Thursday, August 31, 2023

Carolina Panthers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Carolina Panthers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Bryce Young523.8335.23666.621.4813.3653214.71.33235.31
Andy Dalton33.421.8232.11.40.96.821.10.1416.03

Bryce Young: It is no surprise that the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 draft will be the Week 1 starter, but his dynasty outlook vastly outweighs his fantasy value in redraft leagues. Ups and downs should be expected for any rookie, but Young is always composed, processes information quickly and thrives when extending and making plays outside of structure.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Miles Sanders203923.75.4832.7251.51.4175.15
Chuba Hubbard108.2465.32.8121.4159.80.995.47
Raheem Blackshear69.9286.61.9919.3144.30.869.48

Miles Sanders: Sanders set career highs in rushing last season with 259 carries for 1,269 yards and 11 touchdowns. Through four NFL seasons, he has averaged 5.02 yards per carry running behind the league's best offensive line. With Jalen Hurts under center, Sanders (and Philly's running backs) weren't targeted often, but he had 50 receptions as a rookie in 2019. There's a good chance that he's more involved as a receiver than he was over the past several seasons.

Chuba Hubbard: Sanders played a full 17-game slate last season, but he played only 12 games in each of the previous two seasons. While Sanders (groin) says he'll be ready to go for Week 1, Hubbard would likely handle the largest share of the workload if Sanders were to miss any time this season.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Adam Thielen53.6596.54000110.45
D.J. Chark45.26553.5000109.1
Jonathan Mingo47.3590.73.4000103.12
Terrace Marshall Jr.31.2409.42.300070.34
Laviska Shenault Jr.23.2251.51.410.155.60.5153.77
Ihmir Smith-Marsette4.146.80.30008.53

Adam Thielen: After spending his entire career in Minnesota, Thielen begins anew with the Panthers and a rookie quarterback in his age-33 season. Thielen has has a minimum of 67 catches and 710 yards in each of the past three seasons, and he's one of five players with at least 30 touchdowns during that span, per Stathead.

D.J. Chark: Chark will compete with Adam Thielen, Terrace Marshall Jr. and Jonathan Mingo for targets, which means that Chark has a real shot to lead the team's wide receivers in fantasy points in 2023. Chark has appeared in only 28 games over the past three seasons, but he had a breakout age-23 season before that with 73/1,008/8 in 2019. Chark (hamstring) says he's optimistic about his Week 1 availability.

Jonathan Mingo: The Panthers used a top-40 pick on Mingo, a big receiver (6-2, 220) who had a strong showing at the combine (4.46 40-yard dash, 39.5" vertical jump and 22 bench press reps). While the college production wasn't elite as a four-year starter, he's a good route runner who uses his size and strong hands to win in contested-catch situations.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Hayden Hurst49.1487.32.900090.68
Ian Thomas15.2154100029
Tommy Tremble12.5128.70.900024.52
Giovanni Ricci2.323.40.10004.09

Hayden Hurst: Hurst is playing for his fourth team since being drafted in the first round in 2018. While he has missed four games in back-to-back seasons, he averaged a career high in receptions per game (4.0) last season with the Bengals. Hurst has averaged only 8.1 yards per reception over the past two seasons, but he has the potential to post comparable numbers to last year (52/414/2).

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Indianapolis Colts 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Indianapolis Colts.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Anthony Richardson475.82853354.418.5614.51119690.24.64276.26
Gardner Minshew44.227.53161.990.997.920.50.1621.63

Anthony Richardson: Indianapolis was arguably the ideal landing spot for Richardson. After all, new coach Shane Steichen tailored Philadelphia's offense to best suit the skill set of Jalen Hurts. Ups and downs should be expected for Richardson, but his elite athletic profile gives him enormous rushing upside from the start.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jonathan Taylor148.7691.54.6120.6154.20.8127.33
Zack Moss107.7473.92.5815.3121.10.686.23
Deon Jackson76.93231.6516.4128.50.767.45
Evan Hull41.5178.50.914.738.50.230.71

