Saturday, July 21, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Arizona Cardinals

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Arizona Cardinals.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Sam Bradford317.4217.4234912.7713.931.30.11.5131.49
Playing for his fourth team in five years, Bradford played just two games last season and durability has obviously been his biggest problem. With the Cardinals trading up to No. 10 for rookie Josh Rosen, it wouldn't be a huge surprise if the team transitions to Rosen following their Week 9 bye, if not sooner, especially if the Cards find themselves lagging the other three teams in the division.
Josh Rosen242.3151.4176996.513.441.50.11.595.51
Some believe Rosen was the best quarterback prospect in the draft (including Rosen himself). Given the durability history of Bradford and the potential of the Cardinals to trail the Rams, Seahawks and 49ers, all of whom have better Super Bowl 52 odds than the Cardinals, a switch to Rosen seems possible at some point within the 2018 season.
Mike Glennon17.310.91120.70.50.40.9006.37
One offseason removed from an opportunity to start, it's unlikely Glennon gets an opportunity to make any starts even if Bradford misses time due to injury.

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
David Johnson286.41231.59.259.96112.72.5250.65
Missing all but part of Week 1 last year, Johnson is two seasons removed from 2,118 yards from scrimmage, 80 catches and 20 touchdowns. The ambitious goals he set for himself in 2017 -- 1,000 rushing yards and 1,000 receiving yards -- remain his goals for 2018. The order may be debatable, but Johnson is a top-four fantasy back along side Todd Gurley, Le'Veon Bell and Ezekiel Elliott.
Chase Edmonds60.92681.723.7201.51.20.862.75
Arizona's fourth-round selection, Edmonds set Fordham's record for career rushing yards (5,862) as a four-year starter. Edmonds appears to be the favorite for backup duties to Johnson.
D.J. Foster19.7690.67.757.80.20.117.28
T.J. Logan13.9570.43.830.40.20.112.14
Derrick Coleman1.75.10218.400.12.15

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Larry Fitzgerald99.61025.96.50.83.200.3141.31
Returning for (at least) another season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in each of the past three seasons and four of the past five. Incredibly consistent, Fitz has 100-plus receptions and 1,000-plus yards in three consecutive seasons. Going into his age-35 season, he's a solid WR2.
J.J. Nelson21.9398.62.52.930.50.30.458.91
Christian Kirk31.9328.62.6527.50.10.455.21
Without (much) competition for wide receiver targets beyond Fitzgerald wide open, Kirk could have a chance to make an immediate impact for his hometown team.
Brice Butler21.6358.62.30000.149.46
Butler has a good combination of size/speed and has averaged 16.1 Y/R over his five-year career. It wouldn't be a surprise if the 28-year-old receiver set career highs, but he's never had more than 21 catches, 317 yards or three touchdowns in his five-year career.
Chad Williams26.3298.52.42.116.80045.93
In his "For what it's worth in June" column, Darren Urban of azcardinals.com projects Williams to be the Week 1 starter opposite Fitzgerald. While Urban admits "this position battle is so wide open," he wrote that "it just feels like Williams will be able to be the one who makes that step" forward in training camp.
Cobi Hamilton2.329.70.200004.17

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Ricky Seals-Jones35.6516.24.30000.277.02
Seals-Jones had a productive three-game stretch from Weeks 11 to 13 -- nine catches for 170 yards and three touchdowns. (He had 3/31/0 over the rest of the season.) With little competition at tight end, Seals-Jones upside going into 2018. In a year where tight end is incredibly thin, it wouldn't be out of the question for RSJ to push his way into the top 12 by year's end.
Jermaine Gresham16.9172.41.70000.127.24

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2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Atlanta Falcons

