Sunday, August 13, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 10th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

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Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 10
  • Starters: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST
  • Bench Size: 6
With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.10 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing all of 2015, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets) as he finished as fantasy's WR2 both seasons. Given his rapport with Aaron Rodgers and being another year removed from his torn ACL, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

2.03 - DeMarco Murray, RB, Tennessee Titans: Exceeding expectations, Murray touched the ball 346 times for a total of 1,664 yards and 12 touchdowns last season. Remarkably consistent, Murray was a weekly top-20 back in his first 14 games and finished as a top-10 RB in 10 of those 14 games. Even if Derrick Henry's role expands in 2017, Murray should be in store for another top-10 fantasy season in Tennessee's run-based offense.

3.10 - Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. Battling a hip injury for much of last season, those are not bad numbers as "five-year lows." Before last year, he had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons.

4.03 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored despite scoring only four touchdowns. With Jeremy Maclin now in Baltimore, Kelce should be even more of a focal point of the passing offense.

5.10 - Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints: The good news is that Ingram played a full 16-game slate for the second time in his career while posting career highs of 1,043 rushing yards, 5.1 yards per carry and 10 total touchdowns. The addition of Adrian Peterson is a concern, but both have the potential to have strong fantasy seasons in their high-powered offense and Ingram is worth the risk here.

6.03 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Both of those -- 75 catches and 1,000 yards -- seem to be a reasonable floor, but there is some upside for improvement over the past two seasons.

7.10 - Danny Woodhead, RB, Baltimore Ravens: Missing the majority of the 2014 and 2016 seasons, Woodhead has played just 21 games over the past three years. Even more valuable in PPR formats as one of the league's top receiving backs, Woodhead has still finished as a top-24 fantasy running back (standard scoring) in each of his past three full seasons.

8.03 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota threw for 3,426 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions and he ran a little more often (60/349/2). Yet to a throw a red-zone interception (33 TDs and no INTs) in his young career, the Titans have given the ascending quarterback better weapons, especially in the red zone. Given the Week 1 uncertainty around Andrew Luck, I've moved Mariota up to the QB5 in my rankings.

9.10 - Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas Cowboys: If Ezekiel Elliott serves his six-game (or a reduced) suspension in 2017, McFadden becomes the Cowboys' starter (and a fantasy start) for those games. In his first season in Dallas without Zeke and Tony Romo injured most of the year, McFadden rushed for 1,089 yards (4.6 YPC) on 236 carries and added 40 catches for 328 yards.

10.03 - Mike Wallace, WR, Baltimore Ravens: Even though Wallace had his first 1,000-yard season since 2011, he has finished as a top-30 fantasy wide receiver (standard scoring) in seven of eight seasons since entering the league in 2009. While I don't necessarily target Wallace, I'm more than comfortable with him as my WR4.

11.10 - Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions: Better in PPR-scoring formats, Riddick is one of the league's most dynamic receiving backs, but he's a decent value in Round 11 of standard-scoring drafts and provides some depth as my RB5 (RB4 post-Zeke suspension).

12.03 - Josh Doctson, WR, Washington Redskins: There has been a lot of turnover in the receiving corps, but there is plenty of upside provided last year's first-round pick can stay healthy.

13.10 - Philip Rivers, QB, Los Angeles Chargers: If the Chargers can keep (most of) their top pass-catchers healthy for a full season, Rivers will be a huge bargain here. Rivers has exceeded 4,200 passing yards in seven of eight seasons and he has thrown 30-plus touchdowns in three of four years.

14.03 - Arizona Cardinals DST
15.10 - Robby Anderson, WR, New York Jets: Productive last year (42/587/2), Anderson had a five-game stretch where he exceeded 60 receiving yards four times. Due to releases/free agency and injuries, he has moved into the No. 1 receiver role, by default, could finish as a top-50 fantasy wide receiver.

16.03 - Dan Bailey, K, Dallas Cowboys

- View full mock draft results here

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