The Daily Blitz: Juwan Johnson

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Tuesday, August 29, 2023

New Orleans Saints 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Derek Carr	512.3	331.5	3688.6	23.05	11.27	32.1	104.3	0.71	231.89
Jameis Winston	33.4	20.5	247.2	1.6	1.04	4.4	15	0.09	16.25

Derek Carr: Carr was fantasy's QB15 through Week 16 before being benched in Week 17 by Josh McDaniels last year. Now in New Orleans, Carr improves the outlook for the team's pass catchers (as an upgrade over Andy Dalton), but he remains little more than a solid QB2 in fantasy football. Since 2014, he has finished in the QB13-QB20 range every year except 2016 (QB10).

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Alvin Kamara	151.3	643	3.63	47.6	392.2	2.5	164.1
Jamaal Williams	149	610.9	4.54	23.2	171	1.1	123.63
Kendre Miller	64.2	279.3	1.48	16	120.7	0.7	61.08
Adam Prentice	3	8.3	0.08	2.5	18.1	0.1	4.97

Alvin Kamara: Eligible to play in Week 4 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Kamara will serve a lighter-than-expected three-game suspension to start the season. Kamara's production has dipped over the past two seasons — averaged only 3.9 YPC, rushed for half as many touchdowns (six) as "tight end" Taysom Hill (12) with a total of only 104 receptions after finishing with 80-plus in each of his first four seasons. Even so, he has finished as the RB16 (2022) and RB8 (2021) on a PPG basis (half-PPR).

Jamaal Williams: Coming off a career season, Williams carried the ball 262 times for 1,066 yards and a league-high 17 touchdowns. As long as both Kamara and Williams are active (after Kamara's three-game suspension), he'll be a complementary option to Kamara, but Williams could get the larger share of valuable goal-line opportunities.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Chris Olave	80.8	1126.3	6.7	0	0	0	193.23
Michael Thomas	59.4	659.7	4.2	0	0	0	120.87
Rashid Shaheed	36.6	462.6	2.8	5.3	47.7	0.4	88.53
Tre'quan Smith	14	173	1.1	0	0	0	30.9
A.T. Perry	2.9	38.2	0.2	0	0	0	6.47
Keith Kirkwood	2.2	30.2	0.2	0	0	0	5.32
Kirk Merritt	1.1	14.1	0.1	0	0	0	2.56

Chris Olave: Olave finished his outstanding rookie season with 72 receptions for 1,042 yards and four touchdowns. While he missed two games last season, he never finished with fewer than three receptions or 40 yards in the 15 games he played. The second-year receiver should benefit from the upgrade at quarterback and could take a big step forward in 2023.

Michael Thomas: From 2016 to 2019, Thomas posted better numbers in each successive season — 92/1,137/9, 104/1,245/5, 125/1,405/9 and 149/1,725/9, respectively. Since then, however, he has appeared in only 10 games over three seasons and totaled 56 catches for 609 yards and three touchdowns during that span. Few receivers have a wider range of potential outcomes than Thomas, who is entering his age-30 season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Juwan Johnson	42.9	482.7	3.2	0	0	0	88.92
Taysom Hill	9.3	100.6	0.7	49.3	271.2	2.47	64.138
Foster Moreau	18.9	217.2	1.4	0	0	0	39.57
Jimmy Graham	1.8	16.1	0.2	0	0	0	3.71

Juwan Johnson: Johnson had a career season with 42 catches for 508 yards and seven touchdowns in 2022. Depending on how much the Saints get from Michael Thomas, it may be difficult to repeat those numbers this season. Then again, Johnson and Carr have quickly established chemistry and he should be drafted as a high-upside TE2.

Taysom Hill: Hill will throw a few passes and catch a few, but most of his fantasy production will come from his rushing production. Over the past three seasons, he has a total of 253 carries for 1,406 yards (5.6 Y/A) and 20 touchdowns.

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Saturday, August 5, 2023

New Orleans Saints 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Derek Carr	517	334.5	3696.6	23.01	11.37	32	104	0.7	231.76
Jameis Winston	30.6	18.8	226.4	1.47	0.95	4.3	14.6	0.09	15.04

Derek Carr: Carr was fantasy's QB15 through Week 16 before being benched in Week 17 by Josh McDaniels last year. Now in New Orleans, Carr improves the outlook for the team's pass catchers (as an upgrade over Andy Dalton), but he remains a solid QB2 in fantasy football. Since 2014, he has finished in the QB13-QB20 range every year except 2016 (QB10).