Jonathan Taylor: There is a lot of uncertainty with Taylor heading into 2023, but one thing is certain — he will miss a minimum of four games. Even though the self-imposed deadline to find a trade partner has passed, will he be dealt at some point before the official trade deadline (Oct. 31st at 4 p.m. ET)? If he's not traded, is he really physically unable to perform? Can we count on Jim Irsay to not make a bad situation even worse (again) over the next four-plus weeks, even though GM Chris Ballard says that "relationships are repairable"? Will he pull a Le'Veon Bell if he's still a Colt after Oct. 31st? If he plays and gets banged up, will he shut it down? On the other hand, if we knew that he'd only miss four games, he'd be a top 10 fantasy running back from Week 5 on.

Zack Moss: Given the current tension between Taylor and the team, it potentially opens up significant opportunities for the team's other backs even beyond Week 4. Moss should be the team's top non-J.T. back (based on the current roster) when he's healthy, but he's been out with a broken arm. It's unclear if he'll be available for Week 1, but Shane Steichen says Moss is "trending in the right direction."

Deon Jackson: Jackson had five games with double-digit touches in 2022 including one with double-digit carries (12) and double-digit receptions (10) in Week 6 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. With Taylor (PUP) out and the uncertain status for Moss, Jackson could be in line for a sizable Week 1 role against the Jaguars.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Michael Pittman Jr.72.8926.85.14.437.40.18164.5
Alec Pierce47.5666.23.5000111.37
Josh Downs40.9506.52.800087.9
Isaiah McKenzie27.53231.96.736.20.3463.11

Michael Pittman Jr.: Pittman set a career high in receptions (99) while averaging a career low in Y/R (9.3) in 2022. While he should lead the receiving corps across the board, fantasy managers should expect some week-to-week inconsistency from Pittman as his rookie quarterback adjusts to the NFL.

Alec Pierce: As noted with Pittman, the offense (and passing game in particular) will likely go through some growing pains, and week-to-week inconsistency is reasonable to expect from Indy's pass catchers. That said, the former second-round pick has the potential to build upon last year's solid rookie numbers (41/593/2, 14.5 Y/R). Both Pierce and Anthony Richardson's strengths align in the vertical passing game, which makes Pierce an intriguing late-round stack with Richardson in best ball formats.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Jelani Woods33.4407.42.500072.44
Kylen Granson13152.30.900027.13
Mo Alie-Cox12146.80.900026.08
Will Mallory6.778.90.500014.24
Andrew Ogletree1.620.20.10003.42

Jelani Woods: Woods (hamstring) will unfortunately begin the season on IR, which means he'll miss at least the first four games of the season. An outstanding athlete (4.61 40-yard dash) at his size (6-7, 259), he had some sleeper appeal in an offense that would have likely spread tight end snaps and targets around less than recent coaching staffs. I still expect him to lead the tight end group once he's able to return, but he's best left on the waiver wire in fantasy drafts.

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Detroit Lions 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Detroit Lions.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jared Goff549.9365.74041.824.757.728.478.10.5256.08
Teddy Bridgewater35.123.2252.71.370.74.6150.1416.53

Jared Goff: The Lions finished top five in the NFL in both scoring and total offense in 2022, and Goff was much better in his second season with the Lions than he was in his first. Throwing for 4,438 yards, 29 touchdowns and only seven interceptions, Goff finished as fantasy's QB10. Perhaps he'll push for a second consecutive top-12 campaign and he benefits from playing behind one of the league's better offensive lines and with a talented group of pass catchers, but he's better drafted as a QB2.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Jahmyr Gibbs168.4732.54.6355.2440.22.7188.85
David Montgomery202.1848.86.1626.4201.81.2162.42
Craig Reynolds35.3151.80.928.660.10.433.41
Jason Cabinda2.39.40.072.921.50.15.56

Jahmyr Gibbs: It's a new-look backfield for the Lions — D'Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams are out, and Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery are in. Detroit's backfield ranked third in touches last season, and they were top 10 in RB targets. Gibbs lacks ideal size to be a workhorse back, but he will quickly develop into one of the league's best receiving backs and he has game-breaking speed (4.36 40-yard dash). It's possible, maybe likely, that Montgomery leads the backfied in carries while Gibbs leads it in fantasy points scored.

