The Daily Blitz: Brandon Aiyuk

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Tuesday, September 5, 2023

San Francisco 49ers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brock Purdy	485	325	3710.3	24.74	12.13	56.8	127.8	1.28	243.57
Sam Darnold	39.3	24.2	288.9	1.79	1.1	11.4	41	0.23	22

Brock Purdy: Mr. Irrelevant is the term given to the final pick of each NFL draft, but Purdy, the last pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, was anything but irrelevant in his rookie season. From December through his final snap of the playoffs, Purdy completed 151-of-224 pass attempts (67.4%) for 1,877 yards (8.38 Y/A), 16 touchdowns (7.1%) and only three interceptions (1.3%). There appear to be no lingering concerns following his offseason UCL surgery.

Sam Darnold: Excluding a terrible performance (2.8 passer rating) in 2022's season finale with the Panthers, Darnold was playing really well before that last year. In fact, he threw for 1,100 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception with a 105.4 passer rating in his other five games started last season while adding 74 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Since Kyle Shanahan took over in 2017, the 49ers rank second in the NFL in passing yards per attempt (7.4), per Stathead.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Christian McCaffrey	196.8	915.1	6.89	71.2	601.9	4	252.64
Elijah Mitchell	141.3	635.9	3.96	8.9	64	0.5	101.2
Kyle Juszczyk	6.3	22.7	0.22	14.1	130	0.8	28.44
Jordan Mason	32.8	144.3	0.98	3.5	26	0.2	25.86
Tyrion Davis-Price	13.9	58.4	0.38	2.1	16	0.1	11.37

Christian McCaffrey: After two injury-plagued seasons, McCaffrey played a full 17-game slate in 2022 split between the Panthers and 49ers. If there's a concern (albeit only a slight one), it's the potential for the 49ers to scale back CMC's workload to preserve his health for a full season including the playoffs, especially given their talented supporting cast when at full strength.

When healthy, however, few, if any, running backs have a higher floor and ceiling due to his ability as a runner and receiver. From Week 7 (when SF traded for him) through the end of the season, he tied Tennessee's Derrick Henry for the most fantasy points per game (half-PPR). McCaffrey has a minimum of 80 catches in each of his four full seasons, and he's averaged 113.1 yards per scrimmage per game over his career.

Elijah Mitchell: Mitchell won't offer much stand-alone value, but he would have enormous upside if Christian McCaffrey were to miss any time during the 2023 season. While CMC deserves to be considered at pick 1.01 in fantasy drafts, we've seen how productive non-CMC backs (including Mitchell) have been when given the opportunity.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deebo Samuel	62.7	831.8	5.5	36.6	234.2	2.2	184.15
Brandon Aiyuk	75.6	967.8	6.4	3.8	30.4	0.23	177.4
Jauan Jennings	30.6	387.9	2.5	0	0	0	69.09
Ray-Ray McCloud	5.2	64	0.4	4	30	0.2	15.6
Danny Gray	3.8	54	0.3	1	8	0.05	10.2
Ronnie Bell	3.5	44	0.3	0	0	0	7.95

Deebo Samuel: Samuel has missed multiple games in two of the past three seasons, and his physical play style increases his durability risk. Playing in 13 games and describing his own play as "awful" last season, Samuel finished with 56 receptions for 632 yards and two touchdowns and added 42 carries for 232 yards and three touchdowns. At a minimum, a motivated Samuel should be better on a per-touch basis in 2023 than he was last year.

Brandon Aiyuk: Aiyuk had the best season of his young career in 2022 with 78 catches for 1,015 yards and eight touchdowns, all career highs, and he was a top-15 fantasy wide receiver (half-PPR scoring). The only concern with Aiyuk, and other San Francisco skill-position players, is the competition for touches with so many talented pass catchers on the roster.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	58.1	699.9	4.8	127.84
Ross Dwelley	5.4	62	0.4	11.3
Charlie Woerner	2.6	30	0.2	5.5
Brayden Willis	1.7	20	0.1	3.45

George Kittle: Compared to his elite talent, Kittle is often under-targeted. Even so, he has finished as a top-four fantasy tight end in four of the past five seasons. The exception was when he missed eight games in 2020, but he finished third on a PPG basis that season behind Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. The other concern with Kittle is he has missed multiple games in four consecutive seasons (and he's dealing with an adductor strain heading into Week 1), but he has averaged 70.4/947.8/5.8 per 17 games over the past five years.

