	Roster %
1	Dawson Knox	Buffalo Bills	47%
2	Jared Cook	Los Angeles Chargers	47%
3	Tyler Conklin	Minnesota Vikings	13%
4	Evan Engram	New York Giants	34%
5	Dan Arnold	Jacksonville Jaguars	3%
6	Zach Ertz	Philadelphia Eagles	26%
7	Dalton Schultz	Dallas Cowboys	33%
8	C.J. Uzomah	Cincinnati Bengals	2%
9	Pat Freiermuth	Pittsburgh Steelers	9%
10	Juwan Johnson	New Orleans Saints	13%
11	Mo Alie-Cox	Indianapolis Colts	1%

1. Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills (47%)

Knox had a big week against the Houston Texans as he finished with five catches for 37 yards and two touchdowns on eight targets (26.67%). While Knox has yet to reach the 50-yard mark this season, he has scored in three consecutive weeks and has at least four catches in three of four games this season.

The Bills have won their past three games by 97 combined points and few teams are as capable of scoring points in bunches the way the Bills can. They face one of those teams (Kansas City Chiefs) in Week 5. Knox will look to extend his streak of top-12 weekly finishes to four weeks in a row.

2. Jared Cook, Los Angeles Chargers (47%)

Yet to score his first touchdown this season, Cook ranked top 15 among tight ends in targets (16, T-10th), receptions (10, T-14th) and receiving yards (111, 15th) through Week 3. (Cook and the Chargers host the Raiders on Monday Night Football, so he has yet to play this week.)

3. Tyler Conklin, Minnesota Vikings (13%)

Conklin had a modest Week 4 performance (4/18 on six targets). The second-year tight end has 22 targets (5.5/G) and 17 receptions (4.25/G) through four games. Given the soft matchup against the Detroit Lions in Week 5, Conklin will be a viable streamer this week.

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Saturday, September 11, 2021

Buffalo Bills Week 1 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

Throughout the 2021 NFL season, we will compile a consensus NFL Power Rankings that averages the rankings of all 32 NFL teams.

Here is where the Buffalo Bills rank in terms of average, best and worst:

Average ranking: 3.2 (3rd)
Best ranking: 2nd (CBS Sports)
Worst ranking: 5th (USA Today)

Below you will find a Week 1 roundup for the Bills in our consensus 2021 NFL Power Rankings.

ESPN -- Rank: 5

Person on the hot seat: TE Dawson Knox

The Bills are undeniably high on Knox after a pedestrian 2020 season, declining to make major moves for a starting tight end outside of signing Jacob Hollister. But GM Brandon Beane said this offseason that the team needs more out of its tight ends, and Knox, the leader of the bunch, has the talent to provide it. He has struggled with drops over the past two seasons but worked with a "hand-eye" trainer this offseason to alleviate the issue. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques

NFL.com -- Rank: 3

Next offseason might represent something of a passing of the torch along the defensive line, when several veteran stalwarts could move on to make room for the young guys. But in the here and now, the Bills have a varied and talented group of D-linemen, allowing coordinator Leslie Frazier to mix and match in order to maximize havoc in the trenches. Buffalo is hoping for an instant impact from rookies Greg Rousseau and Boogie Basham, but keep an eye on A.J. Epenesa, a second-year pass rusher who received plenty of buzz this summer.

CBS Sports -- Rank: 3

This is a deep, talented team that has the weapons to score a bunch on offense. The defense will be better as well, which is why they are my pick to win it all.

USA Today -- Rank: 3.2

A defensive line reinforced by rookies Gregory Rousseau and Boogie Basham and return of Star Lotulelei might be enough to vault last year's AFC finalists past Kansas City.

The Athletic -- Rank: 2

Why they're ranked here: Our panelists are in complete agreement that the Bills are a top-five team heading into Week 1, and nearly half of the voters picked them right here, at No. 3. It makes sense: The Bills advanced to the AFC Championship Game last season, have one of the game's best ascending young quarterbacks in Josh Allen and addressed key weaknesses on the roster, particularly by using their first two draft picks on edge rushers.

One big question: Will the Bills run the ball? One of the most intriguing things about Allen's breakout 2020 season was his massive leap in production while playing in one of the most pass-heavy offenses in the NFL. Allen had 37 touchdowns (compared to 20 in 2019) and a 69 percent completion rate, up more than 10 percentage points from the previous year. That offensive coordinator Brian Daboll is so apt to call pass plays on early downs and in neutral situations for Allen makes the Bills exceedingly fun to watch. But is it sustainable? We're not asking Buffalo to become a 3-yards-and-a-cloud-of-dust team, but as opponents adjust more to what Allen and the Bills did a year ago, it will be important to see if Buffalo has an answer through its running game. (We considered making COVID-19 the big question here, but The Athletic's Tim Graham did that for us.)

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Week 5 Fantasy Football TE Start'em

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