Saturday, November 14, 2020

Week 10 Fantasy Football WR Start'em, Sit'em

The decision on which player to start, or sit, largely comes down to the options on your roster (and/or possibly the players available on your league's waiver wire).

As an example, Jerry Jeudy is listed below as a "start" for Week 10. And I'd certainly be comfortable going into Week 10 with him as one of my starting wide receivers.

Then again, Jeudy may be a "sit" for your team.

In other words, if you own Davante Adams, Terry McLaurin and Jeudy and only start two wide receivers, you should start Adams and McLaurin and, in turn, bench Jeudy.

For a more direct answer on whether we would start Player X over Player Y, check our Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings. Instead of making those direct comparisons, the goal here is to highlight players that we like, or dislike, for the week.

Week 10 Fantasy Football WR Start'em

Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans (at CLE)

While he had fewer than 25 yards and finished as the WR80 or worse in three of his first four games, the past four weeks have gone much differently than the first four weeks for Cooks. He has a minimum of 60 yards and nine targets in all four games over that stretch. During that four-game span, Cooks has a total of 27 catches for 372 yards and three touchdowns on 39 targets. In addition, Cooks (39) has nine more targets than Will Fuller (30) in Houston's past four games.

The Cleveland Browns offer both Cooks and Fuller a favorable matchup as they have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season.

Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati Bengals (at PIT)

When it comes to passing volume, only the Cowboys (43.3/G) -- on bye this week -- have thrown more pass attempts than the Bengals (41.4/G) this season. The Bengals have a solid trio of receivers in Boyd, Tee Higgins and A.J. Green for rookie Joe Burrow and Boyd leads the team in receptions (54), targets (68), yards (584) and touchdowns (three).

Boyd has a minimum of five targets every week, an average of 8.5 per game and since Week 3, he has a minimum 20.0% target share in every game. That volume has helped Boyd to finish as a top-15 fantasy wide receiver in four of his past seven games.

D.J. Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars (at GB)

Before the bye, Chark had a total of 87 scoreless yards combined in three games. Coming out of the bye, however, Chark had a massive game with seven catches for 146 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. Rookie Jake Luton will draw another start and the Green Bay Packers will be without Jaire Alexander (concussion), who has graded out as PFF's top-rated corner this season. Given that the Packers are two-TD favorites, garbage time could come early and force the Jaguars to into more pass attempts.

Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos (at LV)

Jeudy began with the season with several solid, but not spectacular, performances -- 55 to 62 yards in each of his first four games. While he had a couple of very modest outings in Week 6 (32 yards) and Week 7 (20 yards), the targets and production have been more plentiful over the past two weeks. With much higher volume (24 targets) over the past two weeks, Jeudy's catch rate is only 45.8%, but the first-round rookie has a total of 11 catches for 198 yards and a touchdown.

Week 10 Fantasy Football WR Sit'em

A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals (at PIT)

In the three games prior to the bye, Green had 8/96 (11 targets), 7/82 (13 targets) and 2/19 (five targets), respectively. The good news is that his two best games of the season occurred within his past three games. That said, Green has converted fewer than half of his targets (49.2%, 31-of-63) from Burrow and he has yet to score a touchdown this season.

As noted above, I'd prefer to start Boyd over Green and I'd also prefer rookie Tee Higgins. Among the leaders in fantasy points scored (half-PPR scoring), Boyd (WR15) and Higgins (WR30) have vastly outperformed Green (WR75) this season.

Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions (vs. WAS)

Even though Kenny Golladay (hip) is out for Week 10, I'd keep Jones on my bench. On a positive note, Jones has scored three touchdowns in his past two games, but he also has 43 or fewer yards in four of his past five games.

In addition, no team has limited opposing wide receivers to fewer fantasy points this season than Washington. Throughout the entire season, Washington has allowed only two top-24 weekly wide receivers -- DeAndre Hopkins (WR9, Week 2) and Robert Woods (WR21, Week 5) -- and no receiver has more than 86 receiving yards against them this season.

Antonio Brown, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at CAR)

Ultimately, I wouldn't be surprised if Brown outscores all other Tampa Bay receivers the rest of the season. In his first game as a Buccaneer, however, Brown had three catches for 31 yards on five targets and there are a lot of mouths to feed in this passing offense. While the Panthers have allowed several big games to receivers including Mike Evans (7/104/1) in Week 2, the team has allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. This week, I have AB ranked as a WR4.

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