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Matt Ryan540354.2426624.811.932.9118.40.21.5256.08
Over the past six seasons, Ryan has finished as fantasy's QB7, QB15, QB7, QB17, QB2 and QB15, respectively. So, perhaps he's due to finish as a top-seven fantasy QB this year? In the first season with Steve Sarkisian calling the plays, Ryan threw for 4,095 yards, a seven-year low, and 20 touchdowns, a nine-year low. On a positive note, the addition of Calvin Ridley in the first round gives a boost to an already talented group of pass-catchers. Even though I expect better year-over-year numbers, Ryan is unlikely to bounce back to his 2016 MVP-level production.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Devonta Freeman245.31116.110.844.5387.22.21.2225.93
Missing two-plus games last season, Freeman still managed to finish as the RB13 after much better seasons in 2015 (RB1) and 2016 (RB6). Over the past three seasons, only Todd Gurley (4,599), Le'Veon Bell (4,522) and LeSean McCoy (4,396) have more yards from scrimmage than Freeman (4,357) and his 35 touchdowns are tied with Gurley for the most over that stretch.
Tevin Coleman140.2602.95.632380.83.20.8149.57
Even if he's the 2 to Freeman in the team's 1-2 rushing attack, Coleman has finished as a top-24 running back and exceeded 900 yards from scrimmage in each of the past two seasons. The contract-year back has scored 19 total touchdowns since 2016.
Ito Smith1148.40.31.612.800.17.72
Terron Ward6.628.40.1215.60.10.15.4

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Julio Jones89.81472.76.80000.1187.87
With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past four seasons, Jones has a total of 6,317 receiving yards during that four-year span. Only Antonio Brown (6,349) has more and both have more than 1,200 yards more than DeAndre Hopkins (5,063, third). Only Brown has more catches than Jones over that span. Of course, the problem is that Jones has just 23 touchdowns, tied for 21st in the NFL since 2014.
Mohamed Sanu59.4641.54.72.28.400.192.99
In his first two seasons with the Falcons, Sanu posted 59/653/4 and 67/703/5 statistical lines in 2016 and 2017, respectively. Barring an injury to Julio Jones, the first-round selection of Calvin Ridley limits upside above Sanu's recent level of production.
Calvin Ridley43.252730000.270.3
Old'ish for a rookie (turns 24 in December), Ridley is neither the biggest (6-1, 189) or most-explosive athlete (31-inch vertical and 9-foot-2 broad jump), but he's an excellent route-runner with a chance to be the best rookie wideout in re-draft formats.
Justin Hardy24.2254.12.20000.138.41
Marvin Hall2.8420.300006
Russell Gage1.5180.11.35.2002.92

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Austin Hooper47.8535.440000.177.34
In his second season, Hooper posted a 49/526/3 stat line and finished as fantasy's TE18 (TE17 in PPR), but it was all downhill after a 2/128/1 start to the season. Hooper exceeded 40 yards only once in his final nine games.
Logan Paulsen9.781.50.50000.110.95
Eric Saubert6.872.80.5000010.28

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2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Baltimore Ravens

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Joe Flacco538.6347.4344718.913.520.346.710197.15
The starter for 2018, it's possible/likely that Flacco doesn't see the end of his existing contract given the team's first-round investment in Lamar Jackson. While I'd bet on Flacco starting all 16 games (barring injury) in 2018, a late-season switch if the team and/or Flacco struggles wouldn't be out of the question. Not only did Flacco average a career-low 5.7 Y/A, but he was 0-for-16 in 300-yard games for the first time since his rookie season.
Lamar Jackson25.8151830.70.616.31061.3027.32
Compared to Michael Vick due to his rare athletic gifts and big-play ability, Jackson has the potential to be an elite fantasy quarterback once he becomes the starter. Even though the Ravens will find a way to get Jackson on the field some in his rookie season, Flacco will likely start for all of 2018 and perhaps RG3 would still become the starter if Flacco were to miss a game or two. If he does become a spot starter at some point during the season, however, he'd be an instant streaming option.
Robert Griffin III8.65.2600.30.24.524.80.307.48


