Showing posts with label Chris Carson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chris Carson. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 7, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Seattle Seahawks

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Seattle Seahawks.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Russell Wilson563.1377.34335.937.7311.8377.7419.62.02354.78
Geno Smith29.618.4201.31.070.953.38.30.0311.44

Russell Wilson: It was a tale of two seasons for Wilson. In his first eight games, Wilson averaged 29.52 fantasy points per game and scored no fewer than 21.9. In his final eight games, he averaged only 17.08 and scored more than 21.9 only once during that span.

Despite Pete Carroll's prioritization to establish the run, Wilson has never finished worse than the QB11 (2016) and has finished as a top-six fantasy quarterback in five of the past seven seasons.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Chris Carson217.4978.36.4146.5367.53.3216.09
Rashaad Penny86.5384.92.622.8190.61.895.35
DeeJay Dallas35.5138.50.9817.2129.31.248.46
Travis Homer12.250.60.24429.50.212.65
Alex Collins6.728.50.18215.90.17.12
Nick Bellore1.12.80.0216.80.12.18

Chris Carson: Few teams want to "establish the run" more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was Carson's ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson still performed as a weekly fantasy RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer during that span. Coming out of the bye, Carson sustained a foot injury in Week 7 that kept him out of several games and Carson's physical running style lends itself to a greater propensity to get banged up.

Rashaad Penny: A surprise first-round pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, Penny has failed to live up to his draft pedigree. On relatively limited touches, however, Penny has been efficient -- 5.1 YPC and 9.3 Y/R -- and Carson's violent running style could lead to a missed game (or several). While it's become a cliche, Penny enters 2021 in the best shape of his life.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
D.K. Metcalf901288.610.2000235.06
Tyler Lockett84.11002.78.43.317.30.1195.05
D'Wayne Eskridge29.73973.300074.35
Freddie Swain12.9158.81.300030.13
Penny Hart4.963.50.500011.8

D.K. Metcalf: The sky is the limit for Metcalf, who is coming off a breakout sophomore campaign (83/1,303/10). Through Week 9, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks passing offense were unstoppable and Metcalf had more than 90 yards in seven of his first eight games. Through Week 9, only Tyreek Hill had scored more fantasy points than Metcalf.

The only concern for Metcalf (and Wilson) is the Seahawks' commitment to the run. Over the final eight regular-season games, Metcalf exceeded 61 yards in only two games. As great as Metcalf was in the first half of the season, he was tied with (now WFT receiver) Curtis Samuel as the WR25 from Weeks 10-17.

Tyler Lockett: The full-season numbers (100/1,054/10, WR9 in half-PPR) look great and Lockett now has back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns and three consecutive seasons with at least eight touchdowns. That said, there were three spike games (9/100/3, 15/200/3 and 12/90/2) and mostly modest performances the rest of the season. From Weeks 4 to 16, Lockett finished as fantasy's weekly WR45 (or worse) in nine of 12 games. Given Seattle's run-first tendency, there is week-to-week volatility with the team's top pass-catchers.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Gerald Everett45.1503.64.6000100.51
Will Dissly29.7322.13.200066.26
Colby Parkinson5.961.30.600012.68

Gerald Everett: Even though he was under-utilized in L.A., Everett posted career highs in targets (62), receptions (41) and yards (417) in 2020. Now in Seattle, Everett should be the 1(a) to Will Dissly's 1(b), but it's possible that the volume in a run-heavy offense with a talented wide receiver duo of D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett doesn't translate to a significant bump in targets for the athletic tight end.

Will Dissly: Dissly was highly productive through his first two seasons when he was on the field, but he missed 22 combined games over that stretch. Playing a full 16-game season in 2020, Dissly set career lows in Y/R (10.5), Y/T (8.7) and YPG (15.7) and the addition of Gerald Everett keeps him off the fantasy radar outside of the deepest leagues.

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Sunday, August 22, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Seattle Seahawks

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Seattle Seahawks.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Russell Wilson563.1377.34335.937.7311.8377.7419.62.02354.78
Geno Smith29.618.4201.31.070.953.38.30.0311.44

Russell Wilson: It was a tale of two seasons for Wilson. In his first eight games, Wilson averaged 29.52 fantasy points per game and scored no fewer than 21.9. In his final eight games, he averaged only 17.08 and scored more than 21.9 only once during that span.

Despite Pete Carroll's prioritization to establish the run, Wilson has never finished worse than the QB11 (2016) and has finished as a top-six fantasy quarterback in five of the past seven seasons.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Chris Carson217.4978.36.4146.5372.13.3216.55
Rashaad Penny86.5384.92.622.8201.91.896.48
DeeJay Dallas35.5138.50.9817.2129.31.248.46
Travis Homer12.250.60.24429.50.212.65
Alex Collins6.728.50.18215.90.17.12
Nick Bellore1.12.80.0216.80.12.18

Chris Carson: Few teams want to "establish the run" more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was Carson's ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson still performed as a weekly fantasy RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer during that span. Coming out of the bye, Carson sustained a foot injury in Week 7 that kept him out of several games and Carson's physical running style lends itself to a greater propensity to get banged up. Even so, you could argue that Carson is undervalued in fantasy drafts.

