Friday, September 1, 2023

Buffalo Bills 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Josh Allen585.1370.44271.233.9414.04103.9602.64.68366.87
Kyle Allen37.322264.

Josh Allen: Fantasy managers know exactly what they're getting when they draft Allen, who has finished as fantasy's QB1, QB1 and QB2 over the past three seasons, respectively. Few quarterbacks have as much weekly upside and consistency as Allen. Last season, he finished as a top-six weekly QB in 12 of 16 games played and finished as a top-12 weekly quarterback in two more games.

MORE: Josh Allen 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook


James Cook155.7685.13.9745.7353.82.4164.96
Damien Harris107.3461.43.1116.1120.20.688.47
Latavius Murray82.2361.72.2212.9104.30.669.97
Reggie Gilliam0007.5590.412.05

James Cook: Cook was one of Buffalo's fantasy winners after the draft, as there was some projection that the Bills could target someone like Bijan Robinson if he slipped. (Of course, he didn't.) Heading into 2023 atop the depth chart, he'll split touches with veterans like Damien Harris and Latavius Murray, but he'll be in the (back-end) RB2 mix for fantasy managers this season. Offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey praised Cook's versatility and potential to be a "three-down back."

Damien Harris: Harris has been productive when given volume (1,061 YFS and 15 TDs in 2021). He signed a modest one-year contract, and he (and/or Latavius Murray) will be a TD-dependent option in fantasy leagues, when healthy.


Stefon Diggs1051326.
Gabe Davis55.9827.87.2000153.93
Trent Sherfield21.6267.62.100050.16
Khalil Shakir16.72201.800041.15
Deonte Harty101271.21.811.70.0226.19
Justin Shorter8.6113.41.100022.24

Stefon Diggs: Since becoming a Bill, Diggs has posted the following stat lines — 127/1535/8 (2020), 103/1225/10 (2021) and 108/1429/11 (2022). During that same span, he has finished as fantasy's WR3, WR7 and WR4, respectively. Diggs has an extremely high floor as Josh Allen's go-to receiver within Buffalo's high-powered offense.

Gabe Davis: A popular name on 2022 breakout lists, Davis set (or tied) career highs in receptions (48), targets (93), yards (836) and touchdowns (seven) last season. And although he finished as fantasy's WR27, it's fair to say that many fantasy managers expected more. Davis failed to reach the 40-yard mark in eight of 15 regular-season games, and he scored only once in those eight modest performances.

Trent Sherfield: The Athletic's Joe Buscaglia wrote after the team's second preseason game, "[a]long with his versatility to play slot receiver or to allow Stefon Diggs to play in the slot, this is another fantastic sign that Sherfield's bid to be WR3 is legitimate." The Bills are Sherfield's fourth team in four seasons, but he posted career highs in his age-26 season with the Dolphins (30/417/2) last year.

Khalil Shakir: Instead of drafting a receiver at the end of Round 1, the Bills drafted tight end Dalton Kincaid. While Shakir may rank third in WR snaps behind Diggs and Davis, the presence of Kincaid (and more two-TE sets) could limit his ability to make a significant jump in his second season.


Dalton Kincaid47.9528.44.3000102.59
Dawson Knox40.2444.53.600086.15
Quintin Morris4.343.10.40008.86

Dalton Kincaid: A lengthy adjustment period for rookie tight ends typically leads to modest fantasy impacts for the position. That said, Kincaid was arguably the most talented pass catcher (wide receiver or tight end) in the 2023 NFL Draft, so there is potential for him to be utilized more than a typical rookie tight end as a mismatch in the passing game.

Dawson Knox: Knox's 2022 numbers (48/517/6) were similar, albeit slightly less, than his 2021 production (49/587/9). It's unlikely that Knox will produce as a top-12 option in 2023, and his touchdown dependency is high given his relatively low volume. Knox exceeded 50 receiving yards in only three regular-season games last season.

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