Friday, June 22, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Minnesota Vikings

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Minnesota Vikings.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Kirk Cousins531339.8398324.411.738.1110.53.83.8259.77
Finishing as fantasy's QB8, QB5 and QB7 over the past three seasons, respectively, Cousins has thrown for 4,000-plus yards and 25-plus touchdowns in each of those seasons. In addition, he has rushed for at least four scores in three consecutive seasons. Now playing for a Super Bowl contender and a defensive-minded head coach, Cousins may not put up the same level of production he had in Washington, but he remains a top-10 fantasy option as he switches teams.

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Dalvin Cook289.61303.210.435.62991.11.5226.22
Unfortunately, Cook's rookie season ended prematurely due to an ACL tear. The Florida State product carried the ball 74 times for 354 yards (4.78 YPC) and two touchdowns in his four NFL games played. In addition, he added 11 catches for 90 yards. If he's able to stay healthy in 2018, Cook is poised for a monster workload with the potential to finish as a top-five fantasy back.
Latavius Murray138.6554.44.211.381.40.30.290.18
C.J. Ham6.414.10.66.862.60.3013.07
Mack Brown13.954.20.31.19.400.17.96

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Adam Thielen86.512115.21.515.301.7150.43
Thielen has only 10 touchdowns in his four NFL seasons, but the former UDFA built upon his breakout 2016 season to lead the team in targets (142), receptions (91) and receiving yards (1,276). Only four receivers had more yards than Thielen last season.
Stefon Diggs75.1983.87.56.422.40.10.1146.02
With 20 fewer receptions year over year, Diggs finished 2017 with 64 catches for 849 yards and a career-high eight touchdowns. Diggs has missed multiple games in each of his three NFL seasons, but he could improve upon his WR18 (WR19 in PPR) season if he's able to stay healthy for a full season.
Kendall Wright28.1303.51.10000.236.55
Laquon Treadwell15.8161.20.90000.121.32
Stacy Coley3.438.80.200005.08
Tavarres King1.923.80.200003.58

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Kyle Rudolph65630.57.80000.1109.65
Rudolph's targets dropped year over year (132 to 81), but he still finished as fantasy's TE6 (TE8 in PPR) in 2017. He posted a 57/532/8 stat line last season and those numbers form a reasonable expectation for the upcoming season.
David Morgan13.5122.91.20000.119.29
Tyler Conklin9.910410000.116.2
Blake Bell7.677.50.4000010.15

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2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Miami Dolphins

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Miami Dolphins.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Ryan Tannehill532348.5393723.415.437.8162.51.12.9237.33
Missing 19 games over the past two seasons including all of 2017, Tannehill (ACL) has been fully cleared. Now that Jarvis Landry is in Cleveland and given that DeVante Parker has generally underperformed compared to expectations, Miami is far from being loaded with weapons. That said, the volume could be there for Tannehill to be a productive QB2, if healthy, as the Dolphins were one of four teams to throw it 600-plus times last season.
David Fales25.716.71640.60.600007.76
Brock Osweiler14.38.7990.50.400005.16

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Kenyan Drake166.37655.336.6270.81.81.6142.98
Over the final five games of the 2017 season, Drake ran for a league-high 444 yards on 91 carries (4.88 YPC) with two touchdowns and added 17 receptions for 150 yards. Adding future HOFer Frank Gore to the running back room with rookie Kalen Ballage likely means that Drake won't see his December workload (21.6 touches per game) carry over into the 2018 season even though he's likely to be the team's most productive back.
Frank Gore113.4436.63.4201561.60.588.26
Returning home to Miami, the 35-year-old Gore has been incredibly durable -- seven consecutive 16-game seasons -- and remarkably consistent. Gore has finished as a top-20 fantasy running back every season except for his rookie campaign although he has averaged less than 4.0 YPC in each of the past three seasons. Forming a committee -- and perhaps not getting the largest share -- with Kenyan Drake and rookie Kalen Ballage, Gore may fail to average 15-plus carries per game for the first time since his rookie season.
Kalen Ballage52.9222.21.121.5182.81.71.554.3
The 229-pound rookie out of Arizona State has impressed the coaching staff during the offseason workouts, but he figures to be third in line for touches behind both Drake and Gore.
Senorise Perry7.629.60.200004.16

