Thursday, August 31, 2023

Detroit Lions 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Detroit Lions.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jared Goff549.9365.74041.824.757.728.478.10.5256.08
Teddy Bridgewater35.123.2252.71.370.74.6150.1416.53

Jared Goff: The Lions finished top five in the NFL in both scoring and total offense in 2022, and Goff was much better in his second season with the Lions than he was in his first. Throwing for 4,438 yards, 29 touchdowns and only seven interceptions, Goff finished as fantasy's QB10. Perhaps he'll push for a second consecutive top-12 campaign and he benefits from playing behind one of the league's better offensive lines and with a talented group of pass catchers, but he's better drafted as a QB2.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jahmyr Gibbs168.4732.54.6355.2440.22.7188.85
David Montgomery202.1848.86.1626.4201.81.2162.42
Craig Reynolds35.3151.80.928.660.10.433.41
Jason Cabinda2.39.40.072.921.50.15.56

Jahmyr Gibbs: It's a new-look backfield for the Lions — D'Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams are out, and Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery are in. Detroit's backfield ranked third in touches last season, and they were top 10 in RB targets. Gibbs lacks ideal size to be a workhorse back, but he will quickly develop into one of the league's best receiving backs and he has game-breaking speed (4.36 40-yard dash). It's possible, maybe likely, that Montgomery leads the backfied in carries while Gibbs leads it in fantasy points scored.

David Montgomery: The Lions had two backs finish as top-24 performers in 2022 — Williams (RB8) and Swift (RB22) — and no team's running backs scored more fantasy points than Detroit's. In other words, it's possible that the duo of Gibbs and Montgomery both perform as RB2-type backs (or better) in 2023. Montgomery has averaged only 3.94 YPC through four seasons, but he will have the opportunity to run behind a much better offensive line in Detroit than he had in Chicago. In addition, he is a capable receiver as well with a minimum of 25 receptions each year and a total of 155 through four seasons.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Amon-Ra St. Brown93.31056.46.37.369.40.55200.33
Jameson Williams38.1543.33.32.316.10.1495.63
Marvin Jones45.55693.4000100.05
Josh Reynolds23.9298.51.800052.6
Kalif Raymond19.4255.51.54.625.30.2348.16
Antoine Green3.547.20.30008.27

Amon-Ra St. Brown: Extremely productive through his first two seasons, St. Brown set career highs in 2022 with 106 receptions, 1,161 yards and six touchdowns. Given Jameson Williams' six-game suspension to start the season, St. Brown should continue to see massive target shares. Only six receivers had more red-zone targets than St. Brown (21) in 2022.

Jameson Williams: Williams made his NFL debut in Week 13, and he played only 78 offensive snaps in the team's final six games in 2022. While he had an 11.1% catch rate (one catch on nine targets), he had one 41-yard touchdown reception and one 40-yard run on his two NFL touches in 2022. He's a big play waiting to happen, but a gambling suspension will keep him off the field through the first six games. In addition, a hamstring injury sidelined him througout this preseason.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Sam LaPorta51.5577.63.7000105.71
Brock Wright14.61611.100030
James Mitchell5.862.30.400011.53

Sam LaPorta: The typical learning curve for tight ends transitioning to the NFL is steep, but it wouldn't surprise me if we're talking about LaPorta as one of the top 6-8 fantasy tight ends this time next year. Then again, as The Athletic's Colton Pouncy writes, LaPorta "has shown the ability to make catches in traffic, provide yards after the catch and find ways to get open. LaPorta might already be Goff's second-favorite target behind Amon-Ra St. Brown."

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