Sunday, October 1, 2017

Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em: Week 4 Fantasy Wide Receivers

hUltimately, the decision of which player to start is largely determined by the composition of your roster (as well as your league's settings).

As an example, Golden Tate is listed below as a "start" for Week 4. And I'd feel comfortable going into Week 4 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

That said, he may be a sit for your team.

In other words, if you owned both Julio Jones, Keenan Allen and Tate and start two receivers, you should start Jones and Allen -- and in turn, bench Tate.

So, while you won't find absolute start-sit recommendations below (use my Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings for that instead), the goal here is to highlight some players that I like (and would feel comfortable starting) as well as some players that I dislike for this week (and would prefer to keep on my bench).

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Week 4 Fantasy Football WR Start'em


WR - DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans (vs. TEN)

No duh, right? That said, I highlight Hopkins this week, because I was really low on him last week (WR25 in my Week 3 rankings) and he's my WR8 for Week 4.

Volume is key and Hopkins has a massive 41.11-percent target share through the first three weeks of the season. No other player is even close. Only three other wide receivers are above 30 percent: A.J. Green (36.05%), Antonio Brown (33.03%) and Jarvis Landry (32.91%).

Even though the Patriots defense hasn't played well this season, the concern with Hopkins in Week 3 was how well the Patriots typically game plan to take away an opponent's top offensive threat. In a more favorable matchup this week, however, Hopkins should see high volume and have an opportunity to put up huge numbers. The Titans have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

WR - DeVante Parker (and Jarvis Landry), Miami Dolphins (vs. NO)

It was a disappointing performance for the entire offense team last week. Saved by a garbage-time touchdown, one exception to that rule was Parker, who finished the week with eight catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. Parker now has more than 75 yards in both games and a total of 19 targets this season.

In terms of the team's top-two receivers, Parker has the tougher matchup (Marshon Lattimore). That said, I expect both Parker and Landry to finish as top-20 fantasy wide receivers in Week 4. The Saints have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers so far this season.

WR - Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (at MIN)

With Xavier Rhodes on the outside, Tate's matchup from the slot is much more favorable than the team's other wideouts. With double-digit targets in two of three games, Tate has 21 catches for 190 yards and a touchdown on the season. Tate is a solid WR2 heading into Week 4.

WR - Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals (vs. SF)

It's been an up-and-down start for Fitzgerald, but the volume has mostly been there with 13 targets in Week 1 and 15 in Week 3. Coming off a huge week against the Cowboys with 13 catches for 149 yards and a touchdown, Fitzgerald should be able to put up another strong performance against the 49ers. San Francisco allowed a pair of 100-yard games to Sammy Watkins and Robert Woods last week.

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Week 4 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em


WR - Terrelle Pryor, Washington Redskins (at KC)

Pryor had 11 targets in Week 1, but he's only been targeted four times -- less than 15 percent of team targets -- in each of the past two games. Against the Rams and Raiders, Pryor had just 2/31 and 2/19, respectively, as he finished outside the top-70 weekly wide receivers in both of the past two weeks. Based on talent, there is always the potential for Pryor to go off in any week, but he's just outside my top-30 wide receivers for Week 4.

WR - Willie Snead, New Orleans Saints (at MIA)

Returning from a three-game suspension, it shouldn't be assumed that Snead returns to the WR2 role immediately. Added to the injury report towards the end of the week, Snead (hamstring, questionable) could end up being held out another week. If he plays, the matchup is favorable, but I'd prefer to take a wait-and-see approach before inserting him into any of my lineups.

WR - T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts (at SEA)

Hilton had a monster game (7/153/1) against the Browns last week, but how much do you trust him to put up strong back-to-back performances? It's another week without Andrew Luck and Jacoby Brissett has certainly played better than Scott Tolzien, but this week's matchup is also more difficult as the Colts go to Seattle (as opposed to hosting Cleveland last week). No team has a lower implied total than the Colts (14.50) this week. Based on my rankings, Hilton is more of a WR3 or flex as opposed to a must-start WR2 (or higher).

WR - Martavis Bryant, Pittsburgh Steelers (at BAL)

Always a threat for a big play, Bryant has been a boom-or-bust type of fantasy performer and that trend has continued into the 2017 season. In his first three games, Bryant has finished as fantasy football's WR77, WR6 and WR70, respectively. So, perhaps he's due for another "boom" performance, but the Steelers offense is less typically much less potent on the road than at home and this game has one of the week's lowest over/under (42.0). Only three games have lower weekly totals.

- More Fantasy Football Start'em, Sit'em for Week 4

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