Wednesday, September 6, 2023

Arizona Cardinals 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Arizona Cardinals.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Kyler Murray312.1209.12184.713.426.428.5156.80.86149.11
Clayton Tune171.6108.11192.66.694.7218.364.10.4674.19
Joshua Dobbs140.483.5940.74.914.0715.3780.3158.79

Kyler Murray: While we know the minimum number of missed games is four, it's unclear how many games Murray (ACL) will miss to begin the season. Either way, there are incentives for the Cardinals to not rush him back before he's ready. When he does return, the dual-threat quarterback may not run nearly as much as he typically would either, but Murray has finished as fantasy's QB7 (2022), QB4 (2021) and QB3 (2020), respectively, on a per-game basis over the past three seasons if we exclude quarterbacks that started only one game during those seasons.

MORE: 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Will USC's Caleb Williams be Murray's eventual replacement?

Clayton Tune: It will be Tune or Josh Dobbs (key word: "or") under center when the Cardinals face the Commanders in Week 1, but it's also possible that both quarterbacks make starts in 2023. It's also unclear how much time Murray will miss in 2023. In other words, none of Arizona's quarterbacks are worth drafting outside of two-QB leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
James Conner195.4820.75.8642.9323.91.4179.47
Keaontay Ingram91.4374.72.1516120.90.774.66
Emari Demercado41.7175.11.04969.10.437.56

James Conner: Conner has missed multiple games in all six of his NFL seasons including four games in 2022. In his two years with the Cardinals, he has a total of 385 carries for 1,534 yards (3.98 YPC) and 22 touchdowns while adding 83 catches for 675 yards and four touchdowns. The good news is that he should dominate backfield touches, as long as he remains healthy. The bad news is his number of scoring opportunities will likely be down (perhaps significantly), especially when Kyler Murray is sidelined.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Marquise Brown81.5997.55.91.260.05176.8
Rondale Moore63.1658.53.78.134.40.28124.72
Michael Wilson44.3576.53.4000100.2
Greg Dortch28.4291.51.77.144.40.3660.15
Zach Pascal23.2278.51.600049.05

Marquise Brown: Brown missed a stretch of five games in the middle of the season, but he played the first six games, missed five, and then played the final six games. During that span of the first six games, DeAndre Hopkins served a league-imposed suspension and Brown racked up a 43/485/3 stat line on 64 targets. That was much better than his final six games (24/224/0 on 43 targets), playing alongside Hopkins. From Weeks 1 to 6, Brown tied for third with Stefon Diggs (64) among wide receivers in targets behind Cooper Kupp (72) and Tyreek Hill (65). Only seven wide receivers scored more fantasy points during that stretch. Long story short: I'm betting Brown will outperform his ADP (by a possibly large margin) in 2023 despite the uncertainty around his former college quarterback.

Rondale Moore: Moore has missed 12 games including nine last season since being selected with a top-50 pick in 2021. In 22 career NFL games, he has a total of 920 yards from scrimmage on 119 touches (95 receptions and 24 carries) and two touchdowns. On a positive note, he had 24/255/1 receiving on 31 targets in his last three full games (Weeks 8-10 in 2022). Could a breakout be forthcoming for Moore?

Michael Wilson: Unlike Brown or Moore, Wilson provides the receiving corps with a big-bodied (6-2, 213) target. Wilson dealt with a number of injuries at Stanford, but the third-round rookie has looked good early on with the Cardinals.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Zach Ertz42.9477.13.100087.76
Trey McBride37.3401.62.500073.81
Geoff Swaim771.20.400013.02
Elijah Higgins551.80.30009.48

Zach Ertz: Ertz played only 10 games last season before tearing his ACL. Like Marquise Brown, Ertz was especially good when DeAndre Hopkins was suspended. Ertz had double-digit targets in four of the six games that Hopkins missed. He averaged 5.8 catches on 8.5 targets during that stretch.

Trey McBride: After Ertz tore his ACL, McBride became much more involved in the passing game. The first tight end selected in the 2022 NFL Draft had only four catches through Week 10, but then he had 25 receptions for 234 yards and a touchdown on 35 targets over the final seven games with Ertz out.

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