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Saturday, August 26, 2023

San Francisco 49ers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brock Purdy	477.8	320.1	3679.1	24.37	11.95	57.4	114.8	1.15	239.12
Sam Darnold	41.5	25.5	305	1.89	1.16	11.5	41.4	0.23	22.96

Brock Purdy: Mr. Irrelevant is the term given to the final pick of each NFL draft, but Purdy, the last pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, was anything but irrelevant in his rookie season. From December through his final snap of the playoffs, Purdy completed 151-of-224 pass attempts (67.4%) for 1,877 yards (8.38 Y/A), 16 touchdowns (7.1%) and only three interceptions (1.3%). there appear to be no lingering concerns following his offseason UCL surgery.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Christian McCaffrey	198.9	924.9	6.96	70.2	597.6	3.9	252.51
Elijah Mitchell	142.8	642.6	4	8.8	63.7	0.5	102.03
Kyle Juszczyk	6.4	23	0.22	14	129.5	0.8	28.37
Jordan Mason	33.2	146.1	1	2.9	21.9	0.1	24.85
Tyrion Davis-Price	14	58.8	0.39	2.1	14.7	0.1	11.34

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deebo Samuel	62.4	833.9	5.5	37	236.8	2.22	184.59
Brandon Aiyuk	74.3	958.2	6.3	3.8	30.4	0.23	175.19
Jauan Jennings	28.7	368.5	2.4	0	0	0	65.6
Ray-Ray McCloud	4.8	59.8	0.4	4.1	30.8	0.21	15.12
Danny Gray	3.5	49.8	0.3	1	8	0.05	9.63
Ronnie Bell	3.1	39.8	0.3	0	0	0	7.33

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	57.5	697.2	4.7	126.67
Cameron Latu	9	99.6	0.7	18.66
Ross Dwelley	2.6	29.9	0.2	5.49
Charlie Woerner	1.7	19.9	0.1	3.44

George Kittle: Compared to his elite talent, Kittle is often under-targeted. Even so, he has finished as a top-four fantasy tight end in four of the past five seasons. The exception was when he missed eight games in 2020, but he finished third on a PPG basis that season behind Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. The other concern with Kittle is he has missed multiple games in four consecutive seasons, but he has averaged 70.4/947.8/5.8 per 17 games over the past five years.

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Sunday, August 20, 2023

San Francisco 49ers 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brock Purdy	441.4	295.7	3398.8	22.51	11.04	54.8	109.6	1.1	221.47
Sam Darnold	46.7	28.7	343.2	2.12	1.31	10.2	36.7	0.2	24.46
Trey Lance	31.2	19.3	230.9	1.53	0.9	16.6	78	0.5	24.36

Brock Purdy: Mr. Irrelevant is the term given to the final pick of each NFL draft, but Purdy, the last pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, was anything but irrelevant in his rookie season. From December through his final snap of the playoffs, Purdy completed 151-of-224 pass attempts (67.4%) for 1,877 yards (8.38 Y/A), 16 touchdowns (7.1%) and only three interceptions (1.3%). Firmly entrenched as the starter going into 2023, there appear to be no lingering concerns following his offseason UCL surgery.

