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Thursday, July 13, 2023

Denver Broncos 2023 Fantasy Football Projections

Our Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2023 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Russell Wilson	531.5	334.8	3959.7	23.39	11.96	54.7	251.6	1.91	264.65
Jarrett Stidham	33.9	20.8	240.7	1.53	1.19	5.6	19.6	0.17	16.35

Russell Wilson: Wilson's debut season with the Broncos was a flop. He set career lows in completion percentage (60.5%), TDs/TD% (16, 3.3%) and passer rating (84.4). From Weeks 1 to 13, Wilson had only one top-12 weekly performance (Week 4), but he exceeded 24 fantasy points in three of his final four games in 2022. Transitioning to Sean Payton's offense improves optimism about Wilson's 2023 outlook, but he should still be drafted as a fantasy QB2.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Javonte Williams	179.8	791.1	4.94	37.3	270.9	1.4	162.89
Samaje Perine	142.8	606.9	3.71	30.2	224.7	1.3	128.32
Tony Jones Jr.	36.8	154.6	0.92	7.3	56.7	0.3	32.1
Tyler Badie	15.6	66.3	0.39	3.2	25.2	0.1	13.69
Michael Burton	6.7	20.8	0.2	4.3	29.4	0.1	8.97

Javonte Williams: It remains unclear whether Williams (ACL) will be ready to go for the start of the season, but he expects to be cleared for training camp. If he is, how close will he be to his pre-injury form and how quickly will he be able to get back to that form? Through 21 career games, Williams has 250 carries for 1,107 yards (4.4 YPC, 52.7 YPG), 59 receptions for 392 yards and a total of seven touchdowns.

Samaje Perine: The early-season availability of Javonte Williams factors heavily into Perine's role, but either way, Perine is poised for a "significant role" in Denver's backfield throughout the season. Sean Payton has a long history of giving substantial workloads to the team's second back.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jerry Jeudy	67.9	907.3	5.4	3.1	22.5	0.09	159.87
Courtland Sutton	54.9	756.1	4.5	1.1	6.1	0.03	130.85
Tim Patrick	48.5	638.5	3.8	0	0	0	110.9
Marvin Mims	23.3	325.5	2	0	0	0	56.2
K.J. Hamler	8.9	126	0.7	0	0	0	21.25
Kendall Hinton	3.6	46.2	0.2	0	0	0	7.62
Montrell Washington	0.9	10.5	0.1	0	0	0	2.1

Jerry Jeudy: Jeudy set career highs in receptions (67), yards (972) and touchdowns (six) on 100 targets over 15 games in 2022. Jeudy had 53-plus yards in 10 of his final 11 games if we exclude Week 10 (when he played only one offensive snap). During that 11-game stretch, Jeudy posted a 60/842/5 line with a 72.3% catch rate and 10.14 yards per target. Given the offseason coaching change and Jeudy's production last season when healthy, he has the potential for even better numbers in 2023.

Courtland Sutton: After missing nearly all of 2020, Sutton has appeared in 32 of 34 games over the past two seasons and has averaged 61/803/2 over that time. Like with Jeudy, Sutton could benefit from the potential for improved offensive potency, but Tim Patrick is back after missing all of 2022 with a torn ACL and the Broncos drafted Marvin Mims in Round 2.

Tim Patrick: Patrick missed all of 2022 after tearing his ACL in training camp. Before 2022, he had solid back-to-back seasons — 51/742/6 (WR41) and 53/734/5 (WR40) in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Russell Wilson was "most comfortable" with Patrick before the injury, and "multiple people in the building" have told NFL Network's James Palmer that Patrick is the "best football player" in the WR room.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Greg Dulcich	44.8	554.5	3.4	98.25
Adam Trautman	14	161.7	1	29.17
Albert Okwuegbunam	3.7	39.9	0.3	7.64
Chris Manhertz	2.7	27.3	0.2	5.28

Greg Dulcich: Dulcich had 33 catches for 411 yards and two touchdowns in 10 games as a rookie in 2022. Sean Payton talked up Dulcich, saying that he has "a unique skill set. He's got traits. In the passing game we use the term, 'Joker' where you can get matchups."