David Montgomery: The Lions had two backs finish as top-24 performers in 2022 — Williams (RB8) and Swift (RB22) — and no team's running backs scored more fantasy points than Detroit's. In other words, it's possible that the duo of Gibbs and Montgomery both perform as RB2-type backs (or better) in 2023. Montgomery has averaged only 3.94 YPC through four seasons, but he will have the opportunity to run behind a much better offensive line in Detroit than he had in Chicago. In addition, he is a capable receiver as well with a minimum of 25 receptions each year and a total of 155 through four seasons.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Amon-Ra St. Brown93.31056.46.37.369.40.55200.33
Jameson Williams38.1543.33.32.316.10.1495.63
Marvin Jones45.55693.4000100.05
Josh Reynolds23.9298.51.800052.6
Kalif Raymond19.4255.51.54.625.30.2348.16
Antoine Green3.547.20.30008.27

Amon-Ra St. Brown: Extremely productive through his first two seasons, St. Brown set career highs in 2022 with 106 receptions, 1,161 yards and six touchdowns. Given Jameson Williams' six-game suspension to start the season, St. Brown should continue to see massive target shares. Only six receivers had more red-zone targets than St. Brown (21) in 2022.

Jameson Williams: Williams made his NFL debut in Week 13, and he played only 78 offensive snaps in the team's final six games in 2022. While he had an 11.1% catch rate (one catch on nine targets), he had one 41-yard touchdown reception and one 40-yard run on his two NFL touches in 2022. He's a big play waiting to happen, but a gambling suspension will keep him off the field through the first six games. In addition, a hamstring injury sidelined him througout this preseason.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Sam LaPorta51.5577.63.7000105.71
Brock Wright14.61611.100030
James Mitchell5.862.30.400011.53

Sam LaPorta: The typical learning curve for tight ends transitioning to the NFL is steep, but it wouldn't surprise me if we're talking about LaPorta as one of the top 6-8 fantasy tight ends this time next year. Then again, as The Athletic's Colton Pouncy writes, LaPorta "has shown the ability to make catches in traffic, provide yards after the catch and find ways to get open. LaPorta might already be Goff's second-favorite target behind Amon-Ra St. Brown."

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Minnesota Vikings 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Minnesota Vikings.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kirk Cousins594.3392.84427.529.1213.0736113.41.26286.34
Nick Mullens37.924.7274.81.521.174.29.50.0916.22

Kirk Cousins: Reunited with his former Washington offensive coordinator, Cousins finished as fantasy's QB7 with Kevin O'Connell in his first year as his head coach. That said, Cousins was 11th on a points-per-game basis (among QBs that played at least half the year) as the veteran quarterback set multi-year lows in completion percentage (65.9%), TD% (4.5), yards per attempt (7.1) and passer rating (92.5) in 2022. With the Vikings using a first-round pick on Jordan Addison to complement Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson, Cousins remains a steady back-end QB1 type heading into 2023.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Alexander Mattison200.8843.46.1240.3291.52182.36
Ty Chandler94390.12.417.3124.60.879.32
Myles Gaskin55225.51.3210.275.20.546.09
Kene Nwangwu17.672.20.448.156.40.421.95
C.J. Ham4.214.70.121075.20.618.31

