Sunday, October 1, 2017

Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

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With that said, here are Dan Yanotchko's Week 4 NFL picks against the spread:

Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 over New York Jets (4 Units)

Ok, so this has been quite a weird start to the season, and we aren't even a quarter of the way through, and the Jacksonville Jaguars are road favorites? The Jaguars defense is legit as they have the best pass defense in the league that currently allows 124 yards per game and an opposing quarterback completion percentage of 53.3.

In addition, Jacksonville has picked up a running game with Leonard Fournette, who has averaged 66.3 yards per game and three touchdowns. The rookie gets a woeful Jets rush defense that allows 133.3 yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry. While the Jets had an impressive win last week, I think the Jags are starting to right the ship, and will smother the Jets like they did to Baltimore last week.

New Orleans Saints -3.5 over Miami Dolphins (3 Units)

The London game still has not matched up two teams with a winning record, but the way both of these teams play defense, they could be in for a treat with a shootout. The Dolphins have been perplexing to say the least so far, as they needed to block a field goal to beat the Chargers, and then proceeded to get beat up by the Jets. Something has to be said for all of the travel the Dolphins have been doing, as they missed Week 1, flew out to the west coast, back east, and now over to London. I also love the matchup of Drew Brees going against that Dolphin secondary that allows 278 yards passing per game, and a 79% completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks. While this one will be high-scoring, I still think the Saints will figure out what they need to do to pull their record to .500.

Washington Redskins +7 over Kansas City Chiefs (3 Units)

While the Chiefs have been the darling of the league this year, stunning everyone with their running game and superb rookie Kareem Hunt, who has posted an impessive 401 yards rushing. This week though, they will certainly be tested by the Redskins rushing defense that is second in the league with only allowing 62.3 yards per game, and 3.2 yards per carry. Both of these teams can play defense, and they also both have explosive playmakers in Chris Thompson and Tyreek Hill, respectively. While Kansas City is very tough to beat at home in Arrowhead, I think the Redskins will be able to hang with them the entire game.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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