Friday, July 20, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 12th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on July 7th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2018 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2018 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., non-PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 12
  • Starters: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST
  • Bench Size: 6

Embed from Getty Images

With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.12 - Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons: With 1,400-plus yards in each of the past four seasons, Jones has a total of 6,317 receiving yards during that four-year span. Only Antonio Brown (6,349) has more and both have more than 1,200 yards more than DeAndre Hopkins (5,063, third). Only Brown has more catches than Jones over that span.

2.01 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers: Gordon has yet to average 4.0 yards per carry in a season, but last year he rushed for 1,105 yards and added 58 catches for 476 yards, all of which were career highs. And after not scoring on 217 touches as a rookie, MG3 has scored exactly 12 touchdowns in each of the past two seasons.

3.12 - Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals: Returning for (at least) another season, Fitzgerald has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in each of the past three seasons and four of the past five. Incredibly consistent, Fitz has 100-plus receptions and 1,000-plus yards in three consecutive seasons. Going into his age-35 season, he's a solid WR2.

4.01 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas is coming off his worst season (83/949/5) since breaking out in 2012. Signing Case Keenum may not return Thomas to the days of 90/1,400/10 numbers he posted from 2012 to 2014, but a bounce-back campaign to the tune of 90 catches and 1,200 yards seems reasonable with steadier quarterback play.

- MORE: Denver Broncos 2018 Fantasy Football Projections

5.12 - Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints: Even with rookie Alvin Kamara finishing as fantasy's RB4, Ingram set career highs in 2017 with 1,124 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, 58 receptions and 416 receiving yards. To a certain degree, Ingram's four-game suspension creates more fantasy appeal as there is a discount given the level of strong production from Weeks 5 to 16.

6.01 - Lamar Miller, RB, Houston Texans: With D'Onta Foreman's (Achilles) status for Week 1 unclear, Miller should get the majority of work early in the season, which works well as I use him in my RB2 role while Ingram is suspended to start the season.

7.12 - DeVante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins: Parker appears to be doing the right things as Joe Schad notes: "Dolphins coaches say few if any players have spent more time in the building than Parker since last season ended." Given that Jarvis Landry and his 570 targets over the past four years are no longer on the roster, the 25-year-old Parker has loads of upside if he's able to put it all together this season.

8.01 - Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Even if he's the 2 to Devonta Freeman in the team's 1-2 rushing attack, Coleman has finished as a top-24 running back and exceeded 900 yards from scrimmage in each of the past two seasons. The contract-year back has scored 19 total touchdowns since 2016.

- MORE: Devonta Freeman 2018 Fantasy Football Profile

9.12 - Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins: If he ever puts together a 16-team season, Reed has the potential to lead all tight ends in fantasy points. Unfortunately, he has missed at least four games in four of his five NFL seasons including 10 missed games last season. In his healthiest season (14 games in 2015), Reed had a monster 87/952/11 line.

10.01 - Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts: Assuming Luck is under center against the Bengals in Week 1, which seems likely at this point, it will be 616 days in between meaningful games. In his past three full seasons, Luck has finished as fantasy's QB4 (2013), QB2 (2014) and QB4 (2016). If he can stay healthy for the entire season, there is plenty of profit potential on Luck this late.

11.12 - Tyrell Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers: With Keenan Allen out for virtually of 2016, Williams had a breakout season with 69 catches for 1,059 yards and seven touchdowns. With Allen healthy, Williams had 43/728/4 in 2017 — and that level of production is a more reasonable expectation barring an Allen injury in 2018.

12.01 - Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Mixon missed some time, but Bernard was highly productive down the stretch. In five December games, Bernard had 507 YFS, averaged 4.75 YPC with 24 receptions and two scores. Gio offers late-round value as a back that could return flex value and is a back that I often draft in the double-digit rounds.

13.12 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: Except for 2012 (21st) and 2016 (14th), Rivers has finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in the eight of his past 10 NFL seasons. Not only does Rivers provide insurance for Luck, I'd stream the two based on matchup(s).

14.01 - Philadelphia Eagles D/ST

15.12 - Eric Ebron, TE, Indianapolis Colts: Missing multiple games in his first three seasons, Ebron played a full 16-game slate last year and finished with 53/574/4. Ebron provides some insurance if/when Reed misses time.

16.01 - Stephen Gostkowski, K, New England Patriots

- View full mock draft results here

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