Sunday, November 12, 2017

Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread (Yanotchko)

Every week, four of our contributors pick between two and five games each and assign a number of units (one to five) to their selection based on their confidence in the pick.

With that said, here are Dan Yanotchko's Week 10 NFL picks against the spread:

Jacksonville Jaguars -5 over Los Angeles Chargers (3 Units)

This is a Jacksonville team that has made great strides in becoming a playoff contender, and the next step is taking care of the teams they should beat at home. The Jaguars have two great matchups that bode well for them this week, as you will have a motivated Leonard Fournette fresh off of team suspension going against a rushing defense that allows 135.1 yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry. Also you have the best pass defense in the league with Jacksonville, who will be able to stifle Philip Rivers, as they only allow 156 yards passing per game, and they lead the league with 35 sacks. This will be another cross country 1 PM start for the Chargers as they played New England two weeks ago and then had the bye.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2 over New York Jets (4 Units)

I think one of the most disappointing teams all year certainly has to be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. From the hype of Hard Knocks, to the expected leap for Jameis Winston, to the outstanding offensive talent they have in Mike Evans, Doug Martin, DeSean Jackson, Cameron Brate, and O.J. Howard, and a respected offensive mind in Dirk Koetter not being able to put it all together. It has certainly been a year of the underdogs, and I love Ryan Fitzpatrick getting the start against his former Jets squad, as there certainly will be a revenge factor in play. The Jets are very weak against the pass, as they allow 234 yards per game and 19 touchdowns on the year, and they really don't get after the quarterback as they only have 18 sacks on the year. I believe that it is time for some Fitzmagic at home, and that Tampa will be eating a W, or at least will be within two points.

Minnesota Vikings -1.5 over Washington Redskins (3 Units)

Washington is certainly a very hard team to figure out, as they trekked all the way to Seattle, and beat them on their home field. The Vikings will come into this game off the bye, and it couldn't have been at a better time to get rest to their star wide receiver Stefon Diggs. The Vikings will need this game to keep the lead in the NFC North, and in order to maintain their lead, it will be done by a stifling defense. The Vikings will be able to shut down a weak Washington run game completely, as they only allow 81.4 yards per game and 3.5 yards per carry. Washington could be missing as many as four starting offensive lineman, and the Vikings have a great pass rush, and pass defense that only allows 201 yards passing per game, only 9 touchdowns on the year, and they have compiled 24 sacks. This will be the case of a well-rested team playing against a team that just got back from a physical game in Seattle, so I look for the Vikings to win this one.

- Note: All of our NFL picks against the spread will be centralized here.

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