Sunday, May 20, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Profile: Michael Crabtree, Baltimore Ravens

Forming a 1-2 punch with Amari Cooper for the Oakland Raiders, Michael Crabtree has scored 25 touchdowns over the past three seasons.

Only four players have more during that span -- Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown (31), Seattle's Doug Baldwin (29), Houston's DeAndre Hopkins (28) and New York's Odell Beckham Jr. (26).

MORE: Fantasy Profile for Hopkins teammate Will Fuller

Crabtree also ranks 12th in receptions (232) and 20th in yardage (2,543) as well as ninth in targets (392) over that stretch.

One positive as he joins the Baltimore Ravens, Crabtree goes from being one of the top guys to the top guy. In addition, the team's wide receivers are nearly completely turned over.

Not only did the Ravens sign Crabtree, but they also brought in John Brown and Willie Snead in free agency and drafted UCLA's Jordan Lasley (fourth round) and New Mexico State's Jaleel Scott (fifth).

Both Brown and Snead have had 900-yard campaigns in previous years, but they are each coming off disappointing seasons. Snead had just eight catches for 92 yards in 11 games last season while it's uncertain what the Ravens will get from Brown, who had 21/299/3 over 10 games last season.

With lots of new receivers on the roster, that means that most of the team's top receivers are gone.

All three of the team's leaders in receiving yards -- Mike Wallace (52/748/4), Ben Watson (61/522/4) and Jeremy Maclin (40/440/3) -- are no longer on the roster. Neither is Michael Campanaro (fourth among WRs in yards). Meanwhile, Breshad Perriman (fifth) may not be either if the Ravens decide to move on before paying him a $650,000 roster bonus due early in training camp.

Either way, the top returning wide receiver is Chris Moore (18/248/3 on 38 targets). Nearly 60 percent of the team's 2017 targets are no longer on the roster.

Crabtree missed two games in 2017 and had three-year lows in targets (101) last season. With a less talented "No. 2" receiver in Baltimore than Oakland, I project Crabtree to have close to his 2015/2016 target totals (146/145) in 2018.

Even though the Ravens used the last pick of the first round on former Heisman winner Lamar Jackson, I expect Joe Flacco to start the entire 2018 season. If Flacco and the offense struggles, an in-season switch to a rookie quarterback could lead to even more conservative play calling and more weekly inconsistency out of the passing game overall.

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

 

Based on the fantasy points allowed in 2017 of Baltimore's 2018 opponents, Crabtree and the Ravens wide receivers have the 21st-most favorable fantasy football strength of schedule. That said, no team has a more favorable schedule during the fantasy playoffs (Weeks 14 to 16) as Baltimore with matchups against the Chiefs, Buccaneers and Chargers. The Buccaneers (most) or Chiefs (second-most) allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers in 2017.

- View full Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

 

Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP)

 

Below is a chart of his ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator over the past month:

Fantasy Football ADP for Michael  Crabtree
Based on current average draft position data from FFC, Crabtree is being selected at the end of Round 5 and as the 25th wide receiver off the board, on average. The other wide receivers off the board before/after Crabtree include Jarvis Landry (WR22), Jordy Nelson (WR23), Golden Tate (WR24) and Sammy Watkins (WR26).

Michael Crabtree: Full Season Projections

 

Below you will find full-season projections for Baltimore Ravens WR Michael Crabtree for the 2018 NFL season:

Rec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
82.1894.98.20000.9136.89

- Baltimore Ravens 2018 Fantasy Football Projections
- More Fantasy Football Projections

Bottom Line

 

Perhaps I'm completely wrong, but Crabtree is 10 spots higher in my current rankings (WR16) than his FantasyPros Expert Consensus Ranking (WR26). In fact, no ranking (other than mine) is higher than WR18 (as of 5/19). Currently drafted as a high-end WR3 in Round 5, Crabtree offers plenty of profit potential for fantasy owners. Ideally I'll secure two stud running backs in the first two to three rounds of fantasy drafts. If so, I'd be more than comfortable if I land Crabtree as my WR2 in Round 5.