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
DeVante Parker63.9849.94.80000.3113.19
I've been (too) high on Parker in his young career only to be disappointed. So, perhaps I'm a bit gun-shy and am too cautious in my outlook for Parker this year. He appears to be doing the right things as Joe Schad notes: "Dolphins coaches say few if any players have spent more time in the building than Parker since last season ended." Given that Jarvis Landry and his 570 targets over the past four years are no longer on the roster, the 25-year-old Parker has loads of upside if he's able to put it all together this season.
Kenny Stills49.6783.75.50000.5110.37
Over the past two seasons, Stills has 100 catches for 1,573 yards and 15 touchdowns and he's finished as a top-30 receiver in standard-scoring formats both seasons. There may be some game-to-game volatility, but there is a strong chance that he outperforms his current ADP.
Albert Wilson41.3532.82.50000.267.88
Wilson set career highs (42/554/3) across the board last season. With Jarvis Landry gone, there could be a significant opportunity to post even better numbers and Wilson has impressed the coaching staff in offseason workouts.
Danny Amendola45.6487.91.80000.358.99
With 60-plus catches in two of the past three seasons with the Patriots, Amendola could post a similar total (or even more) with Landry no longer in Miami although he'll compete with Albert Wilson for snaps in the slot.
Jakeem Grant10.3156.61000122.06
Leonte Carroo6.564.40.70000.110.44

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Mike Gesicki30.1376.33.30000.556.43
Freakishly athletic, Gesicki has rare physical tools: 6-foot-5, 247 pounds, 4.54 forty, 41.5-inch vertical and 6.76 3-cone. Moreover, there is little competition atop the depth chart at tight end so Gesicki has a chance to make an immediate impact as a rookie. That said, rookie tight ends historically struggle to produce fantasy-relevant numbers.
MarQueis Gray18.3212.30.90000.126.43
A.J. Derby16.6180.90.80000.222.49
Durham Smythe9.5100.70.60000.113.47

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Wednesday, June 20, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Philadelphia Eagles

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Philadelphia Eagles.

Quarterbacks

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Carson Wentz563.6343.8417127.611.362.6262.91.33.1282.53
Missing the final three (regular-season) games, Wentz is ahead of schedule in his ACL recovery and rehab as he was recently cleared for 7-on-7 drills for mini-camp. Before the injury, Wentz threw 33 touchdowns to only seven interceptions in 13 games and trailed only Russell Wilson in fantasy points scored (through Week 14). With good health in 2018, Wentz should perform as a top-five fantasy quarterback.
Nick Foles17.410.31220.90.44.613.80.10.19.46
Despite losing Wentz, the Eagles did not miss a beat when Foles stepped in to lead the team. If Wentz were to miss any time, Foles would immediately become a streaming option.

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Running Backs

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Jay Ajayi204.2908.76.114.6118.30.91.8141.1
On limited regular-season touches (70 carries and 10 receptions in seven games), Ajayi averaged 5.8 yards per carry and 9.1 yards per reception. Ajayi saw a postseason workload bump with 42 carries and six receptions over three playoff games and he's poised for a larger workload heading into 2018 with LeGarrette Blount in Detroit.
Darren Sproles74.2326.5340.9343.60.80.688.61
Sproles missed all but three games last season, but the veteran change-of-pace back finished as fantasy's RB29 in standard-scoring formats in 2016. Obviously better in PPR formats, Sproles has finished as a top-36 fantasy running back in five of the previous six seasons before last year's injury-shortened campaign. NJ.com's Eliot Shorr-Parks wrote in May that "it would not be surprising at all to see Sproles near the top -- if not at the top -- of snaps" (among the team's RBs).
Corey Clement88.2379.3320.4199.920.287.52
Wendell Smallwood9.337.20.24.235.30.20.29.25
Matt Jones16.263.20.50000.97.52
Donnel Pumphrey2.39.80216.40.103.22

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Wide Receivers

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Alshon Jeffery58.1842.57.30000.2127.65
Posting a 57/789/9 line in his debut season with the Eagles, Jeffery's yardage was the lowest since his rookie season, but he was only one score shy of his career high. His 47.5-percent catch rate was disappointing and he exceeded the 75-yard mark in only two regular-season games. With a team-high 120 targets last season, however, Jeffery remains a threat for double-digit touchdowns as the team's No. 1 receiver with a strong chance to improve on his catch and yardage totals.
Nelson Agholor59.1738.85.61.4700.2107.78
In a breakout campaign, Agholor's 2017 numbers (62/768/8) exceeded his production from the previous two season's combined. Agholor finished as a top-25 fantasy receiver in 2017 in both PPR and standard-scoring formats.
Mike Wallace38.7551.53.90000.278.15
Mack Hollins15.2217.41.20000.128.74
Markus Wheaton8.71140.60000.114.8
Shelton Gibson1.920.90.100002.69
Bryce Treggs0.916.20.10000.12.02