Rashaad Penny: A surprise first-round pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, Penny has failed to live up to his draft pedigree. On relatively limited touches, however, Penny has been efficient -- 5.1 YPC and 9.3 Y/R -- and Carson's violent running style could lead to a missed game (or several). While it's become a cliche, Penny enters 2021 in the best shape of his life.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
D.K. Metcalf901268.110.2000233.01
Tyler Lockett84.11002.78.43.317.30.1195.05
D'Wayne Eskridge29.73973.300074.35
Freddie Swain12.9158.81.300030.13
Penny Hart4.968.10.500012.26
Cade Johnson3340.30006.7

D.K. Metcalf: The sky is the limit for Metcalf, who is coming off a breakout sophomore campaign (83/1,303/10). Through Week 9, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks passing offense were unstoppable and Metcalf had more than 90 yards in seven of his first eight games. Through Week 9, only Tyreek Hill had scored more fantasy points than Metcalf.

The only concern for Metcalf (and Wilson) is the Seahawks' desire to establish the run. Over the final eight regular-season games, Metcalf exceeded 61 yards in only two games. As great as Metcalf was in the first half of the season, he was tied with (now WFT receiver) Curtis Samuel as the WR25 from Weeks 10-17.

Tyler Lockett: The full-season numbers (100/1,054/10, WR9 in half-PPR) look great and Lockett now has back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns and three consecutive seasons with at least eight touchdowns. That said, there were three spike games (9/100/3, 15/200/3 and 12/90/2) and mostly modest performances the rest of the season. From Weeks 4 to 16, Lockett finished as fantasy's weekly WR45 (or worse) in nine of 12 games. Given Seattle's run-first tendency, there is week-to-week volatility with the team's top pass-catchers.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Gerald Everett41.2458.34.200091.63
Will Dissly30.7333.53.300068.5
Colby Parkinson5.961.30.600012.68

Gerald Everett: Even though he was under-utilized in L.A., Everett posted career highs in targets (62), receptions (41) and yards (417) in 2020. Now in Seattle, Everett should be the 1(a) to Will Dissly's 1(b), but the volume in a run-heavy offense with a talented wide receiver duo of D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett means there may not be a significant bump in targets for the athletic tight end.

Will Dissly: Dissly was highly productive through his first two seasons when he was on the field, but he missed 22 combined games over that stretch. Playing a full 16-game season in 2020, Dissly set career lows in Y/R (10.5), Y/T (8.7) and YPG (15.7) and the addition of Gerald Everett keeps him off the fantasy radar outside of the deepest leagues.

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Sunday, August 8, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Non-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 11th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Non-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 11th Pick

1.11 - Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

Few players at any position have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

2.02 - Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Mixon appeared in only six games in 2020 and he has now missed multiple games in three of his four NFL seasons. That said, Mixon had a minimum of 19 touches in the six games in which he appeared in 2020. Through Week 6, Mixon had more carries (119) than all running backs not named Derrick Henry (123) and was top 10 among running backs in targets (26). With Giovani Bernard now in Tampa, Mixon should be even more involved as a receiver.

More: Joe Mixon 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

3.11 - Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Few teams want to establish the run more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was Carson's ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson performed as a weekly fantasy RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer from Weeks 1 to 5. Coming out of the bye, Carson sustained a foot injury in Week 7 that kept him out of several games. Carson's physical running style lends itself to a greater propensity to get banged up, but he will likely be undervalued in fantasy drafts this summer.

More: 10 Undervalued Players in 2021 Fantasy Football Drafts

4.02 - Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Cooper finished 2020 with a career-high 92 receptions for 1,114 yards and five touchdowns. It was his third consecutive 1,000-yard season and fifth of his career. In 41 games as a member of the Cowboys, Cooper has averaged 73.9 yards per game. Recovering from ankle surgery, Cooper is expected to return to practice after the Aug. 13th preseason game and play a few snaps before the regular season begins.

More: CeeDee Lamb 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

5.11 - Mike Davis, RB, Atlanta Falcons

Filling in for a mostly-injured Christian McCaffrey in 2020, Davis performed as a top-15 (half-PPR) fantasy running back last season. With limited competition for running back touches, Davis will have at least flex appeal, especially with Arthur Smith (most recently OC in Tennessee) taking over as Atlanta's head coach.

6.02 - Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

From Week 2 until Week 11 (Joe Burrow's knee injury), Higgins scored the 19th-most fantasy points (half-PPR scoring) amongst wide receivers. With the Bengals drafting Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell, it took some steam out of Higgins' opportunity to build upon his strong rookie season. On the other hand, A.J. Green and his 104 targets (6.5/G) are no longer on the roster.

7.11 - Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers

The reigning NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, Herbert had at least 300 passing yards and/or multiple touchdowns in 13 of his 15 starts as a rookie. Even with a new coaching staff in place for the upcoming season, the second-year quarterback should benefit from a more normal offseason as he enters the season already entrenched as the starter. Not to mention, the offense should be more QB-friendly in 2021. It wouldn't surprise me if he makes a sophomore leap that catapults him into the top five or so QBs.