Relative value: Undervalued

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Saturday, May 19, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Atlanta Falcons

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Atlanta Falcons.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Matt Ryan530344.5410822.311.732.367.80.21.5235.1
Over the past six seasons, Ryan has finished as fantasy's QB7, QB15, QB7, QB17, QB2 and QB15, respectively. So, perhaps he's due to finish as a top-seven fantasy QB this year? In the first season with Steve Sarkisian calling the plays, Ryan threw for 4,095 yards, a seven-year low, and 20 touchdowns, a nine-year low. On a positive note, the addition of Calvin Ridley in the first round gives a boost to an already talented group of pass-catchers. Even though I expect better year-over-year numbers, Ryan is unlikely to bounce back to his 2016 MVP-level production.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Devonta Freeman240.81095.610.843.7380.22.21.2223.18
Based on current ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator, Freeman is the 13th running back off the board in early fantasy drafts. Missing two-plus games last season, Freeman still managed to finish as the RB13 after much better seasons in 2015 (RB1) and 2016 (RB6). Over the past three seasons, only Todd Gurley (4,599), Le'Veon Bell (4,522) and LeSean McCoy (4,396) have more yards from scrimmage than Freeman (4,357) and his 35 touchdowns are tied with Gurley for the most over that stretch.
Tevin Coleman137.6584.85.531.4373.73.10.8145.85
Even if he's the 2 in the team's 1-2 rushing attack, Coleman has finished as a top-24 running back and exceeded 900 yards from scrimmage in each of the past two seasons. The contract-year back has scored 19 total touchdowns since 2016.
Ito Smith10.847.50.31.612.800.17.63
Terron Ward6.5280.1215.60.10.15.36

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:


Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Julio Jones88.51469.16.60000.1186.31
With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past four seasons, Jones has a total of 6,317 receiving yards during that four-year span. Only Antonio Brown (6,349) has more and both have more than 1,200 yards more than DeAndre Hopkins (5,063, third). Only Brown has more catches than Jones over that span. Of course, the problem is that Jones has just 23 touchdowns, tied for 21st in the NFL since 2014.
Mohamed Sanu58.4630.74.72.28.400.191.91
In his first two seasons with the Falcons, Sanu posted 59/653/4 and 67/703/5 statistical lines in 2016 and 2017, respectively. Barring an injury to Julio Jones, the first-round selection of Calvin Ridley limits upside above Sanu's recent level of production.
Calvin Ridley39.7484.32.80000.264.83
Old'ish for a rookie (turns 24 in December), Ridley is neither the biggest (6-1, 189) or most-explosive athlete (31-inch vertical and 9-foot-2 broad jump), but he's an excellent route-runner with a chance to be the best rookie wideout in re-draft formats.
Justin Hardy21.6226.81.90000.133.88
Marvin Hall3.755.50.400007.95
Russell Gage1.5180.11.35.2002.92

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Austin Hooper51.75794.40000.184.1
In his second season, Hooper posted a 49/526/3 stat line and finished as fantasy's TE18 (TE17 in PPR), but it was all downhill after a 2/128/1 start to the season. Hooper exceeded 40 yards only once in his final nine games.
Logan Paulsen9.378.10.50000.110.61
Eric Saubert6.468.50.500009.85

More Fantasy Football TE Resources:
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Wednesday, May 16, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Pittsburgh Steelers

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Ben Roethlisberger520.4340.9400727.613.324.636.90.50.8249.17
Throwing for 3,800-plus yards in each of the past five seasons, Big Ben has thrown 28-plus touchdowns in four of those five seasons. Since being drafted 11th overall in 2004, Roethlisberger has played a 16-game season only three times in his career so there's certainly a strong chance that he'll miss a game or two in 2018. With the league's best RB/WR combo in Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown, Roethlisberger has weekly QB1 upside, but he's finished as the QB20, QB13 and QB10 over the past three seasons, respectively.
Landry Jones51.833.23892.11.86.7-6.70019.69
Mason Rudolph2.91.7210.10.100001.04

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Le'Veon Bell326.31403.19.878.2617.81.61.2268.09
Franchise tagged for the second time in as many offseasons, Bell is unlikely to report before the end of the preseason if the two sides are unable to reach a long-term deal before the July 16th cutoff. Aside from his six-game 2015 season, the three-down workhorse has 1,200-plus rushing yards, 75-plus receptions and 600-plus receiving yards in three of his past four seasons.
James Conner33.5147.40.71.5900.119.64
Fitzgerald Toussaint8.936.90.121600.15.69
Stevan Ridley833.60.200004.56
Roosevelt Nix3.17.102.311.50.102.46