Alexander Mattison: Mattison is poised for a breakout season (or at least a significant bump in workload) with Dalvin Cook released earlier this offseason. The gap between RB1 (Mattison) and RB2 (Ty Chandler, or even Myles Gaskin) is wide enough that there is no real threat to his lead-back role. The fifth-year back has 90-plus rushing yards in five of the six games in which he has played more than 40 offensive snaps.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Justin Jefferson116.51619.98.44.218.90.21273.79
Jordan Addison59.1733.65.13.2160.16136.07
K.J. Osborn49.1587.84.32.511.30.1110.86
Jalen Nailor11.3131.7100024.82
Brandon Powell9.8101.10.71.56.80.0620.25

Justin Jefferson: What more can Jefferson do? Not only has he improved his production in each successive season, but he broke Randy Moss's record for receiving yards through a player's first three seasons. During those three seasons, he's racked up a total of 324 receptions for 4,825 yards and 25 touchdowns.

Jordan Addison: With Justin Jefferson commanding so much defensive attention, Addison's landing spot is ideal for his ability to make an early impact. While he ran a slower-than-expected 40-yard dash (4.49) at the NFL Combine, the former Biletnikoff Award winner is a polished route-runner with some inside/outside versatility and the ability to win at all three levels.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
T.J. Hockenson68.1726.55.2000137.9
Josh Oliver10103.50.900020.75
Johnny Mundt6.561.10.600012.96
Nick Muse1.314.10.10002.66

T.J. Hockenson: Hockenson was traded midseason within the division, and he averaged 8.6 targets and six receptions per game after the trade to the Vikings. Despite the midseason trade, he finished as fantasy's TE2, but part of that was aided by two monster games — 8/179/2 for the Lions in Week 4 and 13/109/2 for the Vikings in Week 16. Other than those two huge games, he had double-digit (half-PPR) fantasy points in only two other games. An ear infection and back stiffness has led to lots of missed time in August, but this type of treatment may be what was necessary to allow him to return to full health.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Baker Mayfield544.1338.73808.723.415.2347.9167.71.92243.78
Kyle Trask47.328.6326.41.841.668.720.90.2620.75

Baker Mayfield: After Tom Brady's (second) retirement, the Bucs find themselves in the unenviable position of having to start Mayfield, who beat out Kyle Trask but is on his fourth team in the past 18 months. The former No. 1 overall draft pick completed only 60% of his pass attempts in 2022 for 2,163 yards (6.5 Y/A), 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions over 12 games. While he's clearly undraftable in standard (one-QB) leagues, he downgrades the outlook for all of the team's pass catchers.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Rachaad White202.3839.55.1645330.81.9181.89
Chase Edmonds60.92681.5818.4128.20.762.5
Ke'Shawn Vaughn56.6240.61.478.672.40.446.82
Sean Tucker53.5230.11.424.635.10.238.54

Rachaad White: Once the Buccaneers released Leonard Fournette, who is still a free agent, White immediately moved atop the team's 2023 depth chart. As a 2022 rookie, he had 129 carries for 481 yards (only 3.7 YPC) and a touchdown in addition to 50 receptions for 290 yards and two touchdowns. His best game as a runner (22/105) was coincidentally against the Seattle Seahawks and his new offensive coordinator Dave Canales, who was Seattle's quarterbacks coach last year.

Chase Edmonds: Playing for both the Dolphins and Broncos in 2022, it was a highly disappointing campaign for Edmonds. While he had only 16 catches last season, Edmonds will have a chance to bounce back in that category as he had a combined 96 catches in the previous two seasons.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Chris Godwin80.8971.75.73.716.70.19174.58
Mike Evans701002.86.5000174.28
Trey Palmer28.3339.1200060.06
Deven Thompkins24.8287.41.81.510.50.0653.35
Rakim Jarrett18210.91.300037.89

Chris Godwin: Godwin has missed multiple games in each of the past four seasons. While he set a career high in targets (142) and receptions (104) in 2022 and has reached the 1,000-yard mark in three of his past four seasons, he set a career low in Y/R (9.8) and his three touchdowns were a non-rookie career low. The downgrade at quarterback from Tom Brady to Baker Mayfield will impact Godwin, Mike Evans and the team's passing offense overall.