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Monday, September 20, 2021

Fantasy Football Week 3 WR Waiver Wire

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be rostered in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 3 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Rondale Moore, Arizona Cardinals (33%)

Fantasy managers can't always count on 77-yard touchdowns, but Moore showed off his elite speed in Sunday's win. It wasn't just one big play for the rookie, however, as he actually led the team in targets (eight) in Week 2 and finished with seven catches for 114 yards and a score.

Moore now has solid performances in back-to-back games. He finished with 4/68 in Week 1. The Cardinals get a soft matchup in Week 3 against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have now lost 17 consecutive games.

2. Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears (45%)

One of my favorite sleepers heading into this season, Mooney has a chance to build upon his impressive rookie season. The former fifth-rounder out of Tulane had a 61/631/4 line last season and Matt Nagy talked up Mooney earlier this offseason by saying that he "has a rare element of speed, combined with route-running, hands and passion. And commitment."

The second-year receiver led the team in receptions (six), yards (66) and targets (eight) in Week 2. With Allen Robinson commanding much of a defense's attention, Mooney has the talent and potential to develop into a WR3/flex option.

3. Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos (22%)

Patrick had three catches for 37 yards and a score against the Jaguars on Sunday and has now scored in back-to-back games. While both Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant had more targets than Patrick (four), he was more targeted than fellow wideout K.J. Hamler (three). With Jerry Jeudy (high-ankle sprain, IR) out, Patrick and the Broncos get another favorable matchup in Week 3 against the New York Jets.

4. Cordarrelle Patterson, Atlanta Falcons (13%)

A RB/WR hybrid in fantasy, Patterson now has seven carries in back-to-back games. Even though he gained only 11 yards on his seven carries this week, he added five catches for 58 yards and scored a pair of touchdowns against the Buccaneers.

Mike Davis has had at least 16 touches in each of the team's first two games this season, but C-Patt has a total of 21 touches through two weeks. With Wayne Gallman a healthy scratch, the only other back to get touches this season has been Keith Smith (seven).

On his fifth team since entering the league in 2015, Davis has career averages of 3.7 YPC and 6.5 Y/R. Through his first two games as a Falcon, he's averaging just 3.63 YPC and 4.8 Y/R. Patterson may never be the team's RB1 as long as Davis is healthy, but if he continues to be much more efficient than Davis, it's not an impossibility either.

5. Elijah Moore, New York Jets (31%)

It was a brutal performance by the offense as Jets rookie quarterback Zach Wilson threw four interceptions on Sunday. Targeted eight times (24.24% target share) on Sunday, Moore finished with four catches for 47 yards. The Jets have a tough matchup in Denver in Week 3, but there are some softer pass defenses on the schedule after that as they face the Titans and Falcons in Weeks 4 and 5, respectively.

6. Henry Ruggs III, Las Vegas Raiders (34%)

While few, if any, started Ruggs in Week 2, he posted a big game (5/113/1 on seven targets) against a difficult defense (Steelers). Given his rare speed, there's always the potential for the big play (61-yard TD on Sunday), but it was encouraging to see the seven targets. The first receiver off the board in the 2020 NFL Draft, Ruggs is worth the bench stash for now to see if he's able to earn consistent volume in his second season.

7. K.J. Osborn, Minnesota Vikings (2%)

Osborn is now two-for-two in strong performances this season. After a 7/76 outing in Week 1, the second-year receiver had five catches for 91 yards and a touchdown on Sunday.

Even if he's clearly a distant third behind Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen in rest-of-season expectations, Osborn has 12 catches on 15 targets for a team-high 167 yards and a touchdown through two games. Osborn should be rostered in deeper leagues and the Seahawks-Vikings matchup has an early 55-point total in Week 3.