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Antonio Brown107.11456.610.22.27.701.8204.63
As good and consistent as it gets, Brown has finished as a top-three fantasy wide receiver in four consecutive seasons. Over the past five seasons, Brown has 582 receptions for 7,848 yards and 52 touchdowns. Leading the league by a wide margin in those categories, second-most in those categories are 481 receptions (Demaryius Thomas), 6,897 yards (Julio Jones) and 46 touchdowns (Dez Bryant).
JuJu Smith-Schuster74.41011.86.70000.3140.78
Exceeding expectations in his rookie season, Smith-Schuster had 41 catches for 686 yards and four touchdowns over his final seven regular-season games including three 100-yard games during that span. (He had 17/231/3 in his first seven games.) Even as the offense's third option behind Brown and Le'Veon Bell, Smith-Schuster is poised for a bigger and better second season with Martavis Bryant traded to the Raiders.
James Washington27.6455.42.50000.459.74
With Martavis Bryant traded to the Raiders for a third-round pick, the Steelers used their second-round pick on the Oklahoma State deep threat. Finishing his collegiate career with three consecutive 1,000/10 seasons, Washington averaged 20.28 Y/R over the past three seasons.
Darrius Heyward-Bey8.7158.30.94.541.40.50.128.17
Justin Hunter3.6360.400006

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Vance McDonald33.9433.93.10000.261.59
McDonald had just 14 catches for 188 yards in the regular season, but he had both of his 50-yard regular-season games in December and 10/112/0 on a team-high 16 targets in their playoff loss to the Jaguars. With good health, expectations are pointing up for his second season with the Steelers.
Jaylen Samuels20.5221.41.426.8117.90.50.244.93
The Steelers announced Samuels as a running back when they drafted him in the fifth round, but Samuels is a hybrid H-back type of player that can do a variety of things in Pittsburgh's offense. Samuels had 1,000 yards from scrimmage -- 75/593/4 receiving and 78/407/12 rushing -- and 16 touchdowns for the Wolfpack last season.
Jesse James25.2216.72.10000.134.07
James had a nearly identical season in 2017 (43/372/3 on 63 targets) as he had in 2016 (39/338/3 on 60 targets). Towards the end of the season, McDonald was involved more in the passing game and that seems like a trend that will continue into 2018.
Xavier Grimble4.745.10.50000.17.31

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Tuesday, May 15, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Profile: Lamar Miller, Houston Texans

In the spirit of "if you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at all," Houston Texans running back Lamar Miller posted a career-high 9.1 yards per reception last year.

In addition, he actually scored the 14th-most fantasy points (16th in PPR) at the position in 2017. In fact, I suppose he outperformed his 2017 ADP (RB17), even if it didn't necessarily feel like it.

That's the good news.

The bad news is that Miller set a career low in yards per carry (3.7), second to only his 4.0 YPC in 2016. Moreover, Miller's workload declined at the end of the season as Alfred Blue (46) had nearly 20 more carries than Miller (27) over the team's final three games.

During that span, Miller had nine, 10 and eight carries, respectively, after getting double-digit carries in each of the first 13 games to begin the season.

If third-round pick D'Onta Foreman did not tear his Achilles, the workload could have been even less down the stretch.

That said, there is some uncertainty around Foreman's status for the start of the season. The team is hopeful that he'll be ready to go for training camp. If he ends up on the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) to begin the season, however, he would be forced to sit for the first six teams.

Even in that unlikely scenario, that may only delay the inevitable if Miller is unable to improve his efficiency. Giving the second-year back the bulk of carries with Miller assuming more of a passing-down role could happen at some point during the 2018 season even if Foreman starts on the PUP list.

Foreman had double-digit carries in five of his 10 carries before sustaining his injury. Foreman averaged 4.84 YPC over his final six games (vs. 3.35 YPC in his first four games). If Foreman picks up where he left off, Miller may see a reduced workload even if his efficiency improves.

Before the draft, there was even some speculation that the Texans could part ways with Miller. That seems unlikely at this point, but his grip on a healthy workload is not secure.

Another thing to not get excited about is Houston's offensive line. Per PFF, the unit ranked 32nd (of 32) last year. (Is that bad?!)

In general, the Texans offense racked up points in a hurry with Deshaun Watson under center -- 30.71 (real) points with him vs. 13.67 (real) points without him. Miller wasn't more efficient with Watson, in fact he was less efficient (3.58 YPC through seven games), but he did score four of his six touchdowns with Watson.

Should Watson stay healthy for a full season, there is a certain "high tide raises all boats" type of situation in terms of fantasy production for Houston's skill-position players.

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

 

Based on the fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs last season, Miller and Houston's running backs have a middling strength of schedule (17th of 32) for Weeks 1 to 16 in 2018.

