Sunday, August 6, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Projections: Los Angeles Chargers

As we continue to post our 2017 Fantasy Football Projections by team, here are projections for the 2017 Los Angeles Chargers:

 

Quarterbacks

 

PlayerComp.Att.YardsTDINTRushYardsTDPoints
Philip Rivers396.3628.6470632.220.115.5410280.94
If the Chargers can keep (most of) their top pass-catchers healthy for a full season, Rivers will be a huge bargain as a late-round fantasy QB. Rivers has exceeded 4,200 passing yards in seven of eight seasons and he has thrown 30-plus touchdowns in three of four years.

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Running Backs

 

PlayerAtt.YardsTDRec.YardsTDPoints
Melvin Gordon293.31255.28.644.1370.41.6223.76
Despite averaging less than 4.0 YPC and missing the final three games, Gordon made huge strides in terms of fantasy production -- RB8 (RB7 in PPR) -- last season. Just three yards shy of 1,000 rushing yards, MG3 averaged 10.2 Y/R and scored 12 touchdowns. The Chargers plan to use more of a zone-based run scheme, which could help the run game overall and MG3 in particular improve their efficiency.
Branden Oliver43158.20.614.8118.8031.3
Andre Williams27.4111.10.91.611.6017.67
Kenjon Barner5.925.806.446.607.24
Derek Watt1.64.802.620.702.55

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Wide Receivers

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDRushYardsTDPoints
Keenan Allen1011123.68000160.36
Over his past 16 games, Allen has racked up 116 catches for 1,217 yards and eight touchdowns. Of course, the bad news is that those 16 games span three separate seasons as Allen has played just nine games over the past two years. Even though durability is the obvious concern, that 16-game production would equate to 169.7 fantasy points and 285.7 PPR points, which would have ranked ninth- and fifth-most, respectively, had all 16 of those games occurred in 2016 only.
Tyrell Williams57.4875.26.3000125.32
Williams had a breakout season in 2016 as he finished with 69 catches for 1,059 yards and seven touchdowns. With a healthy Keenan Allen, he may not duplicate last year's numbers, but it wouldn't surprise me if he had another 1,000-yard season.
Travis Benjamin37.4528.33.2421.3074.16
Dontrelle Inman28.6393.21.600048.92
Coming off a career-best year (58/810/4), Inman is the team's No. 5 wide receiver when all are healthy. With the uncertainty surrounding Mike Williams and the position group's historical durability struggles, it's possible that Inman climbs the depth chart throughout the season.
Mike Williams8.3101.2100016.12
The Chargers have had plenty of bad luck with durability amongst their receiving corps and offensive line so they used draft capital to bolster both early in this year's draft. Unfortunately, their bad luck continues as it's unclear if Williams (back) will play at all in 2017. At a minimum, he's likely to begin the season on the PUP list, which would cost him the first six games. More than likely, however, he misses all of 2017.
Geremy Davis1.617.700001.77

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Tight Ends

 

PlayerRec.YardsTDPoints
Hunter Henry65.3819.76.9123.37
Henry finished his rookie campaign with 36/478/8 and he was especially productive during a four-game stretch early in the season (18/290/3 from Weeks 3 to 6). Even with Antonio Gates back, it's likely that Henry leads the position group in targets and production. Worst-case scenario: Henry should build upon his rookie numbers and remain a red-zone force.
Antonio Gates40.7426.94.670.29
With his next touchdown, Gates will break the all-time TD record for tight ends that he shares with Tony Gonzalez. Going into his age-37 season, however, the future Hall-of-Famer isn't even the best fantasy tight end on his own roster, but he should remain one of Philip Rivers' favorite targets in the red zone.
Sean McGrath4.350.805.08
Asante Cleveland1.614.301.43

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