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Tight Ends

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Zach Ertz77.3865.870000.2128.18
Along with Travis Kelce, Ertz is one of just two tight ends to have a minimum of 70 catches and 800 yards over each of the past three seasons. Only nine tight ends have a 70/800 season over the past three years and only four have multiple. Doubling his previous career high in touchdowns (eight in 2017), Ertz goes into 2018 as a top-three tight end with Rob Gronkowski and Kelce.
Dallas Goedert20.8245.42.50000.239.14
With Trey Burton signing a free-agent deal with the Bears, Goedert has an opportunity to make an immediate impact. While rookie tight ends tend to struggle acclimating to the league, the second-round pick has "hasn’t looked like a rookie" and Doug Pederson likes to use plenty of two- and three-TE sets.
Richard Rodgers7.472.50.7000011.45

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Saturday, June 16, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Kansas City Chiefs

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Kansas City Chiefs.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Patrick Mahomes519.4329.8394720.314.539.4137.91.23.2224.67
Playing well in one start as a rookie, Mahomes enters the 2018 season as the starter with Alex Smith traded to Washington this offseason. With a gunslinger mentality a la Brett Favre, Mahomes may be more prone to turnovers than Smith, but he also possesses the ability to push the ball down the field. Adding Sammy Watkins to the receiving corps, the Chiefs have their most talented group of pass-catchers during the Andy Reid era.
Chad Henne2.61.6180.10.12.11.1001.03

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Kareem Hunt240.71107.27.253.2436.22.70.8212.14
The 2017 rushing champion, Hunt started and finished his rookie season strong with a bit of a slump in the middle. Not only did Hunt rush for 100-plus yards in four of his first five games, but he racked up 100-plus YFS first seven games of his career. Posting 1,782 YFS, 53 receptions and 11 touchdowns as a rookie, Hunt will be a top-six fantasy running back and (late) first-round pick in fantasy drafts this summer.
Spencer Ware62.3264.83.117.8160.20.91.563.5
Ware missed all of last season and there are some questions over whether or not he will be ready for the start of training camp. Even though Ware had 1,368 total yards in 2016, he's not on the re-draft radar given Hunt's historic rookie season.
Charcandrick West31.1121.30.912.982.610.430.99
Damien Williams12.545.60.33.730.30.30.210.79
Anthony Sherman6.217.40.35.946.60.20.19.2
Kerwynn Williams2.18.201.613.400.11.96

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Tyreek Hill69.81130.8718.7121.60.70.5173.44
Nearly doubling his receiving yardage to 1,183 in year two, Hill closed the season strong with 21 catches for 457 yards and three touchdowns in four December games. There is the potential to improve upon last year's numbers with Mahomes under center, but the addition of Sammy Watkins (a much more talented WR2) to the receiving corps could diminish his opportunity for a major jump in production.
Sammy Watkins45.3720.35.40000.2104.03
When things are going right, Watkins can be as productive as any receiver in the league. That said, he's now playing for his third team in three years and only had 39/593/8 for the league's highest-scoring offense last year. On a positive note, however, the chemistry between Mahomes and Watkins appears strong with team reporter BJ Kissel writing, "Mahomes to Watkins is becoming a thing."
Chris Conley18.7327.31.10000.139.13
Demarcus Robinson13.8142.10.60000.117.61
De'Anthony Thomas11.3107.40.61.78.80.10.216.02
Jehu Chesson8840.4000010.8

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Travis Kelce82.31061.770000.5147.17
Recording back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons, Kelce finished 2017 with 83 catches for 1,038 yards and a career-high eight touchdowns. After Rob Gronkowski, Kelce is the clear TE2 -- or perhaps even the TE1(a) given Gronk's durability history.
Demetrius Harris11.5132.30.80000.117.83
Jace Amaro7.893.60.40000.111.56

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Friday, June 15, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Indianapolis Colts

