Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Atlanta Falcons 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Matt Ryan595.2400.34672.328.8711.0134.4108.40.77295.81
Over the past four seasons, Ryan has finished as a top-two fantasy quarterback twice (2018, 2016) and as the QB15 or worse twice (2017, 2015). Reunited with his offensive coordinator from the three years prior to that four-year stretch, Dirk Koetter's offense in Tampa last season led the league in passing (5,125 yards) and was second to only Kansas City in yards per attempt (8.6). Given the talented group of pass-catchers at his disposal, it wouldn't surprise me if Ryan outperformed my current projections for him.
Matt Schaub63.9210.030.021-0.500.87

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RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Devonta Freeman223.3960.28.3747.8382.41.55193.78
Missing almost all of last season, Freeman is poised for a bounce-back with good health (of course). Not only is Tevin Coleman now in San Francisco, but the Falcons used a pair of first-rounders on the offensive line. I have Freeman projected for a conservative 271 touches and 1,342 yards from scrimmage and perhaps a less-modest 10 touchdowns. Then again, Freeman had a total of 35 touchdowns in the previous three seasons and my projections assume a lower touchdown rate on his rush attempts than his career average (3.91%).
Ito Smith84319.22.7325.5147.90.5166.15
With Coleman signing with the 49ers this offseason, Smith should backup Freeman, but he averaged a pedestrian 3.5 YPC and 5.6 Y/R last season.
Qadree Ollison22880.443.120.20.0313.64
Brian Hill4.821.10.051.19.40.013.41
Kenjon Barner1.970.021.16.10.011.49
Ricky Ortiz0001.87.20.010.78

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WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Julio Jones1071610.47.7616.50208.25
Over the past six seasons, Jones has averaged more than 100 receiving yards per game five times. Turning his 113 receptions into a league-high 1,677 yards, Jones is a lock for 1,400-plus yards as long as he stays healthy. Even though he was scoreless through seven games (53 receptions on 81 targets), he managed to score eight touchdowns over the final nine games of the season. Will his second-half red-zone production spill over into 2019?
Calvin Ridley67.1865.66.715.725.10.01129.39
Ridley put up excellent rookie numbers overall (64/821/10). Off to a hot start with six touchdowns in the first four games, Ridley was inconsistent over the final three quarters of the season. Exceeding the 50-yard mark in three of his first four games, he did so in only three of his final 12. Given the amount of attention that Jones commands, the former first-rounder from Alabama should be able to put together a more consistent sophomore campaign. Ridley is a low-end WR2 or high-end WR3 heading into the 2019 season.
Mohamed Sanu59.3705.73.853.818.60.0295.65
Sanu set a career high in receiving yards (838) in 2018 and just missed by one in receptions (66, career high: 67). Even with Jones and Ridley ahead of him, Sanu could once again finish as a top-36 wide receiver in 2019.
Justin Hardy18.2178.41.8200028.76
Russell Gage8.387.20.4200011.24
Marcus Green0.812.20.080001.7

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

 

TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Austin Hooper606124.3500087.3
At such a shallow position, Hooper ranked fourth among tight ends in receptions (71), seventh in targets (88) and yards (660) and ninth in touchdowns (four). Certainly not a tight end that I will target, but someone that could very well outperform his current ADP (TE15 via FFC).
Luke Stocker9.2810.6400011.94
Logan Paulsen4.947.50.440007.39
Eric Saubert3.836.50.190004.79

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Minnesota Vikings 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Minnesota Vikings.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kirk Cousins531.5369.43933.126.3110.943.1127.11.4261.87
After three consecutive QB8 (or better) finishes, Cousins finished 2018 as fantasy's QB13 in his first season with the Vikings. Passing volume could take a hit in 2019 as the Vikings implement a run-first approach. With Kevin Stefanski taking over as interim OC in the final three games, the Vikings ran the ball on 47.98% of their plays (compared to a season-long ratio of 35.59%).
Sean Mannion5.43.536.70.050.081.1-0.801.43

