Tuesday, December 11, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football TE Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 15

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

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With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 15 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Ian Thomas, Carolina Panthers (7 percent)

Leading the Panthers in both receptions (nine) and targets (11), Thomas had 77 yards against the Browns in Week 14. The rookie tight end now has five-plus catches in back-to-back games and should remain a key cog in Carolina's passing attack down the stretch with Greg Olsen on IR.

Unfortunately, he won't get any easy matchups over the rest of the fantasy playoffs. The Panthers face the Saints and Falcons in Weeks 15 and 16, respectively. The Saints have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

2. Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins (5 percent)

Assuming that Jordan Reed (foot) sits out Week 15 (and perhaps longer), Davis could become a streaming option down the stretch. The veteran tight end had four catches for 31 yards and a two-point conversion on Sunday. Although the Jaguars have been middle of the road against tight ends this season, they have been more generous of late with six top-12 fantasy performances allowed to tight ends since Week 8.

3. Gerald Everett, Los Angeles Rams (21 percent)

The Bears defense shut down Jared Goff, Todd Gurley and the high-powered Rams offense on Sunday Night Football as Everett finished with just 29 yards. That said, he set season highs in both receptions (four) and targets (seven). Before this week, he finished as a top-12 fantasy tight end in three of his previous four games. Everett remains a high-upside TE2 the rest of the way.

4. Chris Herndon, New York Jets (15 percent)

Herndon had just one catch for 14 yards on two targets in Week 14. Despite the disappointing outing, the rookie from The U. has 24 catches for 312 yards and three touchdowns over the past eight games. Herndon and the Jets face the Texans, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season.

5. C.J. Uzomah, Cincinnati Bengals (29 percent)

Given the injuries to Tyler Eifert and A.J. Green, Uzomah could have been more productive this season. Instead he's been solidly mediocre. Uzomah has 33 to 41 yards in four consecutive games and a minimum of three receptions in five consecutive games. The good news is that the Bengals face the Raiders in Week 15 and no team has allowed more fantasy points to the position this season.

6. Blake Jarwin, Dallas Cowboys (0 percent)

There was some optimism and deep sleeper appeal about Jarwin going into the season with Jason Witten retiring and the team releasing Dez Bryant in the offseason. Before this past week, however, Jarwin has failed to exceed 25 receiving yards in any game. Against the Eagles in Week 14, however, Jarwin caught all seven of his targets for 56 yards.

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2018 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 15

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

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With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 15 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Dante Pettis, San Francisco 49ers (46 percent)

With exactly seven targets in three consecutive games, Pettis has had three highly-productive outings over that stretch. The upcoming matchups (SEA, CHI and LAR) aren't necessarily the best, but the 49ers should be trailing (by a lot), which could lead to continued fantasy success down the stretch.

Scoring in each of the past three weeks, Pettis has a total of 12 catches for 255 yards and four touchdowns combined. A top-20 fantasy wide receiver in each of the past three weeks, Pettis has finished with double-digit fantasy points despite teammate George Kittle eclipsing the 200-yard mark on Sunday.

2. Curtis Samuel, Carolina Panthers (30 percent)

With tight end Greg Olsen out for the rest of the season, Samuel has had 80-plus yards in back-to-back games with a total of 19 targets in those two games. Before those two games, Samuel scored a touchdown in three of his previous four games. Samuel has performed as a top-33 fantasy wide receiver in five of his past six games.

3. Kenny Stills, Miami Dolphins (31 percent)

Scoring in back-to-back weeks, Stills racked up eight catches for 135 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's win over the Patriots. Miami's remaining three games are against the Vikings, Jaguars and Bills and all three teams have ranked amongst the top-five most stingy defenses to opposing wide receivers this season. Even so, it's good to see Stills become fantasy-relevant after a very quiet season.

4. Zay Jones, Buffalo Bills (21 percent)

The production wasn't there in Week 14 as Jones finished with three catches for 22 yards on Sunday. Despite the inefficiency, it is a positive that Jones once again had nine targets. He now has a minimum of nine targets in back-to-back games and three of his past four. Assuming the volume continues, there could be some more fantasy-relevant outings down the stretch.

5. DaeSean Hamilton, Denver Broncos (7 percent)

With Demaryius Thomas traded and Emmanuel Sanders injured, it has opened up the opportunity for Hamilton to make more of a contribution to the offense. Hamilton's nine targets in Week 14 were more than he had from Weeks 1 to 13 combined and he finished with seven catches for 47 yards and a touchdown. The Broncos face the Browns in Week 15.