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Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Fantasy Football WR Waiver Wire Week 2

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 2 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Rondale Moore, 4. Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals (27%, 14%)

Arizona's offense was clicking on all cylinders in Week 1 as Moore ended the day with four catches for 68 yards on five targets. On the other hand, it was a disappointing debut for A.J. Green (2/25 on six targets).

While Christian Kirk (5/70/2) had a monster game, we've seen up-and-down performances from him. During a five-game stretch from Weeks 4 to 9 last season, Kirk totaled 20/343/6 (17.15 Y/R) as he performed as fantasy's WR7 during that stretch. He finished as the WR50 (or worse) in eight of his other nine games last season.

If I had to rank the non-DeAndre Hopkins receivers in Arizona for the rest of the way, I'd rank them Moore (1A), Kirk (1B) and Green (distant second). On a positive note for Green, he played 55 snaps (80%), which was significantly more than Kirk (39, 57%) and Moore (20,29%).

2. Terrace Marshall Jr., Carolina Panthers (20%)

With Christian McCaffrey missing almost all of 2020, the Panthers had three highly productive wide receivers. In fact, all three of Robby Anderson (WR22), D.J. Moore (WR23) and Curtis Samuel (WR25) finished as top-25 wide receivers in half-PPR scoring.

That likely won't happen in 2021, especially given that CMC is healthy (knock on wood), but it's conceivable that Marshall outperforms his ADP and returns flex value for his fantasy managers. Longer-term injury concerns may have led to a draft slide to the end of Round 2, but many viewed Marshall as a first-round talent and he joined the team having familiarity with Joe Brady's offense from their days at LSU. Marshall had just three catches for 26 yards on six targets in his debut, but I expect better things to come from the promising rookie.

3. Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos (2%)

Jerry Jeudy (high-ankle sprain) is expected to miss 4-6 weeks, which is obviously disappointing for those that roster a receiver that seemed destined to breakout in 2021. With the injury, however, it opens up opportunities for the team's other pass catchers.

While K.J. Hamler may offer more weekly upside, Patrick is the more consistent option. Patrick had a relatively quiet breakout season in 2020 as he finished with 51 catches for 742 yards and six touchdowns. In fact, Patrick (WR41) scored more fantasy points than teammate Jeudy (WR44) in 2020.

4. Kirk (see above)

5. Sterling Shepard, New York Giants (39%)

Shepard was one of Week 1's top-performing wide receivers with a 7/113/1 line on nine targets. Kenny Golladay had noted that the offense could take some time to develop chemistry due to injuries, so it wasn't necessarily surprising that Daniel Jones found comfort targeting Shepard as successfully as he did.

Golladay should emerge as the team's No. 1 receiver, but Shepard has some extra short-term value since the Giants have a quick turnaround with a Thursday Night Football matchup against WFT. Not only is Saquon Barkley still at less than full strength, but Evan Engram earned a projected DNP on Monday after sitting out Week 1.

6. K.J. Osborn, Minnesota Vikings (0%)

In an OT shootout against the Bengals, Osborn ended Week 1 with seven catches for 76 yards on nine targets. It was a nearly even three-way split between Adam Thielen (10 targets), Justin Jefferson (nine) and Osborn (nine). That is unlikely to happen very often and the Vikings want to run the ball as much as possible, but they face a couple of offenses -- Cardinals, Seattle Seahawks and Cleveland Browns -- that could force the Vikings to keep their pass attempts high over the next few weeks.

Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 2

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Sunday, September 5, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Denver Broncos

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Teddy Bridgewater	520.3	345.2	3850.2	20.03	11.45	42.1	160	2.11	239.89
Drew Lock	70.9	42.9	510.5	2.87	2.13	10.5	38.9	0.53	34.71

Teddy Bridgewater: The QB competition between Drew Lock and Bridgewater is over when it comes to determining the Week 1 starter (Bridgewater), but it's possible that both make starts in 2021. While his upside is low, Bridgewater will provide steadier quarterback play for a team that has a strong roster overall and will compete for the playoffs. He finished as fantasy's QB19 with Carolina in 2020.