Sam Darnold: Excluding a terrible performance (2.8 passer rating) in 2022's season finale with the Panthers, Darnold was playing really well before that last year. In fact, he threw for 1,100 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception with a 105.4 passer rating in his other five games last season while adding 74 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

Trey Lance: Lance has immense dual-threat upside if he gets the opportunity to make starts in 2023 and reaches his full potential, but it's possible that Sam Darnold would get the nod ahead of him if Purdy were to miss any time.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Christian McCaffrey	198.9	924.9	6.96	69.8	595.9	3.9	252.14
Elijah Mitchell	137.7	619.7	3.86	8.8	63.6	0.5	98.89
Kyle Juszczyk	6.4	23	0.22	13.9	129.1	0.8	28.28
Jordan Mason	28.1	123.6	0.84	2.9	21.9	0.1	21.64
Tyrion Davis-Price	11.5	48.3	0.32	2.1	14.7	0.1	9.87

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deebo Samuel	62	831.5	5.4	37	236.8	2.22	183.55
Brandon Aiyuk	73.9	955.5	6.3	3.8	30.4	0.23	174.72
Jauan Jennings	28.5	367.5	2.4	0	0	0	65.4
Ray-Ray McCloud	4.8	59.6	0.4	4.1	30.8	0.21	15.1
Danny Gray	3.4	49.7	0.3	1	8	0.05	9.57
Ronnie Bell	3.1	39.7	0.3	0	0	0	7.32

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	57.2	695.3	4.7	126.33
Cameron Latu	8.9	99.3	0.7	18.58
Ross Dwelley	2.6	29.8	0.2	5.48
Charlie Woerner	1.7	19.9	0.1	3.44

George Kittle: Compared to his elite talent, Kittle is often under-targeted. Even so, he has finished as a top-four fantasy tight end in four of the past five seasons. The exception was when he missed eight games in 2020, but he finished third on a PPG basis that season behind Travis Kelce and Darren Waller. The other concern with Kittle is he has missed multiple games in four consecutive seasons, but he has averaged 70.4/947.8/5.8 per 17 games over the past five years.

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Saturday, September 3, 2022

San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Trey Lance	490.6	311.5	3753.1	21.59	14.23	101.2	526.2	4.05	284.94
Jimmy Garoppolo	42.7	28.7	328.8	2.01	1.13	7.6	10.3	0.19	21.1

Trey Lance: The assumption all offseason and training camp was that Jimmy Garoppolo would play elsewhere in 2022. While the 49ers and Jimmy G. agreed to a restructured contract, he goes into the season as the team's No. 2 behind Lance (and the league's highest-paid backup). If things go right, Lance has enormous upside given his dual-threat skill set. If things don't go as well as expected, however, how long of a leash will Lance get before the team makes a quarterback change?

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Elijah Mitchell	192.2	855.3	5.77	28.1	216.3	1.3	163.63
Jeff Wilson	69	293.3	1.9	13.9	108.2	0.7	62.7
Kyle Juszczyk	14.7	52.9	0.81	24.3	216.3	1.5	52.93
Tyrion Davis-Price	70.8	304.4	1.98	6.6	46.9	0.3	52.11
Jordan Mason	10.1	42.9	0.25	1.2	8.2	0.1	7.81

Elijah Mitchell: Mitchell missed six games as a rookie, but he was the clear lead back when he was on the field. Counting three playoff games, Mitchell had a minimum in 17 carries in 11 of 14 games in 2021. (Mitchell had 68.3% of the non-QB carries in those other three games.) ESPN's Nick Wagoner noted earlier this offseason that the 49ers "injury concerns about Mitchell are real" and he missed the preseason with a hamstring injury.

