Saturday, August 5, 2017

Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 11th Pick

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a "perfect" fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up -- e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

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Details of today's mock draft:
  • Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
  • # of Teams: 12
  • Draft Slot: 11
  • Starters: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), K, DST
  • Bench Size: 6
With that said, here are the results of today's mock draft:

1.11 - Jordy Nelson, WR, Green Bay Packers: Missing the entire 2015 NFL season, Nelson's 2016 campaign (97/1,257/14 on 152 targets) was nearly identical to his 2014 season (98/1,519/13 on 151 targets) as he finished as fantasy's WR2 both seasons. Given his rapport with Aaron Rodgers and being another year removed from his torn ACL, Nelson should be in store for another elite season.

2.02 - Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le'Veon Bell had the other.) Getting double-digit carries every week starting in Week 5, only Bell (243) had more carries than Ajayi (242) and only Ezekiel Elliott (1,219) rushed for more yards than Ajayi (1,197) from Week 5 to 17.

3.11 - Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season after a 2015 breakout. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but the Jags should become more of a run-based team with Leonard Fournette added to the mix.

4.02 - Alshon Jeffery, WR, Philadelphia Eagles: A free-agency steal if he can stay on the field, Jeffery signed a one-year deal that should keep him motivated to parlay 2017 success into a large contract next offseason. While he has played only 21 games over the past two seasons combined, Jeffery has averaged 78.9 yards per game since 2013.

5.11 - Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. Both of those -- 75 catches and 1,000 yards -- seem to be a reasonable floor, but there is some upside for improvement over the past two seasons.

6.02 - Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: After missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah goes into the 2017 season as the Lions starting running back. On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year -- 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving -- and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017 if he can stay healthy.

7.11 - Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans: Finishing as fantasy's QB12 in 2016, Mariota threw for 3,426 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Given the team's offseason investments to put an improved supporting cast around Mariota, 2017 should be even better — perhaps much better — for this ascending dual-threat quarterback.

8.02 - Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Vikings: Rudolph shattered previous career highs with 83 receptions (previous career high: 53) and 840 yards (previous career high: 495) while scoring seven touchdowns. Rudolph should come close to those numbers once again in 2017.

9.11 - Danny Woodhead, RB, Baltimore Ravens: Missing the majority of the 2014 and 2016 seasons, Woodhead has played just 21 games over the past three years. Even though Woodhead is more valuable in PPR formats, he has finished as a top-24 fantasy running back (standard scoring) in each of his past three full seasons and the season-ending injury to Kenneth Dixon gives him an opportunity to do so again.

10.02 - Samaje Perine, RB, Washington Redskins: A physical runner, Perine is similar in style to incumbent starter Robert Kelley and he could eventually take over as the starter/lead back. Either way, he provides some valuable depth in the mid-to-late rounds of this mock.

11.11 - Thomas Rawls, RB, Seattle Seahawks: There is plenty of uncertainty around the role for Rawls going into the season with the addition of Eddie Lacy to the backfield. That said, it wouldn't surprise me if Rawls finished 2017 as the team's most productive running back given the recent struggles for Lacy.

12.02 - Josh Doctson, WR, Washington Redskins: An Achilles injury limited the first-rounder to just two games last season, but Doctson will have a prominent role in the passing offense in 2017 if he can stay healthy.

13.11 - Jonathan Williams, RB, Buffalo Bills: Backup running backs have had stand-alone value for the Bills and there is obvious upside if LeSean McCoy were to miss any games as Williams moves into the No. 2 role vacated by Mike Gillislee.

14.02 - Tyrod Taylor, QB, Buffalo Bills: No team threw the ball fewer times than the Bills (474) in 2016, but that didn't keep Taylor from finishing as a top-10 fantasy quarterback (QB8) last season. In his two seasons as a starter, Taylor has rushed for 1,148 yards and 10 touchdowns.

15.11 - New York Giants DST

16.02 - Stephen Gostkowski, K, New England Patriots

- View full mock draft results here

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