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RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Dalvin Cook256.61193.27.0646.7359.61.63207.42
Through two seasons, Cook has missed more games (17) than he's played in (15). When he's been on the field, however, he's been efficient -- 4.68 yards per carry -- despite a terrible offensive line. If Cook is able to stay healthy, the team's investment in their interior offensive line this offseason and run-first approach could help lead to a big season for Minnesota's featured back.
Alexander Mattison72.2317.71.8112.994.20.2653.61
Given Cook's durability track record, there's a decent chance that Mattison sees a sizable workload in a game or two (or more).
Mike Boone29.1125.10.440.96.50.0215.92
C.J. Ham6.511.70.0710.783.50.3211.86
Ameer Abdullah4.316.80.090.96.70.043.13

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WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Adam Thielen90.51113.26.116.548.80.07153.28
Thielen reached the 100-yard mark in the first eight games of the season as he posted career highs across the board -- receptions (113), yards (1,373) and touchdowns (nine). Thielen will look to finish as a WR1 (top 12) for a third consecutive season.
Stefon Diggs83.69537.5211.965.50.12147.69
Like Thielen, Diggs set career highs by converting 102-of-149 targets into 1,021 yards and nine touchdowns and added 62 rushing yards. After missing multiple games in each of his first three NFL seasons, Diggs also played a career-high 15 games last year and finished as a top-12 fantasy wide receiver (10th in PPR formats).
Chad Beebe30.6309.11.2200038.23
Jordan Taylor13.1158.50.9800021.73
Laquon Treadwell13.81270.4100015.16
Brandon Zylstra1.820.20.050002.32

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

 

TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Kyle Rudolph49.7487.15.0900079.25
Rudolph had a four-year low in touchdowns (four), but he still finished as fantasy's TE9 (TE7 in PPR) last season as his 64 receptions and 634 yards were both the second-most of his career. With the addition of rookie Irv Smith Jr. to the position room, Rudolph's target share may dip year over year, but he could also have more red zone success.
Irv Smith25.3263.11.5200035.43
Tyler Conklin3.846.40.150005.54
David Morgan2.319.30.140002.77

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Monday, July 22, 2019

New York Giants 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the New York Giants.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Eli Manning385.7251.72738.514.089.6412.617.60.13149.12
Manning posted a career-high 66.0 completion percentage and seven-year high in Y/A (7.5), but he has a sub-4.0 TD% in back-to-back seasons. Replacing Odell Beckham with Golden Tate is not a one-for-one tradeoff and Manning has struggled (more than usual) without OBJ. At best, he's a low-end QB2 that could eventually lose his job at the most important time of the fantasy season.
Daniel Jones128.678.8925.94.443.349.433.80.1952.64
Dave Gettleman has talked about applying the Patrick Mahomes or Aaron Rodgers plan with Jones. Assuming that the Giants are out of the playoff hunt in December or sooner, however, it's difficult to envision a scenario where Jones doesn't make a few starts. Or as Pat Shurmur says, "[y]ou never know what is going to happen" in Week 1.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

 

RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Saquon Barkley299.81379.110.4977.6589.82.91277.29
The Giants ranked middle of the pack in total offense (17th) and scoring offense (16th), but Barkley was an absolute stud despite the mediocre offense. Leading the NFL in scrimmage yards, Barkley rushed for 1,307 yards and 11 touchdowns and added 91 catches for 721 yards and four more touchdowns. Barkley is my top-ranked player across all formats.
Paul Perkins38.8143.60.787.862.40.1626.24
Wayne Gallman37.7150.80.66742.70.2124.57
Rod Smith11.543.70.352.921.80.099.19
Elijhaa Penny3.111.80.05535.50.155.93

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Sterling Shepard688674.762.114.70.02116.85
Shepard set career highs in targets (107), receptions (66), yards (872) and Y/A (13.2) last season. With Odell Beckham now in Cleveland, Shepard should establish new career highs in catches, yards and touchdowns.
Golden Tate71788.14.263.115.50.03106.1
Traded midseason, Tate failed to reach the 1,000-yard mark for the first time in three seasons. Now with a new team, Tate and Shepard are the 1(a) and 1(b) options among the team's wide receivers. Both are solid WR3/flex options, but the offense clearly centers around Saquon Barkley and the quarterback situation is less than ideal.
Cody Latimer11.3178.50.7300022.23
Corey Coleman9.2125.10.5515016.31
Darius Slayton5.489.10.3600011.07
Russell Shepard2.130.20.110003.68