6. Robby Anderson, New York Jets (21 percent)

For the second consecutive game, Anderson had four catches on seven targets -- and target shares of 23.33 and 29.17 percent, respectively. Scoring for the first time since Week 5, his 76 yards were also his most since that week. The Jets have a challenging matchup against the Texans in Week 15, but Anderson has the talent to make the most of what appears to be an expanding and more consistent role in the passing offense.

7. Willie Snead, Baltimore Ravens (26 percent)

Snead had just one catch for eight yards in Weeks 12 and 13, but he bounced back with five catches for 61 yards. Snead now has more than 50 yards in seven of his past 10 games. Especially if Joe Flacco returns in Week 15 and brings a higher pass-play percentage with him, Snead could have another solid, if not spectacular, outing. The Bucs have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

8. Robert Foster, Buffalo Bills (1 percent)

In large part due to the big plays, Foster now has at least 94 receiving yards in three of his past four games. More importantly, however, he converted seven of eight targets, both of which were season highs, for 104 yards in Week 14. There is obvious consistency concerns in Buffalo's anemic passing offense, but he should be owned in more than just one percent of Yahoo! leagues.

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2018 Fantasy Football RB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 15

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

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With that said, here are some running back waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 15 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Elijah McGuire, New York Jets (7 percent)

With Isaiah Crowell exiting Week 14 early, McGuire handled lead-back duties as he racked up 20 touches -- 17 carries and three receptions. Turning those touches into 83 yards and a touchdown, McGuire would be in line for another significant workload if Crowell is unable to go in Week 15 against the Texans.

2. Damien Williams, Kansas City Chiefs (17 percent)

Even though Spencer Ware outgained Williams by nearly 100 yards from scrimmage, Williams was able to score a pair of touchdowns and should maintain a role within the post-Kareem Hunt Chiefs backfield.

3. Frank Gore, Miami Dolphins (27 percent)

Efficient on his 13 touches Sunday, Gore carried the ball 12 times for 92 yards and added a 24-yard reception against the Patriots. Performing as the RB17 on the week, Gore has finished as fantasy's RB35 or better in five of six and eight of 10 weeks. The lack of touchdowns (only one this season) limits his upside, but he offers some consistency.

4. Ito Smith, Atlanta Falcons (28 percent)

Smith set a season high with 14 touches -- 11 carries and three receptions -- as he totaled 74 yards from scrimmage. It was the second consecutive game that Smith had more touches than backfield mate Tevin Coleman. On a positive note for both Smith and Coleman, they get a matchup in Week 15 against Arizona. Only the Bengals and Chiefs have allowed more fantasy points to opposing running backs this season than the Cardinals.

5. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore Ravens (8 percent)

Averaging 6.0 yards per carry in his two games back from IR, Dixon carried the ball eight times for 59 yards and a touchdown to go along with a 21-yard reception in Sunday's loss to the Chiefs. Even though Gus Edwards has become the team's lead back, Dixon has exactly nine touches in back-to-back games and his role could expand down the stretch based on comments from coach John Harbaugh.

6. Chris Ivory, Buffalo Bills (4 percent)

Per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, LeSean McCoy (hamstring) is considered "day-to-day." While it's possible that McCoy plays in Week 15, there is little incentive to rush him back too soon. If he doesn't play, Ivory could become a volume-based flex option this week.

7. Darren Sproles, Philadelphia Eagles (6 percent)

Corey Clement (knee) could miss a game or two, which would give Sproles and Wendell Smallwood opportunities as the change-of-pace back to Josh Adams. With just four touches in each of the past two games, Sproles has still managed to score in back-to-back weeks. Almost double-digit underdogs against the Rams in Week 15, the Eagles could play at a faster pace trying to keep up with L.A. and that could potentially bode well for Sproles.

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Monday, December 10, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football QB Waiver-Wire Options Heading Into Week 15

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

Embed from Getty Images

With that said, here are some quarterback waiver-wire options that I like heading into Week 15 (Yahoo! ownership in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by my preference to add.]

1. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (14 percent)

Not only did he turn the ball over three times, Allen failed to throw a touchdown in Sunday's loss to the Jets. That said, it wasn't a complete dud in terms of fantasy production. Continuing to make plays with his legs, the rookie signal-caller rushed for 101 yards and a touchdown.