Jeff Wilson: Given that a different player has led the 49ers in rushing in each of Kyle Shanahan's five seasons as head coach, it's never a bad idea to throw a late-round dart at the team's projected RB2. Perhaps Tyrion Davis-Price, the team's third-round pick, moves up the depth chart, but it was Wilson that started the team's preseason finale with Mitchell sidelined.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deebo Samuel	72.6	1030.7	5.6	31.6	205.4	1.58	202.99
Brandon Aiyuk	62.9	842.9	4.9	4.6	39.1	0.28	150.73
Jauan Jennings	33.2	422.5	2.6	0	0	0	74.45
Danny Gray	14.5	193.9	1	0	0	0	32.64
Ray-Ray McCloud	3.9	40.8	0.2	1.5	10.9	0.06	8.68

Deebo Samuel: After missing nine games in 2020, Samuel had a breakout campaign (77/1,405/6 receiving and 59/365/8 rushing) in 2021. With a new contract extension in hand, the versatile wideout said he's not opposed to his hybrid "wide back" role. Samuel's physical play style and role puts him at increased risk for injury, but the do-it-all talent is a top-five receiver whenever he's on the field.

Brandon Aiyuk: Aiyuk exceeded 15 receiving yards in only two of his first six games last season and totalled only 9/96/1 receiving during that span. That said, he was much more productive and consistent from Week 8 on, as he closed the season with 47/730/4 over the final 11 games of the season. The upside is there for Aiyuk to vastly outperform his current ADP.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	68.9	849	4.7	2.5	0.2	0.1	148.17
Tyler Kroft	4.4	46.9	0.3	0	0	0	8.69
Charlie Woerner	3.1	32.7	0.2	0	0	0	6.02
Ross Dwelley	2.6	26.5	0.2	0	0	0	5.15

George Kittle: Since his second season (2018), Kittle has averaged a 17-game pace of 95/1,299/6. While he's missed at least two games in three consecutive seasons, he's averaged 86.1, 75.2, 79.3 and 65.0 yards per game over the past four seasons, respectively. Given that he's arguably the most talented all-around tight end in the league, Kittle has had a relatively high share of duds (example: 2/21, 1/29 and 5/10 over the final three weeks, respectively) to go along with some monster outings (9/181/2 and 13/151/1 in back-to-back weeks last year). Despite some week-to-week volatility and shaky durability history, he's a top-five fantasy option, at worst.

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Saturday, August 6, 2022

San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Football Projections 2022

Our 2022 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2022 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Trey Lance	490.6	311.5	3753.1	21.59	14.23	101.2	526.2	4.05	284.94
Nate Sudfeld	42.7	27.3	305.3	1.75	1.07	5.8	14.5	0.12	19.24

Trey Lance: The (continued) assumption is that Jimmy Garoppolo will play elsewhere in 2022, even though he's still on the roster (as of early August), but Lance will be the starter either way. Currently being drafted just outside fantasy's top 12 quarterbacks, Lance offers fantasy managers enormous upside given his dual-threat abilities.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Elijah Mitchell	200.3	891.3	6.01	28	217.1	1.3	168.7
Tyrion Davis-Price	95.8	411.9	2.68	6.9	52.8	0.3	67.8
Kyle Juszczyk	9.6	34.6	0.53	24.2	215.1	1.5	49.25
Jeff Wilson	33.6	142.8	0.92	13.6	103.5	0.7	41.15
Trey Sermon	19.2	79.7	0.48	2	14.2	0.1	13.87

Elijah Mitchell: Mitchell missed six games as a rookie, but he was the clear lead back when he was on the field. Counting three playoff games, Mitchell had a minimum in 17 carries in 11 of 14 games in 2021. (Mitchell had 68.3% of the non-QB carries in those other three games.) While the 49ers used a third-round pick on Tyrion Davis-Price, that says more about the team's view of Trey Sermon, last year's third-round pick, than Mitchell's. Even so, ESPN's Nick Wagoner notes that "injury concerns about Mitchell are real" and "it wouldn't be a surprise" if the team's other backs are "involved early and often."