Mike Evans: Evans extended his 1,000-yard streak to his first nine NFL seasons, which beat his own record in 2022. While the targets (127), receptions (77), yards (1,124) and Y/R (14.6) all look good, he had only six touchdowns, a five-year low, and he wasn't consistent throughout the season. A monster Week 17 game (20/207/3) against Carolina ended an 11-game scoring drought (Weeks 5-16). Evans exceeded 59 yards only once from Weeks 9-16. Even if he extends his 1,000-yard streak, there could be plenty of ups and downs throughout the course of the season given the quarterback downgrade.

Trey Palmer: Russell Gage is out for the season, and Palmer is in the mix to be the team's WR3. Especially in a less-potent 2023 Buccaneers offense, the third receiver likely won't be fantasy-relevant outside of deep leagues, but Palmer (or Deven Thompkins or Rakim Jarrett) will at least be a name to monitor.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Cade Otton43479.7300087.47
Ko Kieft18.4194.31.300036.43
Payne Durham5.964.10.400011.76
David Wells1.718.60.10003.31

Cade Otton: Otton had 42 catches for 391 yards and two touchdowns on 65 targets as a rookie in 2022 and he had four catches for 58 yards on seven targets in their playoff loss to the Cowboys. Even if his numbers are better in his second season, he's not much more than a fantasy TE2 in 2023.

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New York Jets 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New York Jets.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Aaron Rodgers556.3364.44088.829.7610.0136.8106.71.38281.52
Zach Wilson35.520.1252.11.10.994.319.40.2215.76

Aaron Rodgers: After winning back-to-back NFL MVP awards in 2020 and 2021, Rodgers numbers (without Davante Adams) were well below his career averages across the board in 2022 — 64.6% (65.3% career average), 4.8 TD% (6.2%), 2.2 INT% (1.4%), 6.8 Y/A (7.7) and 91.1 passer rating (103.6). Regardless of how long the next era of his career lasts, Rodgers joins a Jets team that has a better supporting cast than he had last year in Green Bay.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Breece Hall183.4825.35.539.8329.92.1181.02
Dalvin Cook144.4635.44.4826.9212.71.4133.54
Michael Carter28.11180.712.5760.532.85
Israel Abanikanda19.581.90.47430.40.217.25
Nick Bawden0001.28.70.12.07

Breece Hall: Before Hall tore his ACL, his NFL career was off to a great start. The rookie from Iowa State averaged 5.8 yards per carry and 11.5 yards per reception through seven games. His workload had jumped considerably in Weeks 4-6 (61 touches) from Weeks 1-3 (34). Who knows how good his rookie season would have been if the injury hadn't happened? There are lots of reasons for fantasy managers to be excited about Hall's long-term outlook, but it wouldn't be a shock if he starts the 2023 season slowly, especially with Dalvin Cook joining the Jets on a one-year deal.

Dalvin Cook: Cook appeared in all 17 games last season, and it was the first time that played more than 14 games in a season. Now a Jet, he's no longer the clear lead back, but it's possible that he starts the season with a larger share of the workload as the Jets ease Hall back from injury.

Michael Carter: Carter had double-digit touches in eight of the first nine games last season, but he had only 28 touches — 15 carries for 32 yards and 13 catches for 79 yards — over the final five games. The team kept him over Zonovan Knight, but his opportunities will be limited as long as both Hall and Cook are healthy.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Garrett Wilson83.11048.37.1527.50.18192.81
Allen Lazard61.3779.25.72.615.60.1144.93
Mecole Hardman32.9479.73.26.944.90.2189.37
Randall Cobb32.73692.81.98.60.0471.15
Xavier Gipson8.799.80.700018.53
Jason Brownlee5.667.30.500012.53
Irvin Charles2.734.70.20006.02

Garrett Wilson: Despite poor quarterback play, Wilson was outstanding in 2022 as he finished with 83 receptions for 1,103 yards and four touchdowns and was named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. More efficient quarterback play should help Wilson in his second season.

