Wednesday, September 27, 2017

Week 4 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Trifone)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

Through three weeks, our contributors have a collective 20-16 record against the spread and John Trifone has a 6-4 ATS record on the year.

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With that said, here are John Trifone's Week 4 NFL picks against the spread:

Baltimore Ravens +3 over Pittsburgh Steelers (3 Units)

It's a little uncomfortable betting against Pittsburgh, who has underperformed on the year so far, but could be one of the better teams in the league. They won a close game at Cleveland Week 1 and are coming off a loss at Chicago this past week. The Steelers are just significantly worse on the road, and with some overreaction to Baltimore getting destroyed by Jacksonville in London, I like taking them with the three points at home.

Buffalo Bills +8.5 over Atlanta Falcons (4 Units)

Atlanta has been impressive to start the year, but so too has Buffalo. They're coming off an impressive win over the Broncos and their defense looks pretty solid. Although it's a home game for the Falcons, I think the Bills D can contain them enough to keep this to a one-score game. I'll take Buffalo with the 8.5 points.

New York Giants +3 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4 Units)

The Giants are coming off a brutal loss to Philly this week, losing on a last-second 61-yard FG after scoring 24 fourth-quarter points to take the lead. At 0-3, they will be desperate to get their first win, and I think they get it here. The defense has played well, and with Odell Beckham getting healthy this past week, they finally got the offense going. If they do fall short, I expect another close one, so I'll take the three points.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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