More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Alex Collins212.9958.16.629.4229.30.62.4157.14
Collins had double-digit carries in the final 12 games of the season, but he didn't get his first reception until Week 8. From Week 8 to 17, the second-year back had the eighth-most fantasy points among running backs.
Kenneth Dixon121.6522.93.213.780.80.50.681.37
Sidelined all of 2017 due to injury (and suspension), Dixon is at least behind Collins for touches in Baltimore's backfield. While I thought he was underrated entering the league, Dixon has now missed more games (20) than he has played (12) since being a fourth-round pick in 2016.
Javorius Allen66.4255.61.438.4230.42.30.869.2
Allen now has two seasons with 500-plus rushing yards and 45-plus receptions (2015 and 2017) with a season of 49 YFS in between. Even though 39 of Allen's 46 catches came between Week 2 to 9, the (now) retired Danny Woodhead had 30 catches over the final nine games of the season. There is some PPR upside for Allen, but he's not draftable in standard-sized leagues.
Patrick Ricard0002.114.7001.47

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Michael Crabtree84.2917.88.40000.9140.38
As part of a 1-2 punch with Amari Cooper in Oakland, Crabtree now becomes his team's clear No. 1 wideout. Over the past three seasons, Crabtree has 25 touchdowns -- eight-plus in each of the past three seasons.
John Brown39.3569.93.94.524.80.10.582.47
Since his breakout 2015 season (65/1,003/7), Brown has 60 catches for 816 yards and five touchdowns in 25 games over the past two seasons. If his health cooperates, there is upside, but it's unclear what the Ravens will get from Brown in 2018.
Willie Snead43481.62.20001.258.96
Snead had just eight catches over 11 games in 2017, but he posted 69/984/3 and 72/895/4 in 2015 and 2016, respectively. Given the lack of productivity from Breshad Perriman and uncertainty with John Brown, Snead has a chance to vastly exceed my current projections for him.
Jordan Lasley18.3226.91.32.39.200.530.41
Chris Moore6.679.20.82.32.300.312.35
Breshad Perriman3.943.70.30000.15.97
The Ravens declined the fifth-year option on Perriman and he's not a lock to make the 53-man roster with five newcomers (Crabtree, Brown and Snead as free agents and draft picks Jordan Lasley and Jaleel Scott). And drops continue to be a problem for Perriman.
Jaleel Scott1.723.80.20000.13.38

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Hayden Hurst34.4364.62.90000.852.26
Older than the typical rookie (turns 25 in August), Hurst was the first tight end off the board in the 2018 NFL Draft. As much as Flacco missed that reliable Dennis Pitta type, it's uncommon for rookie tight ends to make a significant fantasy impact.
Nick Boyle18.8169.20.80000.221.32
Maxx Williams13.3127.70.71.890.10.816.87
Mark Andrews12123.60.80.94.500.416.81
Vince Mayle0.95.400000.10.34

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2018 Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 7th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on July 7th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2018 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2018 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

Embed from Getty Images


Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Point-per-reception (PPR) scoring
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 7
  • Starters: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST
  • Bench Size: 6

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.07 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans: While I debated Saquon Barkley here, I'm thrilled with how my running back group for this squad turned out. With a league-high 174 targets last season, Hopkins arguably has the highest floor among all receivers in the league. Hopkins already has three 1,200-yard seasons through his age-25 season.

2.06 - Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings: Before having his rookie season cut short by a torn ACL, the Florida State product carried the ball 74 times for 354 yards (4.78 YPC) and two touchdowns with 11 catches for 90 yards. Cook was on a 16-game pace of 1,776 yards from scrimmage, 44 catches and eight touchdowns. If he's able to stay healthy, Cook has top-five upside in what should be a run-heavy offense.

- MORE: Minnesota Vikings 2018 Fantasy Football Projections

3.07 - Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings: With 20 fewer receptions year over year, Diggs finished 2017 with 64 catches for 849 yards and a career-high eight touchdowns. Diggs has missed multiple games in each of his three NFL seasons, but he could improve upon his WR19 PPR season if he's able to stay healthy for a full season.