More: Los Angeles Chargers 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

8.02 - D.J. Chark, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Chark missed three games in 2020 and averaged 12.9 yards per game less than in 2019, but improved quarterback play with Trevor Lawrence makes Chark a bounce-back candidate for 2021. Two seasons ago, Chark had 73 catches for 1,008 yards and eight touchdowns in his age-23 season. Chark had surgery on a broken finger, but he is expected to be ready for Week 1.

9.11 - Kenyan Drake, RB, Las Vegas Raiders

As lead backs for their respective teams in 2020, the duo of Josh Jacobs and Drake combined for a massive 570 touches last season. Obviously, that number will drop significantly now that they share a backfield, even if the Raiders plan to use Drake in a variety of ways including at receiver. With Drake often going in Round 9 or later in fantasy football mock drafts, Drake is worth the risk as an RB4+ this late.

10.02 - Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills

Singletary followed up his rookie season with 687 rushing yards (4.4 YPC) and two touchdowns to go along with 38 catches for 269 yards. While I would prefer Zack Moss over Singletary, neither is much more than a flex option heading into 2021, but he adds some depth as my RB5.

More: Buffalo Bills 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

11.11 - T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts

Considering the wide range (5-12 weeks), it's unclear how much time Carson Wentz (foot surgery) will miss. But when he's on the field, his mobility to extend plays and stronger arm (compared to Philip Rivers) should help the speedy Hilton post improved numbers from 2020.

12.02 - Noah Fant, TE, Denver Broncos

Playing at less than 100% in 2020, Fant averaged only 10.9 Y/R after averaging 14.1 in 2019. Fant's ADOT (7.6 to 6.7) and YAC/R (8.3 to 6.1) both declined year over year, but he also set career highs in receptions (62) and yards (673).

More: Denver Broncos 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

13.11 - Adam Trautman, TE, New Orleans Saints

A breakout candidate set for an expanded role in year two, Trautman will be a popular sleeper pick at tight end. Not only are Jared Cook and Josh Hill no longer on the roster, but Emmanuel Sanders (82 targets) is also gone and Michael Thomas is likely to miss the start of the season following recent ankle surgery.

14.02 - Colts DST, Indianapolis Colts

15.11 - Greg Zuerlein, K, Dallas Cowboys

16.02 - Jalen Reagor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

Selected one pick before Justin Jefferson (88/1,400/7) in the 2020 NFL Draft, Reagor's disappointing 2020 campaign (31/391/1) becomes even more pronounced. Durability (five missed games) and sub-par quarterback play didn't help, but Reagor's breakout potential makes him a high-upside last-round pick.

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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2021 Fantasy Football Non-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 1st Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Non-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 1st Pick

1.01 - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

If you drafted McCaffrey first overall in 2020, you likely find little solace that he was fantasy's top-scoring back over the three-week window in which he appeared (Weeks 1, 2 and 9). In those games, however, CMC handled 76 touches including 17 receptions, racked up 374 yards from scrimmage and scored six total touchdowns. All of those numbers were either first or second among running backs in that split timeframe.

Before his lost season due to injury, McCaffrey was nearly an every-snap iron man in 2019. Heading into his age-25 season, he remains the top choice for me in 2021 drafts.

2.12 - Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings

Jefferson exceeded all expectations in his inaugural season with 88 catches for a rookie-record 1,400 yards and seven touchdowns. Not only did the former LSU Tiger have seven 100-yard games, but he had double-digit targets in five of his final six games after doing so in only two of his first 10 games. Going forward, Jefferson should be the 1(a) to Adam Thielen's 1(b) in Minnesota's passing offense.

More: Minnesota Vikings 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

3.01 - Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Few teams want to establish the run more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was Carson's ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson performed as a weekly fantasy RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer from Weeks 1 to 5. Coming out of the bye, Carson sustained a foot injury in Week 7 that kept him out of several games. Carson's physical running style lends itself to a greater propensity to get banged up, but he will likely be undervalued in fantasy drafts this summer.

4.12 - Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams

It was a relatively disappointing season for Woods and the Rams offense in general. Woods tied a career high in receptions (90), but his receiving yardage (936) and yards from scrimmage (1,091) were three-year lows. Replacing Jared Goff with Matthew Stafford generates plenty of optimism for all of the skill-position players.

More: 10 Undervalued Players in 2021 Fantasy Football Drafts

5.01 - D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers

Moore averaged only 6.9 targets per game through his first 10 games, but that number jumped to 9.8 over his final five games. In addition, three of his four 100-yard games occurred over that final five-game stretch. Even though his 55.9% catch rate was a career low, the 23-year-old receiver's ADOT (13.2), Y/R (18.1) and receiving yards (1,193) were all career highs.