Tyrion Davis-Price: Given that a different player has led the 49ers in rushing in each of Kyle Shanahan's five seasons as head coach, it's never a bad idea to throw a late-round dart at the team's expected RB2.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Deebo Samuel	72.3	1024.7	5.5	31.6	205.4	1.58	201.64
Brandon Aiyuk	61.7	819.8	4.7	4.6	39.1	0.28	146.62
Jauan Jennings	32.4	411.9	2.6	0	0	0	72.99
Danny Gray	17.8	233.4	1.3	0	0	0	40.04
Ray-Ray McCloud	3.9	40.6	0.2	1.5	10.9	0.06	8.66

Deebo Samuel: After missing nine games in 2020, Samuel had a breakout campaign (77/1,405/6 receiving and 59/365/8 rushing) in 2021. With a new contract extension in hand, the versatile wideout recently said he's not opposed to his hybrid "wide back" role. Samuel's physical play style and role puts him at increased risk for injury, but the do-it-all talent is a top-five receiver whenever he's on the field.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	67.9	834	4.6	2.5	0.2	0.1	145.57
Charlie Woerner	4.4	50.7	0.3	0	0	0	9.07
Ross Dwelley	3.7	40.6	0.2	0	0	0	7.11

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Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: San Francisco 49ers

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Trey Lance	366.6	232.8	2657.9	16.5	9.17	75.9	417.5	3.04	213.97
Jimmy Garoppolo	176.5	118.7	1367.9	9.09	5.21	17.7	30.1	0.44	86.31

Trey Lance: If Lance isn't named the Week 1 starter, fantasy managers will look to the team's bye (Week 6) as the next logical point to potentially hand the reigns over to the rookie signal-caller. Not only is Lance making a big jump from the FCS level to the NFL, but North Dakota State played only one game in 2020. Once Lance takes over, however, the dual-threat talent has the potential to make a similar fantasy impact as Josh Allen and RG3 did as rookie quarterbacks.

Jimmy Garoppolo: Jimmy G. may begin the season as the starter, but it's only a matter of time before the (starting) gig is up. Even when Garoppolo played a full 16-game season in 2019 and finished as fantasy's QB14, he only ranked 22nd in fantasy points scored per game.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Raheem Mostert	151.8	705.9	5.69	34.8	287.8	2	162.91
Trey Sermon	159.4	709.3	5.58	28.6	239.5	1.7	152.86
Kyle Juszczyk	19	71.3	0.38	20.7	177.1	1.2	44.67
Elijah Mitchell	25.3	106.3	0.51	3.5	28.2	0.2	19.46
Jeff Wilson	15.2	67.6	0.42	3.5	28.2	0.2	15.05
Jamycal Hasty	6.3	26.5	0.16	1.8	14.1	0.1	6.52

Raheem Mostert: Missing half of the season, Mostert finished the year with 677 scrimmage yards (84.6/G) and only three touchdowns on 120 touches (15/G). Mostert has career averages of 5.6 YPC and 10.0 Y/R, but it's possible that Trey Sermon emerges as the team's top fantasy running back at some point this season.

Trey Sermon: Not only does Sermon have the highest draft pedigree (third round) among the team's running backs, but the Niners traded up to draft him. Given his frame, balance and vision, the team could look to make him their featured back sooner than later (as much as Kyle Shanahan will feature an individual back, that is).

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brandon Aiyuk	67.5	865.5	5.6	11.4	99.8	0.91	169.34
Deebo Samuel	67.3	827.3	5.1	15.2	124.6	1.14	166.28
Jalen Hurd	16	227.5	1.4	2.5	13.8	0.1	41.13
Mohamed Sanu	14.9	179.1	1.2	0	0	0	32.56
Trent Sherfield	5.3	66.4	0.4	0	0	0	11.69
Jauan Jennings	0.9	10.1	0.1	0	0	0	2.06

Brandon Aiyuk: Selected by the 49ers in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft, Aiyuk missed four games as a rookie, but he finished with 60 receptions for 748 yards and five touchdowns while adding 77 rushing yards. Excluding missed games, Aiyuk was especially good during the six games in which he appeared from Weeks 7 to 15. During that span (Weeks 7-15), he had a minimum of 73 yards per game, averaged 94.7 YPG and scored the third-most fantasy PPG (17.1, half-PPR).