4.06 - Kenyan Drake, RB, Miami Dolphins: Over the final five games of the 2017 season, Drake ran for a league-high 444 yards on 91 carries (4.88 YPC) with two touchdowns and added 17 receptions for 150 yards. Additions to the running back room may keep Drake from reaching his December workload (21.6 touches per game), but he's likely to be the team's most productive back and is a solid RB2.

5.07 - Michael Crabtree, WR, Baltimore Ravens: As part of a 1-2 punch with Amari Cooper in Oakland, Crabtree now becomes his team's clear No. 1 wideout. Over the past three seasons, Crabtree has 25 touchdowns -- eight-plus in each of the past three seasons.

- MORE: Michael Crabtree 2018 Fantasy Football Profile

6.06 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: While Sanders missed four games, his 2017 numbers (47/555/2) were nearly half of his 2016 production (79/1,032/5). Before last season, Sanders had three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and there is a reasonable chance that he approaches that level of production with Case Keenum under center.

7.07 - Rashaad Penny, RB, Seattle Seahawks: With good size (5-11, 220) and speed (4.46 forty), Penny could be used as a three-down back. Either way, I love his value in the seventh round.

8.06 - Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints: Speaking of values, Ingram is a still in Round 8. Even with rookie Alvin Kamara finishing as PPR's RB3, Ingram set career highs in 2017 with 1,124 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, 58 receptions and 416 receiving yards. Playing full 16-game seasons in back-to-back years, Ingram has rushed for 1,000-plus yards and scored double-digit touchdowns in consecutive seasons. While he'll play 12 games, at most, this season, the suspension creates a massive discount for his Week 5 to 16 production level.

- MORE: New Orleans Saints 2018 Fantasy Football Projections

9.07 - Trey Burton, TE, Chicago Bears: Burton had 23 catches for 248 yards and five touchdowns as the second tight end behind Zach Ertz last season. Burton has plenty of breakout potential in the "U" role that Travis Kelce had in Matt Nagy's offense in Kansas City.

10.06 - Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears: The versatile back had 454 YFS in his first seven games and just 269 YFS over his final nine. That said, Cohen has the potential for a better second season with the offense that has seen Tyreek Hill thrive coming to Chicago.

11.07 - Matthew Stafford, QB, Detroit Lions: Not counting his QB15 finish in 2014, Stafford has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in the other six of the past seven seasons. Part of that consistent production is aided by his durability (no missed games over past seven seasons) and the team's reliance on the passing game, but he actually set a seven-year low in pass attempts (565) in 2017. Even so, Stafford threw for 4,446 yards, a four-year high, and 29 touchdowns, tied for the third-most in his career.

12.06 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: Except for 2012 (21st) and 2016 (14th), Rivers has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in the eight of his past 10 NFL seasons. Getting Stafford and Rivers so late, I'd play the matchups on a week-to-week basis.

13.07 - Tyrell Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers: With Keenan Allen out for virtually of 2016, Williams had a breakout season with 69 catches for 1,059 yards and seven touchdowns. With Allen healthy, Williams had 43/728/4 in 2017 — and that level of production is a more reasonable expectation barring an Allen injury in 2018.

14.06 - Los Angeles Chargers D/ST

15.07 - Jared Cook, TE, Oakland Raiders: Cook led the team in receiving yards (688) and 20-yard receptions (10) and finished second in receptions (54), but he had just two touchdowns. Finishing as a top-12 fantasy tight in PPR formats, Cook has top-10 upside should he generate a little more red-zone volume and success.

16.06 - Matt Bryant, K, Atlanta Falcons

- View full mock draft results here

Complete your own mock drafts for free on our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator page.