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TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Evan Engram59.9733.84.94000103.02
Even though Engram missed five games last season, he has been one of the best fantasy tight ends on a point-per-game basis in his first two NFL seasons. In terms of fantasy PPG, Engram has finished as the TE4 and TE7 in 2017 and 2018, respectively. Coincidentally, Engram returned from injury just in time for the four games that Odell Beckham missed last season and Engram totaled 22/320/1 with a minimum of 75 yards per game over that four-game span to close the season. Among tight ends, only George Kittle had more fantasy points during that stretch.
Rhett Ellison13.1133.60.5200016.48
Scott Simonson54700004.7

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Sunday, July 21, 2019

Pittsburgh Steelers 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Ben Roethlisberger587.4381.84405.528.215.2729.965.81.2272.26
Only Patrick Mahomes and Matt Ryan scored more fantasy points than Roethlisberger last season as no team threw the ball more than Pittsburgh (689 attempts). Since Antonio Brown entered the NFL in 2010, Roethlisberger has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in only four of those nine seasons -- and two of those were just barely (QB12 in 2013 and QB10 in 2017). Losing Antonio Brown may mean there's less drama in Pittsburgh's locker room, but it will obviously impact Big Ben's on-field production as well. Given how infrequently Roethlisberger has played a full 16-game season, his home-road splits and the loss of AB, he's just outside my top-15 fantasy quarterbacks for 2019.
Joshua Dobbs27.715.2188.40.550.835150.110.18

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RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
James Conner243.11069.610.9446.7387.61.17218.38
Conner missed three games and was less productive in the second half of the season, but he still finished as fantasy's RB7 (top-six in PPR). In his first eight games, Conner rushed for 100-plus yards five times and scored multiple touchdowns in four of those games. Conner failed to exceed 65 rushing yards in his final five games. Especially if he can stay healthy and be more consistent from start to end, the sky's the limit for the Pittsburgh's workhorse back.
Jaylen Samuels61.82751.2434268.62.5577.1
Despite talk of splitting the workload more evenly in Pittsburgh's backfield, Samuels remains a handcuff to Conner, who should continue to be the team's workhorse. Samuels had 42 (75 percent) of his 56 carries in the three games that Conner missed.
Benny Snell47.8200.81.434.331.80.0932.38
Roosevelt Nix12.30.023.322.40.173.61

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WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
JuJu Smith-Schuster97.21273.37.29150.01171.63
Taking a massive step forward in his sophomore campaign, Smith-Schuster led the Steelers in both receptions (111) and receiving yards (1,426) in 2018. With Antonio Brown and his 104/1,297/15 production now in Oakland, there could be more targets in Smith-Schuster's future, but there will certainly be more defensive attention.
Donte Moncrief49.1660.44.1700091.06
With Brown now in Oakland and Smith-Schuster getting the double coverage, the 25-year-old Moncrief (turns 26 in August) could be the team's No. 2 receiver. Moncrief had 48/668/3 in his lone season with the Jaguars, but he gets a significant offensive upgrade by signing with the Steelers this offseason.
James Washington47.4658.93.7900088.63
The Steelers have a stellar record of drafting Day 2 and 3 receivers that become highly productive. Washington had a pair of 60-yard games over the final three weeks and lost 15 pounds this offseason. There's no doubt that he'll outdo last year's numbers (16/217/1), but the question is by how much?
Diontae Johnson25.3326.41.7700043.26
Eli Rogers16.51700.8314022.38
Ryan Switzer13.9100.10.35824.80.0815.07

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TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Vance McDonald51.2645.14.6100092.17
Missing multiple games in each of the previous four seasons, McDonald played 15 games last season and set career highs in receptions (50) and yards (610) and tied his previous career in touchdowns (four). A top-12 fantasy tight end (TE10 in PPR) last season, McDonald remains a viable back-end TE1 in all formats in 2019.
Xavier Grimble14.1152.30.9900021.17
Zach Gentry441.20.240005.56

