Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Tennessee Titans

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Tennessee Titans.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ryan Tannehill505.9328.83971.330.869.3644.8217.32.24298.74
Matt Barkley21.112.9156.10.840.637.9-407.94

Ryan Tannehill: Since taking over as the starter in 2019, Tannehill has averaged only 28.9 pass attempts per game in Tennessee's run-heavy attack, but he's been extremely efficient. Tannehill has averaged more than 22 fantasy points per game and has averaged 8.54 Y/A with a 7.3 TD% over his past 26 games. From Week 7 to 17 (his run as the starter) in 2019, Tannehill was fantasy's QB3. In 2020, he was the QB7. With Tennessee trading for Julio Jones, Tannehill has a chance to once again outperform his preseason ADP.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Derrick Henry334.71606.614.5623.1183.71.8288.74
Darrynton Evans72.5308.12.3618.8150.71.679.04
Brian Hill52.7237.21.057.757.80.542.65
Jeremy McNichols10.545.20.264.3330.212.73
Khari Blasingame1.35.10.032.618.60.25.05

Derrick Henry: If there's a concern with Henry, it's his relative lack of involvement in the passing game. That said, Henry more than compensates for his smaller role as a receiver with his dominant rushing production. Not only is he the back-to-back rushing champion coming off a 2,000-yard campaign, but Henry has led the league in rushing touchdowns in each of the past two seasons with 33 rushing scores in 31 games.

No running back scored more fantasy points in non-PPR formats, but Henry also finished second in half-PPR and third in (full) PPR as well. In other words, the limited passing-game role hasn't hurt his value much, even in leagues that reward a full point per reception. Regardless of format, Henry is a top-three option for me in 2021.

Darrynton Evans: If Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role with another back, such as Brian Hill, handling a majority of the early-down work. Being second on the depth chart of such a run-heavy team, however, makes Evans worth a late-round dart throw whether you're handcuffing Henry or not.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
A.J. Brown82.91170.19.3000214.26
Julio Jones80.31108.27.9000198.37
Josh Reynolds31.6394.22.900072.62
Dez Fitzpatrick12152.71.200028.47
Cameron Batson7.784.60.62.610.80.0517.29
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine3.443.30.30007.83

A.J. Brown: Brown missed a couple of games in 2020, but he followed up a strong rookie campaign (52/1,052/8) with career highs across the board -- 70 catches, 1,075 yards and 11 touchdowns on 106 targets. Despite playing in a run-first offense, Brown has averaged 17.4 Y/R and scored a touchdown on 15.6% of his receptions through his first two NFL seasons.

There is the potential for even better numbers in 2021 for the ascending third-year receiver, but many of the vacated targets left by Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries will be soaked up by Julio Jones and (to a lesser degree) Josh Reynolds.

Julio Jones: Jones missed nearly half of the season, but he finished with at least 94 yards in five of his nine games played in 2020. Averaging 85.7 YPG last year, Jones was still on a full-season pace of 1,371 yards. Before last season, he had a minimum of 1,394 yards in six consecutive seasons. As Jones transitions to Tennessee's run-first, Derrick Henry-centric offense, his per-game numbers are certain to drop. That said, he's still a high-end WR2.

Josh Reynolds: Before the Titans traded for Jones, Reynolds had some sleeper appeal, but it will difficult for this offense to support three fantasy-relevant receivers. If either Jones or Brown misses time, however, Reynolds could become a highly-coveted waiver-wire target.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Firkser43.6493.23.600092.72
Geoff Swaim15.4148.61.100029.16
Jared Pinkney5.151.60.400010.11
Luke Stocker3.437.10.30007.21

Anthony Firkser: Moving to the top spot on the depth chart with Jonnu Smith now in Foxboro, Firkser enters 2021 with some sleeper appeal. Firkser had 39/387/1 in 2020 as a situational player and he should be heavily involved in the red zone. The challenge for Firkser is the run-first nature of the offense and the upgrades to the receiving corps with Julio Jones and Josh Reynolds in the WR2/WR3 spots.

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