Sunday, October 15, 2017

Week 6 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

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With that said, here are my Week 6 NFL picks against the spread:

Baltimore Ravens -6.5 over Chicago Bears (2 Units)

Making the switch from Mike Glennon to Mitchell Trubisky, the Bears scored a total of 17 points on Monday Night Football at home. That said, punter Pat O'Donnell threw one of the team's two touchdowns. The rookie will head to Baltimore on a short week where it's never easy to get a win. Few teams, if any, have less talented weapons than the Bears, which makes things even more difficult for a rookie quarterback. Even though Joe Flacco has looked bad -- more interceptions (six) than touchdowns (four) thrown -- this season, I think the Ravens will win by at least a touchdown.

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Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (2 Units)

Coming off a five-interception performance, there is real concern in Pittsburgh for Ben Roethlisberger, but I think we'll see a better performance in Week 6. (Of course, it can't get much worse than Week 5.) Instead of 55 pass attempts from Big Ben, I'd expect to see a lot of Le'Veon Bell early in this game. I'm not sure if the Steelers will hand the Chiefs their first loss of the season, but I do think this game will be close (enough to get the cover).

Jaguars vs. Rams -- Under 42.5 (2 Units)

Like we all expected, the Rams currently rank second in the NFL in scoring offense (30.4 PPG) just ahead of Tom Brady and the Patriots (29.6). Meanwhile, the Jaguars have run the ball extremely well behind rookie Leonard Fournette as they lead the league in rushing offense (165.2 YPG). In addition, Fournette (466) and Todd Gurley (405) trail only Kareem Hunt (609) in rushing.

The Jaguars have one of the league's best overall defenses and (in my opinion) the best cornerback duo in Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye. As they load the box to slow Todd Gurley, I think we see less efficiency from the Rams offense. Much of their early-season success has come against bad defenses, but they managed to score just 10 points last week against the Seahawks.

I could see this game turning out to be 20-16 type of game with a lot of field goals and good defense. I'll take the under.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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