6.12 - D.J. Chark, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Chark missed three games in 2020 and averaged 12.9 yards per game less than in 2019, but improved quarterback play with Trevor Lawrence makes Chark a bounce-back candidate for 2021. Two seasons ago, Chark had 73 catches for 1,008 yards and eight touchdowns in his age-23 season.

7.01 - Raheem Mostert, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Missing half of the season, Mostert finished the year with 677 scrimmage yards (84.6/G) and only three touchdowns on 120 touches (15/G). Mostert has career averages of 5.6 YPC and 10.0 Y/R, but it's possible that Trey Sermon emerges as the team's top fantasy running back at some point this season. In hindsight, I should have taken Mostert/Sermon at 6.12/7.01.

8.12 - Kenyan Drake, RB, Las Vegas Raiders

With Drake often going in Round 9 or later in fantasy football mock drafts, Drake is worth the risk as an RB4 for this team. Based on the relative value compared to their ADPs, I'd prefer Drake (8.12 in this mock) to Josh Jacobs (4.02).

More: Las Vegas Raiders 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

9.01 - Brandin Cooks, WR, Houston Texans

Averaging a career-high 76.7 YPG, Cooks finished his first season in Houston with 81 catches for 1,150 yards and six touchdowns. From Week 5 on, Cooks had at least 59 yards in 10 of 11 games. During that 11-game span, he averaged 6.5 catches and 92 yards per game.

Given Deshaun Watson's uncertain status as we approach the 2021 season, it's reasonable to project lower year-over-year numbers for Cooks, even with Will Fuller now in Miami. At the same time, he should be the recipient of as many targets as he can handle.

10.12 - Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams

Following his breakout season -- correction: breakout month (December 2019), it was a disappointing 2020 for Higbee and his fantasy managers. The fifth-year tight end saw a year-over-year dip in targets (60), receptions (44) and yards (521), but he did set a career high in touchdowns (five), though three were caught in one game. That led to inconsistency as Higbee finished as a top-10 fantasy tight end in only two weeks last season.

With Gerald Everett signing with Seattle and the team trading for Matthew Stafford, there is optimism for improved numbers from Higbee.

11.01 - Phillip Lindsay, RB, Houston Texans

Beginning his career by rushing for 1,000-plus yards and hauling in 35 receptions in back-to-back seasons, Lindsay missed five games but was also on the wrong side of Denver's timeshare with Melvin Gordon in 2020. The former UDFA joins a crowded backfield in Houston that will be hampered often by negative game scripts, but I wouldn't be surprised of he ends up the most productive of the team's backs.

12.12 - Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals

Sustaining his season-ending knee injury in Week 11, the only quarterback to throw more pass attempts than Burrow (404, 40.4/G) through that point in the season was Tom Brady (433, 39.4/G). Burrow should rank near the top of the NFL in pass attempts in 2021. That volume makes last year's No. 1 overall pick a worthy back-end QB1 in drafts this summer.

More: Joe Mixon 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

13.01 - Logan Thomas, TE, Washington Football Team

From Weeks 6 to 17, Thomas finished in the top five among tight ends with 58 receptions (third-most), 564 yards (third-most) and five touchdowns (tied fifth-most). Last year's breakout tight end will enter 2021 as a viable top-10 option even with the team bolstering its receiving corps via the draft and free agency and I like targeted a pair of tight ends late in drafts like I did with this one with Higbee and Thomas.

14.12 - Darrynton Evans, RB, Tennessee Titans

If Derrick Henry were to miss time, it's possible that Evans would maintain a change-of-pace role, but he makes for a solid end-of-bench stash.

15.01 - Colts DST, Indianapolis Colts

16.12 - Robbie Gould, K, San Francisco 49ers

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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Keep track of our site's updates: (1) follow us on Twitter, (2) like us on Facebook and/or (3) subscribe to our newsletter.

Friday, August 6, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 10th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 10th Pick

1.10 - Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

Not only did Adams miss two games in 2020, but he has missed multiple games in three of his past four seasons. Even so, the seven-year veteran led the NFL in receiving touchdowns (18) and yards per game (98.1) and also set a career high in receptions (115). With double-digit touchdowns in four of five seasons, Adams has a total of 58 scores in 71 games over that span. With Aaron Rodgers still playing at an MVP level, Adams moves back into the WR1 spot as a late-first round pick with the Rodgers drama behind us.

More: Green Bay Packers 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

[Above images show probability player is selected before pick 2.03 and actual draft results from 1.10-2.02.]

2.03 - Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

As much as I considered Ekeler at 1.10 when I picked Adams, the likelihood of getting both players was much higher by selected Adams first. Even if Ekeler was selected within the four picks before 2.03, I would have been happy if Najee Harris (did not) or Joe Mixon (did) fell to me at that spot as well. With Joe Lombardi coming over from New Orleans to run the offense, Ekeler's immense upside as a receiver easily makes him a top-10 back.

3.10 - Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Few teams want to "establish the run" more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was Carson's ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson performed as a weekly fantasy RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer from Weeks 1 to 5. Coming out of the bye, Carson sustained a foot injury in Week 7 that kept him out of several games. Carson's physical running style lends itself to a greater propensity to get banged up, but he will likely be undervalued in fantasy drafts this summer.