Deebo Samuel: Foot and hamstring injuries (plus the COVID-19 list) limited Samuel to only seven games in 2020. Samuel played only one snap (his final snap of 2020) against WFT in Week 14, but he had 65-plus yards in each of the final four games in which he appeared before that. Due to his physical playing style, he's always a threat to miss time, but he's a viable WR3 in the weeks that he's on the field.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	74.9	940	5.6	6.3	39.4	0.16	169.95
Ross Dwelley	6.9	78.5	0.5	0	0	0	14.3
Charlie Woerner	4.9	56.4	0.4	0	0	0	10.49

George Kittle: Missing exactly half of the 2020 season, Kittle had 48/634/2 in eight games, comparable to a 96/1,268/4 (16-game) pace. In the previous two seasons, Kittle had 85/1,053/5 in 2019 and 88/1,377/5 in 2018. As long as his health cooperates, Kittle should approach another 1,000-yard campaign even if the team transitions to rookie Trey Lance early in the season.

More San Francisco 49ers pages:

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Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) like us on Facebook and/or (3) subscribe to our newsletter.

Tuesday, August 3, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: San Francisco 49ers

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the San Francisco 49ers.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Trey Lance	366.6	231	2712.8	16.5	9.17	75.9	417.5	3.04	216.16
Jimmy Garoppolo	176.5	118.3	1394.4	9.09	5.21	17.7	30.1	0.44	87.37

Jimmy Garoppolo: Jimmy G. may begin the season as the starter, but it's only a matter of time before his starting gig is up. Even when Garoppolo played a full 16-game season in 2019 and finished as fantasy's QB14, he only ranked 22nd in fantasy points scored per game.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Raheem Mostert	156.9	729.6	5.88	34.9	293.7	2	167.06
Trey Sermon	146.7	652.8	5.13	27.9	234.1	1.6	143.02
Kyle Juszczyk	19	71.3	0.38	21	180.7	1.2	45.18
Wayne Gallman	31.6	134.3	0.95	3.5	24.6	0.2	24.54
Jeff Wilson	15.2	67.6	0.42	3.5	28.8	0.2	15.11
Elijah Mitchell	10.1	42.4	0.2	2.6	18.5	0.1	9.19

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Brandon Aiyuk	65.5	854.3	5.5	11.4	99.8	0.91	166.62
Deebo Samuel	65.7	827.6	5	15.2	124.6	1.14	164.91
Jalen Hurd	16.6	246.4	1.5	0	0	0	41.94
Richie James	11.4	182.8	1	0	0	0	29.98
Mohamed Sanu	8.7	106.8	0.7	0	0	0	19.23
Trent Sherfield	1.7	22.6	0.1	0	0	0	3.71
Nsimba Webster	0.9	10.3	0.1	0	0	0	2.08

Brandon Aiyuk: Aiyuk missed four games as a rookie, but he showed why the 49ers selected him in the first round in 2020. Finishing with 60 receptions for 748 yards and five touchdowns and added 77 rushing yards over 12 games, Aiyuk had a six-game stretch (Weeks 7 to 15 excluding missed games) with a minimum of 73 yards per game and an average of 94.7 over that stretch.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
George Kittle	75.8	973.4	5.7	6.3	39.4	0.16	174.34
Charlie Woerner	5.2	55.4	0.4	0	0	0	10.54
Ross Dwelley	4.4	47.2	0.3	0	0	0	8.72

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Thursday, December 24, 2020

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Corey Davis is listed below as a "start" for Week 16. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 16 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

Then again, Davis may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own both Allen Robinson, A.J. Brown and Davis and only start two receivers, you should start Robinson and Brown and, in turn, bench Davis.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 16 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

[Note: This will be our final Start'em, Sit'em of 2020, but we will post Week 17 rankings.]

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers (at ARI)

When he's been on the field, Aiyuk has been one of the most productive receivers in the NFL. The first-round rookie had nine catches for 73 yards and a touchdown on 13 targets against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 15. While he's missed a few games, Aiyuk's 73 yards were a six-game low.