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Philadelphia Eagles 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Carson Wentz577.9387.24449.830.0510.6946.7168.10.65297.52
The obvious concern with Wentz is durability as the fourth-year quarterback has now missed at least three games in back-to-back seasons. If he can stay healthy, however, he has a ton of upside compared to his current ADP. Wentz showed how good he could be in 2017 when he was the QB2 through Week 14 before missing the final three weeks of the season. The addition of DeSean Jackson gives Wentz the best and most complete group of weapons that he has had in his young career.
Nate Sudfeld17.911.6116.40.720.361-0.506.77

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RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Miles Sanders152.9649.85.3533.4253.80.67126.48
Sanders joins a crowded Philly backfield, but he figures to lead the group in workload and production. That said, the team has used (and still plans to use) a committee approach to their backfield despite using a second-round pick on Sanders.
Jordan Howard135.4548.44.8712.790.20.1994.22
Howard has 250-plus carries in each of his first three seasons, but now that he's in Philadelphia, that streak is sure to come to an end. Howard has 18 rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons combined and he'll likely be a TD-dependent play on a weekly basis with Sanders more likely to out-touch him over the full season.
Corey Clement32.1131.60.9615.5133.30.7836.93
Darren Sproles8.836.10.286510.1811.47
Boston Scott4.919.10.075.240.60.086.87

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WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Alshon Jeffery70.9950.17.44000139.65
Jeffery's catch rate was up significantly in 2018 (70.7%) compared to his first season (47.5%, 2017) in Philadelphia and that led to per-game improvements in receptions and yards (5.0/64.8 vs. 3.6/49.3). Missing three games in 2018, Jeffery has now missed at least three games in three of four seasons and has failed to reach the 900-yard mark since 2014.
DeSean Jackson49.2826.64.85.8290.29116.1
In spite of missing four games, Jackson finished 32nd in fantasy points (42nd in PPR) in 2018. Now back in Philadelphia, D-Jax gives the Eagles the deep threat they have lacked. A big play waiting to happen, Jackson has led the NFL in Y/A in 2018 (18.9), 2016 (17.9) and 2014 (20.9).
Nelson Agholor40.7468.12.651.913.30.0464.28
There has been some offseason speculation about Agholor's status with the Eagles. Aside from his touchdowns cut in half year over year (from eight to four), Agholor's 2018 numbers (64/736 on 97 targets) were nearly identical to his 2017 production (62/768 on 95 targets). Barring injuries to others, it's highly unlikely that Agholor duplicates that level of production in 2019.
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside21.3249.21.4900033.86
One of Philadelphia's second-round picks, Arcega-Whiteside should start the season as the team's fourth receiver. A physical receiver with the ability to make tough catches, JJAW could be productive in the red zone during his rookie season.
Mack Hollins7.498.10.5200012.93
Shelton Gibson0.810.70.030001.25

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TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zach Ertz97.61034.67.32000147.38
Ertz now has four consecutive 800-yard seasons. While he has had some really productive stretches in previous seasons, the veteran tight end had a breakout season with 116 catches for 1,163 yards and eight touchdowns in 2018. At the most top-heavy fantasy position, Ertz is a consensus top-three option.
Dallas Goedert42.54424.0400068.44
Goedert had 33/334/4 as a rookie and Philadelphia's tight ends coach has described his development as "phenomenal." The presence of Ertz contains his breakout potential to a degree, but he has top-five upside if Ertz were to miss any time.
Richard Rodgers219.40.160002.9

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Saturday, July 20, 2019

2-QB PPR Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 6th Pick

Leading up to the start of the 2019 NFL season, we will use the 2019 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

>> Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

2-QB PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 6th Pick


Without further ado, here are the picks of our 12-team two-QB fantasy football mock draft using point-per-reception (PPR) scoring:

1.06 - David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Believing 2019 will be "similar to 2016" (2,118 YFS and 20 TDs), Johnson (once again) has his sights set on a 1,000/1,000 season. Given the up-tempo and wide-open nature of the offense, Johnson should have a lot more opportunities to make plays in space and significantly improve upon last year's numbers even if it's not another 2,000/20 campaign.

