Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Denver Broncos

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams


Teddy Bridgewater520.3345.23850.220.0311.4542.11602.11239.89
Drew Lock70.942.9510.52.872.1310.538.90.5334.71

Teddy Bridgewater: The QB competition between Drew Lock and Bridgewater is over when it comes to determining the Week 1 starter (Bridgewater), but it's possible that both make starts in 2021. While his upside is low, Bridgewater will provide steadier quarterback play for a team that has a strong roster overall and will compete for the playoffs. He finished as fantasy's QB19 with Carolina in 2020.

Drew Lock: Lock will enter 2021 as the backup, but as noted above, could certainly make a start or two in 2021. Lock completed just 57.3% of 2020 pass attempts and tied Carson Wentz for a league-high 15 interceptions thrown.


Javonte Williams201.2885.36.8435.5272.51.6184.17
Melvin Gordon155.6669.15.4522.31570.9131.86
Mike Boone35.11581.338.7610.235.43
Nate McCrary729.

Javonte Williams: Even though he was the third back off the board in the 2021 NFL Draft, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos trading up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

Melvin Gordon: Gordon closed last season (Weeks 11-17) with elite volume (120 touches, seventh-most), which allowed MG3 to rank seventh in yards from scrimmage (618) and ninth in half-PPR scoring during that stretch. Regardless of how the workload allocation starts, it's likely that there will be a shift from the veteran to the rookie as the season progresses.


Jerry Jeudy83.41074.95.1000179.79
Courtland Sutton73.2965.952.39.20.05164.41
K.J. Hamler34.9425.22.31461.60.3582.03
Tim Patrick31.4383.72.200067.27
Diontae Spencer8.989.40.300015.19

Jerry Jeudy: Considering Courtland Sutton (ACL) missing nearly all of 2020, Jeudy underwhelmed as a rookie. A 46.0% catch rate prevented him from capitalizing on a 31.46% share of his team's air yards. Inconsistent quarterback play contributed to the lack of production and all signs point to the potential for a breakout in year two, especially with the Broncos naming Teddy Bridgewater as their starting QB.

Courtland Sutton: Sutton had a breakout season in 2019 -- 72 catches for 1,112 yards and six touchdowns -- but missed nearly all of 2020 with a torn ACL. The choice of Bridgewater over Drew Lock more than likely benefits Jeudy more than Sutton.

K.J. Hamler: Hamler has blazing speed, but he's unlikely to carve out a fantasy-relevant second season with Sutton, Jeudy and Fant (at least) all ahead of him in the targets pecking order.

Tim Patrick: Patrick was productive last season with a career-best 51/742/6 line. While he may once again outproduce expectations, it's also possible that he ranks fourth in WR snaps behind Sutton, Jeudy and Hamler.


Noah Fant62.1660.63.5000118.11
Albert Okwuegbunam20.42051.200037.9
Eric Saubert3.939.20.20007.07
Andrew Beck1.210.900001.69

Noah Fant: Playing at less than 100% in 2020, Fant averaged only 10.9 Y/R after averaging 14.1 in 2019. Fant's ADOT (7.6 to 6.7) and YAC/R (8.3 to 6.1) both declined year over year, but he also set career highs in receptions (62) and yards (673). Fant has been dealing with a "leg issue" that isn't believed to be serious or keep him out Week 1.

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