Drew Lock: Lock will enter 2021 as the backup, but as noted above, could certainly make a start or two in 2021. Lock completed just 57.3% of 2020 pass attempts and tied Carson Wentz for a league-high 15 interceptions thrown.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Javonte Williams	201.2	885.3	6.84	35.5	272.5	1.6	184.17
Melvin Gordon	155.6	669.1	5.45	22.3	157	0.9	131.86
Mike Boone	35.1	158	1.33	8.7	61	0.2	35.43
Nate McCrary	7	29.4	0.18	2.1	15.3	0.1	7.2

Javonte Williams: Even though he was the third back off the board in the 2021 NFL Draft, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos trading up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

Melvin Gordon: Gordon closed last season (Weeks 11-17) with elite volume (120 touches, seventh-most), which allowed MG3 to rank seventh in yards from scrimmage (618) and ninth in half-PPR scoring during that stretch. Regardless of how the workload allocation starts, it's likely that there will be a shift from the veteran to the rookie as the season progresses.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jerry Jeudy	83.4	1074.9	5.1	0	0	0	179.79
Courtland Sutton	73.2	965.9	5	2.3	9.2	0.05	164.41
K.J. Hamler	34.9	425.2	2.3	14	61.6	0.35	82.03
Tim Patrick	31.4	383.7	2.2	0	0	0	67.27
Diontae Spencer	8.9	89.4	0.3	0	0	0	15.19

Jerry Jeudy: Considering Courtland Sutton (ACL) missing nearly all of 2020, Jeudy underwhelmed as a rookie. A 46.0% catch rate prevented him from capitalizing on a 31.46% share of his team's air yards. Inconsistent quarterback play contributed to the lack of production and all signs point to the potential for a breakout in year two, especially with the Broncos naming Teddy Bridgewater as their starting QB.

Courtland Sutton: Sutton had a breakout season in 2019 -- 72 catches for 1,112 yards and six touchdowns -- but missed nearly all of 2020 with a torn ACL. The choice of Bridgewater over Drew Lock more than likely benefits Jeudy more than Sutton.

K.J. Hamler: Hamler has blazing speed, but he's unlikely to carve out a fantasy-relevant second season with Sutton, Jeudy and Fant (at least) all ahead of him in the targets pecking order.

Tim Patrick: Patrick was productive last season with a career-best 51/742/6 line. While he may once again outproduce expectations, it's also possible that he ranks fourth in WR snaps behind Sutton, Jeudy and Hamler.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Noah Fant	62.1	660.6	3.5	118.11
Albert Okwuegbunam	20.4	205	1.2	37.9
Eric Saubert	3.9	39.2	0.2	7.07
Andrew Beck	1.2	10.9	0	1.69

Noah Fant: Playing at less than 100% in 2020, Fant averaged only 10.9 Y/R after averaging 14.1 in 2019. Fant's ADOT (7.6 to 6.7) and YAC/R (8.3 to 6.1) both declined year over year, but he also set career highs in receptions (62) and yards (673). Fant has been dealing with a "leg issue" that isn't believed to be serious or keep him out Week 1.

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Thursday, August 26, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football Projections: Denver Broncos

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Teddy Bridgewater	531.1	353.2	3930.1	20.45	11.68	43.5	165.3	2.18	245.25
Drew Lock	59	35.7	424.8	2.39	1.77	9.4	34.8	0.47	29.31

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Javonte Williams	202.4	890.6	6.88	35	267.8	1.6	184.22
Melvin Gordon	144.8	622.6	5.07	21.4	150.2	0.9	123.8
Mike Boone	37.7	169.7	1.43	9.7	71.9	0.3	39.39
Royce Freeman	16.5	69.3	0.37	6.8	47.9	0.1	17.94

Javonte Williams: Even though he was the third back off the board in the 2021 NFL Draft, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos moving up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

Melvin Gordon: While only 14 yards shy of 1,000 rushing yards in 2020, Gordon averaged a career-low 4.9 yards per catch. From Weeks 11 to 17, however, elite volume (120 touches, seventh-most) allowed MG3 to rank seventh in yards from scrimmage (618) and ninth in half-PPR scoring during that stretch.