2.07 - James Conner, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Conner missed three games and was less productive in the second half of the season, but he still finished as PPR's RB7. In his first eight games, Conner rushed for 100-plus yards five times and scored multiple touchdowns in four of those games. Conner failed to exceed 65 rushing yards in his final five games. Especially if he can stay healthy and be more consistent from start to end, the sky's the limit for the Pittsburgh's workhorse back.

3.06 - Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Playing full 16-game slates in back-to-back years, Allen saw his numbers dip year-over-year, but he still put up a healthy 97/1,196/6 stat line (WR12 in PPR). I considered another running back (Leonard Fournette) here, but Allen is about as steady and consistent as it gets.

4.07 - Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers

The ninth QB off the board, Newton has finished as a top-four fantasy quarterback in five of eight seasons. A shoulder injury slowed and eventually sidelined him down the stretch last season, but Newton was third in fantasy points through Week 13. I feel really good about getting my fifth-ranked QB after loading up with DJ/Conner/Keenan to start the draft.


- MORE: Check out Kevin Hanson's way-too-early 2020 NFL Mock Draft.



5.06 - Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Productive when given the opportunity, Godwin is poised to take another big step forward with DeSean Jackson now back in Philadelphia. Over the past two seasons, D-Jax has missed six games and Godwin has 98-plus yards in four of those games. Coach Bruce Arians has described the 23-year-old wideout as someone who could be "close to a 100-catch guy."

6.07 - Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

There's a lot to like about Goff as my QB2 and sixth-round pick. Last year, Goff entered the season with an ADP of QB16 and finished as fantasy's QB7. The year before that, Goff was outside the top-24 fantasy QBs in ADP yet finished as a top-12 quarterback. With such a talented trio of wide receivers, it wouldn't be a surprise if Goff finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback and outperformed his ADP once again.

7.06 - Phillip Lindsay, RB, Denver Broncos

From UDFA to Pro Bowler, Lindsay vastly exceeded the expectations that the fantasy community and general public had for him entering last season. Lindsday rushed for 1,037 yards (5.4 YPC), added 35 catches for 241 yards and scored a total of 10 touchdowns as a rookie. Even if the split with fellow second-year back Royce Freeman is narrower than last year's split, Lindsay should get more than the 227 touches he had as a rookie.

8.07 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals

Fitzgerald isn't getting any younger (then again, who is?) and he's coming off a disappointing season (69/734/6). Before last season, however, he posted three consecutive 100/1,000 seasons. Perhaps he won't bounce back to the 100/1,000 level, but the new offense should allow him to post better numbers in 2019.

9.06 - Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

Father Time may be undefeated and the (soon-to-be) 42-year-old Brady is clearly on the decline, but the GOAT gives a viable bye-week replacement for Newton and Goff.

10.07 - David Njoku, TE, Cleveland Browns

In his age-22 season, Njoku finished 2018 with 56 catches, 639 yards and four touchdowns to end the year as fantasy's TE9 in PPR. Newcomer Odell Beckham may bump Njoku down a spot in the pecking order for targets, but the overall pie should be bigger for the ascending Baker Mayfield-led Cleveland Browns offense.

11.06 - Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Once again, Ekeler averaged more than five yards per carry and 10 yards per reception. But as he nearly doubled his workload (74 to 145 touches), Melvin Gordon's complementary back finished as the RB25 in PPR last season. Given Gordon's injury history and new threat of a holdout, Ekeler may see even more touches in 2019, but he has stand-alone value either way.

12.07 - DaeSean Hamilton, WR, Denver Broncos

Over each of the final four games of last season, Hamilton had at least eight targets, five receptions and 40 yards and was PPR's WR22 during that four-game stretch.

13.06 - Jamison Crowder, WR, New York Jets

A return to his 2016/2017 numbers -- 60-plus catches and 750-plus yards -- seems reasonable if Crowder (and Sam Darnold) can stay healthy.

14.07 - Mohamed Sanu, WR, Atlanta Falcons

Sanu set a career high in receiving yards (838) in 2018 and just missed by one in receptions (66, career high: 67). Even with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley ahead of him, Sanu adds quality depth for this team as its WR6.

