Sunday, October 22, 2017

Week 7 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

Embed from Getty Images

With that said, here are Dan Yanotchko's Week 7 NFL picks against the spread:

New Orleans Saints -4 over Green Bay Packers (4 Units)

It stinks to see one of the best quarterbacks in the game go down with what will most likely be a season-ending injury to Aaron Rodgers, and I just don't think that they are equipped to overcome this. The Saints have been resurgent as of late, and they will be looking to thrust themselves into the fore of the NFC playoff picture with a suddenly winnable game at Lambeau.

The main reason I think the Saints will trounce Green Bay, is that the Packers pass defense just isn't good enough to handle Drew Brees, and their high-flying offense. The Packers allow 208 yards passing per game, and also have allowed eight touchdowns on the year, but their main problem is that they have only generated 11 sacks so far. I think Brees will have a clean pocket and time to throw, and also couple that with the first career start for Brett Hundley ... good luck with that.

Cincinnati Bengals +5 over Pittsburgh Steelers (3 Units)

Ok, so first the Steelers look old, washed up, dysfunctional, and just an overall mess by losing to Jacksonville at home, but then totally redeem themselves with a massive road win against the unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs. The Bengals looked dreadful out of the gate, but they have managed to right the ship, and now this game is huge in terms of AFC North standings.

I think the Bengals are much closer to the Steelers overall than 5 points, and the main reason is that they have such a great defense. The Bengals have one of the best pass defenses in the league that only allows 160 yards passing per game, and a 57.4 completion percentage. While we know that Ben Roethlisberger is struggling, the Steelers will lean on Le'Veon Bell, but Cincy also only allows opposing rushers 103 yards per game, and a low 3.8 yards per carry. I just feel that Cincy will be able to keep this game close, and they could really need this one for tie-breakers.

Miami Dolphins -3 over New York Jets (5 Units)

There have certainly been quite a few surprises this league year, but I don't think that anyone saw the Jets beat down of Miami 20-6 in Week 2 coming. I see this game as a pride and revenge factor, and of course it never hurts to be playing this game at home to return the favor of being embarrassed. The Dolphins will certainly be loading up with running back Jay Ajayi, and he gets a great matchup against a Jets rush defense that allows 138.8 yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry. Also the Dolphins have a very stout front-seven that allows opposing rushers 80.4 yards per game and 3.5 yards per carry. I think Miami is returning the favor here to the Jets, and I think they will just blow them out.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

Check out some of our fantasy football resources:
Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) LIKE us on Facebook and/or (3) add us to your Google+ circle