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Indianapolis Colts.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Andrew Luck508.7312.9381526.515.853.8274.42.74.5261.64
While there remains some concern with Luck, signs point to him being ready for the start of the 2018 NFL season. If so, it's a major boost to the offense overall even though Jacoby Brissett filled in admirably given the circumstances. In his past three full seasons, Luck has finished as fantasy's QB4 (2013), QB2 (2014) and QB4 (2016). If he can stay healthy for the entire season, there is plenty of profit potential for those willing to roll the dice on Luck.
Jacoby Brissett38.322.82601.20.7941.40.50.220.54

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Marlon Mack152.36323.824.9221.611.2111.76
With Frank Gore no longer in the picture, Mack is the favorite for the largest share of the backfield's workload, but Indianapolis drafted running backs Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins in the fourth and fifth rounds, respectively. Mack, who is recovering from shoulder surgery, had 583 YFS, 21 receptions and four touchdowns with an average of 3.8 YPC as a rookie in 2017.
Nyheim Hines71.7315.51.428.72641.40.873.15
Drawing some comparisons to Darren Sproles, Hines is an explosive (4.38 forty) athlete, converted wide receiver and his versatility should allow Frank Reich to move him all over the field.
Robert Turbin82.93152.514114.80.70.161.98
Jordan Wilkins47197.41.21.49.100.327.25
Christine Michael17.969.80.41.26.200.19.8
Josh Ferguson10.339.10.20.85.200.15.43

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
T.Y. Hilton71.111665.30001.2146
Failing to reach the 1,000-yard mark for the first time since his rookie season, the new offense and return of Andrew Luck bodes well for Hilton, who led the NFL with 1,448 receiving yards in 2016. A bounce-back campaign is on the horizon for the speedster, but one concern is the lack of touchdowns -- Hilton has never had more than seven scores in a season.
Chester Rogers38.6501.81.93.612.600.561.84
Ryan Grant35.6420.12.50000.156.81
Daurice Fountain182701.80000.337.2
Deon Cain18.1238.92.20000.236.69

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Jack Doyle56.9523.55.10001.579.95
Doyle finished second on the team in targets (108) last season and posted career highs with 80 catches and 690 yards last season. By signing Eric Ebron, it's possible that Doyle fails to reach those numbers or perhaps even his 2016 numbers (59/584/5).
Eric Ebron41.74652.90000.263.5
Missing multiple games in his first three seasons, Ebron played a full 16-game slate last year and finished with 53/574/4. Ebron has 161 receptions for 1,822 yards and 10 touchdowns over the past three years combined. The former top-10 pick is still just 25 years old and perhaps the change of scenery will do him good.
Erik Swoope91080.70000.114.8

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2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Denver Broncos

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Case Keenum575.2373.9414123.613.842.2143.51.31.6251.39
Following a breakout season with the Vikings, Keenum signed a free-agent deal with the Broncos to give them their most stable quarterback situation since Peyton Manning. More than anything, however, the presence of Keenum is a boost to the fantasy value of Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, but Keenum is a viable streaming option who should have a handful of solid performances in 2018.
Paxton Lynch4.62.8290.10.12.29.200.12.08
Chad Kelly1.20.780000000.32

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Devontae Booker179.8674.35.427.9242.70.62.5122.7
With the Broncos releasing C.J. Anderson this offseason, Booker seems poised to enter the season as the starter, but I'm not sure that he'll end the season as the team's lead back. The Broncos used a third-round pick on Royce Freeman, who could/should overtake Booker at some point during the season.
Royce Freeman169.6720.85.912.291.50.21.6114.63
Booker may enter the season as the lead back, but it's more than possible that Freeman becomes that guy at some point during the season. A four-year starter for the Ducks, the 230-pound back rushed for 5,621 (5.9 YPC) yards and 60 touchdowns in his career while adding 79/814/4 receiving.
De'Angelo Henderson35.5127.80.711.186.60.4028.04
Andy Janovich6.716.10.34.842.20.208.83
David Williams4.413.60.116.5002.61