Allen Lazard: Lazard posted career highs in targets (100), receptions (60) and yards (788) last season. Although Lazard edged his Packers teammate Christian Watson in fantasy points scored last season, both of whom finished as top-36 performers, Watson outscored him on a per-game basis. While he benefits from continuing to catch passes from Aaron Rodgers, there's a clear talent gap between Garrett Wilson and Lazard.

Mecole Hardman: Hardman has the potential to have an occasional big week, but he'll be hard to trust as the team's third (or fourth?) receiver behind Wilson and Lazard (and Cobb?). He's never averaged more than 40.8 yards per game in his four seasons with Patrick Mahomes.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyler Conklin40.4449.33.400085.53
C.J. Uzomah17.71911.600037.55
Jeremy Ruckert11.3123.7100024.02
Kenny Yeboah3.841.20.30007.82

Tyler Conklin: Conklin followed up his breakout 2021 season (61/593/3, 87 targets) in Minnesota with nearly identical numbers (58/552/3, 87 targets) with the Jets last year. Given that the offense should be better in general in 2023, there's a chance that Conklin performs as a mid-tier TE2 once again.

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Washington Commanders 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Washington Commanders.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Sam Howell511.8319.9368520.7314.5978.9303.82.37245.74
Jacoby Brissett44.528307.11.60.7312.3480.4324.6

Sam Howell: Slipping to the fifth round of the 2022 NFL Draft, Howell started the season finale and enters 2023 as Washington's starter. Howell completed only 11-of-19 pass attempts for 169 yards (8.9 Y/A), a touchdown and an interception in his lone regular-season start, but he also ran for 35 yards and a touchdown on five carries. With a talented receiving corps, a new offensive coordinator and some mobility, Howell has a chance to deliver better-than-expected results in 2023.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Brian Robinson Jr.208.2884.96.2522.1171.70.8159.01
Antonio Gibson129.5556.93.6349.4393.22.1154.09
Chris Rodriguez Jr.24.71050.627.757.90.325.66

Brian Robinson Jr.: Given what he endured last August (shot multiple times in the leg in a carjacking incident), Robinson had an incredibly impressive rookie season and shouldered a heavy workload, once healthy. He averaged 17.1 carries per game, although he was less involved as a receiver (12 targets in 12 games).

Antonio Gibson: Fumbling issues plagued Gibson's 2021 season, and he was inefficient last season (3.66 YPC) with career lows in both touches (195) and yards from scrimmage (899). Gibson has a minimum of 36 catches in each season with a career-high 46 last year, however, and coach Ron Rivera referred to him as a "matchup nightmare for the opponent." With J.D. McKissic no longer on the roster, Gibson could set career highs in receiving.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Terry McLaurin76.21047.95.45.437.80.22180.39
Jahan Dotson61.8862.34.93.720.40.13149.35
Curtis Samuel42.3461.12.829.6174.61.78112.2
Dyami Brown11.1171.70.915.50.0528.97
Byron Pringle4.953.90.30009.64
Dax Milne2.327.90.10004.54
Mitchell Tinsley1.6200.10003.4

Terry McLaurin: Just shy of the 1,000-yard mark as a rookie (2019) when he missed two games, McLaurin has since finished every season with more than 75 receptions and 1,000 yards. While he has averaged 80.3 receptions and 1,120.7 yards over the past three seasons, he has only 14 total touchdowns. McLaurin's (turf toe) Week 1 status is uncertain.

Jahan Dotson: Dotson missed five games in his rookie season, but the 2022 first-rounder finished with 35 receptions for 523 yards (14.9 Y/R) and seven touchdowns. Dotson has plenty of breakout appeal as he heads into his sophomore campaign.