Over the past three games, Allen has rushed for a minimum of 99 yards and has a total of 335 rushing yards and two touchdowns during that stretch. In fact, he's now the team's leading rusher and he's rushed for as many touchdowns (five) as he has thrown (five). In these three starts, he has finished as the QB4, QB2 and QB15, respectively.

2. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (19 percent)

One week after throwing for 285 yards and three scores, Carr led the Raiders to a win over the Steelers despite being double-digit underdogs as he threw for 322 yards and two touchdowns. Over the past two weeks, only two quarterbacks have thrown for 600-plus yards and five-plus touchdowns -- Patrick Mahomes and Carr.

Perhaps a plus matchup helps Carr carry his momentum into Week 15. The Raiders will face the Bengals, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

3. Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (45 percent)

Exiting late in the game, it's possible (or likely) that Jackson hands the starting gig back off to Joe Flacco in Week 15 against the Buccaneers. If Jackson starts another game, however, he will once again be a viable streaming option. The Bucs have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

In four games as a starter, Jackson has failed to throw for more than 178 yards in any game. But the dual-threat first-round pick has exceeded 70 rushing yards in all four starts. Because of his rushing production, he has scored more than 15 fantasy points every week and has finished as the weekly QB13, QB15, QB11 and QB12, respectively.

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Wednesday, November 28, 2018

Week 13 Fantasy Football QB Rankings

The upside seemed obvious entering the season, but not even his biggest proponent could have expected the level of success he has experienced thus far.

Coming off his Week 12 bye, no player has scored more fantasy points this season than Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

More impressive than the overall production has been Mahomes' level of consistency. With the exception of Week 5 (against Jacksonville), Mahomes has scored 20-plus fantasy points and finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback every week. In addition, Mahomes has thrown for 300-plus yards and/or thrown multiple scores in every game this season.

Mahomes (10) leads the league in 20-point fantasy performances and no other quarterback has more than eight (Andrew Luck, Cam Newton and Ben Roethlisberger).

Heading into the final five weeks of the season, Mahomes has thrown for 3,628 yards, 37 touchdowns and only 10 interceptions. Not only is Mahomes throwing touchdowns at a league-best 9.5-percent rate, he has a pair of touchdown runs as well.

Based on his production thus far, Mahomes is on pace to become only the second 5,000/50 quarterback. If he maintains his current pace, he will finish the season with 5,277 yards and 54 touchdowns. Peyton Manning set the record for both in 2013 with 5,476 yards and 55 touchdowns.

Tom Brady is the only other quarterback to reach the 50-TD mark and Mahomes would become the sixth 5,000-yard passer. In addition to Drew Brees, who has done it five times, HOFer Dan Marino, Manning, Brady and Matthew Stafford have 5,000-yard seasons under the belt.

Once again, Mahomes tops my weekly rankings.

If there's a concern with this week's matchup against the Raiders, it's the early possibility of a blowout over the Raiders. Even so, no team is projected to score more points this week than the Chiefs, who have an implied total over 35 based on Vegas odds.

 

3+ TDs for Andrew Luck?


In the history of the NFL, only two (other) quarterbacks -- Manning and Brady -- have done it before.

Done what?

Colts quarterback Andrew Luck carries an eight-game streak of three-plus passing touchdowns into Week 13. Not surprisingly, he has also finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in each of those eight games.

Facing division-rival Jacksonville this week, the matchup doesn't seem as difficult as it would have earlier in the season.

Limiting opposing quarterbacks to a QB16 (or worse) weekly finish in their first five games of the season, the Jags pass defense has been anything but elite. Since Week 6, they have surrendered 20-plus fantasy points and a top-eight weekly performance in five of six games including each of their past four matchups.

One of those matchups was Luck himself. In Week 10, Luck completed 21-of-29 for 285 yards and three scores. Luck has thrown multiple touchdowns in each of his past three games against the Jags.

Below is our Week 13 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings from Kevin Hanson:



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Tuesday, November 27, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football TE Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 13 to 16

There are many factors to consider in a player's outlook and his fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect.

If you're debating a pair of players to add from the waiver wire or acquire via trade, however, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie of two players that you would otherwise view as comparable.

With that said, our 2018 fantasy football strength of schedule ranks a player's remaining schedule in terms of average fantasy points allowed collectively by their remaining opponents.

RankTeamPlayerCumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Cleveland BrownsDavid Njoku10.3131.43
2New Orleans SaintsBenjamin Watson10.0431.05
3Oakland RaidersJared Cook9.8729
4Los Angeles ChargersAntonio Gates9.6529.46
5Denver BroncosJeff Heuerman8.9725.35
6Indianapolis ColtsJack Doyle8.9326.66
7Baltimore RavensHayden Hurst8.6127.19
8Cincinnati BengalsC.J. Uzomah8.4624.53
9Tampa Bay BuccaneersCameron Brate8.4422.2
10Philadelphia EaglesZach Ertz8.427.97
11Buffalo BillsCharles Clay8.3323.69
12Minnesota VikingsKyle Rudolph8.323
13Miami DolphinsMike Gesicki8.1126.49
14Seattle SeahawksEd Dickson8.0324.92
15New England PatriotsRob Gronkowski824.74
16Atlanta FalconsAustin Hooper7.7422.5
17Carolina PanthersGreg Olsen7.7120.5
18Pittsburgh SteelersVance McDonald7.6924.38
19Kansas City ChiefsTravis Kelce7.5820.79
20Chicago BearsTrey Burton7.2821.38
21Arizona CardinalsRicky Seals-Jones7.2123.69
22Tennessee TitansJonnu Smith7.1222.4
23Dallas CowboysGeoff Swaim7.0823.66
24Detroit LionsLuke Willson7.0119
24Houston TexansRyan Griffin7.0119.41
26San Francisco 49ersGeorge Kittle6.8221.32
27Jacksonville JaguarsJames O'Shaughnessy6.7518.82
28Washington RedskinsJordan Reed6.3720.32
29Green Bay PackersJimmy Graham6.2919.38
30New York JetsChris Herndon6.1220.92
31Los Angeles RamsGerald Everett6.116.98
32New York GiantsEvan Engram5.8517.35


* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:
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2018 Fantasy Football WR Strength of Schedule (SOS): Weeks 13 to 16

There are many factors to consider in a player's outlook and his fantasy strength of schedule is far from the most important aspect.

If you're debating a pair of players to add from the waiver wire or acquire via trade, however, a more favorable fantasy schedule could potentially break the tie of two players that you would otherwise view as comparable.

With that said, our 2018 fantasy football strength of schedule ranks a player's remaining schedule in terms of average fantasy points allowed collectively by their remaining opponents.

RankTeamPlayerCumulative PointsFantasy Playoffs
1Carolina PanthersDevin Funchess28.0284.74
2Arizona CardinalsLarry Fitzgerald26.8779.7
3Dallas CowboysAmari Cooper26.774.57
4Chicago BearsAllen Robinson25.4980.73
5Denver BroncosEmmanuel Sanders25.2875.59
6Pittsburgh SteelersAntonio Brown25.0479.23
7Houston TexansDeAndre Hopkins24.6973.27
8Green Bay PackersDavante Adams24.5877.2
9Baltimore RavensJohn Brown24.5771.26
10Los Angeles RamsBrandin Cooks24.4272.31
11New York GiantsOdell Beckham24.3773.31
12San Francisco 49ersMarquise Goodwin24.3472.97
13Buffalo BillsZay Jones24.1873.96
14Jacksonville JaguarsDonte Moncrief24.0275.86
15Cincinnati BengalsTyler Boyd23.8270.84
16Minnesota VikingsAdam Theilen23.7672.5
16Oakland RaidersJordy Nelson23.7672.03
18Washington RedskinsJosh Doctson23.6767.64
19Tampa Bay BuccaneersMike Evans23.5769.71
20Cleveland BrownsJarvis Landry23.4874.56
21Seattle SeahawksDoug Baldwin23.3367.64
22New Orleans SaintsMichael Thomas23.1273.96
23Atlanta FalconsJulio Jones23.173.45
24Tennessee TitansCorey Davis23.0766.23
25New York JetsQuincy Enunwa22.9664.59
26Philadelphia EaglesAlshon Jeffery22.7765.21
27Los Angeles ChargersKeenan Allen22.3967.5
28Kansas City ChiefsTyreek Hill22.1764.22
29Detroit LionsKenny Golladay21.2157.53
30New England PatriotsJulian Edelman20.3162.26
31Indianapolis ColtsT.Y. Hilton19.5759.12
32Miami DolphinsKenny Stills19.5360.67


* Note: Totals above are the average fantasy football points allowed based on their remaining opponents.

Full Strength of Schedules:
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