More: 10 Undervalued Players in 2021 Fantasy Football Drafts

4.03 - Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Cooper finished 2020 with a career-high 92 receptions for 1,114 yards and five touchdowns. It was his third consecutive 1,000-yard season and fifth of his career. In 41 games as a member of the Cowboys, Cooper has averaged 73.9 yards per game. Recovering from ankle surgery, Cooper is expected to return to practice after the Aug. 13th preseason game and play a few snaps before the regular season begins.

5.10 - Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami Dolphins

Gaskin was off to a strong start through Week 8, but he only appeared in three games (Weeks 13, 16 and 17) after that point. Even though he missed six games, he ranked 15th among running backs in receptions (41). In addition, only three running backs had more receptions in the 10 weeks that Gaskin played. Given the thin depth chart, Gaskin has plenty of upside as my RB3 with better health in 2021.

6.03 - Chase Claypool, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Claypool scored 11 touchdowns -- nine receiving and two rushing -- in the regular season and added two more receiving scores in the team's playoff loss to Cleveland. Re-signing JuJu Smith-Schuster to a one-year deal puts a small dent into Mapletron's upside in year two, but it wouldn't surprise me if he finishes as the team's top-producing wideout in 2021.

More: Pittsburgh Steelers 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

7.10 - Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

While "his future [was] in Jeopardy," the offseason drama between Rodgers and the Packers front office is now fortunately behind us. The reigning and three-time MVP, Rodgers led the NFL in completion percentage (70.7%), passing touchdowns (48, 9.1%) and passer rating (121.5) last season. All of those were either career highs or the second-best of his Hall-of-Famer career.

8.03 - Laviska Shenault, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Shenault Jr. played only 10 snaps in Week 9 and then missed the following two games. Outside of those three games, the rookie had a minimum of three receptions in every game. Over the final five games of the season, he had 25 catches (on 36 targets) for 246 yards and four touchdowns and added six carries for 31 yards and he was the WR16 (half-PPR) over that stretch.

More: 10 Undervalued Players in 2021 Fantasy Football Drafts

9.10 - Zack Moss, RB, Buffalo Bills

Many 2021 mock drafts linked the Bills to a first-round running back. Instead of adding an early-round running back, it's a positive for the outlook of Moss and Devin Singletary that the Bills only added Matt Breida in free agency. While I prefer Moss over Singletary, a concern for both is that Josh Allen has 25 rushing touchdowns over the past three seasons, but no running back in Round 9 or later is perfect.

10.03 - Gus Edwards, RB, Baltimore Ravens

While he's best in standard (non-PPR) formats, Edwards performed as fantasy's RB35 in half-PPR in 2020. Edwards has a minimum of 133 carries, 711 yards and 5.0 YPC in all three of his NFL seasons. While J.K. Dobbins will handle the bulk of touches, Edwards should approach double-digit touches per game and has stand-alone flex value, especially during the bye weeks.

11.10 - Latavius Murray, RB, New Orleans Saints

For any weeks that Alvin Kamara may miss, however, Murray becomes a must-start play. In the two games that Kamara missed and Murray was active, Murray had a total of 62 touches, 307 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

More: New Orleans Saints 2021 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

12.03 - Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams

Following his breakout season -- correction: breakout month (December 2019), the fifth-year tight end saw a year-over-year dip in targets (60), receptions (44) and yards (521). With Gerald Everett signing with Seattle and the team trading for Matthew Stafford, there is renewed optimism for improved numbers from Higbee.

13.10 - Mike Gesicki, TE, Miami Dolphins

A typical theme for me in these mocks has been to wait on tight end and then double up. The third-year tight end posted career highs across the board with 53 receptions, 703 yards and six touchdowns.

More: Miami Dolphins 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

14.03 - Ravens DST, Baltimore Ravens

15.10 - Harrison Butker, K, Kansas City Chiefs

16.03 - Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants

Shepard missed four games in 2020 and he has now missed four-plus games in three of the past four seasons. Adding Kenny Golladay to the receiving corps pushes Shepard down a spot on the depth chart, but he'll likely see the second-most snaps among the team's receivers barring injury.

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Sunday, August 1, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Seattle Seahawks

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Seattle Seahawks.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

PlayerAtt.Comp.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Russell Wilson569381.24381.338.1211.9577.7419.62.02357.91
Geno Smith23.714.7161.20.850.763.38.30.039.34

Russell Wilson: It was a tale of two seasons for Wilson. In his first eight games, Wilson averaged 29.52 fantasy points per game and scored no fewer than 21.9. In his final eight games, he averaged only 17.08 and scored more than 21.9 only once during that span.

Despite Pete Carroll's prioritization to establish the run, Wilson has never finished worse than the QB11 (2016) and has finished as a top-six fantasy quarterback in five of the past seven seasons.