Will the presence of Javonte Williams make Gordon expendable? For fantasy managers that roster MG3, it may be better for a new opportunity than a situation where the Broncos gradually shift a larger share of the workload to Williams as the season progresses, a potentially frustrating development for MG3 fantasy managers.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Jerry Jeudy	78.9	1019	4.9	0	0	0	170.75
Courtland Sutton	71.8	949.4	4.9	2.4	9.6	0.05	161.5
K.J. Hamler	34	424.6	2.3	14.1	62	0.35	81.56
Tim Patrick	31.1	378.9	2.2	0	0	0	66.64
Diontae Spencer	8.6	87.1	0.3	0	0	0	14.81
Seth Williams	5.1	54.4	0.3	0	0	0	9.79

Jerry Jeudy: Despite Courtland Sutton (ACL) missing nearly all of 2020, Jeudy underwhelmed as a rookie. A 46.0% catch rate prevented him from capitalizing on a 31.46% share of his team's air yards. Inconsistent quarterback play contributed to the lack of production and all signs point to the potential for a breakout in year two, especially with the Broncos naming Bridgewater as their starting QB.

K.J. Hamler: Hamler has blazing speed, but he's unlikely to carve out a fantasy-relevant second season with Sutton, Jeudy and Fant (at least) all ahead of him in the targets pecking order.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Noah Fant	62.2	659.8	3.5	118.08
Albert Okwuegbunam	20.4	204.7	1.2	37.87
Eric Saubert	3.9	39.2	0.2	7.07

Noah Fant: Playing at less than 100% in 2020, Fant averaged only 10.9 Y/R after averaging 14.1 in 2019. Fant's ADOT (7.6 to 6.7) and YAC/R (8.3 to 6.1) both declined year over year, but he also set career highs in receptions (62) and yards (673). Fant is currently dealing with a "leg issue" that isn't believed to be serious or keep him out Week 1.

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Monday, August 2, 2021

Fantasy Football Projections 2021: Denver Broncos

Our 2021 Fantasy Football Projections will be viewable by both position and team.

Below you will find our 2021 fantasy football projections for the Denver Broncos.

MORE: Fantasy football projections for more NFL teams

QUARTERBACKS

Player	Att.	Comp.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Drew Lock	354	214.2	2513.4	14.34	10.62	33	122.1	1.65	158.77
Teddy Bridgewater	236	158.7	1734.6	8.85	5.19	24.7	93.9	1.24	111.23

Drew Lock: The Aaron Rodgers (to Denver) speculation was at a fever pitch earlier this offseason and perhaps the Broncos will make a move to trade for Deshaun Watson. For now, however, it's a battle between Lock and newcomer Teddy Bridgewater and there appears to be "no separation" between the duo so far. If Lock opens the season as the starter, it's no (ahem) lock that he keeps the job. Not only did Lock complete just 57.3% of his pass attempts, but he tied Carson Wentz for a league-high 15 interceptions thrown in 2020.

Teddy Bridgewater: As noted above, the QB competition between Lock and Bridgewater is tight and both will most likely make starts in 2021. Even if Bridgewater wins the starting gig to enter the season, he is a low-upside option.

RUNNING BACKS

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Javonte Williams	202.4	890.6	6.88	32.6	261.3	1.6	182.37
Melvin Gordon	140.1	602.4	4.9	19.6	148.7	0.8	119.11
Mike Boone	42.4	190.8	1.61	9.3	72.2	0.3	42.41
Royce Freeman	11.8	49.6	0.27	6.5	42.5	0.1	14.68