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Demaryius Thomas93.31231.67.50001.6164.96
DT is coming off his worst season (83/949/5) since breaking out in 2012. Signing Case Keenum may not return Thomas to the days of 90/1,400/10 numbers he posted from 2012 to 2014, but a bounce-back campaign to the tune of 90 catches and 1,200 yards seems reasonable with steadier quarterback play.
Emmanuel Sanders77.51038.53.91.36.500.6126.7
While Sanders missed four games, his 2017 numbers (47/555/2) were nearly half of his 2016 production (79/1,032/5). Before last season, Sanders had three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and there is a reasonable chance that he approaches that level of production with Keenum under center.
Courtland Sutton37.8480.12.60001.261.21
Highly productive at SMU, Sutton should get opportunities in three-wide sets for the Broncos, but he isn't on the re-draft radar (in standard-sized leagues) barring an injury to either Thomas or Sanders.
Carlos Henderson20.9267.51.32.29.700.534.52
DaeSean Hamilton11134.20.80000.317.62
Jordan Taylor7.590.80.60000.411.88
Isaiah McKenzie2.926.70.10000.14.87

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Jeff Heuerman22.7276.920000.139.49
Austin Traylor17214.21.70000.131.42
Jake Butt18201.61.40000.128.36

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Saturday, June 9, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Projections: Dallas Cowboys

In addition to viewing our 2018 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

Below you will find our 2018 fantasy football projections for the Dallas Cowboys.

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDFLPoints
Dak Prescott472.6302.5328522.29.958.8317.55.90267.55
Through his first two NFL seasons, Prescott has finished as fantasy's QB6 and QB9, respectively. Even though Prescott and Dez Bryant never seemed to get on the same page, the Dez-less Cowboys will have one of the league's least-talented group of pass-catchers in 2018. Rushing for 12 touchdowns in two seasons, Prescott's dual-threat abilities help to raise his floor despite a lack of talented pass-catchers, but it's possible he finishes outside the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks for the first time in his young career.
Cooper Rush2.41.214000.52000.76

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDFLPoints
Ezekiel Elliott318.51385.510.242.2426.22.51255.37
The rushing champion as a rookie, Elliott served a six-game suspension in 2017 but led the league in rushing yards per game (98.3) with a larger workload (24.2 carries per game) in his sophomore campaign. With limited weapons in the passing game, Elliott and the Cowboys will face many eight-men fronts, but the former Buckeye should get well north of 300 carries with a chance for another rushing title.
Rod Smith31.9132.4112.21220.6035.04
Bo Scarbrough29.4123.51.53.726.60.10.224.21
Jamize Olawale8.331.50.37.765.50.40.113.7
Trey Williams28.501.815.30.102.98
Darius Jackson3.414.60.100002.06

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Terrance Williams40.26073.40000.380.5
With Dez Bryant no longer on the roster, Williams could be viewed as the favorite to lead the team in receiving. Even so, I expect Dak Prescott to spread the ball around enough that none of the team's receivers will finish as a top-36 fantasy option. I could see a bunch of the team's receivers finishing in the range of 400 to 600 yards in 2018.
Allen Hurns41.9553.14.20000.180.31
Two years removed from a 1,031/10 season, Hurns has missed five-plus games in each of the past two seasons with a total of 961 yards and five touchdowns combined over that stretch. While a return to 2015 numbers is unlikely, Hurns should be able to set three-year highs if he's able to stay healthy.
Tavon Austin30.9262.72.241.7271.12.12.575.38
For the most part, Austin has underperformed compared to his lofty draft status (eighth-overall pick in 2013). Back in 2015, Austin had 907 yards from scrimmage (473 receiving and 434 rushing), 52 receptions and 10 total touchdowns including one return score. While I doubt he posts those lofty numbers in Dallas (especially the double-digit touchdowns part), it's possible fantasy owners get the second-best numbers of his career.
Michael Gallup40.2514.640000.374.86
Even though the Cowboys waited until the third round to select Gallup, it's possible that the PFF favorite leads all rookie wide receivers in production given the team's lack of playmakers.
Cole Beasley48.5475.33.90000.370.33
With future HOFer Jason Witten hanging up his cleats, there should be more targets heading the slot receiver's way. In Dak Prescott's rookie season, Beasley had a 75/833/5 line. At a minimum, I'd expect him to post better numbers than last season's 36/314/4.
Noah Brown5.353.50.50000.18.15
Deonte Thompson4.358.10.30000.17.41
Cedrick Wilson3.134.40.200004.64

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDFLPoints
Geoff Swaim12.9135.51000019.55
Blake Jarwin11118.80.90000.117.08
Rico Gathers1011210000.117
Dalton Schultz8.182.60.60000.111.66

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