Friday, August 11, 2023

Chicago Bears 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Chicago Bears.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Justin Fields446.9275.73217.722.7914.08137.6839.46.19312.79
P.J. Walker36.221.4246.

Justin Fields: Making improvements as a passer in his second season, Fields also made in-season strides with the following splits:

  • Games 1-7: 55.9% completion, five TDs and six INTs
  • Games 8-15: 63.7% completion, 12 TDs and five INTs

More improvement as a passer should be expected for his third season, but Fields has as much rushing upside as any quarterback in the NFL. He led the NFL in yards per carry (7.1) and ended the season with 1,143 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Only six running backs rushed for more yards in 2022. Over his final 10 games, Fields was even more dominant as a runner with a per-game rushing line of 11.8/94.9/0.7 (8.04 YPC). In his final 10 games played, Fields finished as a top-10 weekly quarterback nine times, a top-five performer five times and the overall weekly QB1 twice.


Khalil Herbert146.6674.44.425.1180.11.2131.6
D'Onta Foreman113.2492.43.1114.4109.10.790.21
Roschon Johnson83.8368.72.2211.690.10.568
Travis Homer7.734.30.156.8520.314.73

Khalil Herbert: Chances are that Justin Fields will lead the Bears in rushing, but Herbert has been highly efficient — career 5.02 YPC on 232 carries — through his first two NFL seasons. Given the volume of rush attempts by Fields, it should come as no surprise that the Bears ranked last in the NFL in running back receptions and 31st in running back targets in 2022. Even if Herbert leads the Bears running backs in both rushing and receiving, which I currently project, it's possible that fantasy managers are left wanting a bit more.

D'Onta Foreman: Foreman rushed for more than 110 yards in five of the final 11 games in 2022 for the Panthers. During that span, he racked up 191/877/5 rushing (4.59 YPC). Even if Herbert is the favorite to lead the backfield, Foreman could end up getting a little more run than expected.

Roschon Johnson: A fourth-round rookie from Texas, Johnson will battle Herbert and Foreman for reps, but ESPN's Courtney Cronin wrote that "Johnson might carry the most potential as a three-down back."


D.J. Moore67.4912.76.27.563.80.23169.93
Darnell Mooney47.8594.
Chase Claypool39.4528.23.62.1110.1396
Equanimeous St. Brown13.1200.91.23.324.80.1737.34
Velus Jones Jr.5.5710.53.935.10.2717.98
Tyler Scott5.676.20.500013.42

D.J. Moore: Moore set four-year lows in receptions (63) and yards (888) last season, although he posted a career high in touchdowns (seven). Justin Fields should continue to improve as a passer in 2023 (in part due to the boost Moore provides to the receiving corps), but the Bears ranked last in the league in passing play percentage (43.8%) last season. In other words, Moore may not get a significant jump in targets from the 118 he had last season with the Panthers.

Darnell Mooney: Mooney broke out in 2021 (81/1055/4), but he failed to build upon that in his third season. Even though he missed five games, he averaged 1.5 receptions and 21 receiving yards per game fewer in 2022 than in 2021. The addition of Moore will help Fields, but it slides Mooney down a notch on the target pecking order.


Cole Kmet45.5498.83.900096.03
Robert Tonyan12.9131.61.100026.21
Marcedes Lewis1.919.10.10003.46

Cole Kmet: Targeted much less in 2022 (69) than in 2021 (93), Kmet's receptions (50) and yardage (544) dropped only modestly due to improvements in catch rate (64.5% to 72.5%) and yards per target (6.6 to 7.9). Held scoreless in 2021, Kmet had seven touchdowns in 2022 including six scores from Weeks 8-17. Adding a talented receiver (D.J. Moore) to the mix within a run-dominant offense may limit Kmet's opportunity to take a major step forward from his 2021-22 production levels.

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