- View full Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

 

Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP)

 

Below is a chart of his ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator over the past month:

Fantasy Football ADP for Lamar  Miller
Even without considering the other running backs being drafted around Miller's 5.02 ADP, backfield mate D'Onta Foreman is not being selected until the ninth round on average in FFC drafts. It wouldn't be crazy to say that Foreman should be drafted earlier than Miller; not the other way around.

The RBs off the board before Miller include Jerick McKinnon (4.03, RB19), Carlos Hyde (4.04), Alex Collins (4.05) and Kenyan Drake (4.06). Those going directly after him include Tevin Coleman (5.09), Marshawn Lynch (5.10) and Dion Lewis (6.05).

Lamar Miller: Full Season Projections

 

Below you will find full-season projections for Houston Texans RB Lamar Miller for the 2018 NFL season:

RushYardsTDRec.YardsTDFLFFB Points
161.3661.33.232.2273.72.60.5127.3

- Houston Texans 2018 Fantasy Football Projections
- More Fantasy Football Projections

Bottom Line

 

Based on his current ADP, Miller is someone that I'd avoid and I'd much rather have Foreman in terms of the discount. That said, it wouldn't be much of a surprise if sentiment pushes Miller further down fantasy draft boards more than reality warrants. Until that point (if we get there), I'll be overweight on Foreman and underweight on Miller.

Bottom line: Overvalued

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Good luck in your 2018 fantasy football leagues!

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Sunday, May 13, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: New York Giants

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the New York Giants.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Eli Manning561.2356.4401324.41414.624.80.63.5229.2
Passing on Sam Darnold (or another quarterback) in the draft, the Giants will surround Manning with better talent in 2018. The Giants lacked (the threat of) a running game, had one of the league's worst offensive lines and their receiving corps was decimated by injuries. With a healthy receiving corps, stud rookie running back and improved offensive line, Manning will have a chance to bounce back in 2018 after finishing outside the top-20 fantasy quarterbacks in back-to-back seasons.
Davis Webb2.81.7180.10.10.91.8001.1

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Saquon Barkley306.51348.69.244.43332.41.8234.16
Over the past two years, a rookie running back -- Ezekiel Elliott (2016) and Kareem Hunt (2017) -- has led the NFL in rushing. Arguably the most talented back to enter the league since Adrian Peterson, Barkley has a rare combination of size (233 pounds) and athleticism (4.4 forty and 41-inch vertical) and was highly productive (3,801 YFS and 43 TDs over past two seasons) at Penn State. The do-it-all back is a top-five fantasy option with legitimate upside to lead the position in fantasy points as a rookie.
Jonathan Stewart66.2244.92.69.365.10.50.448.8
Stewart has had a productive NFL career, but his primary role on this roster will be that of mentor for rookie Saquon Barkley.
Wayne Gallman44.1189.61.310610.50.534.86
Given the team's multiple offensive woes in 2017, Gallman had a highly respectable rookie season -- 111/476 (4.29 YPC) rushing and 34/193/1 receiving. Gallman's 4.29 YPC was a half-yard better than the rest of the team (3.79 YPC), but like with Stewart, Gallman will spend most of 2018 watching Barkley from the sidelines.

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:

Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Odell Beckham89.21204.210.32.213.200.6182.34
As much as he may do things to frustrate the front office and organization off the field and/or on the sidelines, there are few players as talented as Beckham Jr. on the field. Last season was lost to injury, but OBJ had more than 90 catches, 1,300 yards and double-digit touchdowns in each of his first three NFL seasons. With good health, the contract-year wideout should post similar numbers in 2018.
Sterling Shepard67.8772.95.44.41100.3110.19
Even though he missed five games, Shepard posted a career high in receiving yards (731) and set a career high in receptions on a per-game basis (5.36). Assuming the team doesn't add free agent Dez Bryant, which doesn’t appear likely anyways, Shepard will have an opportunity to post full-season career highs as the team's WR2 opposite Beckham Jr.
Cody Latimer27.1330.62.40000.446.66
A massive disappointment as a second-round pick in 2014, Latimer posted career highs of 18 catches for 287 yards and two touchdowns last year. (Latimer had just 16 catches in his first three seasons combined.) That said, Latimer gets a fresh start in New York with the potential to be the team's WR3. It would take an injury for him to be fantasy-relevant in most league formats, but it's possible that he posts new career highs in his first season with the G-Men.
Roger Lewis19.8233.61.60000.132.76
Lewis posted a 36/416/2 line in 2017 and will compete with Latimer for opportunities in three-WR sets. Like with Latimer, Lewis won't have much fantasy relevance without an injury to OBJ and/or Shepard.
Travis Rudolph5.771.30.30000.18.73
Kevin Norwood1.819.80.100002.58

