Sunday, September 3, 2017

Fantasy Football ADP: Biggest Weekly Risers/Fallers in Average Draft Position

Every Sunday, we post an update in players that have had the biggest moves — both up and down — in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) from the previous week.

With this information, we can get a better sense of changes in the collective perceptions of fantasy football owners (mock drafters); in essence, it's a version of fantasy stock up/down for players. If a player is moving up the ADP chart, it may lead us to using a higher pick than his current ADP to make sure we secure a targeted player.

Of course, a player's ADP (and movement) is just one (small) piece in determining who to draft and our strategy used to assemble a fantasy roster.

For purposes of our weekly comparison(s), we use ADP data from 12-team mock drafts from Fantasy Football Calculator:
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Biggest Risers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBCam Newton, Carolina Panthers-9.9 (93.0 on 8/27; 83.1 on 9/3)
RBKareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs-45.1 (74.0 on 8/27; 28.9 on 9/3)
WRChris Hogan, New England Patriots-36.1 (136.8 on 8/27; 100.7 on 9/3)
TEZach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles-11.3 (101.4 on 8/27; 90.1 on 9/3)

[Note: Negative numbers mean the player's ADP is improving (i.e., being drafted earlier) and vice versa.]

Biggest Risers (Percentage)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBCam Newton, Carolina Panthers-10.65% (93.0 on 8/27; 83.1 on 9/3)
RBKareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs-60.95% (74.0 on 8/27; 28.9 on 9/3)
WRChris Hogan, New England Patriots-26.39% (136.8 on 8/27; 100.7 on 9/3)
TEZach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles-11.14% (101.4 on 8/27; 90.1 on 9/3)

Biggest Fallers (Absolute Terms)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBAndrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts+5.9 (90.6 on 8/27; 96.5 on 9/3)
RBC.J. Prosise, Seattle Seahawks+8.5 (130.9 on 8/27; 139.4 on 9/3)
WRTorrey Smith, Philadelphia Eagles+13.5 (153.3 on 8/27; 166.8 on 9/3)
TEAntonio Gates, Los Angeles Chargers+17.2 (147.9 on 8/27; 165.1 on 9/3)

[Note: Spencer Ware and Joe Williams (both on IR) were removed from the table above even though they were bigger fallers than Prosise.]

Biggest Fallers (Percentage)
Pos.PlayerADP change
QBAndrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts+6.51% (90.6 on 8/27; 96.5 on 9/3)
RBDavid Johnson, Arizona Cardinals+12.61% (1.4 on 8/27; 1.6 on 9/3)
WRSammy Watkins, Los Angeles Rams+13.15% (57.8 on 8/27; 65.4 on 9/3)
TEAntonio Gates, Los Angeles Chargers+11.63% (147.9 on 8/27; 165.1 on 9/3)

- Fantasy Football ADP Risers/Fallers: See full grid of player changes in ADP over past week


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