Javonte Williams: Even though he was the third back off the board, some teams viewed Williams as "best back in the draft." With the Broncos moving up to get in front of the Dolphins to select Williams, it's likely that he emerges as the team's lead back sooner rather than later. In fact, it wouldn't surprise me if the Broncos parted ways (via trade or release) before final roster cuts. The 20-year-old back is a tackle-breaking machine.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Courtland Sutton	70.3	930.7	4.8	2.4	9.6	0.05	158.28
Jerry Jeudy	67.4	878.5	4.2	0	0	0	146.75
K.J. Hamler	38.4	491.5	2.6	14.1	62	0.35	92.25
Tim Patrick	35.6	418.3	2.4	0	0	0	74.03
Diontae Spencer	10.3	73.2	0.4	0	0	0	14.87
Seth Williams	4.7	52.3	0.3	0	0	0	9.38

Courtland Sutton: Sutton had a breakout season in 2019 -- 72 catches for 1,112 yards and six touchdowns -- but missed nearly all of 2020 with a torn ACL. While Sutton is our top-ranked Broncos fantasy wide receiver, it's more of a 1(a)/1(b) situation with Jerry Jeudy and both are viable WR3 types heading into 2021. A low level of quarterback play could hold both back, however.

Jerry Jeudy: Jeudy had his moments, but it was generally an underwhelming rookie season given the Week 1 season-ending injury to Courtland Sutton. Per NextGen Stats, Jeudy's 31.46% share of his team's air yards ranked 14th in 2020. That said, he had a 46.0% catch rate on the year.

K.J. Hamler: Hamler has blazing speed, but he's unlikely to carve out a fantasy-relevant second season with Sutton, Jeudy and Fant (at least) all ahead of him in the targets pecking order.

TIGHT ENDS

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Noah Fant	59.7	658.4	3.6	117.29
Albert Okwuegbunam	19.6	199.7	1.2	36.97
Eric Saubert	3.7	36.1	0.2	6.66

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Monday, December 7, 2020

Week 14 Fantasy Football WR Waiver Wire Rankings

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

For a player to be listed, he must be owned in 50 percent (or less) of Yahoo! leagues. The goal is to provide recommendations of players that have a greater chance of being available on your league's waiver wire. Of course, your league's size and settings could significantly impact whether these players (or better options) are available in your particular league(s).

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 14 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts (45%)

Hilton has historically proven to be a difficult matchup for the Houston Texans secondary and Week 13 was no different. Targeted a team-high 11 times by Philip Rivers, Hilton finished with eight catches for 110 yards (both season highs) and a touchdown.

From Weeks 1 to 11, Hilton finished as fantasy's WR50 in all but one week (WR34 in Week 5 at Cleveland Browns). But Hilton now has more th an 80 yards and a score in back-to-back weeks with a couple of plus matchups coming up.

Not only does he have two productive outings in a row, but the Colts have favorable matchups coming up as well. The Colts will face the Las Vegas Raiders and a rematch against the Texans in Weeks 14 and 15, respectively.

2. Keke Coutee, Houston Texans (27%)

With Will Fuller suspended, Randall Cobb on IR and Kenny Stills released, Coutee was in line for an expanded role. And that's exactly what he got. While Brandin Cooks exited briefly as he was evaluated for a concussion before returning to the game, Coutee had eight receptions for 141 yards on nine targets in Week 13. Especially in full-PPR leagues, Coutee could be a weekly top-36 option down the stretch even with some tough matchups on the schedule.

3. Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos (21%)

Once again, Patrick had exactly 44 receiving yards against the Kansas City Chiefs, but two of his four catches went for touchdowns in Week 13. Going back to Week 3, Patrick has four-plus catches in seven of nine games. The exceptions were three catches the first time he faced the Chiefs this season and zero catches as the team (practice squad receiver Kendall Hinton) completed more passes to the other team (two INTs) than their own team (one completion) in Week 12.

Excluding the Week 12 anomaly, Patrick has amassed a 34/554/5 line over his past half-season (eight games).

4. Rashard Higgins, Cleveland Browns (8%)

Following the season-ending injury to Odell Beckham, the Browns had a few bad-weather games where the passing offense never got on track. And even though the team's coaching staff prefers a run-first approach, Baker Mayfield & Co. are moving the ball through the air better lately.