Curtis Samuel: Samuel played limited offensive snaps (84) in his first season (2021) with the Commanders as he dealt with injuries, but he had 64 receptions for 656 yards and four touchdowns and added 187 rushing yards and a score in 2022. In his past three healthy seasons, he has finished as fantasy's WR34 (2022), WR25 (2020) and WR36 (2019). Perhaps he won't have a fourth top-36 season in five years, but he'll likely outperform his ADP if he can stay healthy.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Logan Thomas41.4431.12.700080.01
Cole Turner14.1153.7100028.42
John Bates12.4129.70.900024.57
Curtis Hodges0.9100.10002.05

Logan Thomas: Thomas is a couple of seasons removed from a 72/670/6 breakout campaign, but he tore his ACL in 2021 and has a combined 57/519/4 in 20 games over the past two seasons. Going into his age-32 season, he may be the fourth option in the passing game behind Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson and Curtis Samuel, but Cole Turner has some sleeper appeal too.

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Wednesday, August 30, 2023

Green Bay Packers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Green Bay Packers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Jordan Love543.1344.93937.522.2715.4855.8181.41.67243.78
Sean Clifford34.721.5239.41.320.875.612.60.0614.74

Jordan Love: Both Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers created (what many would describe as unnecessary) drama towards the tail end of their Packer tenures, but they also provided the franchise with tremendous stability at the position for three decades. Packers coach Matt LaFleur has talked up Love's "complete command" of Green Bay's offense, but growing pains should be expected as the franchise transitions to its next era. The team loaded up on several Day 2 pass catchers (Luke Musgrave, Jayden Reed, Tucker Kraft, etc.) in the draft to help support his long-term growth.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Aaron Jones178.58304.9152.8409.32.8196.59
A.J. Dillon163.6703.54.9133254.81.1148.39
Emanuel Wilson33.5144.10.841.612.50.122.1

Aaron Jones: Before last season, Jones had three consecutive seasons with double-digit touchdowns. That said, he set career highs in rushing yards (1,121) and receptions (59) in 2022. Transitioning from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love adds some uncertainty, but Jones has 47-plus receptions in four consecutive seasons and 1,459-plus YFS in three of his past four seasons. Jones is undervalued heading into the 2023 season.

A.J. Dillon: Whether fantasy managers roster Jones or not, Dillon has stand-alone fantasy value and has finished as a top-30 fantasy running back in back-to-back seasons. During that span, Dillon has 435 touches including 62 receptions on 80 targets for 2,092 yards from scrimmage and 14 total touchdowns.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Christian Watson71.1996.25.77.156.80.57178.47
Romeo Doubs53.9678.73.7000117.02
Jayden Reed52645.33.62.214.30.11114.22
Dontayvion Wicks19.4240.21.300041.52
Samori Toure9121.10.700020.81
Malik Heath3.339.70.20006.82

Christian Watson: Watson missed three of the team's first nine games, and he played more than one-third of the team's offensive snaps in only one game (Week 1) during that stretch. From Weeks 10-18, however, Watson racked up 31/523/7 on 52 targets over eight games and added 61 rushing yards and a score. He was fantasy's WR7 during that span.

Romeo Doubs: Doubs missed four games in 2022, but the fourth-rounder finished his rookie season with 42 catches for 425 yards and three touchdowns. As he competes with second-round rookie Jayden Reed for targets behind Watson, Doubs has the upside to outperform his current ADP.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Luke Musgrave36.6415.62.300073.66
Tucker Kraft23.4261.11.500046.81
Josiah Deguara10.3102.30.600018.98

Luke Musgrave: With Robert Tonyan now in Chicago, it will be a pair of rookie tight ends — Musgrave and Tucker Kraft — that top the depth chart. Musgrave is an extremely athletic tight end that can be used to create mismatches against linebackers and safeties.

