Wednesday, May 17, 2023

Buffalo Bills 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Buffalo Bills.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Josh Allen587.3371.84287.334.6514.1114.16965.99387.43
Matt Barkley37.521.2266.31.161.544.6-5.1011.7

Josh Allen: Fantasy managers know exactly what they're getting when they draft Allen, who has finished as fantasy's QB1, QB1 and QB2 over the past three seasons, respectively. Few quarterbacks have as much weekly upside and consistency as Allen. Last season, he finished as a top-six weekly QB in 12 of 16 games played and finished as a top-12 weekly quarterback in two more games.


James Cook159.8703.1443.2332.42.3162.95
Damien Harris121520.33.337.954.60.282.62
Nyheim Hines41.1168.50.9931.4236.81.269.37
Latavius Murray1357.20.33213.70.110.67
Reggie Gilliam0007.963.80.412.73

James Cook: Cook is one of Buffalo's biggest fantasy winners of the draft, as there was some projection that the Bills could target someone like Bijan Robinson if he slipped. (Of course, he didn't.) Heading into 2023 atop the depth chart, he'll split touches with veterans like Damien Harris, Nyheim Hines and Latavius Murray, but he'll be an RB2/flex option for fantasy managers this season.

Damien Harris: Harris has been productive when given volume (1,061 YFS and 15 TDs in 2021), but his modest one-year contract means that he's a distant RB2 to Cook. Barring injury, he's little more than a TD-dependent option in fantasy leagues.


Stefon Diggs116.9148911.
Gabe Davis53.1787.87.1000147.93
Khalil Shakir21.6277.8200050.58
Deonte Harty11.8150.31.41.811.70.0230.62
Justin Shorter10.8136.61.200026.26
Trent Sherfield7.9102.5100020.2

Stefon Diggs: Since becoming a Bill, Diggs has posted the following stat lines — 127/1535/8 (2020), 103/1225/10 (2021) and 108/1429/11 (2022). During that same span, he has finished as fantasy's WR3, WR7 and WR4, respectively. Diggs has an extremely high floor as Josh Allen's go-to receiver within Buffalo's high-powered offense.

Gabe Davis: A popular name on 2022 breakout lists, Davis set (or tied) career highs in receptions (48), targets (93), yards (836) and touchdowns (seven) last season. And although he finished as fantasy's WR27, it's fair to say that many fantasy managers expected even more. Davis failed to reach the 40-yard mark in eight of 15 regular-season games, and he scored only once in those eight modest performances.

Khalil Shakir: Instead of drafting a receiver at the end of Round 1, the Bills drafted tight end Dalton Kincaid. While Shakir should rank third in WR snaps behind Diggs and Davis, the presence of Kincaid (and more two-TE sets) could limit his ability to make a significant jump in his second season.


Dawson Knox43.2498.64.200096.66
Dalton Kincaid31364.3300069.93
Quintin Morris4.345.50.40009.1

Dawson Knox: Knox's 2022 numbers (48/517/6) were similar, albeit slightly less, than his 2021 production (49/587/9). While Knox may produce as a (back-end) top-12 option in 2023, but his touchdown dependency is high given his relatively low volume. Knox exceeded 50 receiving yards in only three regular-season games last season.

Dalton Kincaid: A lengthy adjustment period for rookie tight ends typically leads to modest fantasy impacts for the position. That said, Kincaid was arguably the most talented pass catcher (regardless of position) in the 2023 NFL Draft, so there is potential for him to make early contributions as a mismatch in the passing game. As Brandon Beane says, Kincaid "is a tight end, but he is a receiving tight end."

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