RUNNING BACKS

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Chris Carson221.9998.66.5546.4374.23.3219.58
Rashaad Penny84.3375.12.5322.7206.41.895.48
DeeJay Dallas301170.8315.8113.41.142.52
Travis Homer15.564.30.315.945.40.518.78
Alex Collins6.728.50.18215.90.17.12
Nick Bellore1.12.80.0214.50.11.95

Chris Carson: Few teams want to "establish the run" more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was Carson's ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson performed as a weekly fantasy RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer from Weeks 1 to 5. Coming out of the bye, Carson sustained a foot injury in Week 7 that kept him out of several games. Carson's physical running style lends itself to a greater propensity to get banged up, but he will likely be undervalued in fantasy drafts this summer.

Rashaad Penny: A surprise first-round pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, Penny has failed to live up to his draft pedigree. On relatively limited touches, however, Penny has been efficient -- 5.1 YPC and 9.3 Y/R -- and Carson's violent running style could lead to a missed game (or several). While it's become a cliche, Penny enters 2021 in the best shape of his life.

WIDE RECEIVERS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
D.K. Metcalf89.91258.610.2000232.01
Tyler Lockett851020.58.63.317.30.1198.48
D'Wayne Eskridge30.6396.93.400075.39
Freddie Swain11.9147.41.200027.89
Penny Hart456.70.400010.07
John Ursua2.427.20.20005.12
Cade Johnson0.66.80.10001.58

D.K. Metcalf: The sky is the limit for Metcalf, who is coming off a breakout sophomore campaign (83/1,303/10). Through Week 9, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks passing offense were unstoppable and Metcalf had more than 90 yards in seven of his first eight games. Through Week 9, only Tyreek Hill had scored more fantasy points than Metcalf.

The only concern for Metcalf (and Wilson) is the Seahawks' desire to establish the run. Over the final eight regular-season games, Metcalf exceeded 61 yards in only two games. As great as Metcalf was in the first half of the season, he was tied with (now WFT receiver) Curtis Samuel as the WR25 from Weeks 10-17.

Tyler Lockett: The full-season numbers (100/1,054/10, WR9 in half-PPR) look great and Lockett now has back-to-back 1,000-yard campaigns and three consecutive seasons with at least eight touchdowns. That said, there were three spike games (9/100/3, 15/200/3 and 12/90/2) and mostly modest performances the rest of the season. From Weeks 4 to 16, Lockett finished as fantasy's weekly WR45 (or worse) in nine of 12 games. Given Seattle's run-first tendency, there is week-to-week volatility with the team's top pass-catchers.

TIGHT ENDS

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Gerald Everett39.5453.6400089.11
Will Dissly31.6351.53.400071.35
Colby Parkinson5.956.70.600012.22

Gerald Everett: Even though he was under-utilized in L.A., Everett posted career highs in targets (62), receptions (41) and yards (417) in 2020. Now in Seattle, Everett should be the 1(a) to Will Dissly's 1(b), but the volume in a run-heavy offense with a talented wide receiver duo of D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett means there may not be a significant bump in targets for the athletic tight end.

Will Dissly: Dissly was highly productive through his first two seasons when he was on the field, but he missed 22 combined games over that stretch. Playing a full 16-game season in 2020, Dissly set career lows in Y/R (10.5), Y/T (8.7) and YPG (15.7).

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Sunday, July 11, 2021

Fantasy Football Mock Draft 2021 - 12 Teams, PPR Scoring, 12th Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 12th Pick

1.12 - Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

While I prefer starting drafts with RB (or RB/RB), few players (at any position) have as much upside as Hill to erupt for a massive performance in any given week. Setting a career high in touchdowns (17), Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 13 carries for 123 yards in 2020.

2.01 - Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa's Rob Gronkowski finished as fantasy's TE8 (126.8) last season and Kelce (260.26, TE1) was so good in 2020 that he actually doubled Gronk up. Extending his 1,000-yard streak to five seasons, he set career highs across the board (105/1,416/11) in his age-31 campaign.

Regardless of how you slice it, Kelce is not only the slam-dunk TE1 heading into 2021, but he's worthy of drafting in Round 1.

More: Kansas City Chiefs 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

3.12 - Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks

If I were to redo this mock, I'd likely take my first RB before pick 3.12 99 out of 100 times. That said, I really like Carson here. Few teams want to "establish the run" more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was Carson's ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson performed as fantasy's RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer from Weeks 1 to 5.

4.01 - Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Cooper finished 2020 with a career-high 92 receptions for 1,114 yards and five touchdowns. It was his third consecutive 1,000-yard season and fifth of his career. In 41 games as a member of the Cowboys, Cooper has averaged 73.9 yards per game.

More: CeeDee Lamb 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

5.12 - Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

From Week 2 until Week 11 (Joe Burrow's knee injury), Higgins scored the 19th-most fantasy points (half-PPR scoring) amongst wide receivers. With the Bengals drafting Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell, it took some steam out of Higgins' opportunity to build upon his strong rookie season. On the other hand, A.J. Green and his 104 targets (6.5/G) are no longer on the roster, so I really like him as this team's WR3.