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Alvin Kamara	153.3	651.5	3.68	47.5	388.8	2.5	164.86
Jamaal Williams	146.5	600.7	4.47	23.1	169.5	1.1	121.99
Kendre Miller	64.1	278.8	1.47	16	119.6	0.7	60.86
Adam Prentice	3	8.3	0.08	2.7	19.9	0.1	5.25

Alvin Kamara: Fantasy managers now have clarity about Kamara's suspension (a negotiated settlement of three games), a positive development given it could have been twice as long. Over the past two seasons, Kamara has averaged only 3.9 YPC, rushed for half as many touchdowns as "tight end" Taysom Hill and had a total of only 104 receptions after finishing with 80-plus in each of his first four seasons. Even so, he has finished as the RB16 (2022) and RB8 (2021) on a PPG basis (half-PPR).

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Chris Olave	81.1	1116.6	6.6	0	0	0	191.81
Michael Thomas	59.4	658	4.1	0	0	0	120.1
Rashid Shaheed	36.9	462.6	2.8	5.3	47.7	0.4	88.68
Tre'quan Smith	14.3	175.5	1.1	0	0	0	31.3
Bryan Edwards	3.8	47.9	0.2	0	0	0	7.89
A.T. Perry	2.7	35.9	0.2	0	0	0	6.14

Michael Thomas: From 2016 to 2019, Thomas posted better numbers in each successive season — 92/1,137/9, 104/1,245/5, 125/1,405/9 and 149/1,725/9, respectively. Since then, however, he has appeared in only 10 games over three seasons and totaled 56 catches for 609 yards and three touchdowns. It's anyone's guess how much fantasy managers will get out of him in his age-30 season.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Juwan Johnson	40.4	452.6	2.9	0	0	0	82.86
Taysom Hill	10.2	109.7	0.7	49.2	270.6	2.46	65.378
Foster Moreau	18.8	215.3	1.4	0	0	0	39.33
Jimmy Graham	1.8	16	0.1	0	0	0	3.1

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Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Fantasy Football TE Waiver Wire Week 2

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be rostered in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some tight end waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 2 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears (34%)

In Week 1, Kmet had five catches for 42 yards on seven targets. Going back to last season, Kmet has a minimum of six targets in five of his last six games. The second-year tight end has averaged only 7.64 Y/R during that six-game stretch (25/191/1 on 37 targets), but there is a lot to like about that consistent volume.

If he maintains a similar per-game target average (6.17/G), he would finish the year with 105 targets. Only five tight ends -- Travis Kelce (145), Darren Waller (134), Logan Thomas (110), Evan Engram (109) and T.J. Hockenson (101) -- exceeded 100 targets last season. While there is one extra game this season, only one other -- Eric Ebron (91) -- exceeded 90 targets.

2. Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints (11%)

Adam Trautman (six) doubled up his targets, but Johnson (three targets) made the most of his opportunities as converted his three catches into two touchdowns and 21 yards. Given the buzz that Johnson generated this offseason, he appeared on our preseason list of fantasy football sleepers and he's at least worth monitoring in standard-sized leagues. Johnson should be rostered in deep leagues and/or TE-premium formats.

3. Jared Cook, Los Angeles Chargers (26%)

Cook began his age-34 season with five catches for 56 yards on eight targets. The veteran tight end has 16 touchdowns in 29 games over the previous two seasons and should be heavily involved in the red zone for the Bolts. Beyond the top seven options, there are plenty of tight ends that are in the mix for back-end TE1 production and Cook is in that mix.

4. Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys (1%)

Michael Gallup's multi-week injury will certainly lead to a significant bump in snaps for Cedrick Wilson, but he's unlikely to absorb all of the targets that would have gone Gallup's way. It's possible that the Cowboys utilize a few more two-TE sets along with Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb.

Both Schultz (six targets) and Blake Jarwin (four) were plenty involed in Week 1 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. While Jarwin offers more athletic upside, Schultz was productive last season as he racked up 63/615/4 on 89 targets (TE12 in half-PPR) and more involved than Jarwin, who made his return from last year's torn ACL, in Week 1.

Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 2

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Friday, September 3, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New Orleans Saints

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jameis Winston	518.2	335.5	3860.6	23.84	16.58	45.5	186.6	1.82	246.2
Taysom Hill	57.6	37.4	423.4	2.36	1.27	59.1	319.1	4.28	96.19

Jameis Winston: Perhaps both Winston and Taysom Hill will make starts during the season. Naming Winston as the starter, however, not only puts the better passer under center, but it allows the coaching staff to maximize Hill's versatility, especially given the state of their receiving corps. Two seasons ago in Tampa, Winston led the NFL in both passing yards (5,109) and interceptions thrown (30) so ball security will be critical to keeping the starting gig.

Taysom Hill: Whenever/if he gets the opportunity to start, Hill will flirt with top-12 production. During his four starts last season, he performed as a top-12 fantasy quarterback every week. At a minumum, Hill should be owned in all two-QB and Super Flex leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Alvin Kamara	186.5	857.9	7.74	79.8	724	4.2	269.73
Latavius Murray	92.1	409.8	2.86	23.9	179.9	0.9	93.48
Tony Jones Jr.	47.8	205.5	1.2	10.3	77.1	0.4	43.01
Ty Montgomery	6.8	29.9	0.17	10.6	128.5	0.6	25.76
Dwayne Washington	10.2	39.8	0.2	0.9	6.4	0	6.27

Alvin Kamara: No running back scored more fantasy points in half-PPR formats than Kamara in 2020. The versatile back had exactly 81 receptions in each of his first three NFL seasons and then set a career high (83) in 2020. That said, he was on pace for an even better career-best number before Drew Brees (ribs) missed four weeks. The only three games that Kamara failed to reach three catches came with Taysom Hill under center. That said, Jameis Winston winning the starting job benefits Kamara.

Latavius Murray: Murray may flirt with stand-alone flex value -- especially during bye weeks -- Murray will become an elite play in any game that Kamara misses. In the two games that Kamara missed and Murray was active, Murray had a total of 62 touches, 307 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Michael Thomas	65.4	835.4	4.8	0	0	0	145.04
Marquez Callaway	54.4	706.9	4.5	0	0	0	124.89
Tre'quan Smith	37.8	565.5	3.7	0	0	0	97.65
Deonte Harris	16.2	192.8	1.1	6.8	56.1	0.14	40.43
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	0.9	12.9	0.1	0	0	0	2.34

Michael Thomas: It was an injury-plagued 2020 season for Thomas, who failed to score in seven regular-season appearances. Thomas decided to postpone ankle surgery until June and he begins the season on the PUP list, which means that he'll miss at the least the first six weeks of the season. Drew Brees' retirement and his injury significantly diminishes his fantasy outlook for the upcoming season.

Marquez Callaway: Callaway has generated loads of training camp buzz and then upped the ante in preseason games. He has the potential to be the team's most productive receiver for as long as Michael Thomas (ankle) is out. Either way, he's an upside sleeper pick.

Fun watching Marquez Callaway really take ownership of being the top dog at receiver right now. Playing with so much confidence.
— Luke Johnson (@ByLukeJohnson) August 6, 2021

Tre'quan Smith: Smith posted career numbers in receptions (34) and yards (448) in 2020. Even with Brees retiring, Smith should set new career highs, but it's possible/likely that Callaway outperforms him.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Adam Trautman	38.2	428.4	2.8	78.74
Juwan Johnson	20.7	265.6	1.7	47.11
Nick Vannett	5.2	53.6	0.4	10.36

Adam Trautman: Set for an expanded role with Jared Cook now in L.A., Trautman is a breakout candidate. Not only does he move to the top of the TE depth chart, but plenty of targets are up for grabs with Michael Thomas starting the season on the PUP list and Emmanuel Sanders now in Buffalo.

Juwan Johnson: Converting from wide receiver to tight end, Johnson has earned glowing reviews this offseason and is poised for an expanded role, giving him some sleeper appeal. In fact, it wouldn't be that big of a surprise if it were Johnson (not Trautman) that turns in better receiving production in 2021.

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Thursday, August 19, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New Orleans Saints

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the New Orleans Saints.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jameis Winston	376.1	243.5	2801.9	17.3	12.04	42.5	174.3	1.7	184.83
Taysom Hill	157.4	102.3	1156.9	6.45	3.46	72.4	391	5.25	150.52

Jameis Winston: Taysom Hill drew four starts when Drew Brees was sidelined last season. Earlier in the offseason, most expected Winston to be named the starter with Brees decided to hang up his cleats this offseason. Now that training camp is underway, however, the team in the midst of a legitimate quarterback competition.