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Friday, July 20, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Profile: Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons

In the first year without Kyle Shanahan running the offense, the Atlanta Falcons saw their offensive output drop from a league-best 33.1 points per game to middle of the road (22.1 PPG, 15th) in 2017.

Not only did Devonta Freeman miss two games after leaving Week 10 in the first quarter with a concussion, but he dealt with MCL and PCL sprains down the stretch.

Yet as the lead back of the team's 1-2 rushing attack with Tevin Coleman, Freeman still managed to finish as fantasy football's RB13 (PPR's RB14) in 2017 despite those injuries and the team's overall offensive decline.

Before last season, however, Freeman finished as fantasy's RB1 and RB6 in 2015 and 2016, respectively.

Over the past three seasons, only three running backs have more yards from scrimmage than Freeman (4,357): Todd Gurley (4,599), Le'Veon Bell (4,522) and LeSean McCoy (4,396). Only three running backs -- Duke Johnson (188), Theo Riddick (186) and Bell (184) -- have more receptions than Freeman (163) over that same span.

Not only has Freeman been highly productive on a full-year basis, he has provided fantasy owners with both weekly consistency and upside.

From 2015 to 2017, Freeman has 28 games with double-digit (standard) fantasy points. Only McCoy (30) and Gurley (29) have more. In addition, Freeman ranks third in games with 15-plus fantasy points (18) and 20-plus fantasy points (10).

Despite a change in offensive coordinator, the Falcons once again ranked 11th in run-play percentage. In fact, they ran the ball a little more frequently -- 43.86 percent in 2017 vs. 42.27 percent in 2016.

In terms of blocking, Atlanta's offensive line was ranked second (behind only Philadelphia's) according to PFF. Meanwhile, Austin Hooper earned PFF's eighth-best run blocking grade (80.7) among tight ends while posting sub-50 grades for receiving and pass blocking.

Freeman ranked 10th in red-zone rush attempts (34) in 2017 as he received 63.6 percent of the team's rush attempts inside the 5-yard line. Missing two games in 2017, those numbers were down year-over-year.

In 2016, Freeman ranked third in red-zone carries (53) with an 84.2-percent share of his team's carries inside the 5-yard line. (Only Melvin Gordon had a higher percentage.)

Even though teammate Tevin Coleman has 19 touchdowns in the past two seasons, Freeman is tied with Gurley for a league-high 35 touchdowns over the past three seasons.

 

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

Based on the fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs last season, Freeman and Atlanta's running backs have the sixth most-difficult strength of schedule for Weeks 1 to 16 in 2018. It's even more challenging in the fantasy playoffs (third most-difficult) with matchups against the Packers, Cardinals and Panthers from Weeks 14 to 16, respectively.

- View full Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

 

Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP)

Below is a chart of his ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator over the past month:

Fantasy Football ADP for Devonta  Freeman

In my mind, there is little distinction between Freeman and the RBs going immediately before him -- Leonard Fournette (1.08), Melvin Gordon (1.10), Kareem Hunt (1.11) and Dalvin Cook (1.12). That said, there are plenty of question marks in the next tier of backs -- Jordan Howard (2.05), Jerick McKinnon (2.08), Joe Mixon (2.09), Christian McCaffrey (2.12) and Derrick Henry (3.02).

 

Devonta Freeman: Full Season Projections

Below you will find full-season projections for Atlanta Falcons RB Devonta Freeman for the 2018 NFL season:

RushRuYDRuTDRec.ReYDReTDFantasy Points
240.81095.610.843.7380.22.2223.18

- Atlanta Falcons 2018 Fantasy Football Projections
- More Fantasy Football Projections

 

Bottom Line

A versatile do-it-all back, Freeman is one of the safest second-round picks. Although his ADP and my ranking are equal (RB11), there is a significant dropoff from Freeman to the next tier of running backs. The gap in my fantasy football projections between RB11 (Freeman) and RB12 (Howard) is twice as much as the gap between RB5 (Saquon Barkley) and RB11 (Freeman).