More: Joe Mixon 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

6.01 - Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals

While Murray played all 16 games, shoulder and leg injuries slowed him a bit down the stretch. Even so, he finished his sophomore campaign as fantasy's QB2 (and was QB1 after Week 16). When healthy, Murray scored more than 20 fantasy points and finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback in 10 consecutive games to start the season.

7.12 - Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos

Moving up to get in front of the Dolphins for the opportunity to draft Williams, it's likely that Williams emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

More: Denver Broncos 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

8.01 - Melvin Gordon, RB, Denver Broncos

As noted in the pick above, I expect Williams to become the RB1 over Gordon. If I'm wrong, this pick is insurance. MG3 wasn't great last year, but he was productive down the stretch -- seventh in touches (120), seventh in yards from scrimmage (618) and ninth in half-PPR scoring from Weeks 11 to 17.

9.12 - Zack Moss, RB, Buffalo Bills

Many 2021 mock drafts linked the Bills to a first-round running back. Instead of adding an early-round running back, it's a positive for the outlook of Moss and Devin Singletary that the Bills only added Matt Breida in free agency. While I prefer Moss over Singletary, a concern for both is that Josh Allen has 25 rushing touchdowns over the past three seasons. Not only has Allen led the team in that category in each of the past three years, he has 56.8% (25 of 44) of the team's rushing touchdowns over that stretch.

More: Buffalo Bills 2021 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

10.01 - Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Despite playing fewer than 50% of the team's offensive snaps every week except for the game Ezekiel Elliott missed (Week 15, 90%), Pollard had at least eight touches in 10 of the team's final 12 games. Excluding his one start, Pollard averaged nine touches over his final 11 games in which he appeared in less than half of the team's offensive snaps. Assuming good health for Dak Prescott and the offensive line, 8-10 weekly touches in this offense could lead to stand-alone flex value for Pollard on a weekly basis.

More: Dak Prescott 2021 Fantasy Football Profile

11.12 - Jamaal Williams, RB, Detroit Lions

In his four NFL seasons, Williams has averaged 736.5 scrimmage yards, 155.5 touches and 30.5 receptions per season with the Packers. While he remains his team's RB2 (to D'Andre Swift instead of Aaron Jones), Williams should get 8-10 touches per game even with both Swift and Williams healthy.

12.01 - Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

Many fantasy managers expected Hardman to take a step forward in his sophomore campaign, but his year-over-year production was nearly identical -- 26/538/6 (20.7 Y/R) in 2019 and 41/560/4 (13.7 Y/R) in 2020. With Sammy Watkins now in Baltimore and no significant additions to the receiving corps, however, Hardman offers upside at his late-round ADP.

13.12 - Rashaad Penny, RB, Seattle Seahawks

It feels a little weird handcuffing a back (Carson) that plays reckless abandon and could miss games with a player (Penny) that has his own durability concerns. That said, Penny has been efficient -- 5.1 YPC and 9.3 Y/R -- on relatively limited touches.

14.01 - John Brown, WR, Las Vegas Raiders

Two seasons removed from a 1,000-yard campaign, it wouldn't be far-fetched for Brown to lead the wide receivers in production. That said, consistent weekly production is likely to elude the position group with Darren Waller dominating targets.

More: Las Vegas Raiders 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

15.12 - Bills DST, Buffalo Bills

16.01 - Younghoe Koo, K, Atlanta Falcons

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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Saturday, June 12, 2021

Fantasy Football PPR Mock Draft 2021: 12 Teams, 1st Pick

The best way to become good at something is to practice. So, what should you do if you want to draft a better fantasy football team?

Practice, of course!

Leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season, we will use the 2021 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator (powered by FantasyPros) to complete fantasy football mock drafts.

We will use a variety of scoring formats -- PPR, half-PPR, standard scoring and even 2-QB leagues, league sizes and draft slots. The goal is to give you a good representation of the team that you may be able to construct given your league settings and the rationale of why we made the picks we did.

+ Our mocks will be tracked here: Fantasy Football Mock Drafts.

That said, nothing beats practicing yourself so (check out the simulator) and complete a mock in a matter of minutes.

Half-PPR Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 2nd Pick

1.01 - Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers

If you drafted McCaffrey first overall in 2020, you likely find little solace that he was fantasy's top-scoring back over the three-week window in which he appeared (Weeks 1, 2 and 9). In those games, however, CMC handled 76 touches including 17 receptions, racked up 374 yards from scrimmage and scored six touchdowns. All of those numbers were either first or second among running backs in that split timeframe.

Before his lost season due to injury, McCaffrey was nearly an every-snap iron man in 2019. Heading into his age-25 season, he remains the top choice for me in 2021 drafts.

2.12 - Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Allen missed a couple of games and was limited in others, but he finished with 100 catches for the third time in four seasons despite playing with a rookie quarterback. Although just shy of the 1,000-yard mark and averaging a career-low 9.92 Y/R, Allen tied his career high (set as a rookie in 2013) with eight touchdowns. Along with Davante Adams and Diontae Johnson, Allen was just one of three receivers to get double-digit targets in 10 games in 2020.