Perhaps both quarterbacks will make starts during the season, but I believe Winston will begin the season as the starter in part so that New Orleans can maximize Hill's versatility, especially given the state of their receiving corps. Two seasons ago in Tampa, Winston led the NFL in both passing yards (5,109) and interceptions thrown (30) and ball security will be critical to keeping the starting gig (should be named the starter).

Taysom Hill: Whenever/if he gets the opportunity to start, Hill will flirt with top-12 production. During his four starts last season, he performed as a top-12 fantasy quarterback every week. At a minimum, Hill should be owned in all two-QB and Super Flex leagues (even if he isn't named the starter).

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Alvin Kamara	204.9	942.5	8.5	72.6	653.2	3.7	269.07
Latavius Murray	139.9	622.6	4.34	25.4	201.9	1.1	127.79
Ty Montgomery	20	88	0.5	10.4	118.8	0.6	32.48
Devonta Freeman	7.5	29.3	0.19	2.6	21.8	0.2	8.75
Alex Armah	5	11	0.3	1.4	9.9	0.1	5.19

If the Saints utilize Taysom Hill as their starter, it would likely cap Kamara's upside and lead to more volatility in his weekly production. In 11 games with Brees, Kamara was a top-10 weekly producer in all but one game last season. In four games with Hill, Kamara posted weekly finishes (half-PPR) of RB25, RB36, RB9 and RB9, respectively.

Latavius Murray: Provided Murray isn't a cap casualty, he flirts with stand-alone flex value -- especially during bye weeks -- when both Kamara and Murray are active. For any week(s) that Kamara may miss, however, Murray becomes a must-start play. In the two games that Kamara missed and Murray was active, Murray had a total of 62 touches, 307 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.

Ty Montgomery: The Saints have moved Montgomery to receiver. While ESPN lists him as a WR, he is still listed at RB in Yahoo! leagues.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Michael Thomas	70	870.9	5	0	0	0	152.09
Tre'quan Smith	38.9	581.9	3.6	0	0	0	99.24
Marquez Callaway	35.4	451.3	2.6	0	0	0	78.43
Deonte Harris	15.2	184.1	1.1	7.5	61.9	0.15	39.7
Juwan Johnson	12.1	162.3	1	0	0	0	28.28
Chris Hogan	2.1	27.7	0.2	0	0	0	5.02
Lil'Jordan Humphrey	0.9	11.9	0.1	0	0	0	2.24

Michael Thomas: It was an injury-plagued 2020 season for Thomas, who failed to score in seven regular-season appearances. Thomas decided to postpone ankle surgery until June and now he's likely to miss the start of the 2021 season. While Thomas appears to be "ahead of schedule," it's unclear how much time he will actually miss.

Before 2020, Thomas had improved every season -- 1,137 yards (2016), 1,245 (2017), 1,405 (2018) and 1,725 (2019). In his last full season (2019), he led the NFL in both receptions (149) and yards (1,725). Drew Brees' retirement and his injury significantly diminishes his fantasy outlook for the upcoming season.

Tre'quan Smith: Smith posted career numbers in receptions (34) and yards (448) in 2020. Even with Brees retiring, Smith should set new career highs with Emmanuel Sanders leaving for Buffalo and Thomas likely to miss the start of the season.

Marquez Callaway: Callaway has generated some training camp buzz and has the potential to be the team's most productive receiver for as long as Michael Thomas (ankle) is out. Either way, he's an upside sleeper pick in the double-digit rounds.

Fun watching Marquez Callaway really take ownership of being the top dog at receiver right now. Playing with so much confidence.
— Luke Johnson (@ByLukeJohnson) August 6, 2021

Juwan Johnson: While some sites like Yahoo! still list Johnson as a WR, he has converted to TE and the transition has been going well enough that he has some sleeper appeal.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Adam Trautman	45.8	514.6	3.3	0	0	0	94.16
Nick Vannett	5.2	49.5	0.4	0	0	0	9.95

Adam Trautman: Set for an expanded role with Jared Cook now in L.A., Trautman is a breakout candidate that will be a popular sleeper pick at tight end. In addition to his move up the TE depth chart, Emmanuel Sanders is now in Buffalo and Michael Thomas will likely miss the start of the season following offseason ankle surgery.

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Tuesday, August 29, 2023

New Orleans Saints 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Saturday, August 5, 2023

New Orleans Saints 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Fantasy Football TE Waiver Wire Week 2

Friday, September 3, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New Orleans Saints

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

Thursday, August 19, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: New Orleans Saints

QUARTERBACKS

RUNNING BACKS

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIGHT ENDS

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