Relative value: Undervalued

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Good luck in your 2018 fantasy football leagues!
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2018 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 12th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on July 7th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2018 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2018 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., non-PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 12
  • Starters: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST
  • Bench Size: 6

Embed from Getty Images

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.12 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past four seasons, Jones has a total of 6,317 receiving yards during that four-year span. Only Antonio Brown (6,349) has more and both have more than 1,200 yards more than DeAndre Hopkins (5,063, third). Only Brown has more catches than Jones over that span.

2.01 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Gordon has yet to average 4.0 yards per carry in a season, but last year he rushed for 1,105 yards and added 58 catches for 476 yards, all of which were career highs. And after not scoring on 217 touches as a rookie, MG3 has scored exactly 12 touchdowns in each of the past two seasons.

3.12 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Returning for (at least) another season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in each of the past three seasons and four of the past five. Incredibly consistent, Fitz has 100-plus receptions and 1,000-plus yards in three consecutive seasons. Going into his age-35 season, he's a solid WR2.

4.01 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas is coming off his worst season (83/949/5) since breaking out in 2012. Signing Case Keenum may not return Thomas to the days of 90/1,400/10 numbers he posted from 2012 to 2014, but a bounce-back campaign to the tune of 90 catches and 1,200 yards seems reasonable with steadier quarterback play.

- MORE: Denver Broncos 2018 Fantasy Football Projections

5.12 - Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints: Even with rookie Alvin Kamara finishing as fantasy's RB4, Ingram set career highs in 2017 with 1,124 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, 58 receptions and 416 receiving yards. To a certain degree, Ingram's four-game suspension creates more fantasy appeal as there is a discount given the level of strong production from Weeks 5 to 16.

6.01 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: With D'Onta Foreman's (Achilles) status for Week 1 unclear, Miller should get the majority of work early in the season, which works well as I use him in my RB2 role while Ingram is suspended to start the season.

7.12 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Parker appears to be doing the right things as Joe Schad notes: "Dolphins coaches say few if any players have spent more time in the building than Parker since last season ended." Given that Jarvis Landry and his 570 targets over the past four years are no longer on the roster, the 25-year-old Parker has loads of upside if he's able to put it all together this season.

8.01 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Even if he's the 2 to Devonta Freeman in the team's 1-2 rushing attack, Coleman has finished as a top-24 running back and exceeded 900 yards from scrimmage in each of the past two seasons. The contract-year back has scored 19 total touchdowns since 2016.

- MORE: Devonta Freeman 2018 Fantasy Football Profile

9.12 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: If he ever puts together a 16-team season, Reed has the potential to lead all tight ends in fantasy points. Unfortunately, he has missed at least four games in four of his five NFL seasons including 10 missed games last season. In his healthiest season (14 games in 2015), Reed had a monster 87/952/11 line.

10.01 - Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts: Assuming Luck is under center against the Bengals in Week 1, which seems likely at this point, it will be 616 days in between meaningful games. In his past three full seasons, Luck has finished as fantasy's QB4 (2013), QB2 (2014) and QB4 (2016). If he can stay healthy for the entire season, there is plenty of profit potential on Luck this late.

11.12 - Tyrell Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers: With Keenan Allen out for virtually of 2016, Williams had a breakout season with 69 catches for 1,059 yards and seven touchdowns. With Allen healthy, Williams had 43/728/4 in 2017 — and that level of production is a more reasonable expectation barring an Allen injury in 2018.

12.01 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Mixon missed some time, but Bernard was highly productive down the stretch. In five December games, Bernard had 507 YFS, averaged 4.75 YPC with 24 receptions and two scores. Gio offers late-round value as a back that could return flex value and is a back that I often draft in the double-digit rounds.

13.12 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: Except for 2012 (21st) and 2016 (14th), Rivers has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in the eight of his past 10 NFL seasons. Not only does Rivers provide insurance for Luck, I'd stream the two based on matchup(s).