More: Los Angeles Chargers 2021 Fantasy Football Projections

3.01 - Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints

It was an injury-plagued 2020 season for Thomas, who failed to score in seven regular-season appearances. While Thomas played in the four Taysom Hill starts and had a pair of 100-yard games, both against the Falcons, the most-likely scenario for the 2021 Saints is that Jameis Winston takes over as the team's starter.

Before 2020, Thomas had improved every season -- 1,137 yards (2016), 1,245 (2017), 1,405 (2018) and 1,725 (2019). In his last full season (2019), he led the NFL in both receptions (149) and yards (1,725).

4.12 - Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Falling short of preseason expectations, Sanders missed four games and averaged just 3.1 yards per target after his catch rate dropped from 79.4% as a rookie to 53.8% in 2020. Although he averaged an impressive 5.3 yards per carry for the season, Sanders failed to exceed 3.8 YPC in four of his final five games. Even though the team added a number of backs to the roster, several of those will be cut before the season and I'm willing to bet on Sanders skill set.

5.01 - Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Few teams want to "establish the run" more than the Seahawks so returning to Seattle on a two-year deal was his ideal landing spot. Even though the Seahawks let Russell Wilson "cook" in the first half of the year, Carson performed as fantasy's RB13 or better in four of the team's five games before their Week 6 bye. In fact, he was a top-five performer through Week 5. Coming out of the bye, Carson sustained a foot injury in Week 7 that kept him out of several games. Carson's physical running style lends itself to a greater propensity to get banged up, but he will likely be undervalued in fantasy drafts this summer.

6.12 - Kareem Hunt, RB, Cleveland Browns

While Chubb (RB9) was a top-10 fantasy running back in 2020, so was Hunt (RB10). Outside of Week 16, Hunt had double-digit touches in all of his other 15 games. Playing in one of the league's most run-heavy offenses, there is enough to go around for both Chubb and Hunt to be drafted as viable starters in 12-team leagues.

More: Cleveland Browns 2022 NFL Mock Draft Roundup

7.01 - Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Playing on the franchise tag in 2020, Prescott was dominant before his season was cut short by a compound ankle fracture. From Weeks 2 to 4, Prescott threw for a minimum (yes, minimum) of 450 yards in three consecutive games with a total of 11 touchdowns (eight passing and three rushing). As noted in our Dak Prescott 2021 Fantasy Football Profile, Prescott (three) had more 450-yard passing games than the rest of the league (two) combined in 2020. During that three-game stretch before getting injured, Prescott performed as the weekly QB1, QB4 and QB1, respectively. With a talented trio of wide receivers, Prescott has tremendous upside if he can stay healthy.

8.12 - Laviska Shenault, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

In hindsight, there were a couple of opportunities where I could have selected a safer WR3 for this squad. For example, the Chris Carson pick at 5.01 (a pick I really like in a vacuum) is where I could have selected Tyler Lockett (5.02), Brandon Aiyuk (5.04), Odell Beckham (5.05), Ja'Marr Chase (5.06), as examples.

9.01 - Logan Thomas, TE, Washington Football Team

Thomas was the only tight end in the league to have a minimum of four targets in every game last season. While he was consistent throughout the season, he was especially productive down the stretch.

From Weeks 6 to 17, Thomas scored the third-most fantasy points with 58 receptions (third-most), 564 yards (third-most) and five touchdowns (tied fifth-most) amongst tight ends. The breakout tight end will enter 2021 as a viable TE1 (top-12 option).

10.12 - Mike Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

In 2018, Williams had 10 touchdowns. In 2019, he led the NFL with 20.4 Y/R and posted his first (and only) 1,000-yard season. Not only were overall numbers (48/756/5) disappointing, but he had only four top-36 performances (half-PPR) out of his 15 games last season.

11.01 - Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills

Singletary followed up his rookie season with 687 rushing yards (4.4 YPC) and two touchdowns to go along with 38 catches for 269 yards. While I would prefer Moss over Singletary, both are not much more than a flex option heading into 2021.

More: Buffalo Bills 2021 NFL Power Rankings Roundup

12.12 - Russell Gage, WR, Atlanta Falcons

With the Falcons trading Julio Jones to Tennessee, Gage should rank second or third on the team in receiving behind Calvin Ridley and possibly rookie Kyle Pitts in 2021. Gage set career highs across the board in 2020 with 72 catches, 110 targets, 786 yards and four touchdowns.

13.01 - Jalen Reagor, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

It was a disappointing rookie season for Reagor and even though the Eagles used a top-10 pick on DeVonta Smith, the 2020 Heisman Trophy recipient, Reagor is worth a roll of the dice here as my WR6.

14.12 - Ravens DST, DST, Baltimore Ravens

15.01 - Justin Tucker, K, Baltimore Ravens

16.12 - Cole Kmet, TE, Chicago Bears

Down the stretch, Kmet moved ahead of Jimmy Graham on the depth chart in terms of snaps played. The rookie out of Notre Dame averaged 6.0 targets per game over the five final regular-season games. Kmet could be poised for a breakout sophomore campaign.

- View Full Mock Draft Results

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