As the team's No. 2 receiver behind Jarvis Landry, Higgins turned his nine targets into six catches for 95 yards and a touchdown against the Tennessee Titans in Week 13. The fifth-year receiver has a chance to perform as a WR3/WR4 down the stretch with matchups against the Baltimore Ravens, New York Giants and New York Jets, respectively.

5. Nelson Agholor, Las Vegas Raiders (40%)

It could have easily been a more productive outing for Agholor, who was second behind Darren Waller (17 targets) in targets (11) against the Jets in Week 13. Agholor had just four catches for 38 scoreless yards, but he now has three consecutive games with a minimum of four catches and six targets.

During that three-game span, Agholor has 15 catches for 180 yards and a touchdown on 26 targets. Averaging a career-high 16.2 Y/R, his six touchdowns are the second-most of his career (eight in 2017).

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Monday, November 23, 2020

Week 12 Fantasy Football WR Waiver-Wire Rankings

Every week, we examine players that may be available on your league's waiver wire that could help your team in the short and/or long term.

With that said, here are some wide receiver waiver-wire options to consider heading into Week 12 (Yahoo! % rostered in parenthesis):

[Note: Players listed below are sorted by our preference to add.]

1. Curtis Samuel, Carolina Panthers (50%)

In Week 11 against the Detroit Lions, Samuel converted a season-high 10 targets into eight catches for 70 yards and a touchdown in addition to his four-yard carry. Heading into Monday Night Football, Samuel is the WR8 on the week with 17.4 fantasy points.

This performance was his third big game in the past four weeks. While there is still one more game to be played this week, Samuel has finished as a top-eight receiver in three of his past four games. During that four-game span, he has a total of 24 receptions for 214 yards and three touchdowns and 10 carries for 44 yards and another score.

While it would be unrealistic to continue to expect weekly top-10 performances from Samuel, he's certainly a viable WR3/flex option with upside the rest of the way.

2. Michael Pittman, Indianapolis Colts (44%)

Pittman Jr. caught all three of his targets for 66 yards and a touchdown in Week 11 against the Green Bay Packers. While the outcome (14.1 half-PPR fantasy points) was similar in terms of fantasy production to last week (15.7 points), the low volume is a small concern.

Pittman had a total of 15 targets over the previous two weeks, which corresponded to 17.5% and 22.22% target shares in Weeks 9 and 10, respectively. In Week 11, Pittman saw only 8.82% of the team's targets. Pittman was tied with two others for fifth on the team in targets as Philip Rivers spread the ball around.

In Week 12, the Colts will face the Tennessee Titans, which have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the position this season. And in the first matchup against the Titans (Week 10), Pittman had 7/101 on eight targets and a 21-yard run.

3. Sterling Shepard, New York Giants (45%)

Before New York's Week 11 bye, Shepard had a minimum of six receptions in his previous four games. The volume of targets (32) and receptions (26) over that stretch are a major positive, but he hasn't parlayed that volume into as much production as fantasy owners would have liked. Shepard has 219 receiving yards (8.42 Y/R) over that span.

Even so, it's difficult to ignore that volume and there a streak of favorable matchups on deck against the Bengals, Seahawks, Cardinals and Browns -- all top-12 matchups -- over the next four weeks.

4. Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos (21%)

Patrick had five catches for 119 yards on eight targets in Week 11. Over his past seven games, Patrick has either 100-plus yards and/or a touchdown in five games. During that seven-game stretch, Patrick has finished as a top-36 fantasy wide receiver (WR3) or better in all but one game.

5. Jalen Regaor, Philadelphia Eagles (28%)

It was another solid, but not spectacular, performance for Reagor in Week 11 with four catches for 52 yards on five targets against the Cleveland Browns. Since returning in Week 8, Reagor has 11 catches for 115 yards and a touchdown on 18 targets. While we'd like to see more volume, something that may not happen with Zach Ertz possibly returning soon, but Reagor and the Eagles have a dream matchup in Week 12 against the Seattle Seahawks for fantasy owners feeling lucky.

+ More Fantasy Football Waiver-Wire Advice Heading Into Week 12

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