In fact, Aiyuk has either surpassed the 100-yard mark or scored a touchdown in each of his past six games. During that stretch, he has averaged 7.5/94.7/0.7 on 11.7 targets per game and he's scored a minimum of 14.5 (half-PPR) fantasy points to finish no worse than WR20 in all six games. Not only does he have a minimum target share of 23.08% over that six-game span, but he has more than a 31.0% target share in back-to-back games and three of his past four.

Even though tight end George Kittle (foot) may return in Week 16, Deebo Samuel (hamstring) is expected to miss another week (or two). The Arizona Cardinals have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season.

Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (vs. TB)

Assuming Kenny Golladay (hip) misses another game, Jones should be in line for a massive target share in Week 16 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Jones' 12 targets in Week 15 were the third time in his past four games that he's had a dozen targets. In addition, Jones has averaged 10.0 targets over his past six games with a minimum target share of at least 28.57% in four of those six games.

Jones hauled in 10 catches for 112 yards and a touchdown against the Tennessee Titans and now has at least 112 yards and a touchdown in two of three games. While there is some boom-or-bust to his game, he has three top-seven fantasy performances since Week 10. Albeit an arbitrary threshold, the only other receivers to have as many top-seven performances during that span are Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill and Davante Adams.

The Bucs have allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. In addition, the Buccaneers have allowed four top-seven WR performances since Week 11. Only the Houston Texans have allowed as many.

Corey Davis, Tennessee Titans (at GB)

Davis bounced back from a disappointing 3/34 Week 14 performance with four catches for 110 yards and a touchdown on six targets against the Lions in Week 15.

Having his best season (by a wide margin), Davis is 55 yards shy of the 1,000-yard milestone. The former top-five pick has five of his seven career 100-yard games this season and his per-game average of 78.8 YPG is more than 20 yards better than his previous career high (55.7, 2018).

Setting efficiency career highs with 15.8 Y/R and 75.9% catch rate, Davis is making the most of his opportunities in Tennessee's run-first offense as the No. 2 option in the passing game. Despite a difficult matchup on tap against the Green Bay Packers, there should be more volume than usual as the Titans are road underdogs in the game with the week's highest over-under.

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

D.J. Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. CHI)

Chark had a breakout sophomore campaign (73/1,008/8), but things have not gone as well in 2020. On a positive note, Chark's 53 receiving yards and WR50 half-PPR finish in Week 15 were his best numbers in four games. On a negative note, those were his "best" numbers during that span.

Excluding the three games in which he scored this season, Chark has finished as the WR59 on average in those nine games and no better than WR35 (Week 2). Chark remains a TD-or-bust play this week as the Chicago Bears have allowed the third-fewest to opposing wide receivers this season.

Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. IND)

At one point this season, "yes" was the no-brainer response to the question, "should I start [insert Steelers WR here]?"

That's no longer the rule -- and I have Claypool ranked the lowest amongst the team's top three receivers.

Mapletron isn't a must-sit, as he currently slots into my rankings as WR36, but he has three or fewer receptions in three consecutive games and no touchdowns in his past four games. Over the past three weeks, he's finished as fantasy's WR74, WR85 and WR61, respectively.

Not only are the once 11-0 Steelers on a three-game losing streak, but they are home underdogs in Week 16 to the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos (at LAC)

Jeudy's struggles continue. The first-round rookie receiver out of Alabama had one catch for 19 yards on five targets in Week 15.

If you were told that one of his past five games included a game where a practice squad wide receiver was under center, it might not be as obvious as it should by only skimming the game logs. Here are his game logs since Week 11: 3/37 (eight targets), 0/0 (one), 1/5 (four), 2/42 (four) and 1/19 (five). Jeudy has finished no better than WR57 over that stretch.

Over that five-game stretch, Jeudy has a catch rate of 31.8% and a total of seven catches for 103 yards on 22 targets.