15.06 - Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST

16.07 - Justin Jackson, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Depending on Gordon's 2019 status, Jackson could have a lot of value heading into 2019. At a minimum, he's worth a dart throw as Gordon's injury history could lead to a few startable weeks even without an MG3 contract dispute.

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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Kansas City Chiefs 2019 Fantasy Football Projections

In addition to viewing our 2019 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2019 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Patrick Mahomes569375.54665.832.7214.2357.2251.71.72324.54
The upside was clear, but nobody could have anticipated the level of success that Mahomes had in 2018. Not only was he named NFL Most Valuable Player in his first season as a starter, but Mahomes became the first player in league history to finish with a 5,000-yard and 50-TD season. Given the difficulty of repeating that lofty production and the incredible depth at quarterback, it's possible that Mahomes disappoints fantasy owners at his current ADP (even though he's still ranked as my QB1).
Chad Henne5.73.642.80.110.1111.50.012.14

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RUNNING BACKS

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Damien Williams180.8795.57.555420.83.03184.81
From Week 14 through the postseason, Williams went on a scoring spree with 10 touchdowns (six rushing and four receiving) and racked up 602 scrimmage yards on 105 touches including 28 receptions. The Chiefs only added Carlos Hyde (free agency) and Darwin Thompson (sixth round) as competition this offseason so Williams will open the season as the unquestioned lead back. Assuming he maintains that role for the entire season, there is enormous upside in Kansas City's high-powered offense.
Carlos Hyde100.1405.43.516.193.40.3272.8
Hyde began last season as Cleveland's workhorse -- only Todd Gurley (129) and Ezekiel Elliott (117) had more carries through the first six weeks of the season than Hyde (114). Inefficient (3.35 YPC) on his massive workload, the Browns traded him to Jacksonville and Hyde was even less efficient there (3.26 YPC). Given that Williams lacks a workhorse track record, Hyde and rookie Darwin Thompson are both worth late-round dart throws.
Darwin Thompson36.8158.20.7421.5176.30.6541.79
A sixth-round rookie out of Utah State, Thompson has plenty of sleeper appeal in fantasy drafts this summer.
Anthony Sherman12.507.662.30.237.86
Darrel Williams270.020000.82

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Tyreek Hill66.51057.47.9814.31030.43166.5
Hill's ADP was already on the rise since June when it was reported that his suspension wouldn't be lengthy. Not only won't there be a lengthy suspension, but there won't be one at all. Among qualified players, Hill led the NFL in yards per touch (15.0) as he racked up 1,630 scrimmage yards and 14 total touchdowns -- 12 receiving, one rushing and one return. With a strong-armed, MVP-winning quarterback, few players can match Hill's weekly upside.
Sammy Watkins57.5787.85.325.138.30.05114.83
Even though Watkins has played five NFL seasons, he just recently turned 26. That said, he's had just one top-24 season (WR16, 2015) over that five-year span. A major reason for Watkins disappointing start to his career has been durability (or a lack thereof). Over the past four seasons, Watkins has missed three-plus games in three seasons with a total of 18 missed games during that span. There was some optimism with the former fourth-overall pick before it was announced that Hill won't be suspended. But even if Watkins manages to stay healthy for all of 2019, he's no better than third in line for targets.
Mecole Hardman26.3381.42.6310.271.40.2662.62
Blessed with 4.33 speed, Hardman would have been able to make more of an impact if Hill were suspended. While there could be a big game or two given the prolific offense, predicting when would be a dart throw when everyone is healthy.
Demarcus Robinson23.7305.72.3700044.79
Byron Pringle2.531.30.190004.27
Gehrig Dieter1.621.40.10002.74

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TIGHT ENDS

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Travis Kelce96.41233.98.19000172.53
There is a good chance that Kelce finishes as fantasy's top-scoring tight end (AGAIN) as he has finished as the TE1, TE2 and TE1 over the past three seasons, respectively. Only one player had five-plus catches in 15 games last season and it was Kelce, who briefly held the single-season record for most receiving yards (1,336) for a tight end. Whether it was in the era that Rob Gronkowski was dominant or with Kelce now, I tend to balk at the steep price of an elite tight end considering its impact to roster construction.
Blake Bell8.993.50.5300012.53
Neal Sterling8.184.20.4100010.88

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