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Evan Engram54.1622.25.10000.292.42
Rookie tight ends typically struggle, but Engram had a highly productive rookie season (64/722/6, TE5). Based on talent, Engram could take another step forward in 2018, but he may not see as much volume (115 targets) in 2018 with better health from Odell Beckham and the team's receivers along with the addition of rookie Saquon Barkley.
Rhett Ellison19.7187.21.2000025.92
Jerell Adams6.356.70.40000.17.87

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Saturday, May 12, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Profile: Will Fuller, Houston Texans

Two seasons ago, Houston Texans wide receiver Will Fuller did something that only one other player -- DeSean Jackson -- had done as he began his NFL career with back-to-back 100-yard receiving games.

As fast as he started 2016, things mostly went downhill after that hot start. (Of course, no player is going to have 100 yards in every game.) Fuller averaged 35.33 yards per game for the remainder of his rookie season.

In year two, Fuller missed six games. Meanwhile, quarterback Deshaun Watson missed eight games. But when both were on the field (four games), Fuller went on a scoring spree.

MORE: Deshaun Watson 2018 Fantasy Football Profile

Granted, it's a small sample size, but Fuller scored seven times in those four games. All seven of his touchdowns last season were thrown by Watson (over that four-game span).

During that stretch, Fuller finished as the weekly WR5, WR4, WR9 and WR3, respectively with a minimum of 12.2 (standard) fantasy points each game and an average of 17.7 PPG.

In the six games he played without the dynamic signal-caller, he totaled just 15 catches for 144 yards and no touchdowns. That's an average of 2.4 standard fantasy points per game and, on average, he finished as the weekly WR71. His best performance over that stretch was five catches for 44 yards (4.4 fantasy points, WR47) in Week 15.

With DeAndre Hopkins drawing most of the defensive attention, Fuller will have an opportunity for big plays (and touchdowns) to lead to big games. As a relatively low-volume WR2 though, there could be some boom-or-bust to his fantasy outlook.

Durability could also be an issue as the 185-pound Fuller has missed multiple games in both of his seasons due to an assortment of injuries. But those durability concerns are indirectly magnified by the potential injury to Watson, given how often he'll run, last year's ACL injury and the team's porous offensive line.

In the seven games Watson played, which includes a scoreless first half of Week 1 with Watson on the bench, the Texans averaged 30.71 (real) points per game. Without him, they averaged only 13.67 per game over their final nine.

Meanwhile, Fuller averaged 21.46 yards per reception in the games Watson played. With Tom Savage or T.J. Yates under center, that dropped to 9.6 Y/A.

And as noted earlier, Fuller finished as fantasy's weekly WR9 (or better) with Watson; the WR47 (or worse) without him.

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

Even though Fuller and the Texans have to face the Jaguars twice this year (and every year), they face the league's stingiest fantasy defense in Week 17. Since most leagues conclude their playoffs in Week 16, that second matchup against Jalen Ramsey, A.J. Bouye & Co. is excluded from our fantasy strength of schedule calculations.

Based on the fantasy points allowed in 2017 of Houston's 2018 opponents, Fuller has a bottom-half (20th-best) fantasy strength of schedule (Week 1 to 16 opponents), but a more favorable (7th-best) fantasy SOS in the playoffs (Weeks 14 to 16).

- View full Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule

Fantasy Football Average Draft Position (ADP)

Below is a chart of his ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator over the past month:

Fantasy Football ADP for Will  Fuller

Fuller is currently the 35th receiver off the board at the end of Round 7 in FFC drafts. Receivers going off the board before him include Robert Woods (7.09) and Devin Funchess (7.10). Those going right after him include Julian Edelman (8.01), Cooper Kupp (8.05), Marquise Goodwin (8.07) and Kelvin Benjamin (8.08).

Will Fuller: Full Season Projections

Below you will find full-season projections for Houston Texans WR Will Fuller for the 2018 NFL season:

Rec.Rec. YDRec. TDRushRush YDRush TDFLFFB Points
43.5635.15.24.521.60194.87

- Houston Texans 2018 Fantasy Football Projections
- More Fantasy Football Projections

Bottom Line

Four games and four top-10 performances with Watson. Both need to stay healthy and Fuller won't be a top-10 performer every week, but there's a viable chance that Fuller finishes as a top-24 wide receiver (or better) on the year. Based on his current ADP (WR35), there is a strong chance that Fuller returns a profit for fantasy owners in 2018.

