Sunday, October 29, 2017

Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Hanson)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are my Week 8 NFL picks against the spread:

New York Jets +6.5 over Atlanta Falcons (3 Units)

Since losing their first two games, the Jets are 3-2 with both of their losses being one-score games. On the other hand, the Falcons began the season with three consecutive wins only to lose three straight including an embarrassing primetime loss against the Patriots last week. While I don't expect the Jets to pull off the upset here, I do expect them to keep this game closer than the spread suggests.

Los Angeles Chargers +7.5 over New England Patriots (2 Units)

Like the game above, I don't expect the Chargers to win this game outright, but I do expect them to keep the game close enough to cover. The Patriots have seemed to turn around their leaky defense by limiting their opponents to 17 points or less in three consecutive games, but the Chargers have won three consecutive games after their first four. I wouldn't be surprised if that extra half-point turns out to be the difference in this one.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos, Under 43.0 (2 Units)

Leading the NFL in team defense, the Broncos currently allow just 258.5 of total offense. Not only are they the only team to not yet allow a rushing touchdown, but they have limited opponents to just 3.0 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Broncos offense has scored 16, 16, 10 and zero points over their past four games, respectively. As great as Kareem Hunt and Kansas City's offense has been this season, I expect this one to be a low-scoring affair with the Chiefs winning a 20-13, 23-16 type of game.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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