14.01 - Philadelphia Eagles D/ST

15.12 - Eric Ebron, TE, Indianapolis Colts: Missing multiple games in his first three seasons, Ebron played a full 16-game slate last year and finished with 53/574/4. Ebron provides some insurance if/when Reed misses time.

16.01 - Stephen Gostkowski, K, New England Patriots

- View full mock draft results here

Complete your own mock drafts for free on our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator page.

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2018 Fantasy Football Projections: New Orleans Saints

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Drew Brees541386.3438227.610.833.626.91.71.2274.57
After throwing more than 625 pass attempts in each of the previous seven seasons, Brees threw it only 536 times for 4,334 yards and 23 touchdowns, both of which were lows of his 12 seasons in New Orleans. Even so, his 4,334 passing yards still ranked fourth in the NFL behind Tom Brady (4,577), Philip Rivers (4,515) and Matthew Stafford (4,446).

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Alvin Kamara189.51004.47.671681.63.10.8233.6
Due to efficiency (6.1 YPC and 10.2 Y/R) and 14 touchdowns (eight rushing, five receiving and one return), Kamara finished as a top-four fantasy back (RB3 in PPR) as a rookie. Even though that level of efficiency won't be sustainable, Kamara was slated for a larger workload even before Mark Ingram was suspended for four games. An increase to 250-plus touches (from 201) could mean that Kamara repeats as a top-five fantasy back, especially in PPR formats.
Mark Ingram186.4885.47.8392750.81.9163.84
Even with rookie Alvin Kamara finishing as fantasy's RB4, Ingram set career highs in 2017 with 1,124 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, 58 receptions and 416 receiving yards. Playing full 16-game seasons in back-to-back years, Ingram has rushed for 1,000-plus yards and scored double-digit touchdowns in consecutive seasons. Although he'll miss the first four games due to a PED suspension, that creates more fantasy appeal (to a certain degree) as there is a discount for his strong production from Weeks 5 to 16, which matter much more than Weeks 1 to 4 when it's easier to find a suspension-replacement RB2.
Terrance West11.243.70.31.711.60.10.17.73
Trey Edmunds11.250.40.300006.84
Zach Line412.40.22.716.20.305.86
Jonathan Williams5.824.10.11.811.70.104.78
Boston Scott1.35.60216.40.10.12.6

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Michael Thomas94.11166.87.20000.8158.28
With 196 receptions for 2,382 yards and 14 touchdowns through two NFL seasons, Thomas has at least 92 catches and 1,137 yards each season. No player has more receptions through his first two NFL seasons than Thomas.
Cameron Meredith53.3698.24.30001.592.62
While he missed all of last season with a torn ACL, Meredith had 66 catches for 888 yards and four touchdowns over 14 games with the Bears in 2016. Even though he's the WR2/3 on the team behind Thomas, Meredith has some upside in a better offense with a much better quarterback.
Ted Ginn34.5500.33.55.8290.10.174.33
Finishing as a top-35 fantasy wide receiver, Ginn Jr. nearly set career highs with 53 receptions and 787 yards in his first season with the Saints. Given the team's acquisition of Meredith, duplicating last year's numbers seems unlikely as I expect Meredith to be the team's second-most productive wide receiver.
Brandon Coleman13.91961.4000126
Tre'quan Smith4.974.50.40000.19.65
Tommylee Lewis3.439.10.20.93.600.44.67

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Benjamin Watson49.5504.94.20000.175.49
Watson's last season (2015) in New Orleans was the best of his career from a fantasy perspective (TE8). Another 74/825/6 season on 110 targets (like 2015) is unlikely for the 37-year-old tight end, but there is a chance he turns into a fringe TE1/TE2 fantasy option in his return to the Saints.
Josh Hill9.782.50.8000111.05
Michael Hoomanawanui2.720.30.20000.13.03

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