Relative value: Undervalued

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Good luck in your 2018 fantasy football leagues!
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Wednesday, May 9, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Baltimore Ravens

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Baltimore Ravens.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Joe Flacco524.4338.2335617.812.620.346.710190.91
The starter for 2018, it's possible that Flacco doesn't see the end of his existing contract given the team's first-round investment in Lamar Jackson. While I'd bet on Flacco starting all 16 games (barring injury) in 2018, a late-season switch if the team and/or Flacco struggles isn't out of the question. Not only did Flacco average a career-low 5.7 Y/A, but he was 0-for-16 in 300-yard games for the first time since his rookie season.
Lamar Jackson2011.61420.50.511.373.50.9019.43
Compared to Michael Vick due to his rare athletic gifts and big-play ability, Jackson has the potential to be an elite fantasy quarterback once he becomes the starter. Even though the Ravens will find a way to get Jackson on the field some in his rookie season, Flacco will likely start for all of 2018 and perhaps RG3 would still become the starter if Flacco were to miss a game or two. If he does become a spot starter at some point during the season, however, he'd be an instant streaming option.
Robert Griffin III25.715.41800.80.76.837.40.4015.14

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Alex Collins212.4955.86.429.6230.90.62.4155.87
Collins had double-digit carries in the final 12 games of the season, but he didn't get his first reception until Week 8. From Week 8 to 17, the second-year back had the eighth-most fantasy points among running backs.
Javorius Allen85.9330.71.739.52372.40.879.77
Allen now has two seasons with 500-plus rushing yards and 45-plus receptions (2015 and 2017) with a season of 49 YFS in between. Even though 39 of Allen's 46 catches came between Week 2 to 9, the (now) retired Danny Woodhead had 30 catches over the final nine games of the season. There is PPR upside for Allen.
Kenneth Dixon104447.22.51479.80.60.670.1
Sidelined all of 2017 due to injury (and suspension), Dixon is at least behind Collins (and perhaps Javorius Allen) for touches in Baltimore's backfield. While I thought he was underrated entering the league, Dixon has now missed more games (20) than he has played (12) since being a fourth-round pick in 2016.
Patrick Ricard0002.618.20.102.42

More Fantasy Football RB Resources:


Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Michael Crabtree82.1894.98.20000.9136.89
As part of a 1-2 punch with Amari Cooper in Oakland, Crabtree had three (well, two if you don't count 2017) productive seasons as a Raider. During that span, Crabtree has 25 touchdowns -- eight-plus in each of the past three seasons. The move to Baltimore means that Crabtree now becomes his team's clear No. 1 wideout and I currently have him ranked much higher than other analysts tracked by FantasyPros.
John Brown39.15673.94.524.80.10.582.18
Since his breakout 2015 season (65/1,003/7), Brown has 60 catches for 816 yards and five touchdowns in 25 games over the past two seasons. If his health cooperates, there is upside, but it's unclear what the Ravens will get from Brown in 2018.
Willie Snead414512.10001.255.3
Snead had just eight catches over 11 games in 2017, but he posted 69/984/3 and 72/895/4 in 2015 and 2016, respectively. Given the lack of productivity from Breshad Perriman and uncertainty with John Brown, Snead has a chance to vastly exceed my current projections for him.
Jordan Lasley18.8225.61.32.39.200.530.28
Chris Moore6.982.80.82.32.300.312.71
Breshad Perriman4.651.50.40000.17.35
The Ravens declined the fifth-year option on Perriman and he's not a lock to make the 53-man roster with five newcomers (Crabtree, Brown and Snead as free agents and draft picks Jordan Lasley and Jaleel Scott).
Jaleel Scott2.940.60.30000.15.66

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Hayden Hurst34.2359.12.71.470.10.851.81
Older than the typical rookie (turns 25 in August), Hurst was the first tight end off the board in the 2018 NFL Draft. As much as Flacco missed that reliable Dennis Pitta type, it's uncommon for rookie tight ends to make a significant fantasy impact.
Nick Boyle18.2163.80.70000.220.18
Maxx Williams13.7131.50.71.890.10.817.25
Mark Andrews10.7109.10.70.94.500.414.76
Vince Mayle1.590.10000.11.3

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