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Chicago Bears 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Chicago Bears.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Justin Fields446.9275.73217.722.7914.08137.6839.46.19312.79
Tyson Bagent36.222.4251.61.361.095.117.90.1315.89

Justin Fields: Making modest improvements as a passer in his second season, Fields also made in-season strides highlighted by the following splits:

  • Games 1-7: 55.9% completion, five TDs and six INTs
  • Games 8-15: 63.7% completion, 12 TDs and five INTs

More improvement as a passer should be expected for his third season, but Fields has as much rushing upside as any quarterback in the NFL. He led the NFL in yards per carry (7.1) and ended the season with 1,143 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Only six running backs rushed for more yards in 2022. Over his final 10 games, Fields was even more dominant as a runner with a per-game rushing line of 11.8/94.9/0.7 (8.04 YPC). In his final 10 games played, Fields finished as a top-10 weekly quarterback nine times, a top-five performer five times and the overall weekly QB1 twice.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Khalil Herbert151.7697.84.5525.2180.41.2134.92
D'Onta Foreman101.3440.72.7911.683.30.577.94
Roschon Johnson92.6407.42.4512.290.20.674.16
Travis Homer7.734.30.156.9520.314.78
Khari Blasingame0000.65.200.82

Khalil Herbert: Chances are that Justin Fields will lead the Bears in rushing, but Herbert has been highly efficient — career 5.02 YPC on 232 carries — through his first two NFL seasons. Given the volume of rush attempts by Fields, it should come as no surprise that the Bears ranked last in the NFL in running back receptions and 31st in running back targets in 2022. Even if Herbert leads the Bears running backs in both rushing and receiving, which I currently project, it's possible that fantasy managers are left wanting a bit more.

D'Onta Foreman: Foreman rushed for more than 110 yards in five of the final 11 games in 2022 for the Panthers. During that span, he racked up 191/877/5 rushing (4.59 YPC). Going into the 2023 season, however, it's possible that both Herbert and rookie Roschon Johnson are ahead of him on the depth chart.

Roschon Johnson: A fourth-round rookie from Texas, Johnson will battle Herbert and Foreman for reps, but ESPN's Courtney Cronin wrote that "Johnson might carry the most potential as a three-down back." Johnson's role should continue to expand as the season progresses.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
D.J. Moore69.2931.56.37.563.80.23173.31
Darnell Mooney485954.11.57.90.09109.43
Chase Claypool38511.73.52.1110.1393.05
Equanimeous St. Brown13.1201.21.23.324.80.1737.37
Velus Jones Jr.5.571.10.53.935.10.2717.99
Tyler Scott5.776.30.500013.48
Trent Taylor1.620.80.10003.48

D.J. Moore: Moore set four-year lows in receptions (63) and yards (888) last season, although he posted a career high in touchdowns (seven). Justin Fields should continue to improve as a passer in 2023 (in part due to the boost Moore provides to the receiving corps), but the Bears ranked last in the league in passing play percentage (43.8%) last season. Even with a projected target share north of 25%, Moore may not get a significant jump in targets from the 118 he had last season with the Panthers.

Darnell Mooney: Failing to build on his 2021 breakout season (81/1,055/4), Mooney missed five games and averaged 1.5 receptions and 21 receiving yardsd per game fewer in 2022 than in 2021. The addition of Moore will help Fields, but it slides Mooney down a notch on the target pecking order.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Cole Kmet45.6499.63.900096.16
Robert Tonyan13131.81.100026.28
Marcedes Lewis1.919.10.10003.46

Cole Kmet: Targeted much less in 2022 (69) than in 2021 (93), Kmet's receptions (50) and yardage (544) dropped only modestly due to improvements in catch rate (64.5% to 72.5%) and yards per target (6.6 to 7.9). Held scoreless in 2021, Kmet had seven touchdowns in 2022 including six scores from Weeks 8-17. Adding a talented receiver (D.J. Moore) to the mix within a run-dominant offense may limit Kmet's opportunity to take a major step forward from his 2021-22 production levels.

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