Jeudy had four catches for 73 yards on 10 targets in his first matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (Week 8) and that kicked off a three-game stretch with 68-plus yards. Perhaps this game will start a two-game stretch to allow him to close the season strong, but he's better left on your bench even in leagues where you can start four receivers.

BUST ALERT - Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks (vs. LAR)

Along with Tyreek Hill, Lockett is one of two receivers to score at least 45 fantasy points in a game this season. While it feels so long ago, Lockett had 15 catches for 200 yards and three touchdowns on 20 targets in Week 7 against the Arizona Cardinals. In fact, Lockett had the second-most fantasy points among wide receivers from Weeks 1 to 7. (Only Calvin Ridley had more.)

Since Week 8, Lockett has been much less impressive. Over his past eight games, Lockett has 67 yards or less every week and only one total touchdown. In addition, he has finished outside the top 36 fantasy wide receivers in all but two games over that stretch.

Coincidentally, one of the two exceptions was a WR33 performance against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 10. That said, the Rams have allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

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Monday, October 26, 2020

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Ranking Week 8 WR Options

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 8 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers (48%)

Despite the 49ers running all over the Patriots, the first-round rookie had the best game of his young career on Sunday with six catches for 115 yards. To a degree, the boxscore production for Aiyuk has been a bit up and down given the run-first nature of the offense, but he's averaging 3.6/51.8/0.2 on 5.8 targets per game over his past five games.

Opportunities could be more plentiful for Aiyuk in Week 8. The run-heavy offense may need to throw much more often in Week 8 to keep up with Russell Wilson and the league's highest-scoring offense. In addition, Deebo Samuel tweaked his hamstring on Sunday as well.

Not only will the 49ers likely throw it more often than their norm, the matchup for Aiyuk is ideal as no team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing wide receivers than the Seahawks.

2. Sterling Shepard, New York Giants (29%)

After missing more than a month and returning from IR, Shepard had six receptions for 59 yards and a touchdown against the Eagles on Thursday Night Football. Only Evan Engram (nine, 30.0% share) had more targets than Shepard (eight, 26.7%). Missing a total of 10 games over the past season and a half, Shepard has the chance to be the team's top-performing receiver if he can stay healthy.

3. Cole Beasley, Buffalo Bills (41%)

Beasley converted 11-of-12 targets into a season-high 112 yards on Sunday. Buffalo's slot receiver has more than 50 yards and/or a touchdown in every game this season.

As we all know by now, the Patriots (Buffalo's Week 8 opponent) focus on stopping an opponent's best weapon (Stefon Diggs for Buffalo) and forcing their secondary weapons to beat them. Especially if John Brown and Dawson Knox miss more time, Beasley should get peppered with targets this week.

4. Rashad Higgins, Cleveland Browns (1%)

Higgins led the Browns in both catches (six) and yards (110) in what turned out to be a shootout against their cross-state rivals on Sunday. While Higgins Week 7 production was equal to or greater than his production through Week 6, his role in the offense will expand significantly going forward with the team losing Odell Beckham to a torn ACL.

5. Nelson Agholor, Las Vegas Raiders (4%)

Agholor finished Sunday with five receptions for 107 yards and a touchdown on nine targets, all of which were season highs. Not only did it extend Agholor's scoring streak to three games, but his yardage has continued to increase each week (44, 67 and 107, respectively). Of course, the streak won't last forever, but there's another favorable matchup on the table for Agholor and the team's receivers as the Browns rank amongst the three most generous fantasy defenses to the position this season.

6. Denzel Mims, New York Jets (4%)

Making his season (and NFL) debut, Mims led the Jets in targets (seven) and finished with four catches for 42 yards. Of course, Mims led the team in targets with Jamison Crowder sidelined and Breshad Perriman (concussion) leaving the game early. That said, Mims is a height-weight-speed freak on a team that will be (big) underdogs in every game this season and are currently 20-point underdogs to the Chiefs.

- More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 8

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Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Week 16 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

Monday, October 26, 2020

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